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Posted

Is there anyone who has a clue or who are willing to predict wich rikishi won't come to Aki or will fight but with injury? As there was so many of those who left Nagoya with injury ..

Hayateumi (knee)

Tochinonada (right thigh)

Tamakasuga (neck)

Iwakiyama (shoulder)

Chiyotaikai (knee)

Hakuho (ankle)

Roho (ankle)

Asasekiryu (knee)

Yoshikaze (ankle)

Kaiho (ankle)

Anyone?!

Posted

I don't know anything sadly, but at least Iwakiyama returned during the basho, so I think you can reduce the list a bit. And Kaiho is said to be out of Aki (at least) for sure.

Posted

Not answering your qiuestions to the point, I think those with ankle problems may really have big problems. Takes a longer tme to heal, practise may often aggravate it. Among all the injuries this one really makes you useless in the dohyo.

Posted
Not answering your qiuestions to the point, I think those with  ankle problems may really have big problems. Takes a longer tme to heal, practise may often aggravate it. Among all the injuries this one really makes you useless in the dohyo.

So you would say those with knee injuries are better off? Hmmm...
Posted
My guesswork only. Well, I will keep an eye on all those with knee and ankle problems to find out  in the coming bashos.  Can be interesting.

That would be one intresting statistics coming out of it then ..

Posted (edited)

YosoushimashoU

Hayateumi out for another 4-5 months due to surgery.

Kaiho out for sure, will not be in good shape in Kyushu either. The picture on Featured rikishi-thread makes one wonder whether he has also quite torn ligament between the tibula and fibula making it more serious fracture which means metal plates inserted with nails and all. This makes any kind of early post-op rehabilitation impossible so would take time and muscle atrophy comes.

Tochinonada probably quite okay for Aki unless the tear was extra serious which it didn't seem to be.

Iwakiyama should be genki. Did some exhibition show in US with Hochiyama too and the injury evidently wasn't bad. Even won with that shoulder some good bouts.

Yoshikaze should be out. Otherwise it is summer soup time again. Maybe he has only moderate injuries in his ankle but sure didn't look that way.

Roho & Asasekiryu are unknown cases. Roho will most likely take part though based on the fact that he could put pressure quite a lot in a bout against Miyabiyama despite possibly aggravating the injury there. His style is also such that he might join even in half-shape. Still my guess is that his ankle injury is about the same class as Hakuho's but these are only speculations...(Roho...)

Chiyotaikai's and Hakuho's situation was reported in the news thread. According to article 2 days ago, Taikai has still problems doing any real keiko. Kintamayama-person wrote "He wasn't able to do good keiko before Natsu either and went 10-5.." but there is a serious flaw in this logic (Oshidashi...) of course! There is a thing called "savings" in sumo and Taikai has lost all savings now with this Nagoya disaster and pre-Aki getting fat from being lazy and not putting the meat under discipline at all. Hence Taikai will be weaker than ever unless he can now do good quality keiko for nearly 2 weeks. I bet he can't and will do down the drain. His problems were both knee and ankle. Hakuho is worried and has pain left. Said "Sure, will take part" but is concerned about the healing process.

Edited by Kaikitsune Makoto
Posted

Asasekiryuu has yet to do any real keiko. Yesterday, he did some light suri-ashi training, and intends to up the pace in the coming days. For the moment, he hasn't given up on entering Aki.

Posted

Unfortunately i do not have the experience in sumo to say how many injuries are usual.

From my 1.5 year experience i would say, that in Aki more rikishi are injured than in other bashos ?

Posted
Unfortunately i do not have the experience in sumo to say how many injuries are usual.

From my 1.5 year experience i would say, that in Aki more rikishi are injured than in other bashos ?

I used to think the same till I ran the numbers. Here's my reckoning of the numbers. I looked at bashos with 1 or more absent sekitori back to 1970. The list is sorted by absences. (Nodding yes...) These numbers do include those who had kosho status, so take it for what it's worth. Looks like a pretty even distribution to me, though. (Nodding yes...)

Sekitori
Absent       Year            Basho
16           2002            Nagoya            
12           2003            Haru            
10           2003            Nagoya            
10           2002            Hatsu            
10           1997            Aki            
10           1992            Natsu            
10           2001            Haru            
9            2001            Kyushu             
9            2002            Natsu            
9            2001            Hatsu            
9            2003            Hatsu            
9            2002            Haru            
9            2000            Haru            
9            2004            Hatsu            
9            1998            Nagoya            
9            2005            Nagoya            
9            2003            Natsu            
8            2001            Aki            
8            1991            Aki            
8            1997            Natsu            
8            1997            Haru            
8            2000            Natsu            
8            2002            Aki            
7            1981            Kyushu             
7            2001            Natsu            
7            2001            Nagoya            
7            2002            Kyushu             
7            1984            Hatsu            
7            1992            Nagoya            
7            1999            Natsu            
6            1998            Haru            
6            1992            Kyushu             
6            1997            Kyushu             
6            2000            Hatsu            
6            1999            Haru            
6            2005            Haru            
6            2005            Hatsu            
6            2003            Aki            
6            1983            Hatsu            
5            1992            Haru            
5            1982            Hatsu            
5            1981            Aki            
5            1993            Haru            
5            1991            Hatsu            
5            1983            Aki            
5            1983            Haru            
5            1990            Aki            
5            1988            Natsu            
5            1988            Nagoya            
5            1986            Aki            
5            1984            Natsu            
5            1984            Kyushu             
5            1993            Natsu            
5            1993            Hatsu            
5            1990            Nagoya            
5            2000            Aki            
5            2004            Natsu            
5            1999            Aki            
5            1999            Hatsu            
5            1997            Nagoya            
5            2000            Kyushu             
5            1999            Kyushu             
4            1991            Haru            
4            1989            Natsu            
4            1989            Nagoya            
4            1989            Haru            
4            1988            Kyushu             
4            1988            Hatsu            
4            1988            Aki            
4            1986            Nagoya            
4            1991            Kyushu             
4            1985            Hatsu            
4            1985            Aki            
4            2000            Nagoya            
4            2003            Kyushu             
4            1983            Natsu            
4            1983            Kyushu             
4            2004            Aki            
4            1982            Aki            
4            1981            Natsu            
4            1981            Nagoya            
4            1985            Natsu            
4            1998            Aki            
4            1991            Natsu            
4            1995            Aki            
4            2005            Natsu            
4            1991            Nagoya            
3            1987            Natsu            
3            1987            Hatsu            
3            1987            Haru            
3            1987            Aki            
3            1986            Natsu            
3            1996            Kyushu             
3            1986            Hatsu            
3            1999            Nagoya            
3            1994            Aki            
3            1995            Kyushu             
3            1985            Kyushu             
3            1994            Hatsu            
3            1983            Nagoya            
3            1994            Kyushu             
3            1994            Natsu            
3            2004            Haru            
3            1992            Hatsu            
3            1998            Kyushu             
3            1992            Aki            
3            1998            Hatsu            
3            1982            Natsu            
3            1990            Haru            
3            1988            Haru            
3            1989            Kyushu             
3            1989            Hatsu            
3            1995            Nagoya            
3            1996            Hatsu            
3            1982            Kyushu             
3            1993            Kyushu             
3            1982            Nagoya            
2            2004            Nagoya            
2            1996            Aki            
2            1995            Hatsu            
2            2004            Kyushu             
2            1996            Haru            
2            1981            Haru            
2            1995            Haru            
2            1984            Aki            
2            1995            Natsu            
2            1987            Nagoya            
2            1984            Nagoya            
2            1985            Haru            
2            1985            Nagoya            
2            1994            Haru            
2            1986            Kyushu             
2            1990            Natsu            
2            1984            Haru            
2            1989            Aki            
1            1998            Natsu            
1            1990            Kyushu             
1            1997            Hatsu            
1            1993            Aki            
1            1986            Haru            
1            1996            Nagoya            
1            1987            Kyushu             
1            1994            Nagoya            
1            1996            Natsu            

Posted

WIth a short lookup in the glossary when the new kosho rule was established (Natsu 2004) i can see a slight increase in the number of injuries with a "all-time"-height in Nagoya 2005. And without being to pessimistic it is possible, that Aki will produce even more injuries.

Posted

Thanks for you unheralded effort Kinta-zeki!

With the graphics you can see what motivated the kyokai to abolish the Kosho rule. A big swell in absences starting at the turn of the century and falling abruptly after the rule change.

As usual, everyone ignores my injury stat sites thst I meticulously update every year.

http://www.dichne.com/injuries.html

Graphs, codes, Yokozuna/Ozeki only..

I am seriously considering closing my shop and moving.

Posted (edited)
Is there anyone who has a clue or who are willing to predict wich rikishi won't come to Aki or will fight but with injury? As there was so many of those who left Nagoya with injury ..

Hayateumi (knee)

Tochinonada (right thigh)

Tamakasuga (neck)

Iwakiyama (shoulder)

Chiyotaikai (knee)

Hakuho (ankle)

Roho (ankle)

Asasekiryu (knee)

Yoshikaze (ankle)

Kaiho (ankle)

Anyone?!

As has been written in another thread, Kaihou is the only one missing. The bigger question is, in what shape are the injury-recovering guys who are participating..

Edited by Kintamayama
Posted
As usual, everyone ignores my injury stat sites thst I meticulously update every year.

I apologize for my ignorance.

nontheless, your site does not show, that the number of injuries rises since may 2004 again. (or did i miss something again?)

Posted
As usual, everyone ignores my injury stat sites thst I meticulously update every year.

I apologize for my ignorance.

nontheless, your site does not show, that the number of injuries rises since may 2004 again. (or did i miss something again?)

No need to apologize. I was pseudo-kidding..No, it is an yearly site, so it wouldn't show bi-monthly trends. Maybe someone can augment my site and do a bi-monthly graph?

Posted
As has been written in another thread, Kaihou is the only one missing. The bigger question is, in what shape are the injury-recovering guys who are participating..

I think there will be those who won't manage to get to the end and who will come to fight only o try get some bouts under their belly .. and hopefully win.

Posted
As has been written in another thread, Kaihou is the only one missing.

Is Hayateumi back already?

Hayateumi is non-Sekitori at the moment. As such, we'll know Saturday night. In any case, I was referring to the salaried ranks of course, as tens will be kyujo across the Banzuke divisions.

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