Pointless post

[Randomitsuki]

This post could have gone into Ozumo Discussions, Honbasho Talk, or Sumo Games, but since it is completely pointless, I've put it in this topic where it is in good company.

For my entire sumo gaming career I had the feeling as if the sumo results of days 7, and particularly of nakabi, are the most surprising and unexpected of a basho. Recently, I even started betting against my intuition or my spreadsheets, just because nakabi seemed so weird to me, results-wise.

After another nakabi where I started 2-12 for the 14 Juryo bouts in Sekitori-Toto (I'm pretty sure that's an all-time low even for me), I set out to substantiate my assumption about something going awry every nakabi.

I took the archived results for Sumo Game (would have preferred Toto, but did not find accessible stats), and computed the average results per day across all basho since Kyushu 2000.

And what did I find? Nothing.

Well, in fact, it wasn't nothing. Actually, days 7 and 8 have the highest average points, instead of the lowest. There's nothing like the complete annihilation of a beautiful hypothesis in light of harsh reality. Or maybe I'm just nuts.

For those interested (and who isn't? (Showing respect...) ), here is the breakdown by days. At least you can see from this that the last three days have lower scoring (due to the top-rankers fighting each other):

Day 1: 61.3% correct

Day 2: 63.9% correct

Day 3: 64.9% correct

Day 4: 62.4% correct

Day 5: 62.1% correct

Day 6: 64.5% correct

Day 7: 65.2% correct

Day 8: 64.9% correct

Day 9: 62.7% correct

Day 10: 62.4% correct

Day 11: 61.5% correct

Day 12: 61.5% correct

Day 13: 58.0% correct

Day 14: 57.2% correct

Day 15: 57.6% correct

Randomitsuki out. (Eating...)

[Asashosakari]

What did I find? Nothing. Well, in fact, it wasn't nothing. Actually, days 7 and 8 have the highest average points, instead of the lowest. There's nothing like the complete annihilation of a beautiful hypothesis in light of harsh reality.

For my entire sumo gaming career I had the feeling as if the sumo results of days 7, and particularly of nakabi, are the most surprising and unexpected of a basho.

It seems to be perfectly correct as a meta-hypothesis, at least. (Showing respect...)

Edited May 14, 2006 by Asashosakari

[Yangnomazuma]

"Is it any wonder I'm not crazy. Is it any wonder I'm sane at all."

Quote from "Too Much Time on My Hands" by Styx (guilty as charged - thanks for the correction Kishinoyama) because Randomitsuki OBVIOUSLY has too much time on his hands....

Edited May 14, 2006 by Yangnomazuma

[Kishinoyama]

"Is it any wonder I'm not crazy. Is it any wonder I'm sane at all."

Quote from "Too Much Time on My Hands" by Foreigner because Randomitsuki OBVIOUSLY has too much time on his hands....

I believe that is a 'Styx' song (Showing respect...)

[Asojima]

For my entire sumo gaming career I had the feeling as if the sumo results of days 7, and particularly of nakabi, are the most surprising and unexpected of a basho.

This may be because the torikumi iinkai may be making a special effort to make particularly interesting matchups for the weeekend matches. This in turn is making you squirm a bit more when making your predictions. (Showing respect...)

[Asashosakari]

Randomitsuki's post made me finally enter the Sekiquad playing data in a spreadsheet as I've been meaning to for quite a while. With only 13 basho completed in the game's existence, the results aren't nearly as robust as the Sumo Game data, but I'm sure nobody will be surprised to hear that Day 7 has been the highest-scoring day in S4, too. (In a state of confusion...)

Day 01	48,2%
Day 02	53,6%
Day 03	58,5%
Day 04	50,3%
Day 05	48,5%
Day 06	52,8%
Day 07	60,6%
Day 08	49,1%
Day 09	49,0%
Day 10	49,3%
Day 11	40,4%
Day 12	39,6%
Day 13	42,7%
Day 14	43,5%
Day 15	45,8%

[Cammy]

"Is it any wonder I'm not crazy. Is it any wonder I'm sane at all."

Quote from "Too Much Time on My Hands" by Foreigner because Randomitsuki OBVIOUSLY has too much time on his hands....

I believe that is a 'Styx' song (In a state of confusion...)

You believe and you are correct. :-D

[Taka]

because Randomitsuki OBVIOUSLY has too much time on his hands....

Don't pay attention to that! Personally I love this kind of stuff.

The more sumo games stats the merrier I say!

(In a state of confusion...)

Edited May 15, 2006 by Taka

[Randomitsuki]

because Randomitsuki OBVIOUSLY has too much time on his hands....

Don't pay attention to that! Personally I love this kind of stuff.

The more sumo games stats the merrier I say!

:-D

Oh, never mind. Deluded by my modesty to put this into off-topic, some gentlemen do not recognize the uttermost importance of my inquiries.

Imagine that I would have proven that on nakabi sumo results would clearly depart from the norm. Then I could have written guidebooks like "Overcoming nakabi madness" or "Things to do when it's nakabi" or "Don't worry - Day 9 will be better", and sold copies to both rikishi and sumo gamers. I'd be a millionaire in no time!

And while you are watching the livestream in your shabby little homes, I could watch the livestream while cruising my yacht through the Caribbean! Mwuahahahaha!!! (In a state of confusion...)

[Gernobono]

maybe randomitsuki is right in some way....

as all others are rather good on nakabi his mediocre entries seem to be worse compared to others....