AsaMoe

Well, Asashoryu is not as heavy as Takanohana, does not have his technical skill, his patience ... Do you notice, that Asashoryu is likely to win the most fights in a single year this year ? Maybe he even wins all 6 bashos in one year ? Is it possible, that he is worse in every aspect than Takanohana ?

Today i have watched the stream and could also make some comments: It is true, that the thing i remember most, was that it was an exciting fight. Asashoryu had a good tachiai and it looked like an easy victory. But Futeno was able to stop the movement and turn Asashoryu around. After some more grappling Asashoryu was pushed back to the ring and lifted over it. Great and exciting. We all hope for an exciting basho. But it needs more than Asashoryu losing two bouts. It also needs at least one other rikishi making 12+. It is difficult to say, who that could be. Maybe Kotooshu or Tochiazuma, depending on his injury. Or even Futeno ? Kaio really was pitiful. If his injury was so bad as shown today, he will give up in the next few days, because it makes no difference if he wins zero or a few bouts. Chiotaikai also looks bad. He got a fight, which suited his style, but was defeated by Kakizoe. 8 wins will be a difficult task

Well, i would fighting against a Makushita rikishi not call a Juryu debut. The real debut is tomorrow.

I apologize for my ignorance. nontheless, your site does not show, that the number of injuries rises since may 2004 again. (or did i miss something again?)

WIth a short lookup in the glossary when the new kosho rule was established (Natsu 2004) i can see a slight increase in the number of injuries with a "all-time"-height in Nagoya 2005. And without being to pessimistic it is possible, that Aki will produce even more injuries.

Unfortunately i do not have the experience in sumo to say how many injuries are usual. From my 1.5 year experience i would say, that in Aki more rikishi are injured than in other bashos ?

Going back to the original topic, i would like to say, that i think, that Tochiazuma will be there for a bit longer. This year he has had four "acceptable" bashos and he has shown, that he is willing to fight against demotion. Additionally, at the moment, he is the only Japanese rikishi, who regularly beats Asashoryu. Actually, he is the only of any nationality.

Maybe for a further analysis, the data has to be broken into two pieces. Speaking for myself i have no clue about Juryu and lower Makuuchi and always guess with a formula like: performance = Banzuke position - wins in basho That is a J5E with 3-1 is superior to a J2W with 2-2. And, shame on me, i use this formula until the first half of Makuuchi. Back to the topic, i assume there are knowledgable people, who make their guesses on more factors. But, the deeper you go, the more people automatically guess and produce a 90%+ ST score. Maybe you should continue the evaluation with data from Upper Makuuchi or higher. And then i would like to see the results of a poll, where people say up to which level they actually guess the results for ST. Can i make a poll for myself, or do i have to follow some rules ?

Thanks for your help. Judging from your query, it is not impossible, that they promote him with 35 which ist 12-3 in Aki. BTW, is there a way to query like rank M4+ ?

Using my very limited Hakko Yoi - skills Maegashira - Ozeki - Run i have the impression, that only in very view cases, an Ozeki was started from a Maegashira position. There were only two cases from M4 (with 34 and 36 wins and two jun-yushos) and no frmo M5 or below. (please correct me, if i have made the wrong query)

I have no past experience with Ozeki promotion, but my opinion was, that you need 33 wins as a sekiwake. Or, if you start your run below Sekiwake level, it should be a bit more, considering the fact, that your opponents were a bit easier. Following the discussion about Wakanosato, Hakuho and Kotomitsuki my oppinion was, that the start of an Ozeki run at M1 or even M2 is an exception and requires an extra win. Following this argument, Kotooshu will need 35 or better 36 wins (which is the yusho-equivalent)

Takamisakari !!! i dont want to critsize your opinion (or my spelling), but their is NO Futenho or Takamisakari involved in the Yusho race. Both will find their way to lose enough bouts. Tochiazuma vs. Kaio: As this is a bout, which should take place anyway, it could take place in round 12 to preserve some flexibility. (the winner of it could face the Asashoryu in 15 and any lower ranked in 14.) ( i withdraw my futher comment in another thread) For the yusho race itself, only the top ranked rikishi and Wakanosato and Kotoosho will take part. The others will find a way to fall. Lets hope that Tochiazuma will win. ( Is a 12-3 a Yusho equivalent ?)

There is more than the Iwakiyama reappearance. Is it possible, that this fight will happen on day 12 ? The Ozeki-bouts should be on day 13-15 ?

Most likely they all chose Hakuho ?

Me too; i had to choose between Hakuho and Kotoosho and this was also irrelevant. Today it is more difficult, but i am quite sure, who wins.

Strange as it is, Kotooshu has the second highest quote in S-Toto. But in Chain Gang only 19 player picked him. May be this time i start a winning streak (which is already one bout longer then in March and May).

Always, when i visit the forum, i wonder if there are new posts. And the sumo games subforum never disappoints me. But then i see, that there are only posts to some forum-based game have been made, which is totally uninteresting for me. Is it possible to separate the gaming discussion from the forum-based games ?

Really, we are ? Then the situation of sumo outside Japan is desperate.

Run for cover. That does not look so good, considering the results from last year.

Maybe this is only a rumor ? Hakuho was 8/7, 9/6 und now 13/2. That makes 30. Even a zensho yusho should not be enough. Furthermore, we have enough Ozeki and the popularity of sumo will benefit from a long struggle of Hakuho becoming Ozeki. Once he is Ozeki, people a loosing interest as long as he has no chance of becoming Yokuzuna (which will take a few more years)

Arent you still missing rotosumo ?

ok, thanks. Actually, i suspected this, but i did not expect that rikishi would do this.

What is rubber tubing ?

It is more the signature.

I just bought an Asashoryu t-shirt and compared the kanji with those on a Banzuke. They looked completely different (but they are the same, no doubt). I for myself have troubles reading my own handwriting and i use only 70 or 80 characters (small and big). Then i notice, that there are only 3 Kanjis, while in the banzuke there are 5. Where does this difference come from ?