Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Natsu 2025

[Asashosakari 20,195]

A slightly late welcome to the third LKS edition of the year. Onosato takes over the top spot of the ballot from Hoshoryu - a sign of things to come?

 1. Onosato        12* [score?]
 2. Aonishiki       9*
 3. Inami           7*
 4. Daieisho        6  [score?]
 5. Kusano          6*
 6. Mishima         6
 7. Hakuoho         5
 8. Tochimusashi    5
 9. Enho            5
10. Daiyusho        5
11. Tenei           5
12. Takayasu        4  [score?]
13. Takerufuji      4
14. Tochitaikai     4
15. Kazekeno        4
16. Mita            4*

TB: [pick?]

(* marks rikishi with no makekoshi since debut)

The scoring and thus your game assignment:

• For sanyaku: Please predict an exact record for each rikishi. The target record will be calculated after the deadline and will be chosen so that it bisects the predictions as evenly as possible. The predictions will then be converted into + and - votes as usual; one point for each correct prediction.
• For lower-ranked rikishi: Please predict for each rikishi if he will finish KK or MK; one point for each correct prediction.

(For clarification: If you're expecting an outright makekoshi for one of the sanyaku high-rankers, just predict MK, exact records are only needed on the kachikoshi side of things.)

First tie-breaker: From among those 16 guys up there and the further 8 rikishi who are currently just shy of a 5-KK streak (5 'veterans' + 3 newcomers from maezumo), please guess how many KK you expect in total. Your tie-breaker guess may be anything from 0 to 24. Only exactly correct guesses qualify at this tie-breaker stage. Note: Sanyaku count as correct for the tie-breaker if they achieve KK, they do not need to meet their target records.

Next 15 tie-breakers if needed: Correctly predicted rikishi, one-by-one in ballot order, i.e. starting at Onosato.

Extra tie-breakers, should two or more players have entered identical ballots: Proximity of their tie-breaker guesses to the correct number, followed by proximity of their sanyaku rikishi guesses to the correct records (one-by-one in ballot order).

Final tie-breaker: earliest entry.

Note: Rikishi who show up on the before-shonichi kyujo list will be excluded from scoring (even if they end up joining the basho later), so it is not necessary to re-submit your entry if you picked such a rikishi as a KK; he will not count for points anyhow. You may, however, notify me if you'd like to reduce your tie-breaker guess by one point to compensate for the "missing" rikishi. Your position on the entry list (for final tie-breaker purposes) will be deemed unchanged in this special situation. Any other changes to a ballot will be considered a new entry, with correspondingly lower priority for the final tie-breaker.

Deadline: Shonichi 2pm JST.

-----

Simplified entry template:

 1. Onosato W-L
 2. Aonishiki KKMK
 3. Inami KKMK
 4. Daieisho W-L
 5. Kusano KKMK
 6. Mishima KKMK
 7. Hakuoho KKMK
 8. Tochimusashi KKMK
 9. Enho KKMK
10. Daiyusho KKMK
11. Tenei KKMK
12. Takayasu W-L
13. Takerufuji KKMK
14. Tochitaikai KKMK
15. Kazekeno KKMK
16. Mita KKMK

TB xx

-----

Good luck!

 

[Fashiritētā 210]

 

 1. Onosato 10-5
 2. Aonishiki KK
 3. Inami MK
 4. Daieisho 9-6
 5. Kusano KK
 6. Mishima KK
 7. Hakuoho KK
 8. Tochimusashi MK
 9. Enho KK
10. Daiyusho MK
11. Tenei KK
12. Takayasu 2-13
13. Takerufuji KK
14. Tochitaikai MK
15. Kazekeno KK
16. Mita KK

TB 14

 

 

[Hakuryuho 335]

1. Onosato 12-3
 2. Aonishiki KK
 3. Inami KK
 4. Daieisho 9-6
 5. Kusano KK
 6. Mishima KK
 7. Hakuoho KK
 8. Tochimusashi KK
 9. Enho KK
10. Daiyusho KK
11. Tenei MK
12. Takayasu 9-6
13. Takerufuji KK
14. Tochitaikai KK
15. Kazekeno MK
16. Mita KK

TB 14

[Holleshoryu 17]

1. Onosato 13-2

2. Aonishiki KK

3. Inami KK

4. Daieisho 9-6

5. Kusano KK

6. Mishima KK

7. Hakuoho MK

8. Tochimusashi MK

9. Enho MK

10. Daiyusho KK

11. Tenei KK

12. Takayasu 7-8

13. Takerufuji KK

14. Tochitaikai KK

15. Kazekeno KK

16. Mita KK

TB 13

[ryafuji 824]

1. Onosato 13-2
 2. Aonishiki KK
 3. Inami MK
 4. Daieisho 10-5
 5. Kusano KK
 6. Mishima KK
 7. Hakuoho KK
 8. Tochimusashi MK
 9. Enho KK
10. Daiyusho MK
11. Tenei MK
12. Takayasu 8-7
13. Takerufuji KK
14. Tochitaikai MK
15. Kazekeno MK
16. Mita KK

TB 14

[WAKATAKE 2,759]

1. Onosato 11-4
 2. Aonishiki KK
 3. Inami MK
 4. Daieisho 8-7
 5. Kusano KK
 6. Mishima MK
 7. Hakuoho MK
 8. Tochimusashi KK
 9. Enho KK
10. Daiyusho KK
11. Tenei MK
12. Takayasu 6-9
13. Takerufuji KK
14. Tochitaikai MK
15. Kazekeno MK
16. Mita MK

TB 12

[Yarimotsu 637]

 1. Onosato 12-3
 2. Aonishiki KK
 3. Inami MK
 4. Daieisho 8-7
 5. Kusano KK
 6. Mishima MK
 7. Hakuoho KK
 8. Tochimusashi MK
 9. Enho KK
10. Daiyusho KK
11. Tenei MK
12. Takayasu 8-7
13. Takerufuji KK
14. Tochitaikai KK
15. Kazekeno MK
16. Mita KK

TB 15

[Profomisakari 909]

 1. Onosato           12
 2. Aonishiki          KK
 3. Inami                 MK 
 4. Daieisho             8 
 5. Kusano              KK
 6. Mishima            KK
 7. Hakuoho           KK
 8. Tochimusashi  KK
 9. Enho                  KK
10. Daiyusho         KK
11. Tenei                MK
12. Takayasu         8  
13. Takerufuji        KK
14. Tochitaikai      MK
15. Kazekeno        MK
16. Mita                  KK

TB: 13

Edited May 10 by Profomisakari

[Jejima 1,486]

 1. Onosato 8-7
 2. Aonishiki KK
 3. Inami KK
 4. Daieisho 8-7
 5. Kusano KK
 6. Mishima KK
 7. Hakuoho KK
 8. Tochimusashi KK
 9. Enho KK
10. Daiyusho KK
11. Tenei KK
12. Takayasu 8-7
13. Takerufuji KK
14. Tochitaikai KK
15. Kazekeno KK
16. Mita KK

TB 16

[Oskanohana 357]

 1. Onosato 11-4
 2. Aonishiki KK
 3. Inami MK
 4. Daieisho 8-7
 5. Kusano KK
 6. Mishima KK
 7. Hakuoho KK
 8. Tochimusashi KK
 9. Enho KK
10. Daiyusho MK
11. Tenei MK
12. Takayasu 7-8
13. Takerufuji KK
14. Tochitaikai MK
15. Kazekeno MK
16. Mita KK

TB 13

[Masutarida 2]

1. Onosato 12-3
 2. Aonishiki KK
 3. Inami MK
 4. Daieisho 9-6
 5. Kusano KK
 6. Mishima KK
 7. Hakuoho KK
 8. Tochimusashi KK
 9. Enho KK
10. Daiyusho KK
11. Tenei KK
12. Takayasu 8-7
13. Takerufuji KK
14. Tochitaikai MK
15. Kazekeno MK
16. Mita MK

 

TB 15

[Athenayama 1,190]

1. Onosato 12-3
 2. Aonishiki KK
 3. Inami MK
 4. Daieisho 9-6
 5. Kusano KK
 6. Mishima KK
 7. Hakuoho KK
 8. Tochimusashi KK
 9. Enho KK
10. Daiyusho KK
11. Tenei MK
12. Takayasu 10-5
13. Takerufuji KK
14. Tochitaikai MK
15. Kazekeno KK
16. Mita KK

TB 15

[Bunbukuchagama 958]

1. Onosato 11-4
 2. Aonishiki KK
 3. Inami MK
 4. Daieisho 9-6
 5. Kusano KK
 6. Mishima KK
 7. Hakuoho KK
 8. Tochimusashi KK
 9. Enho KK
10. Daiyusho KK
11. Tenei MK
12. Takayasu 8-7

13. Takerufuji KK
14. Tochitaikai MK
15. Kazekeno MK
16. Mita MK

TB 15

[Xiongmao 23]

1. Onosato 11-4
 2. Aonishiki KK
 3. Inami MK
 4. Daieisho 9-6
 5. Kusano KK
 6. Mishima KK
 7. Hakuoho KK
 8. Tochimusashi KK
 9. Enho KK
10. Daiyusho KK
11. Tenei MK
12. Takayasu 8-7
13. Takerufuji KK
14. Tochitaikai MK
15. Kazekeno MK
16. Mita KK

TB 15

Pandaazuma

Edited May 11 by Xiongmao

[chishafuwaku 476]

1. Onosato             12
 2. Aonishiki                 KK
 3. Inami                        KK
 4. Daieisho              9
 5. Kusano                     KK
 6. Mishima                           MK
 7. Hakuoho                   KK
 8. Tochimusashi                  MK
 9. Enho                           KK
10. Daiyusho                          MK
11. Tenei                                 MK
12. Takayasu               9
13. Takerufuji                  KK
14. Tochitaikai                 KK
15. Kazekeno                   KK
16. Mita                             KK

TB 13

[Asashosakari 20,195]

12 Onosato
+ Aonishiki
- Inami
10 Daieisho
+ Kusano
- Mishima
+ Hakuoho
+ Tochimusashi
+ Enho
- Daiyusho
- Tenei
9 Takayasu
- Takerufuji
- Tochitaikai
+ Kazekeno
+ Mita

TB 14

[Sakura 1,523]

kosho please

[Asashosakari 20,195]

The selection stats for the Natsu edition. A belated welcome to rookie Masutarida and returnee Pandaazuma!

Player	Onosato		Aonis	Inami	Daiei		Kusano	Mishi	Hakuo	Tochim	Enho	Daiyu	Tenei	Takay		Takeru	Tochit	Kazek	Mita	TB	Cons
Fashiritētā	-	10-5	+	-	+	9-6	+	+	+	-	+	-	+	-	MK	+	-	+	+	14	1.46
Hakuryuho	+	12-3	+	+	+	9-6	+	+	+	+	+	+	-	+	9-6	+	+	-	+	14	1.32
Holleshoryu	+	13-2	+	+	+	9-6	+	+	-	-	-	+	+	-	MK	+	+	+	+	13	1.92
ryafuji	+	13-2	+	-	+	10-5	+	+	+	-	+	-	-	-	8-7	+	-	-	+	14	1.21
WAKATAKE	-	11-4	+	-	-	8-7	+	-	-	+	+	+	-	-	MK	+	-	-	-	12	1.59
Yarimotsu	+	12-3	+	-	-	8-7	+	-	+	-	+	+	-	-	8-7	+	+	-	+	15	1.39
Profomisakari	+	12-3	+	-	-	8-7	+	+	+	+	+	+	-	-	8-7	+	-	-	+	13	1.07
Jejima	-	8-7	+	+	-	8-7	+	+	+	+	+	+	+	-	8-7	+	+	+	+	16	1.51
Oskanohana	-	11-4	+	-	-	8-7	+	+	+	+	+	-	-	-	MK	+	-	-	+	13	1.29
Masutarida	+	12-3	+	-	+	9-6	+	+	+	+	+	+	+	-	8-7	+	-	-	-	15	1.13
Athenayama	+	12-3	+	-	+	9-6	+	+	+	+	+	+	-	+	10-5	+	-	+	+	15	1.13
Bunbukuchagama	-	11-4	+	-	+	9-6	+	+	+	+	+	+	-	-	8-7	+	-	-	-	15	1.00
Pandaazuma	-	11-4	+	-	+	9-6	+	+	+	+	+	+	-	-	8-7	+	-	-	+	15	1.00
chishafuwaku	+	12-3	+	+	+	9-6	+	-	+	-	+	-	-	+	9-6	+	+	+	+	13	1.69
Asashosakari	+	12-3	+	-	+	10-5	+	-	+	+	+	-	-	+	9-6	-	-	+	+	14	1.71
	9:6		15:0	4:11	10:5		15:0	11:4	13:2	10:5	14:1	10:5	4:11	4:11		14:1	5:10	6:9	12:3
Results	+		+	+	+		+	-	+	-	-	-	-	- (MK)		-	-	+	+

Two sets of unanimous KK predictions for Aonishiki and Kusano, leaving 14 LKS rikishi in play, although most of them received fairly lopsided predictions as well. That includes two who only attracted a single MK expectation.

Three sanyaku-ranked competitors are in action for us, newly led by ozeki Onosato who once again attracted picks that produced a target score of 12-3 - with slightly more entrants expecting him to hit it (last time 7:8). Sekiwake stalwart Daieisho's goal was set to 9-6 once again (support down a bit from 12:3). Last not least, problematic selections for komusubi returnee Takayasu with 7 picks at 8-7 and another 4 each above and below. That necessitated a tie-breaking trip to the TB entries, whose total of 211 (with odd parity) was used to select 9-6 (also odd parity in the win count) over the equally feasible alternative of 8-7.

Despite many slots having a strongly favoured side there isn't a whole lot of agreement between our picks this time. No pairs of players came anywhere near having 16 identical selections; the high mark was set by Bunbukuchagama/Pandaazuma with 13, closely followed by Athenayama/Hakuryuho with 12. The least agreement was produced between Asashosakari/Holleshoryu with just 4 shared picks. (Incidentally, the two players who are the sole voters against Enho and Takerufuji's respective KK chances.) Both also figure into the second-least agreement with 5 picks in Asashosakari/Jejima and Holleshoryu/Oskanohana. The average pair has 8.9 selections in common, or just about 55%.

The overall most unusual entry was not submitted by WAKATAKE for a rare change but rather by Holleshoryu, whose consensus score (larger value = further away from the majority) is at a considerable distance from second-placed chishafuwaku. Both of them have voted against the majority 7 times. WAKATAKE and Asashosakari follow closely behind in the overall score but have only 5 minority choices apiece, something in which they're actually exceeded by Jejima's drone slate which has 6.

The TB choices are almost equally split between 13, 14 and 15 this basho, with single outlier picks on 12 and 16, marking a change from the recent trend of selections that were all over the place.

Edited June 7 by Asashosakari

[Asashosakari 20,195]

Day 7

An unfortunate early start among the eight rikishi who are not yet on the ballot, with two of them already makekoshi; last basho's makushita champion Oshoryu and veteran sandanme dweller Sadanokuni will not be scoring that qualifying fifth KK.

Day 8

No points today either, but two more developments. Fujiizumi, he of the three-year absence from competition, has been performing surprisingly well since his return to action and is now 4-0 at his highest rank ever. With his fifth kachikoshi in hand he will be joining the game properly next time.

In addition the day saw a minimum time KK for ozeki Onosato as well. His 12-3 target and any scoring of game points will have to wait for a bit longer.
 

Day 9

The floodgates opened and no less than five decisions were made on this still relatively early day. Unfortunately it didn't take long for Takayasu to pick up 7 losses and fall out of 9-6 target contention. Three highly-rated prospects have done much better and Hakuoho, Aonishiki and Kusano all stand on matching 8-1 records after today. The makushita division saw a negative outcome, however, with Tochimusashi's rise back from injury ended in the sixth tournament.

Only the Tochimusashi result was a minority expectation, so the first standings are led by a trio of perfect scores for the time being and much of the field follows one point behind.

Day 9: 5/13 Decisions, TB 5-21
Pos	Player	Pts	TB
1	Fashiritētā	5	14
1	ryafuji	5	14
3	Yarimotsu	5	15
4	chishafuwaku	4	13
4	Holleshoryu	4	13
4	Oskanohana	4	13
4	Profomisakari	4	13
8	Bunbukuchagama	4	15
8	Masutarida	4	15
8	Pandaazuma	4	15
11	Jejima	4	16
12	Asashosakari	3	14
12	Hakuryuho	3	14
12	WAKATAKE	3	12
15	Athenayama	3	15

 

[Asashosakari 20,195]

Day 10

Back to a day with no scoreable action. Takayasu reached an outright makekoshi and will be departing from the ballot. Another off-ballot rikishi has also failed to make it: 20-year-old Fujinoshin, in his third year as a pro, has bounced off the wall just about where he was a year ago before an injury took him out of action for two honbasho.

Day 11

A couple more results of the negative variety. Makuuchi newcomer Tochitaikai has lost 7 straight after a promising 3-1 start and so his five-tournament trek from high makushita to the top division has ended. Daiyusho, one of the many rikishi to feature in this game largely due to injury, is also makekoshi at his highest rank in three years (that was two injuries ago). Two-thirds of us correctly predicted the Tochitaikai outcome, while the Daiyusho result went exactly the other way with only one-third on target.

In addition the KK line has been reached by sekiwake Daieisho, leaving him just one win away from his 9-6 target.

Four players picked up both points today (including two leaders), four others were scoreless (including the third one), the rest got one point.

Day 11: 7/16 Decisions, TB 6-17
Pos	Player	Pts	TB
1	Fashiritētā	7	14
1	ryafuji	7	14
3	Oskanohana	6	13
4	chishafuwaku	5	13
4	Profomisakari	5	13
6	Asashosakari	5	14
7	Bunbukuchagama	5	15
7	Masutarida	5	15
7	Pandaazuma	5	15
7	Yarimotsu	5	15
11	WAKATAKE	4	12
12	Holleshoryu	4	13
13	Athenayama	4	15
14	Jejima	4	16
15	Hakuryuho	3	14

 

[Asashosakari 20,195]

Day 12

And suddenly we're damned close to the end of the competition already after no less than six results were decided on Day 12. It all started with a pair of makushita rikishi falling to makekoshi; the one for Mishima at his career-high rank was arguably not such a big surprise (although it still only attracted four votes), but Enho's losing record certainly shocked the fandom at large, and only one player here had successfully dared to predict it.

Higher up in juryo the day saw sekitori newcomer Mita achieve his kachikoshi but get injured in the same breath, so his tournament turned out to be ending here. This one was predicted by a strong majority, which can definitely not be said for the next outcome: Again only one entrant correctly expected Takerufuji to pick up his first non-injury MK.

Last not least, both sekiwake Daieisho and ozeki Onosato reached their respective 9-6 and 12-3 target records. These were both supported by majorities. Furthermore a trio of off-ballot rikishi also decided their fates with Mongolian newcomer Goseizan makekoshi in his makushita debut, while fellow rookie Furuta and more experienced (but still only 21-year-old) Kotoegashira achieved kachikoshi at career-high ranks in high and mid sandanme respectively.

All in all the top score of the day was a 5 by Asashosakari who got Takerufuji right (missed Enho, obviously), followed by a 4 by successful Enho picker Holleshoryu (missed Takerufuji and Mishima), and another 4 by chishafuwaku who was the only one to get everything except the two highly unexpected ones. Scores of 3, 2 and 1 point each occurred four times, so there was a lot of shake-up in the standings.

The player who fared best among the top 3 from yesterday was ryafuji with above-average three points which was good enough to hold on to the lead, but not to become sole leader:

Day 12: 13/16 Decisions, TB 9-13
Pos	Player	Pts	TB
1	Asashosakari	10	14
1	ryafuji	10	14
3	chishafuwaku	9	13
4	Fashiritētā	9	14
5	Holleshoryu	8	13
6	Yarimotsu	8	15
7	Oskanohana	7	13
7	Profomisakari	7	13
9	Athenayama	7	15
9	Masutarida	7	15
9	Pandaazuma	7	15
12	Bunbukuchagama	6	15
12	Hakuryuho	6	14
14	WAKATAKE	5	12
15	Jejima	5	16

The quick drop from 9 open slots to just 3 in a single day precludes the usual expansive yusho scenario preview (normally done with 5 or 6 slots left), so things are quite a bit more straight-forward to explain this time. All sanyaku target records have been handled, so what's left are just the simple KK/MK decisions for lower-rankers Inami and Tenei (both 3-3) and for juryo Kazekeno (6-6). In addition, one off-ballot rikishi (Nobehara) is also 3-3.

The two leaders, two pursuers and Holleshoryu can still finish in the lead, either tied or outright.

• Kazekeno finishes MK: ryafuji wins outright no matter what happens in anything else. He is the only contender to have predicted the makekoshi there which would give him a virtual lead that nobody can counter through other scores: Asashosakari (one point behind) has the other two picks in identical fashion to ryafuji, chishafuwaku and Fashiritētā (two behind) have only one pick different, and Holleshoryu would be eliminated altogether at three behind.
• Kazekeno finishes KK:
  • Inami finishes MK: An outright victory for Asashosakari if Tenei is also MK, a bracket victory for Asashosakari (over tied Fashiritētā) if Tenei gets KK.
  • Inami finishes KK:
    • Tenei finishes MK: A bracket victory for chishafuwaku (over Asashosakari)
    • Tenei finishes KK: A big four-way tie also ultimately won by chishafuwaku (over Asashosakari, Fashiritētā and Holleshoryu).
      • This is the only scenario where anybody in contention can still hit the TB, although it wouldn't be decisive - chishafuwaku and Holleshoryu have both predicted 13, which can happen if Nobehara completes the all-KK slate of results. It doesn't change chishafuwaku's path to victory through the brackets.

So, the LKS yusho race is down to three players, with Kazekeno and Inami in charge of selecting the winner, while Tenei's finish will make no material difference at least for the yusho.

[Asashosakari 20,195]

Day 13

Inami was in action first and secured another kachikoshi, his 8th altogether and fifth straight (!) 4-3 record, all of these achieved since he had reached the makushita division; shades of Daiamami who did it a bit differently (from a Ms15TD debut). Only four entrants had expected Inami to score kachikoshi yet again.

That put the lid on Asashosakari's yusho hopes, with only a yusho-doten still possible should Kazekeno get his KK. He improved his record to 7-6 today, making chishafuwaku's yusho more likely than ryafuji's.

Inami's victory also finalized another result, as it turned out that his losing opponent was Nobehara who has thus missed out on the opportunity to join the Nagoya ballot. (And of course that also means that a final TB of 13 was not actually possible, but I'm not editing that in the preceding post now. Just pretend that the Day 12 update was written in between that day's results and the publication of the Day 13 torikumi...)

A three-way tie at the top of the standings now, but you already know it's not a three-way race:

Day 13: 14/16 Decisions, TB 10-12
Pos	Player	Pts	TB
1	Asashosakari	10	14
1	chishafuwaku	10	13
1	ryafuji	10	14
4	Fashiritētā	9	14
4	Holleshoryu	9	13
6	Yarimotsu	8	15
7	Athenayama	7	15
7	Hakuryuho	7	14
7	Masutarida	7	15
7	Oskanohana	7	13
7	Pandaazuma	7	15
7	Profomisakari	7	13
13	Bunbukuchagama	6	15
13	Jejima	6	16
15	WAKATAKE	5	12

 

Edited June 7 by Asashosakari

[Asashosakari 20,195]

Day 14

As there are customarily almost no 3-3 matches on senshuraku it's not a surprise that Tenei's tournament campaign was concluded today, and unfortunately his loss to former sekitori Chiyosakae not only meant a last-minute makekoshi, it also cost the 25-year-old his long-hoped-for debut in the makushita division; ranked at Sd11w he was in the very last spot from which a 4-3 record would have resulted in promotion.

But that wasn't all for the day; in juryo action Kazekeno proceeded to secure his kachikoshi. As detailed above this result was the final determinant for our yusho, which thus goes to chishafuwaku! It is his 8th career victory, his first in exactly a year, and the fourth since he became LKS yokozuna three years ago. Congrats! The Tenei loss ensured that only Asashosakari finishes tied for the lead, giving him his 8th yusho-doten result and extending his record in this category. (chishafuwaku is the all-time second with 6.) Erstwhile yusho contender ryafuji ends the basho in sole third place.

For completeness I'll mention that the yusho was ultimately decided on the third bracket slot where chishafuwaku had Inami's KK and Asashosakari did not. Incidentally, chishafuwaku would have defeated any other opponent on brackets as well; his first eight predictions on the ballot were entirely accurate, nobody else made it further than the top 5.

That's all LKS matches done, nothing left for Day 15 and so the Day 14 standings are also the final ones:

Day 15: 16/16 Decisions, TB 11
Pos	Player	Pts	TB
1	chishafuwaku	12	13
2	Asashosakari	12	14
3	ryafuji	11	14
4	Fashiritētā	10	14
4	Holleshoryu	10	13
6	Athenayama	9	15
6	Yarimotsu	9	15
8	Hakuryuho	8	14
8	Oskanohana	8	13
8	Pandaazuma	8	15
8	Profomisakari	8	13
12	Bunbukuchagama	7	15
12	Jejima	7	16
12	Masutarida	7	15
15	WAKATAKE	6	12

Nobody expected the number of KK-continuing rikishi and therefore the TB value to end up this low; well done by us all. 

The new ballot for Nagoya 2025:

 1. Onosato        13* [score?]
 2. Aonishiki      10* [score?]
 3. Inami           8*
 4. Daieisho        7  [score?]
 5. Kusano          7*
    Mishima         6
 6. Hakuoho         6
    Tochimusashi    5
    Enho            5
    Daiyusho        5
    Tenei           5
    Takayasu        4
    Takerufuji      4
    Tochitaikai     4
 7. Kazekeno        5
 8. Mita            5*
 9. Fujiizumi       5**
10. Furuta          5*
11. Kotoegashira    5

Sadly there are no 4-KK sekitori to bolster the lineup this time, and these 11 rikishi are all we will get to play with in Nagoya. Aonishiki will very likely earn a lucky promotion to komusubi, keeping the LKS sanyaku count at three despite Takayasu's exit, and we just might have all 11 slots in play. (Somebody is going to bet against Kusano, right? Right?)

The order of Fujiizumi and Furuta on the next banzuke may be different from what I've assumed for this list; it's kinda close between them.

Edited June 7 by Asashosakari

[Asashosakari 20,195]

Scores for banzuke purposes:

chishafuwaku 13 (12+Top)
Asashosakari 13 (12+Top)
ryafuji 11
Fashiritētā 10
Holleshoryu 10
Athenayama 9
Yarimotsu 9
Hakuryuho 8
Oskanohana 8
Pandaazuma 8
Profomisakari 8
Bunbukuchagama 7
Jejima 7
Masutarida 7
WAKATAKE 6

Total: 134 / 15 = 8.93 ---> -1 win

A clear split of 7 KK and 8 MK results.

The banzuke for Nagoya 2025:

chishafuwaku (Ye 12-3 Y)  Y   ---
Holleshoryu (O1w 9-6)     O1  Yarimotsu (O1e 8-7)
Sakura (O2e kosho)        O2  Asashosakari (Se 12-3 D)
ryafuji (Kw 10-5)         S   Oskanohana (O2w 7-8)
Athenayama (Ke 8-7)       K   Fashiritētā (M2e 9-6)
Bunbukuchagama (Sw 6-9)   M1  Hakuryuho (M1e 7-8)
Profomisakari (M1w 7-8)   M2  Ryoshishokunin (M2w kosho)
Pandaazuma (NR 7-8)       M3  Jejima (M3e 6-9)
Masutarida (NR 6-9)       M4  WAKATAKE (M3w 5-10)

After four consecutive tournaments alternating between 8-7 and 7-8, an emphatic return to form for our sole yokozuna. Yarimotsu was our sole ozeki who didn't enter Natsu basho off a makekoshi from March and he was in fact on an extended tsunatori, but that's unfortunately over after this basho's middling result.

The kadoban trio of ozeki has seen one of them move clear of danger (Holleshoryu), one carrying over the kadoban status to Nagoya due to absence (Sakura), and one falling to sekiwake (Oskanohana). We do continue with four ozeki as Asashosakari, yusho winner from March, has tacked on another top score to clear the bar for promotion. It is his fourth promotion to ozeki, and comes seven basho after the former yokozuna was forced to reboot his LKS career.

Only demoted Oskanohana looks to be in the running for promotion next time; ryafuji's third-place finish is ordinarily not strong enough to become part of a promotable two-basho run, and the previous score was a makekoshi so there's not going to be a three-basho total just yet.