Asashosakari

Been catching up with some lower division proceedings...Day 7 jonidan teed up another pairing that needed to battle three times until the winner was determined: And in sandanme, a wild match between undefeated rikishi that had a little bit of everything, except any semblance of yotsu.

Yeah, there's nothing to fix here in general. Don't play games whose participation requirements aren't compatible with your real-life circumstances, it's that simple. There are more than enough to choose from to make anybody happy.

Long day for ex-Tosayutaka today, he had the fourth and the last (seventh) shift as part of his regular assignments, and took over in the first shift of the day for Edagawa. If they stick with the regular rotation and don't make any adjustments for Otowayama's lower seniority compared to Edagawa, he should be making his debut right in the head shimpan seat, in shift four during makushita, and then reappear in the second half of makuuchi in the timekeeper position.

Back on Day 4 down in sandanme, Kisenoumi and Ryuji managed to get called back to the dohyo for not just one, but two torinaoshi. If you're so inclined, feel free to watch the full 13 minutes in glorious and excruciating detail (I suggest comparing the shots of both rikishi after the first and second match in particular). Chapter timestamps have been added for the slightly impatient.

Former juryo Asanowaka just ended a 10-bout losing streak.

Onosho is out.

@Golynohana Terunofuji, Asanoyama and Myogiryu need to be marked as absent in Oracle when you have some time, please.

It happened in Aki 2020. The required query is with Bg, not Mz.

A random by-product of the research for the preceding post was the discovery of a unique pairing that I think has never been mentioned on the forum before. Back on Day 13 of Kyushu 2012, sandanme stalwart and occasional makushita visitor Hitachigo and too-soon retired prospect Takageppo met in (appropriately enough) sandanme with a zensho score on the line: 2012.11 13 Sd17e Takageppo 7-0 oshidashi Sd41e Hitachigo 6-1 Eight tournaments later, they faced off again on Day 13, this time in makushita, but...winless: 2014.03 13 Ms56e Takageppo 1-6 oshidashi Ms34w Hitachigo 0-7 (query for their full head-to-head history) At least back to 1989, the period for which we have full lower division match data, this matchup is the only one to have occurred both at 6-0 and at 0-6.

Interesting, I had no recollection of ever doing this before. I'd already started writing a more comprehensive answer, so might as well... In makuuchi and juryo it's not particularly rare. I only checked back to 2012, but that alone turned up 74 matches, so about one per basho on average. The current tournament is actually the one with the most such pairings during those 13 years, with five repeats from the final day of Nagoya. I can't really think of an elegant way to query that large-scale for the lower divisions*, so the best way without direct database access is probably to do it one basho at a time (which is indeed basically the same query I did two and a half years ago). Inami-Tokitenran was one of three repeats this basho, alongside Hayashiryu-Shimanishiki and Higonoryu-Koga. That was apparently high as well; I went back to the start of 2022 and the most common amount of lower-division repeat matches was one per basho, with occasional zeros or twos. [One thing I've consciously avoided is looking for matches that involved a mix of juryo and makushita ranks because that gets convoluted as hell, so there might be a few I've missed.] I tried to see if there was any precedent for Inami-Tokitenran specifically, i.e. a 6-0 match being repeated at the start of the next basho, and at least back to 2012 I couldn't find another one. (I did randomly run into the opposite, an 0-6 match being repeated, but that has probably happened a few more times.) I have an idea for a different approach to re-check back to 1989, but I'm not sure how much time that's going to take. * The sekitori check wasn't elegant either, but only involved a few thousand matches so that was easy to transfer to a spreadsheet.

Rikishi born on the same day who ended their careers with the same high rank: Fukudome & Tamanami - 1945/06/11, Makushita 11 Igarashi & Imamoto - 1955/07/17, Jonokuchi 10 Fukunosato & Kiyomidake - 1961/06/04, Juryo 13 Araya & Sebira - 1967/05/19, Jonokuchi 30 Three rikishi born on the same day who all became sekitori: 1936/01/11 - Atagoyama (M3) & Oikawa (M10) & Wakamiyama (J15) [a fourth rikishi born that day only made it to sandanme] Other trios/quartets born on the same day who all reached at least makushita (this list may well be incomplete; there are birthdates missing for makushita-high rikishi active as late as 1966): 1941/08/01 - Tamaarashi (M4) & Akihikari (J3) & Naminoshio (Ms58) & Inano (Ms89) 1947/04/25 - Asahikuni (Ozeki) & Naruwaka (Ms32) & Fujinoyama (Ms46) 2003/08/22 - Hakuoho (M9+) & Wakanosho (Ms7+) & Ienoshima (Ms39+) (Posted in the hope that the active trio will make it to all-sekitori status...) The DB includes 23 more pairs of rikishi born on the same day who both became sekitori, besides the three already mentioned from 1936, 1941 and 1961: 1890/02/11 - Kotogaura (M1) & Setoyama (J2) 1902/05/04 - Kagamiiwa (Ozeki) & Tochinohana (J2) 1911/01/07 - Kasagiyama (Sekiwake) & Arakoma (J7) 1911/12/08 - Tominishiki (M7) & Ayanishiki (M11) 1914/03/25 - Otogaiwa (M15) & Asake (J3) 1918/01/11 - Ichiwatari (M18) & Sobuyama (J2) 1919/01/10 - Terukuni (Yokozuna) & Tokachiiwa (M1) 1919/05/20 - Orochigata (M1) & Oiwazan (M9) 1927/01/07 - Horyu (J5) & Kurodayama (J14) 1929/07/01 - Yasome (M16) & Kamanishiki (J18) 1934/07/27 - Tokitsunami (J4) & Asanishiki (J12) 1940/01/01 - Wakatenryu (M1) & Arakawa (J8) 1941/03/01 - Wakanami (Komusubi) & Tochitada (J9) 1941/08/13 - Makimoto (M12) & Aonoumi (J6) 1951/05/13 - Dewanohana (Sekiwake) & Kurosegawa (Komusubi) 1955/08/14 - Shishiho (M2) & Konuma (M9) 1960/12/06 - Hananoumi (Komusubi) & Kototsubaki (M3) 1967/09/15 - Komafudo (M13) & Daikiko (M15) [a third rikishi born that day didn't go beyond jonokuchi] 1973/08/18 - Gojoro (M3) & Kobo (M9) [a third rikishi born that day didn't go beyond jonidan] 1974/09/13 - Kyokutenho (Sekiwake) & Dewataira (J4) 1984/11/05 - Baruto (Ozeki) & Higonojo (J9) [amusingly, Higonojo's juryo debut came on the heels of Baruto's intai] 1984/11/16 - Tamawashi (Sekiwake+) & Toyohibiki (M2) 1997/05/13 - Takagenji (M10) & Takanofuji (J5) [twins] BTW, besides Hakuoho et al. there's another currently active trio, born on 2004/12/19 - Higonomaru & Tsuru & Mabuchi.

Apparently the first time since Kyushu 1995 (9/22/9 and 9/8/9). That one even without any absent rikishi.

No maezumo on the Day 3 schedule, so either no or just one returning banzuke-gai rikishi.

10 Hoshoryu 10 Kotozakura + Daiseizan + Wakaikari 12 Onosato 9 Hiradoumi - Kotoshoho + Wakatakakage + Onokatsu + Aonishiki - Higonoumi 8 Abi + Fujiseiun TB 13

Welcome to the penultimate LKS of the year! Here's your ballot for Aki basho: 1. Hoshoryu 16 [score?] 2. Kotozakura 15 [score?] 3. Daiseizan 10 4. Wakaikari 9* 5. Onosato 8* [score?] 6. Hiradoumi 5 [score?] 7. Kotoshoho 5 8. Wakatakakage 5 9. Onokatsu 5* 10. Aonishiki 5* 11. Higonoumi 5 12. Abi 4 [score?] 13. Fujiseiun 4 TB: [pick?] (* marks rikishi with no makekoshi since debut) The scoring and thus your game assignment: For sanyaku: Please predict an exact record for each rikishi. The target record will be calculated after the deadline and will be chosen so that it bisects the predictions as evenly as possible. The predictions will then be converted into + and - votes as usual; one point for each correct prediction. For lower-ranked rikishi: Please predict for each rikishi if he will finish KK or MK; one point for each correct prediction. (For clarification: If you're expecting an outright makekoshi for one of the sanyaku high-rankers, just predict MK, exact records are only needed on the kachikoshi side of things.) First tie-breaker: From among those 13 guys up there and the further 8 rikishi who are currently just shy of a 5-KK streak (6 'veterans' + 2 newcomers), please guess how many KK you expect in total. Your tie-breaker guess may be anything from 0 to 21. Only exactly correct guesses qualify at this tie-breaker stage. Note: Sanyaku count as correct for the tie-breaker if they achieve KK, they do not need to meet their target records. Next 12 tie-breakers if needed: Correctly predicted rikishi, one-by-one in ballot order, i.e. starting at Hoshoryu. Extra tie-breakers, should two or more players have entered identical ballots: Proximity of their tie-breaker guesses to the correct number, followed by proximity of their sanyaku rikishi guesses to the correct records (one-by-one in ballot order). Final tie-breaker: earliest entry. Note: Rikishi who show up on the before-shonichi kyujo list will be excluded from scoring (even if they end up joining the basho later), so it is not necessary to re-submit your entry if you picked such a rikishi as a KK; he will not count for points anyhow. You may, however, notify me if you'd like to reduce your tie-breaker guess by one point to compensate for the "missing" rikishi. Your position on the entry list (for final tie-breaker purposes) will be deemed unchanged in this special situation. Any other changes to a ballot will be considered a new entry, with correspondingly lower priority for the final tie-breaker. Deadline: Shonichi 2pm JST. ----- Simplified entry template: 1. Hoshoryu W-L 2. Kotozakura W-L 3. Daiseizan KKMK 4. Wakaikari KKMK 5. Onosato W-L 6. Hiradoumi W-L 7. Kotoshoho KKMK 8. Wakatakakage KKMK 9. Onokatsu KKMK 10. Aonishiki KKMK 11. Higonoumi KKMK 12. Abi W-L 13. Fujiseiun KKMK TB xx ----- Good luck!

Aki follow-up: The 11 guys who started Nagoya basho (in bold above) competed all the way through that tournament and are almost all in action again for Aki, the sole exception being Nishikiori in jonokuchi. Among the four who had been absent in Nagoya: Kenyu and Takabaho retired, Senshoho joined the basho in the middle (and finished 4-0-3) and is also active for Aki, while Raiho is kyujo again (and has now dropped to jonokuchi as well).

And with those 12 announced absences out of 34 ranked rikishi, Aki 2024 starts with the second-smallest number of active jonokuchi rikishi since we have full match data.

I was about to start researching that when my chosen method of querying the DB triggered a distinct feeling of "Haven't I done exactly this before?", and sure enough... Chiyootori is indeed the only under-30 addition since I made that list six years ago, although Kotoyuki came close by retiring 12 days after his 30th birthday. Other recent young intai rikishi who were kabu-eligible but didn't get one were Yutakayama (at 29), Terutsuyoshi (also at 29), and Ichinojo (a few weeks after turning 30).

According to his ja.wiki profile, Akinoshima took on his wife's surname Miyamoto 宮本 when they married in 1994, so it should probably be reflected on the DB.

From what I can tell this news didn't go beyond a single-digit amount of Japanese Twitter comments and one sparsely populated Reddit thread so far, and I'm not even sure if this is the right basho thread to post it in, nor am I certain that this is actually going to result in a dohyo appearance in the end, but... https://www.reddit.com/r/SumoMemes/comments/1f1xtb2/a_senior_university_student_mentored_by_paris/ Credit to the creator of that thread for much of the information. So apparently Tokyo Olympic gold medalist Aaron Wolf, OB of Tokai University's judo club (the club in Japan, from what I gather), went to Takadagawa-beya for one of those typical "star athlete from another sport tries sumo" visits back in April. A current member of the club, 4th year student Ryotaro Okada 岡田 綾太朗 went with him, in what - at the time - looked like him just tagging along for the experience. But a week ago, it turned out that Okada has seemingly made the decision to actually join Takadagawa when he graduates early next year. Videos of the original visit and last week's announcement (where it looks as though Okada has actually moved into the stable already), both from Wolf's Youtube channel: This is of course highly unusual for a number of reasons. There's very little history of university graduates coming into ozumo without having done any sumo there at all (I don't believe Tokai even has a sumo club, not even intramural), and there's even less history of the current Takadagawa-oyakata (ex-Akinoshima) recruiting from university - in fact, the number of such deshi is zero across his 15-year tenure, and even the heya's share of high school grads is distinctly below average, so the focus has clearly been on finding recruits at age 15. In any case, according to the Tokai judo club website, Okada stands 176 cm tall and based on the video evidence he may be 140+ kg already (he competed in the top, 100+ kg category in judo, unsurprisingly). Your guess is as good as mine as to whether we'll see him in maezumo in Kyushu, Hatsu or Haru, if he doesn't quit before it gets that far, but I've made the potentially stupid assumption that they won't be throwing him in early given his lack of a sumo background, so this comment has ended up here in the Haru thread for the time being. BTW, the connection to Takadagawa-beya is that Akinoshima's son is also a recent Tokai judo club OB.

Seki-Oracle (play): After two tournaments in which yokozuna Terunofuji allowed Oracle players to bet successfully on his presumed early exit from the basho, Nagoya saw him power through for another yusho, which ruined a lot of those same bets. That included our very own new yokozuna Kaito who finished his debut with only 5 converted wins, although the distance to the KK line was large enough that even a more conservative Terunofuji projection might not have avoided the makekoshi. Senior yokozuna Oskahanada did better with a credible enough 9-6 record. The ozeki rank saw one KK and one MK as well. Freshly repromoted chishafuwaku posted an excellent 5th place finish, while Andoreasu missed out on the kachikoshi by a single point and will enter Aki basho kadoban. Both sekiwake-ranked players left Nagoya basho with 8-7 records, so no chance of a promotion here and also not a particularly strong position entering Aki. The same can't be said about the two players moving up to sekiwake - Norizo and Choshu-yuki were both ranked highly among the maegashira and finished with yusho and jun-yusho scores respectively, both converting to 12 wins. Neither has any particular supporting results from May so Aki basho won't be the culmination of a standard three-basho run, but the door is always open to a two-basho promotion if the results are sufficiently strong. Both komusubi incumbents had losing scores and conveniently opened up sanyaku space for the remaining two joi kachikoshi by Asashosakari and Flohru, so this part of the rankings worked out very well. The sanyaku thus expanded from its highly unusual 8 Nagoya spots to a more normal 10 for Aki. Unlike the last two basho this one ended with a significant difference in quality between the joi and the rest of the top division, with the same point totals converting about two wins better for the lower-rankers. That usually means I'm inclined to be very lenient with joi makekoshi, but there really wasn't any other way this time in any case, as there wasn't a whole lot of upward pressure by the low maegashira players even with their highly-converting W-L's. In short, I'm guessing that pretty much everybody will be happy with their new ranks this time. Oskahanada (Ye 9-6) Y Kaito (Yw 5-10) chishafuwaku (Ow 10-5) O Andoreasu (Oe 7-8) Choshu-yuki (M1e 12-3) S1 Norizo (M2w 12-3 Y) Beeftank (Se 8-7) S2 ScreechingOwl (Sw 8-7) Asashosakari (M2e 10-5) K Flohru (M3w 9-6) Susanoo (Kw 6-9) M1 Kishikaisei (M1w 7-8) Bill (M8e 10-5) M2 DeRosa (M11e 11-4) Bunbukuchagama (M9w 10-5) M3 Gansekiiwa (Ke 4-11) BlackPinkMawashi (M9e 9-6) M4 TochiYESshin (M4e 6-9) joaoiyama (M4w 6-9) M5 Ganzohnesushi (M10e 8-7) Oshirokita (M12w 9-6) M6 Torafujii (M10w 8-7) Kitakachiyama (M7e 7-8) M7 Frinkanohana (M15w 10-5) Balon (M13w 9-6) M8 Kobashi (M6e 6-9) Pandaazuma (M8w 7-8) M9 Pitinosato (M6w 6-9) Papayasu (M5w 4-11) M10 Wamahada (J2e 12-3) Profomisakari (J2w 12-3) M11 Kotononami (M7w 5-10) Yarimotsu (J1w 11-4) M12 Andrasoyama (M16w 8-7) Unkonoyama (M5e 2-13) M13 itchynotoe (M3e 1-14) Mariohana (J1e 10-5) M14 Sukubidubidu (M14w kosho) Oortael (M15e 7-8) M15 GONZABUROW (M13e 6-9) Hisui (J3e 10-5) M16 Ruziklao (J6e 11-4) Shatsume (M17w 7-8) J1 Holleshoryu (J9e 12-3) Joputosu (M17e 6-9) J2 Kakushoyama (J3w 8-7) Athenayama (M11w 3-12) J3 Asapedroryu (J9w 10-5) Hakunojo (J8e 9-6) J4 Saruyama (J4e kosho) Kaiowaka (J4w kosho) J5 Kirinoumi (M16e 4-11) Hakase (J5e 7-8) J6 Warusaru (J6w 7-8) Metzinowaka (J11e 8-7) J7 Kintamayama (J7w kosho) Gusoyama (J8w 7-8) J8 Fujisan (J13e 8-7) Sakura (M14e 0-0-15) J9 Doreikishi (J10w 7-8) Andonishiki (J7e 5-10) J10 Terukaze (J10e 5-10) Terarno (J14w 6-9) J11 Kajiyanosho (J11w kosho) Anjoboshi (J12w 5-10) J12 lonewolf (Ms1e 5-10) Takanorappa (J5w 0-0-15) J13 Daiouika (NR 5-10) WAKATAKE (J14e 3-12) J14 Kasamatsuri (Ms2w 4-11) reeeen (Ms1w 2-13) Ms1 bariihachibenson (J13w 0-0-15) yosouou (Ms2e 0-0-15) Ms2 -

Seki-Toto (play): Coming off his excellent Natsu 14-1, top-ranked yokozuna Pandaazuma unfortunately posted a 7-8 record for Nagoya, closing out the tournament with three straight losses. The other two fared significantly better with 10 wins for Norizo (welcome news after back-to-back 8-7's) and even 11 for Kaito, who thus takes over the leading position on the new banzuke. The ozeki rank saw Ganzohnesushi take the basho off with kosho status, while Susanoo's tsuna run which was summarized in these words last time... ...only saw limited clarity added: 2024.07 O1e 10-5 (tied for 5th-11th overall, 5th-8th in makuuchi) I think you won't be surprised to hear that that's not a result that has pushed the run across the promotion line. Is it still a tsunatori for September? I'm really not sure, but I guess I'm open to a possible Kisenosato ruling if there's a yusho. (BTW, senshuraku was a loss for Susanoo, and I honestly don't know how I would have thought about another 11-4 score...) More ozeki news came courtesy of the two sekiwake who had both been freshly demoted from the second-highest rank for Nagoya: For Joaoiyama it was already the second drop in a relatively short ozeki career (since 2022.09), but just like the first time he has bounced back in style with excellent 11 wins to secure the immediate return. Well done! ScreechingOwl had been ozeki for a lot longer than that - ever since Kyushu 2014 (!) in fact, with three previous demotions (2016.11, 2019.07, 2020.07) that were all followed up by exactly 10 wins to go right back up each time. He came close this time as well, but a kuroboshi on the last day doomed him to a 9-6 finish after he'd battled back from the brink at 6-5. That unfortunately means the end of the Owl's nearly 10 years as ozeki, a stint that saw two yusho, one yusho-doten and one jun-yusho, as well as many other double-digit scores. The rest of the joi-jin ranks provided quite a headache with plenty of good but almost no outstanding results. The only obvious sanyaku assignment besides ScreechingOwl went to GONZABUROW, doten runner-up from M4w with a score of 12-3. Three komusubi had 8-7's, while three high-ranked maegashira went 9-6 (and one 10-5 lower down was also nominally promotable). That meant 9 contenders for just six open S/K slots. I came close to dropping the 8-7 trio, but in the end they managed to hang on...the maegashira candidates just didn't quite do enough from their respective ranks, bar Unkonoyama who was at M1e for his 9 wins and took the last available spot. Sorry to the three players who didn't quite make the cut. Yusho winner Kintamayama didn't come close to a sanyaku promotion, but moved up generously after his 12-3 record from M15w. Conversely, after pretty straight-forward ranking decisions for the bulk of the maegashira ranks, the bottom of the makuuchi division saw three players lucky to hang on, out of six demotion candidates in total. The sufficiently credible promotion contenders were a trio of 10-5's, the lowest of them from J7w; these were the only KK records in the upper half altogether, the next-best winning score was a 9-6 at J9e. Kaito (Y1w 11-4) Y1 Norizo (Y2e 10-5) Pandaazuma (Y1e 7-8) Y2 - Susanoo (Oe 10-5) O1 Ganzohnesushi (Ow kosho) - O2 Joaoiyama (Se 11-4) ScreechingOwl (Sw 9-6) S Kobashi (K1e 8-7) GONZABUROW (M4w 12-3 D) K1 Kotononami (K2w 8-7) Chishafuwaku (K3w 8-7) K2 Unkonoyama (M1e 9-6) Flohru (M2e 9-5-1) M1 Oskahanada (M5e 10-5) Itchynotoe (M3e 9-5-1) M2 Athenayama (K1w 7-8) Kajiyanosho (K2e 7-8) M3 Chijanofuji (M3w 8-7) TochiYESshin (M8e 10-5) M4 Kintamayama (M15w 12-3 Y) DeRosa (M5w 8-7) M5 Konosato (M2w 7-8) Jakusotsu (M7w 8-7) M6 Gernobono (M10e 9-6) Andoreasu (M4e 7-8) M7 Toonoryu (M9w 8-6-1) Balon (M10w 8-6-1) M8 Chelseayama (M7e 7-8) Rowitoro (M11w 8-7) M9 Bill (M1w 4-11) Gaanaag (M12w 8-7) M10 Gansekiiwa (M6e 5-9-1) Kitakachiyama (J2w 10-5) M11 Metzinowaka (M6w 5-10) Effinojo (M11e 7-8) M12 Asapedroryu (M9e 6-9) Oortael (M12e 7-8) M13 BlackPinkMawashi (J5e 10-5) Kishikaisei (J7w 10-4-1) M14 Bunbukuchagama (M13w 6-9) Terarno (M15e 7-8) M15 Onakaderu (M14e 6-9) Frinkanohana (M8w 3-12) J1 Kuroimori (M13e 5-10) Kashunowaka (J2e kosho) J2 Saruyama (J9e 9-6) Warusaru (J9w 9-6) J3 Gawasukotto (J3e 7-8) Hana-ichi (J4e kosho) J4 Ahokaina (J3w 7-8) WAKATAKE (J11w 9-4-2) J5 Andonishiki (J4w 7-7-1) Holleshoryu (J13e 9-6) J6 Mariohana (J1e 5-10) Biloumaru (Ms1w 9-6) J7 Ulishimaru (J6e 6-8-1) Anjoboshi (J10e 7-7-1) J8 Choshu-yuki (Ms4e 9-6) Asashosakari (J5w 5-10) J9 Gusoyama (Ms4w 9-5-1) Papayasu (Ms2e 8-7) J10 Unagiyutaka2 (J8w 6-7-2) Oyama (Ms2w 8-7) J11 Achiyama (J7e 5-9-1) Kaiowaka (J12e kosho) J12 Ketsukai (J8e 5-10) Beeftank (J10w 6-9) J13 Umigame (J14w 7-8) Herritarooo (M14w 0-0-15) J14 Chudorj (J12w 6-8-1) Getayukata (Ms1e kosho) Ms1 Joputosu (Ms3e 7-8) Benihana (J13w 6-7-2) Ms2 Akishiki (J14e 6-9) Tomisakae (J1w 0-0-15) Ms3 Fujisan (J11e 3-10-2) Profomisakari (Ms3w 6-9) Ms4 Takanorappa (Ms5e 6-7-2) Katoomaru (Ms5w 6-9) Ms5 Sakura (J6w 0-0-15) Hakunojo (Ms6e 5-9-1) Ms6 Sherlockiama (Ms9w 5-1-9) Dan Koloff (Ms6w 3-8-4) Ms7 Nantonoyama (NR 5-10) FujiSlava (NR 4-11) Ms8 Taiki (Ms7w 0-0-15) Toki (Ms8e 0-0-15) Ms9 Hisui (Ms9e 0-0-15) Netsuzakura (Ms10e 0-0-15) Ms10 Doitsuyama (Ms11e 0-0-15)

https://www.instagram.com/p/C_dKk76PPRU/ Well, a new recruit at least for the Kyushu shindeshi kensa - Musashigawa's new foreign deshi, brother of its previous one Musashikuni and nephew to the shisho, has announced that he passed his recruiting interview(?) with the Kyokai today. His instagram reel does have him promising to ganbarize for the Kyushu maezumo, but of course it's almost certain that Daniel will have to wait the usual extra two months and we'll only see him mount the dohyo in January. Short earlier thread: http://www.sumoforum.net/forums/topic/43164-new-musashigawa-hawaiian/ Various individual comments:

This list makes it fairly easy to analyze juryo-high rikishi. Up to Kizakiumi and Ryuko with juryo debuts in 2019.07, nearly all the listed rikishi have completed their careers already. Only five are marked active, but that group includes two who actually retired recently and just aren't updated yet (Chiyonoumi and Asabenkei), as well as two who definitely won't be adding to their juryo tournament tally (Daiseido and Dairaido), leaving only Hakuyozan as one that should be excluded from analysis. The earliest rikishi that make sense to include are Asakaze and Kurowashi who reached juryo in 1967.11, the first on the list to do so after the juryo division was given something resembling its modern size. Asakaze to Kizakiumi (ex Hakuyozan), that's a set of 210 rikishi. Sorted by staying power, they're led by Hakuryu with 47 juryo tournaments and Zenshinyama with 37, everybody else has 27 and fewer. To summarize the whole list: 24 basho (4 years) and more: 7 rikishi (3.3%) 21 basho (3.5 years) and more: 12 (5.7%) 18 basho (3 years) and more: 18 (8.6%) 15 basho (2.5 years) and more: 24 (11.4%) 13 basho (>2 years) and more: 34 (16.2%) 12+: 41 (19.5%) 11+: 46 (21.9%) 10+: 54 (25.7%) 9+: 62 (29.5%) 8+: 70 (33.3%) 7+ (>1 year): 86 (41.0%) 6+: 97 (46.2%) 5+: 106 (50.5%) 4+: 123 (58.6%) 3+: 139 (66.2%) 2+: 167 (79.5%) In short, only about 1 in 6 rikishi who topped out in juryo got to spend more than 2 years in the division, about 2 in 5 spent more than one year, and just about half were there for at least 5 basho, the other half for 4 tournaments or fewer. There are more rikishi (43) who made a single juryo appearance than there are with at least two years (41). Median 5 tournaments, mean 6.94. The numbers aren't significantly different with a shorter time window. Taking just the most recent 25 years (debuts in 1995-2019.07, 80 rikishi), it's 13+ basho 11 (13.8%), 7+ basho 34 (42.5%), 5+ basho 42 (52.5%), median 5, mean 6.75. Edit: Since Hakuyozan is in juryo for Aki basho, he's now holding sole third place with 28 tournaments in this era.

Aoiryu is the shikona of his great-grandfather 葵龍喜一郎 Aoiryu Kiichiro (167cm, 82kg), who made it to juryo in the Taisho era http://hochi.news/articles/20240828-OHT1T51163.html?page=1 Specifically, it's this Aoiryu. The DB shows him with a different ryu kanji (竜) than Takataisho is now using, but I'm fairly sure the data is correct (sumo-hositori.com shows the same). Nevertheless, Sports Hochi today as well as other papers when they previously reported on the relationship have used 龍 for the ancestor - Sponichi back in 2011 when Matsuki/Takataisho debuted, and Nikkan in 2022. The focus of these articles wasn't solely Takataisho though, they were also (Sponichi) / mainly (Nikkan) about the fact that the senior Aoiryu's grandson is former professional football player and current sports commentator Yasutaro Matsuki (who is apparently a cousin to Takataisho's mother). At first I wasn't sure if the Aoiryu on the DB is actually the correct one, but the Sponichi article outright says that he spent six tournaments in juryo. Tokiwayama-beya itself also reported on the relationship back on Monday when the various shikona changes at the heya were announced, though their comment mistakenly referred to it as grandfather <-> grandson, not great-grand. But with a picture!