Seki-Toto/Quad/Oracle/Fantasy Sumo banzuke for Nagoya 2017 (+ invitation to play!)

[Asashosakari 20,310]

Seki-Toto (play):

If a Choshu-yuki yusho wasn't enough evidence already, the wacky Natsu basho was also borne out in the divisional results, where juryo outscored the top division by more than half a win. Oddly enough (or perhaps not), things mirrored the Quad results with good scores in the top half of makuuchi and the bottom half of juryo and below, and not so great results in between.

That forced me to deviate from my already rather permissive banzuke-making style by being even more generous to a few kachikoshi from juryo, as the standard approach led to an M10-15 area that was just too much at odds with the rest of the banzuke (especially in the two 7-8's down there, who would have moved up rather than down). That section turned into quite the puzzle job, but I think the pieces now fit as well as they ever will.

Anyway... Yokozuna Norizo had another average basho, scoring his 3rd 8-7 record in the last 12 months (the other scores were 11, 5 and 9). I'd raise an eyebrow at the mediocrity of it all, but it's not like we have a host of players who are more consistent than that right now. Ozeki Gurowake had a basho to remember - unfortunately, it'll be remembered for all the wrong reasons as he went 2-13.  Already kadoban following a 6-9 in January and kosho in March, he now finds himself downed to sekiwake. Best of luck in the repromotion opportunity!

Shin-ozeki Susanoo did much better and scored 10 wins, while ScreechingOwl posted his 3rd straight KK since re-ascending to the ozeki rank, albeit only an 8-7 this time. Randomitsuki was up for repromotion in May, but his 7-8 fell well short of the 10-win target. (For those scoring at home, yes, that does mean we've entirely turned over the ozeki squad in the last 5 tournaments, and only ScreechingOwl's immediate return last November has saved us from not even having two ozeki right now.)

Outside of Randomitsuki only Profomisakari was reasonably close to an ozeki promotion before Natsu, having entered the basho with 20 wins, but he went just 8-7 giving him 19 in the latest two tournaments now, so his chances of making it have decreased. Pandaazuma takes over the sekiwake top spot for Nagoya following 10 wins, which also leaves him at 19 and with the same fighting chance for promotion. (Truth be told, if I had known what a mess the ozeki rank was going to turn into, I might have promoted him 12 months ago after his just-short 10/10/11 run...always annoying when one of the most consistent players remains at sekiwake because the stars just haven't quite aligned. Gimme 12 this time to seal the deal, will ya?)

Enough babbling, here's the new banzuke. 

Norizo (Ye 8-7)             Y    -
Susanoo (O2w 10-4-1)        O    ScreechingOwl (O1e 8-7)
Pandaazuma (S1e 10-5)       S1   Profomisakari (S3e 8-7)
Gurowake (O1w 2-13)         S2   Konosato (S1w kosho)
Andoreasu (K1e 8-7)         K1   Kitakachiyama (K2w 8-7)
Choshu-yuki (M6e 12-3)      K2   DeRosa (M2w 9-6)
-                           K3   Randomitsuki (S2w 7-8)

Taka (M4e 9-5-1)            M1   Flohru (M2e 8-6-1)
Kaiomitsuki (M4w 9-6)       M2   Fujisan (M3e 8-7)
Tainosen (M1e kosho)        M3   Jakusotsu (M12w 12-3)
Sebunshu (M9e 10-5)         M4   Andonishiki (S2e 5-9-1)
Toonoryu (M7w 9-6)          M5   Bill (M7e 8-7)
Mmikasazuma (K1w 5-9-1)     M6   Unkonoyama (M9w 9-6)
Kaiowaka (M8w 8-7)          M7   Ganzohnesushi (M11e 9-6)
Gaijingai (M3w 6-9)         M8   Asashosakari (M1w 5-10)
Kintamayama (M8e 7-8)       M9   Kuroimori (J1w 10-5)
Chishafuwaku (J2w 9-6)      M10  Kotononami (M5e 4-11)
Damimonay (J2e 8-7)         M11  Haidouzo (M6w 4-11)
Metzinowaka (M10w 6-9)      M12  Terarno (J5e 9-6)
Hakajusakari (M10e 5-8-2)   M13  Herritarooo (M12e 6-9)
Iepii (M13w 7-8)            M14  Umigame (J8w 10-5)
Anjoboshi (J9e 10-5)        M15  Gernobono (J9w 10-5)

Tenshinhan (J7e 9-6)        J1   Rowitoro (M15w 7-6-2)
GONZABUROW (J5w 8-7)        J2   Andrasoyamawaka (J8e 9-6)
Saruyama (M14e 6-6-3)       J3   Fukurou (Ms1e 12-3)
Takanorappa (M13e 5-10)     J4   Frinkanohana (M14w 5-10)
Benihana (M15e 5-10)        J5   Sokkenaiyama (M5w 0-0-15)
Gawasukotto (J3w 6-9)       J6   Nantonoyama (J6w kosho)
Sukubidubidu (J6e 7-8)      J7   Hana-ichi (J4e 6-9)
Onakaderu (J10w 8-6-1)      J8   Takayumi (J4w 6-7-2)
Chankoyama (J13e 9-6)       J9   Ahokaina (J11w 8-6-1)
Chisaiyama (J7w 7-8)        J10  Kitsune (Ms4e 11-4)
Neko (J3e 4-7-4)            J11  Smoczayama (M11w 0-0-15)
Getayukata (J11e kosho)     J12  Ketsukai (J14e 8-7)
Gaanaa (J10e 7-8)           J13  Holleshoryu (J14w 8-7)
Feginowaka (J1e 2-1-12)     J14  Mariohana (J13w 7-8)

Dan Koloff (J12e 6-9)       Ms1  Achiyama (J12w 6-7-2)
Suwihuto (Ms3e 7-5-3)       Ms2  Ulishimaru (Ms3w 7-7-1)
Tsuchinoninjin (Ms6e 7-8)   Ms3  Sakura (NR 8-7)
Konizan (Ms1w 4-10-1)       Ms4  Gansekiiwa (Ms5w 5-10)
Sherlockiama (Ms2w 3-12)    Ms5  Takashidodo (Ms9w 6-4-5)
Mukanibaru (Ms5e 3-7-5)     Ms6  Takanokaze (Ms6w kosho)
Kumojin (NR 5-10)           Ms7  Bunijiman (Ms2e 0-0-15)
Aome (Ms4w 0-0-15)          Ms8  Jejima (Ms10e 2-12-1)
Kitanoumi II (Ms8w 0-0-15)  Ms9  Wolfgangho (Ms9e 0-0-15)

Edited July 7, 2017 by Asashosakari

[Asashosakari 20,310]

Seki-Quadrumvirate (play):

As mentioned earlier and alluded to above, the Natsu Quad results defied easy banzukefication thanks to a massive results gap in the middle of the rankings. As I'm a firm believer that score adjustments should only happen to make the banzuke work better, not just to make the scores look prettier, I ended up not giving out the extra win. The overall win average of 45.5% was practically identical to the March results anyway, and those didn't get adjusted either, so...

Ozeki Gurowake, who had been on the verge of demotion six months ago, has now cleared his name completely thanks to his second 9-6 record (with a kosho in between). And he won't have to hold down the fort at the second-highest rank alone anymore as freshly demoted ScreechingOwl came through in the biggest way possible, scoring the Natsu yusho with the tournament's only 11-4 record. Congrats on the immediate ozeki return! As provided for in the rules, this outstanding result means that ScreechingOwl will get to start over with a completely clean slate, rather than with one kadoban point. (Interestingly, the only previous ozeki to successfully return right away also did with such a strong record; Tosahayate had a 13-2 yusho-doten in Nagoya 2013, which was worth 11 adjusted wins at the time. All others failed to reach 10 wins.)

The second-best result of the basho was also provided by a sekiwake with Norizo's 10-5 score, though that wasn't good enough to earn a promotion as well due to only 17 wins in the previous pair of tournaments. He's at 19 wins now and normally needs another 10-5 to reach the 29-win expected mark and move up, but a 9-6 may be looked at favourably - there are no incremental score adjustments for the overall banzuke-making, but the latest two tournaments have both played rather tough and Norizo technically deserves nearly a full extra win from them (+0.3 for Haru, +0.6 for Natsu, relative to the makuuchi scoring). Of course, it's possible that Nagoya will swing the other way, so a "cheap" 9-6 in a high-scoring tournament won't cut it.

4 of the 8 S/K players had sizable makekoshi with 6 wins or fewer and none of the maegashira-joi had results that were good enough to force their way in, so the sanyaku ranks have been cut yet again (from 9 to 6) and even that required a slightly lucky promotion just to fill out the last spot. The good news is that the three extra maegashira slots helped resolve the mess further down from M13 onward where, effectively, all scores are in fact treated as +1 win even if not officially so. (Though the 7-8's received a reduced boost compared to the real KKs.)

Anyway, here's the new banzuke with the neatest sanyaku alignment possible, a throwback to the 19th century if you will.

Gurowake (Oe 9-6)          O    ScreechingOwl (S2w 11-4)
Norizo (S1e 10-5)          S    Choshu-yuki (K1w 8-7)
Haidouzo (K2w 8-7)         K    Ganzohnesushi (M2w 8-7)

Susanoo (M3e 8-5-2)        M1   Taka (K1e 6-9)
Jejima (M4e 8-7)           M2   Konosato (M1w kosho)
Kitakachiyama (K2e 6-9)    M3   Pandaazuma (M5e 8-7)
Kotononami (M1e 7-8)       M4   Gaijingai (K3e 6-9)
Asashosakari (M2e 7-8)     M5   Flohru (M6w 8-6-1)
Achiyama (M9e 9-5-1)       M6   DeRosa (S1w 4-11)
Kuroimori (M4w 7-8)        M7   Hironoumi (M11e 8-7)
Kaiowaka (M7w 7-8)         M8   Gernobono (M3w 5-10)
GONZABUROW (M6e 6-9)       M9   Sebunshu (M8w 7-8)
Andoreasu (M13e 8-7)       M10  Chocshoporyu (J1e 10-5)
Randomitsuki (M9w 7-8)     M11  Getayukata (M11w kosho)
Terarno (M17e 9-6)         M12  chishafuwaku (M10w 7-7-1)
Andonishiki (M5w 3-10-2)   M13  Metzinowaka (M8e 4-11)
Nomadwolf (M12w 6-8-1)     M14  Bill (M13w 6-9)
Gibuten (M14e 6-9)         M15  Kyodaitimu (M12e 5-9-1)
Tainosen (M16e kosho)      M16  Mariohana (M10e 4-11)
Mmikasazuma (J9e 9-4-2)    M17  Kaiomitsuki (M16w 6-9)
Tenshinhan (J2w 7-8)       M18  Jakusotsu (M15w 5-10)

Fujisan (M14w 4-11)        J1   Profomisakari (J1w 6-9)
Senkoho (J2e 6-9)          J2   Aome (M7e 0-0-15)
Ekigozan (J3e kosho)       J3   Gansekiiwa (J12e 8-7)
Kasamatsuri (J4e 6-9)      J4   Hakase (J13e 8-7)
Nantonoyama (J8w 7-7-1)    J5   Fujiyama (J5e 6-9)
Anjoboshi (J14w 8-7)       J6   Holleshoryu (J3w 5-10)
Frinkanohana (J6w 6-9)     J7   Saruyama (J4w 5-7-3)
Konizan (Ms2e 8-6-1)       J8   Ruziklao (J7w 6-8-1)
Unkonoyama (J8e 6-8-1)     J9   Reijnguoshan (J6e 5-10)
Takanokaze (J10e kosho)    J10  Andrasoyamawaka2 (J12w 7-8)
Kurofuji (J9w 6-5-4)       J11  Ayagawa (J11w kosho)
Neko (J5w 4-6-5)           J12  Smoczayama (M15e 0-0-15)
suwihuto (J11e 6-9)        J13  Mukanibaru (J7e 4-6-5)
Shittakaburi (J14e kosho)  J14  Takanorappa (J13w 6-9)

kamogawa (Ms3w 7-8)        Ms1  Tsuchinoninjin (Ms4e 7-8)
Rowitoro (J10w 4-9-2)      Ms2  Chankoyama (Ms3e 5-9-1)
Kumojin (NR 6-9)           Ms3  Bunijiman (Ms1e 0-0-15)
wolfgangho (Ms1w 0-0-15)   Ms4  Arasan (Ms4w kosho)
Bolo (Ms5e kosho)          Ms5  Barat (Ms5w kosho)
Emiroo (Ms6e kosho)        Ms6  -

[Asashosakari 20,310]

A short history of Seki-Quad banzuke with fewer than 8 sanyaku (O/S/K numbers in brackets):

Haru 2005 (0/3/3)
Kyushu 2005 (0/3/3)
Nagoya 2006 (0/3/4)
Natsu 2007 (0/4/3)
Nagoya 2009 (1/2/3)
Natsu 2016 (3/2/2)

So, the first time with the 2/2/2 alignment. Also just the third time altogether with only the minimum 2 sekiwake and 2 komusubi - other than currently and in Natsu 2016 we've had that in Nagoya 2016 (4/2/2) as well.

Edited June 29, 2017 by Asashosakari

[Chisaiyama 11]

Appreciate the early appearance of the Toto and Quad banzukes, Asashosakari san, will the Fantasy banzuke be coming out soon as well?

[Asashosakari 20,310]

Seki-Oracle (play):

Yokozuna Pandaazuma proved unstoppable again and won the Natsu Oracle yusho (with a converted 15-0 score, no less), becoming the first player to win back-to-back since then-ozeki Hironoumi achieved the feat exactly three years ago. I hear he wants to go for the three-peat, and I'm not sure I would bet against it...

His west-side counterpart Norizo posted a very credible shared 4th place finish, good for converted 10 wins. These two may get company at the top rank in two months as ozeki ScreechingOwl was the runner-up player and could secure promotion with a similarly strong Nagoya result. Randomitsuki scored an 8-7 record, his 9th straight KK, while Gurowake went 7-8 for his first makekoshi since ascending to the ozeki rank 12 months ago, so he will be kadoban.

Choshu-yuki has had two very strong results of late - yusho-doten in March, shared 4th in May - and is in the running for promotion to ozeki this basho. Smoczayama was a contender last time, but missed his second straight basho.

The new banzuke, with a sanyaku count other than 10 for the first time since Nagoya 2015:

Pandaazuma (Ye 15-0)        Y    Norizo (Yw 10-5)
ScreechingOwl (O2e 12-3)    O1   Randomitsuki (O1e 8-7)
Gurowake (O1w 7-8)          O2   -
Choshu-yuki (S1e 10-5)      S    Nomadwolf (M3w 11-4)
Andrasoyamawaka2 (M2e 9-6)  K    Taka (M5e 9-6)

Konosato (M4w 8-7)          M1   Asashosakari (Ke 6-9)
Frinkanohana (M5w 8-7)      M2   chishafuwaku (M1w 7-8)
DeRosa (M6w 9-6)            M3   Ganzohnesushi (M3e 7-8)
Saruyama (M7w 9-6)          M4   Kitakachiyama (S1w 4-11)
Kaiomitsuki (M6e 8-7)       M5   Unkonoyama (Kw 4-11)
Andoreasu (M13e 11-4)       M6   Flohru (M4e 6-9)
Bill (M8e 8-7)              M7   Senkoho (M2w 5-10)
Mmikasazuma (M1e 4-11)      M8   Sebunshu (M14e 10-5)
Akezuma (M12e 9-6)          M9   Metzinowaka (M11e 8-7)
Kuroimori (M7e 7-8)         M10  Mariohana (M8w 7-8)
Kotononami (M10e 7-8)       M11  Smoczayama (S2w 0-0-15)
Tenshinhan (M15e 8-7)       M12  Hironoumi (M12w kosho)
Seki Haruaki (M11w 7-8)     M13  Susanoo (M9w 6-9)
Takanorappa (J2w 11-4)      M14  Ruziklao (M14w kosho)
Suwihuto (J3e 11-4)         M15  Andonishiki (M10w 5-10)
Tsuchinoninjin (J5e 11-4)   M16  GONZABUROW (M13w 6-9)
Hakase (J1w 8-7)            M17  -

Holleshoryu (M16e 6-9)      J1   Pitinosato (M16w 6-9)
Torafujii (J4e 8-7)         J2   Profomisakari (M15w 5-10)
Sakura (J14w 12-3)          J3   Jejima (J10w 10-5)
Fujisan (J8w 9-6)           J4   Kaiowaka (J8e 8-7)
Anjoboshi (J2e 6-9)         J5   Shittakaburi (J5w kosho)
Tikozan (M9e 0-0-15)        J6   Ayagawa (J1e 5-10)
Nantonoyama (J3w 6-9)       J7   Bolo (J7e kosho)
Arasan (J7w kosho)          J8   Haidouzo (J6w 7-8)
Gaijingai (J6e 6-9)         J9   Gansekiiwa (J10e 7-8)
Kumojin (NR 8-7)            J10  Kurofuji (J9e 6-9)
futtokazan (NR 7-8)         J11  Emiroo (J11w kosho)
Barat (J12e kosho)          J12  Terarno (J11e 5-10)
Kasamatsuri (J12w 5-10)     J13  mukanibaru (J13w kosho)
Korinokoishi (J4w 0-0-15)   J14  Bunijiman (J9w 0-0-15)

[Asashosakari 20,310]

Fantasy Sumo (play):

Average wins by division:

Makuuchi  9.08 (34 KK,  6 MK; -1 win -> 28 KK, 12 MK; -2 wins -> 16 KK, 24 MK)
Juryo     9.19 (22 KK,  4 MK; -1 win -> 16 KK, 10 MK; -2 wins ->  9 KK, 17 MK)
Makushita 8.23 (51 KK, 33 MK; -1 win -> 40 KK, 44 MK, -2 wins -> 29 MK, 55 MK)

Overall   8.62

I usually try to take my adjustment cues from the KK/MK breakdown, which would (narrowly) indicate subtracting only 1 win in juryo, but with the 9.19 average score I'm finding it hard to justify treating 9 wins as a kachikoshi...

So, my first draft has been done with -2 in juryo, which works but looks a bit meh in some parts of the division - I'll try to see if there's a superior result to be had at -1, maybe with the 9-6 -> 8-7 players only receiving half the usual KK credit.

I ended up going for yet another option with the juryo division in the end: half KK credit but with minus 2 wins, so players with 9-6 -> 7-8 records were treated as neither KK nor MK, resulting in some moving up and others moving down a bit as needed. (Or to look at it another way, it's an implied adjustment of minus 1.5 wins, appropriate enough in between the -2 for makuuchi and -1 for makushita.) Eagle-eyed observers of my banzuke-making approach may wonder right now that the effect should be exactly the same as doing 9-6 -> 8-7 with half KK credit, so what's the difference? Answer: None really, but I'm much more comfortable with giving out small promotions to some 7-8 records, rather than any demotions at all for 8-7's.

Anyway... Ozeki Taka finished the Natsu tournament in 5th place of the overall competition and with a share of the second-best W-L record for makuuchi, and will be observed keenly for possible promotion to yokozuna this basho. Pandaazuma also had a credible record, but kuroimori went makekoshi and will be kadoban.

No promotions to the ozeki rank this time as the best sekiwake result was only an adjusted 8-7, but Hironoyama does have 20 combined wins with that now and will have an opportunity to move up after Nagoya. The west spot at the third-highest rank is taken by Toratorii who has already had a near-ozeki quality run of 10 / 9 / 9 wins, but unfortunately starting from M8 so he has only now arrived in contention territory. Altogether the sanyaku ranks were cut back from 11 to 10 spots again.

As always, first the "clean" banzuke with the various adjusted scores, then the original results behind the spoiler tag.

Taka (O1w 10-5)                  O1    Pandaazuma (O1e 9-6)
Kuroimori (O2e 7-8)              O2    -
Hironoyama (S2w 8-7)             S     Toratorii (K2e 9-6)
Chocshoporyu (K1e 8-7)           K1    Kotomikey (K2w 8-7)
Mike (M2e 9-6)                   K2    Randomitsuki (S1e 7-8)
-                                K3    Natsuki (M7e 10-5)

Ruziklao (K1w 7-8)               M1    Chisaiyama (M3e 8-7)
Susanoo (M5w 9-6)                M2    MussenoYama (M4e 8-7)
Achiyama (M4w 8-7)               M3    Iron Chef Kanoya (S1w 5-10)
Choshu-yuki (M1w 7-8)            M4    Metzinowaka (M3w kosho)
chishafuwaku (K3e 5-10)          M5    21grams (M9e 8-7)
Ganzohnesushi (M10e 8-7)         M6    Jejima (M6e 7-8)
Mariohana (M5e 6-9)              M7    Kotononami (M1e 4-11)
Danishido (M7w 7-8)              M8    Asashosakari (M8e 7-8)
Andoreasu (M2w 4-11)             M9    Amafan (J2w 10-5)
Holleshoryu (M15w 9-6)           M10   Konosato (M9w 7-8)
ScreechingOwl (M14w 8-7)         M11   Flohru (M10w 7-8)
Hironoumi (M8w 6-9)              M12   Sebunshu (J4w 10-5)
Norizo (M11w 7-8)                M13   Mmikasazuma (M12e 7-8)
Peraz (M12w 7-8)                 M14   Hayanami (J6w 10-5)
Kaiomitsuki (J1e 8-7)            M15   Seki Haruaki (M13w 7-8)
Tochinofuji (J3w 9-6)            M16   Ryukyuyama (J11w 12-3)

Motörfuji (M13e 6-9)             J1    Kitakachiyama (M11e 5-10)
nomadwolf (M14e 6-9)             J2    Feginowaka (M15e 6-9)
Fujisan (J5e 8-7)                J3    Gonzaburow (J2e 7-8)
Gibuten (J3e 7-8)                J4    Bayasaa (M16e 5-10)
Smoczayama (M6w 0-0-15)          J5    Bill (J10w 9-6)
Frinkanohana (J5w 7-8)           J6    Anjoboshi (J8e 7-8)
Musanofuji (J8w 7-8)             J7    Kaiowaka (J1w 4-11)
Haidouzo (J6e 6-9)               J8    Akezuma (J4e 5-10)
Ravlen (J9e kosho)               J9    Sherlockiama (J12w 8-7)
Takanosushi (J10e 7-8)           J10   Kurofuji (J7e 6-9)
Kotoedo (J7w 6-9)                J11   nageru (Ms4e 11-4)
Alishimaru (Ms2e 10-5)           J12   Unkonoyama (J14e 7-8)
Gaijingai (J11e 6-9)             J13   erieri (Ms2w 9-6)
Yeznik (J12e 6-9)                J14   Saryn (Ms6w 10-5)

Ves-Hana (J13w 6-9)              Ms1   Saruyama (Ms3w 8-7)
Arawaka (J13e 5-10)              Ms2   TruF. (Ms16w 13-2)
tatsukai (Ms5e 8-7)              Ms3   Chankoyama (Ms8e 9-6)
Dingoyama (Ms6e 8-7)             Ms4   Reijinguoshan (J14w 4-11)
Tenshinhan (Ms12e 10-5)          Ms5   Sushiyama (Ms10w 9-6)
sagi (Ms28w 14-1)                Ms6   canapayama (Ms10e 8-7)
Washi (Ms15w 10-5)               Ms7   Mogurayama (Ms3e 6-9)
Andonishiki (Ms1w 5-10)          Ms8   KikoCookiee (Ms4w 6-9)
fujiyama (Ms15e 9-6)             Ms9   wuli (Ms7w 7-8)
Yamashiro (Ms5w 6-9)             Ms10  SumOweN (Ms13w 8-7)
Seisset (Ms1e 4-11)              Ms11  Aome (J9w 0-0-15)
Takanorappa (Ms20e 10-5)         Ms12  Robiyama (Ms17w 9-6)
Antoryu (Ms16e 8-7)              Ms13  Roundeye (Ms12w kosho)
Taggrip (Ms13e kosho)            Ms14  Dairou (Ms19w 9-6)
Midoriyama (Ms9w 6-9)            Ms15  Senkoho (Ms11e 6-9)
SuperSteveZeki (Ms22e 9-6)       Ms16  Gurowake (Ms7e 4-11)
Hermanosato (Ms20w 8-7)          Ms17  Ketsukai (Ms27e 10-5)
Asashowyou (Ms18e kosho)         Ms18  Princess (Ms9e 4-11)
Hararudo (Ms14w 6-9)             Ms19  kishikaisei (Ms33w 11-4)
Mugiyama (Ms29e 10-5)            Ms20  shimodahito (Ms14e 5-10)
Sanchiyama (Ms21e kosho)         Ms21  Geishazakura (Ms17e 6-9)
Suwihuto (Ms27w 9-6)             Ms22  Megaturonu (Ms31e 10-5)
Motohageouryu (Ms26w 8-7)        Ms23  Wamahada (Ms11w 3-12)
mutekimaruman (Ms24e kosho)      Ms24  Terarno (Ms30e 9-6)
Gyozayama (Ms25e kosho)          Ms25  senban-kou (Ms18w 5-10)
Timutaku (Ms26e kosho)           Ms26  Brian DC (Ms21w 6-9)
FarewellMoose (Ms32w 9-6)        Ms27  Koinryuu (Ms25w 7-8)
Nekkonomiao (Ms8w 0-0-15)        Ms28  Osanshuo (Ms34e 9-6)
Carlos (Ms31w 8-7)               Ms29  OG mafia (Ms29w kosho)
Ama no Shiri (Ms35e 8-7)         Ms30  Kitanotake (Ms30w kosho)
Shokikogi (Ms38w 9-6)            Ms31  Ishigawa (Ms24w 5-10)
Fujiwara Hatsuharu (Ms22w 4-11)  Ms32  Tsuchinoninjin (Ms40e 8-7)
Januck (Ms34w 7-8)               Ms33  Alt (Ms33e 6-9)
Chanko (Ms28e 4-11)              Ms34  Yamamiaomiao (Ms36w 6-9)
traffic (Ms19e 0-0-15)           Ms35  Valley Wind (Ms35w kosho)
ReyDeRyukyu (New 10-5)           Ms36  YamaguchiFan (Ms43e 7-8)
Sashogatake (Ms37e kosho)        Ms37  Bunijiman (Ms23e 0-0-15)
Sokkenaiyama (Ms23w 0-0-15)      Ms38  RyuoAndKokkai2 (Ms45e 7-8)
Ichigohime (Ms39e kosho)         Ms39  MackTheKnife (Ms39w kosho)
PawnSums (New 9-6)               Ms40  Matagidan (New 9-6)
Ring Master (Ms41e kosho)        Ms41  War Rhino (New 9-6)
askel (Ms42e kosho)              Ms42  Thoralee (New 9-6)
Masaki (Ms48e 7-8)               Ms43  N.Munkhbat (Ms43w kosho)
Mendesufuji (Ms44e kosho)        Ms44  hawk13 (Ms44w kosho)
Asa (Ms50w 7-8)                  Ms45  Monkey (Ms36e 2-13)
Sumisu (Ms46e kosho)             Ms46  Doitsuyama (Ms32e 0-0-15*)
Jaxus (New 7-8)                  Ms47  Ishikawa (New 7-8)
Harukoksan (New 7-8)             Ms48  Andersonato (Ms48w kosho)
Hansan (New 7-8)                 Ms49  Rasuto (Ms49w kosho)
Commander Fabulous (Ms49e 5-10)  Ms50  frank-san (Ms53w 6-9)
Chan-man (New 6-9)               Ms51  Kumojin (New 6-9)
mukanibaru (Ms52e kosho)         Ms52  Bears (Ms37w 0-0-15)
Matagiyama (Ms38e 0-0-15*)       Ms53  Jro59 (Ms55w 5-10)
Wolfman5018 (Ms56w 5-10)         Ms54  Kumanoyama (New 5-10)
Roberval (Ms55e kosho)           Ms55  Super Duper Sumo (New 5-10)
Sumoloko (Ms47e 2-13)            Ms56  Houto (Ms40w 0-0-15*)
Acheron (Ms41w 0-0-15)           Ms57  Niitakayama (Ms45w 1-14)
Kossorikyojin (Ms42w 0-0-15)     Ms58  Wolfie (New 4-11)
Toyota Teriyaki (New 4-11)       Ms59  Taiga (Ms46w 0-0-15)
jtgjohn (Ms51w 0-0-15)           Ms60  Rhyen (Ms53e 0-0-15)

Taka (O1w 11-4 -> 10-5)             O1    Pandaazuma (O1e 10-5 -> 9-6)
Kuroimori (O2e 8-7 -> 7-8)          O2    -
Hironoyama (S2w 10-5 -> 8-7)        S     Toratorii (K2e 11-4 -> 9-6)
Chocshoporyu (K1e 10-5 -> 8-7)      K1    Kotomikey (K2w 10-5 -> 8-7)
Mike (M2e 11-4 -> 9-6)              K2    Randomitsuki (S1e 9-6 -> 7-8)
-                                   K3    Natsuki (M7e 12-3 -> 10-5)

Ruziklao (K1w 9-6 -> 7-8)           M1    Chisaiyama (M3e 10-5 -> 8-7)
Susanoo (M5w 11-4 -> 9-6)           M2    MussenoYama (M4e 10-5 -> 8-7)
Achiyama (M4w 10-5 -> 8-7)          M3    Iron Chef Kanoya (S1w 7-8 -> 5-10)
Choshu-yuki (M1w 9-6 -> 7-8)        M4    Metzinowaka (M3w kosho)
chishafuwaku (K3e 7-8 -> 5-10)      M5    21grams (M9e 10-5 -> 8-7)
Ganzohnesushi (M10e 10-5 -> 8-7)    M6    Jejima (M6e 9-6 -> 7-8)
Mariohana (M5e 8-7 -> 6-9)          M7    Kotononami (M1e 6-9 -> 4-11)
Danishido (M7w 9-6 -> 7-8)          M8    Asashosakari (M8e 9-6 -> 7-8)
Andoreasu (M2w 6-9 -> 4-11)         M9    Amafan (J2w 12-3 -> 10-5)
Holleshoryu (M15w 11-4 -> 9-6)      M10   Konosato (M9w 9-6 -> 7-8)
ScreechingOwl (M14w 10-5 -> 8-7)    M11   Flohru (M10w 9-6 -> 7-8)
Hironoumi (M8w 8-7 -> 6-9)          M12   Sebunshu (J4w 12-3 -> 10-5)
Norizo (M11w 9-6 -> 7-8)            M13   Mmikasazuma (M12e 9-6 -> 7-8)
Peraz (M12w 9-6 -> 7-8)             M14   Hayanami (J6w 12-3 -> 10-5)
Kaiomitsuki (J1e 10-5 -> 8-7)       M15   Seki Haruaki (M13w 9-6 -> 7-8)
Tochinofuji (J3w 11-4 -> 9-6)       M16   Ryukyuyama (J11w 14-1 -> 12-3)

Motörfuji (M13e 8-7 -> 6-9)         J1    Kitakachiyama (M11e 7-8 -> 5-10)
nomadwolf (M14e 8-7 -> 6-9)         J2    Feginowaka (M15e 8-7 -> 6-9)
Fujisan (J5e 10-5 -> 8-7)           J3    Gonzaburow (J2e 9-6 -> 7-8)
Gibuten (J3e 9-6 -> 7-8)            J4    Bayasaa (M16e 7-8 -> 5-10)
Smoczayama (M6w 0-0-15)             J5    Bill (J10w 11-4 -> 9-6)
Frinkanohana (J5w 9-6 -> 7-8)       J6    Anjoboshi (J8e 9-6 -> 7-8)
Musanofuji (J8w 9-6 -> 7-8)         J7    Kaiowaka (J1w 6-9 -> 4-11)
Haidouzo (J6e 8-7 -> 6-9)           J8    Akezuma (J4e 7-8 -> 5-10)
Ravlen (J9e kosho)                  J9    Sherlockiama (J12w 10-5 -> 8-7)
Takanosushi (J10e 9-6 -> 7-8)       J10   Kurofuji (J7e 8-7 -> 6-9)
Kotoedo (J7w 8-7 -> 6-9)            J11   nageru (Ms4e 12-3 -> 11-4)
Alishimaru (Ms2e 11-4 -> 10-5)      J12   Unkonoyama (J14e 9-6 -> 7-8)
Gaijingai (J11e 8-7 -> 6-9)         J13   erieri (Ms2w 10-5 -> 9-6)
Yeznik (J12e 8-7 -> 6-9)            J14   Saryn (Ms6w 11-4 -> 10-5)

Ves-Hana (J13w 8-7 -> 6-9)          Ms1   Saruyama (Ms3w 9-6 -> 8-7)
Arawaka (J13e 7-8 -> 5-10)          Ms2   TruF. (Ms16w 14-1 -> 13-2)
tatsukai (Ms5e 9-6 -> 8-7)          Ms3   Chankoyama (Ms8e 10-5 -> 9-6)
Dingoyama (Ms6e 9-6 -> 8-7)         Ms4   Reijinguoshan (J14w 6-9 -> 4-11)
Tenshinhan (Ms12e 11-4 -> 10-5)     Ms5   Sushiyama (Ms10w 10-5 -> 9-6)
sagi (Ms28w 15-0 -> 14-1)           Ms6   canapayama (Ms10e 9-6 -> 8-7)
Washi (Ms15w 11-4 -> 10-5)          Ms7   Mogurayama (Ms3e 7-8 -> 6-9)
Andonishiki (Ms1w 6-9 -> 5-10)      Ms8   KikoCookiee (Ms4w 7-8 -> 6-9)
fujiyama (Ms15e 10-5 -> 9-6)        Ms9   wuli (Ms7w 8-7 -> 7-8)
Yamashiro (Ms5w 7-8 -> 6-9)         Ms10  SumOweN (Ms13w 9-6 -> 8-7)
Seisset (Ms1e 5-10 -> 4-11)         Ms11  Aome (J9w 0-0-15)
Takanorappa (Ms20e 11-4 -> 10-5)    Ms12  Robiyama (Ms17w 10-5 -> 9-6)
Antoryu (Ms16e 9-6 -> 8-7)          Ms13  Roundeye (Ms12w kosho)
Taggrip (Ms13e kosho)               Ms14  Dairou (Ms19w 10-5 -> 9-6)
Midoriyama (Ms9w 7-8 -> 6-9)        Ms15  Senkoho (Ms11e 7-8 -> 6-9)
SuperSteveZeki (Ms22e 10-5 -> 9-6)  Ms16  Gurowake (Ms7e 5-10 -> 4-11)
Hermanosato (Ms20w 9-6 -> 8-7)      Ms17  Ketsukai (Ms27e 11-4 -> 10-5)
Asashowyou (Ms18e kosho)            Ms18  Princess (Ms9e 5-10 -> 4-11)
Hararudo (Ms14w 7-8 -> 6-9)         Ms19  kishikaisei (Ms33w 12-3 -> 11-4)
Mugiyama (Ms29e 11-4 -> 10-5)       Ms20  shimodahito (Ms14e 6-9 -> 5-10)
Sanchiyama (Ms21e kosho)            Ms21  Geishazakura (Ms17e 7-8 -> 6-9)
Suwihuto (Ms27w 10-5 -> 9-6)        Ms22  Megaturonu (Ms31e 11-4 -> 10-5)
Motohageouryu (Ms26w 9-6 -> 8-7)    Ms23  Wamahada (Ms11w 4-11 -> 3-12)
mutekimaruman (Ms24e kosho)         Ms24  Terarno (Ms30e 10-5 -> 9-6)
Gyozayama (Ms25e kosho)             Ms25  senban-kou (Ms18w 6-9 -> 5-10)
Timutaku (Ms26e kosho)              Ms26  Brian DC (Ms21w 7-8 -> 6-9)
FarewellMoose (Ms32w 10-5 -> 9-6)   Ms27  Koinryuu (Ms25w 8-7 -> 7-8)
Nekkonomiao (Ms8w 0-0-15)           Ms28  Osanshuo (Ms34e 10-5 -> 9-6)
Carlos (Ms31w 9-6 -> 8-7)           Ms29  OG mafia (Ms29w kosho)
Ama no Shiri (Ms35e 9-6 -> 8-7)     Ms30  Kitanotake (Ms30w kosho)
Shokikogi (Ms38w 10-5 -> 9-6)       Ms31  Ishigawa (Ms24w 6-9 -> 5-10)
F. Hatsuharu (Ms22w 5-10 -> 4-11)   Ms32  Tsuchinoninjin (Ms40e 9-6 -> 8-7)
Januck (Ms34w 8-7 -> 7-8)           Ms33  Alt (Ms33e 7-8 -> 6-9)
Chanko (Ms28e 5-10 -> 4-11)         Ms34  Yamamiaomiao (Ms36w 7-8 -> 6-9)
traffic (Ms19e 0-0-15)              Ms35  Valley Wind (Ms35w kosho)
ReyDeRyukyu (New 11-4 -> 10-5)      Ms36  YamaguchiFan (Ms43e 8-7 -> 7-8)
Sashogatake (Ms37e kosho)           Ms37  Bunijiman (Ms23e 0-0-15)
Sokkenaiyama (Ms23w 0-0-15)         Ms38  RyuoAndKokkai2 (Ms45e 8-7 -> 7-8)
Ichigohime (Ms39e kosho)            Ms39  MackTheKnife (Ms39w kosho)
PawnSums (New 10-5 -> 9-6)          Ms40  Matagidan (New 10-5 -> 9-6)
Ring Master (Ms41e kosho)           Ms41  War Rhino (New 10-5 -> 9-6)
askel (Ms42e kosho)                 Ms42  Thoralee (New 10-5 -> 9-6)
Masaki (Ms48e 8-7 -> 7-8)           Ms43  N.Munkhbat (Ms43w kosho)
Mendesufuji (Ms44e kosho)           Ms44  hawk13 (Ms44w kosho)
Asa (Ms50w 8-7 -> 7-8)              Ms45  Monkey (Ms36e 3-12 -> 2-13)
Sumisu (Ms46e kosho)                Ms46  Doitsuyama (Ms32e 0-0-15*)
Jaxus (New 8-7 -> 7-8)              Ms47  Ishikawa (New 8-7 -> 7-8)
Harukoksan (New 8-7 -> 7-8)         Ms48  Andersonato (Ms48w kosho)
Hansan (New 8-7 -> 7-8)             Ms49  Rasuto (Ms49w kosho)
Comm. Fabulous (Ms49e 6-9 -> 5-10)  Ms50  frank-san (Ms53w 7-8 -> 6-9)
Chan-man (New 7-8 -> 6-9)           Ms51  Kumojin (New 7-8 -> 6-9)
mukanibaru (Ms52e kosho)            Ms52  Bears (Ms37w 0-0-15)
Matagiyama (Ms38e 0-0-15*)          Ms53  Jro59 (Ms55w 6-9 -> 5-10)
Wolfman5018 (Ms56w 6-9 -> 5-10)     Ms54  Kumanoyama (New 6-9 -> 5-10)
Roberval (Ms55e kosho)              Ms55  Super Duper Sumo (New 6-9 -> 5-10)
Sumoloko (Ms47e 3-12 -> 2-13)       Ms56  Houto (Ms40w 0-0-15*)
Acheron (Ms41w 0-0-15)              Ms57  Niitakayama (Ms45w 2-13 -> 1-14)
Kossorikyojin (Ms42w 0-0-15)        Ms58  Wolfie (New 5-10 -> 4-11)
Toyota Teriyaki (New 5-10 -> 4-11)  Ms59  Taiga (Ms46w 0-0-15)
jtgjohn (Ms51w 0-0-15)              Ms60  Rhyen (Ms53e 0-0-15)

[Asashosakari 20,310]

Fun with volatile scoring:

Chocshoporyu was demoted from sekiwake to komusubi 8 months ago. He has scored four different win-loss results since then, but...

2016.11 K2w 7-8 -> 8-7
2017.01 K1e 9-6 -> 8-7
2017.03 K1e 6-9 -> 8-7
2017.05 K1e 10-5 -> 8-7
 

[Pandaazuma 1,310]

Thanks as always for the hard work.  And I extend that to everyone who volunteers their time and skills to make the games possible.

[Asashosakari 20,310]

On 27.6.2017 at 23:59, Asashosakari said:

Seki-Toto (play) - predict the winners of all sekitori bouts each day and score wins by being above-average

Seki-Quadrumvirate (play) - pick four different rikishi each day and get at least three winners

Seki-Oracle (play) - predict the final records of all 70 sekitori ahead of the basho and get as close as possible

Fantasy Sumo (play) - pick makuuchi rikishi from 9 pre-determined groups and score points via their results

Invitation to play! 

 

[Asashosakari 20,310]

The FS yusho was won by Danishido in a very close decision over Kitakachiyama who had the same total points but lost out in the bracket tiebreaker on slot #7. A quintet of players followed at a two-point deficit. All in all the top 10 results were only 5 points apart, a highly competitive edition of the game indeed.

Only 122 players this basho, very low even by recent standards. The participation levels were having their usual summer lull in all the games, but I did wonder if it also had an effect that the game front page never mentioned that Nagoya entries were open. I'll try to keep an eye on that next time.

Best-possible lineup (wins/points and number of selections):

3/22 Hakuho (100)
1/9 Takayasu (57)
2/14 Mitakeumi (60)
2/12 Tochinoshin (32) [also 2/11 Hokutofuji (25)]
1/12 Tochiozan (52)
2/18 Aoiyama (44)
1/10 Shohozan (19) / Chiyotairyu (11)
1/9 Takarafuji (67)
1/9 Chiyomaru (13)
------------
14/115 (winner's lineup 12/104, runner-up's lineup 13/104)

The top-scoring rikishi were largely the plurality or even majority picks, so lots of good scores this basho. The two leaders' biggest miss was both of them picking Onosho instead of Aoiyama. Four of the five third-place finishers did have Aoiyama but blundered into other sub-optimal picks and weren't able to profit from that sizable 8-point advantage.

Worst-possible lineup:

0/2 Kisenosato (9) / Kakuryu (5)
0/1 Terunofuji (52)
0/7 Kotoshogiku (12)
0/2 Endo (31)
0/5 Chiyoshoma (18) / Kagayaki (8)
0/5 Daieisho (13)
0/4 Tokushoryu (11)
0/6 Sokokurai (18)
0/3 Gagamaru (7)
------------
0/35 (red lantern lineup: 3/47)

Rather low selection rates, Terunofuji aside, although these worst picks obscure the fact that Okinoumi (0/5 x 63 in bracket 7) and Kotoyuki (0/4 x 48 in bracket 9) also killed a lot of squads with only marginally greater benefit in points. Kotoshogiku was the only 0-win choice in his section, the rest all offered at least two traps.

Average wins by division:

Makuuchi  9.56 (29 KK,  7 MK; -1 win -> 25 KK, 11 MK; -2 wins -> 19 KK, 17 MK)
Juryo     9.26 (15 KK,  4 MK; -1 win -> 12 KK,  7 MK; -2 wins ->  8 KK, 11 MK)
Makushita 8.34 (47 KK, 20 MK; -1 win -> 39 KK, 28 MK, -2 wins -> 26 MK, 41 MK)

Overall   8.84

Even higher scoring than last basho's 8.62, and the two sekitori divisions way out in front again, as usual when many favoured rikishi do well. Consequently there's no getting around the -2 adjustment for makuuchi and juryo, while makushita will also be getting adjusted at -1 again.

In fact, I kinda wish I could adjust several parts of makushita separately, as the top 20 ranks put up a sekitori-level result of 9.33 wins... (Ms21-40 averaged 8.06, Ms41-Ms60 plus the newcomers only 7.14.) Other than a bit of a crunch down to ~Ms6 things seem to be working out okay though, albeit with pretty large demotions for the unfortunate few who went MK in that area.

Final standings (banzuke wins in brackets):

1 Danishido 104 (12+2)
2 Kitakachiyama 104 (13+1)
3 Taka 102 (12)
4 Konosato 102 (11)
5 Susanoo 102 (12)
6 Asashosakari 102 (12)
7 Always Exciting Ura 102 (12)
8 Reijinguoshan 101 (12)
9 Norizo 100 (11)
10 Gibuten 99 (11)
11 GONZABUROW 98 (10)
12 Hararudo 98 (10)
13 Bill 98 (11)
14 Saruyama 98 (10)
15 Matagidan 98 (10)
16 Gurowake 98 (10)
17 Kurofuji 98 (11)
18 Ruziklao 97 (11)
19 nageru 97 (11)
20 Kasei 97 (12)
21 Flohru 96 (11)
22 Natsuki 96 (11)
23 Roundeye 96 (11)
24 Chocshoporyu 96 (11)
25 Kotononami 96 (11)
26 Sushiyama 95 (11)
27 Suwihuto 95 (10)
28 kishikaisei 95 (11)
29 Metzinowaka 94 (11)
30 Masaki 94 (10)
31 Hermanosato 94 (11)
32 pandaazuma 93 (11)
33 Chisaiyama 93 (11)
34 sagi 93 (10)
35 Dingoyama 93 (10)
36 Brian DC 93 (9)
37 Kung Fu Pandas 93 (9)
38 Holleshoryu 92 (11)
39 nomadwolf 92 (10)
40 Saryn 92 (10)
41 wuli 92 (11)
42 HIRONOYAMA 91 (9)
43 chishafuwaku 91 (10)
44 Ketsukai 90 (10)
45 Kotomikey 90 (10)
46 Toratorii 90 (10)
47 Ama no Shiri 90 (10)
48 Wamahada 90 (10)
49 Yamashiro 90 (10)
50 Chankoyama 90 (10)
51 Ichigohime 90 (10)
52 Yeznik 89 (9)
53 Super Duper Sumo 89 (11)
54 hunter beagle 89 (9)
55 KikkoCookie 88 (9)
56 Choshu-yuki 87 (9)
57 Ravlen 87 (9)
58 Achiyama 87 (9)
59 tatsukai 87 (10)
60 Tenshinhan 87 (10)
61 mukanibaru 87 (10)
62 Takanorappa 86 (9)
63 Ganzohnesushi 86 (9)
64 Hironoumi 86 (10)
65 Sebunshu 86 (9)
66 MussenoYama 86 (8)
67 Shokikogi 86 (9)
68 Kumanoyama 86 (8)
69 Frinkanohana 85 (8)
70 alishimaru 85 (9)
71 Takanosushi 85 (9)
72 canapayama 85 (9)
73 Senkoho 85 (9)
74 Seisset 84 (9)
75 Ishigawa 84 (8)
76 antoryu 83 (9)
77 Kaiomitsuki 82 (9)
78 Haidouzo 82 (8)
79 Hayanami 82 (8)
80 Fujisan 81 (7)
81 mogurayama 81 (8)
82 Rick 81 (7)
83 SenMokuTosshin 81 (8)
84 Seki Haruaki 80 (8)
85 Sherlockiama 80 (7)
86 Washi 80 (9)
87 shimodahito 80 (9)
88 Chanko 79 (7)
89 Unkonoyama 79 (8)
90 Feginowaka 78 (7)
91 Sumoloko 78 (6)
92 Amafan 78 (8)
93 andonishiki 78 (7)
94 Princess 77 (8)
95 Gyozayama 77 (9)
96 Jejima 75 (7)
97 SumOweN 75 (8)
98 Ryukyuyama 75 (7)
99 Fujiwara Hatsuharu 75 (8)
100 Rasuto 74 (7)
101 ScreechingOwl 74 (7)
102 Motörfuji 74 (7)
103 Kuroimori 74 (7)
104 Januck 74 (7)
105 Terarno 74 (8)
106 Peraz 73 (7)
107 N.Munkhbat 73 (7)
108 Andoreasu 70 (6)
109 Valley Wind 69 (6)
110 Niitakayama 66 (6)
111 Iron Chef Kanoya 66 (6)
112 Tsunohashi 66 (7)
113 Arawaka 65 (6)
114 Harukoksan 62 (3)
115 Thoralee 61 (4)
116 Midoriyama 60 (4)
117 Timutaku 56 (4)
118 Monkey 54 (4)
119 Geishazakura 54 (4)
120 War Rhino 53 (4)
121 Utsukushi 52 (3)
122 Bimyou 47 (3)