Basho Talk - Nagoya Basho 2016 +++ Spoiler Alert! +++

[Gurowake]

Based on a previously written torikumi simulation that tries to match those doing the best against each other, there are still occasions in which 10 wins is the best score, but they're not particularly common and there's generally multiple rikishi with 10 wins as one would expect. So I would consider 10 within the realm of possibility for Makuuchi if the skill of the rikishi were extremely all similar, but 9 seems incredibly doubtful. Again, with proper collusion it could theoretically be 8, but the odds for that happening in a gachinko basho are negligible. I can let the simulation run for longer to see how many 9s I can get, but I doubt it will be very many.

edit: over 1000 simulations, I got 9 wins as the best score 3 times. 10 happened around one-eighth the time. 11 and 12 are the most common, which is on-par with what we see in Juryo where the assumption of even strength of all rikishi is much closer to being true.

Edited July 29, 2016 by Gurowake

[bettega]

9-6 Y? Is that even possible? I think there was a Juryo Yusho that ended that way correct? Wasn't there like 50,000 rikishi in the playoff? (ok...maybe not that many...but 8 or 10 correct?) Would a 9-6 Y be enough for an Ozeki Run?

None in Makuushi, but one in Juryo (2001.07) and three in Jonokuchi (!!!)

(I'm flexing my Query muscles (Showing off...) )

[robnplunder]

I'm a fan of Kise's. There is no way anyone should be made a Yokozuna without at least 1 Yusho.

While I am not a Fan of his. I would fully support a promotion with any kind of Yusho Win and his current record. Even a 9w and 6l (nearly improbable as it may be) Yusho would be enough in my eyes.

Good enough for me given Kise's record leading to the imaginary 9W Yusho.

[Rocks]

9-6 Y? Is that even possible? I think there was a Juryo Yusho that ended that way correct? Wasn't there like 50,000 rikishi in the playoff? (ok...maybe not that many...but 8 or 10 correct?) Would a 9-6 Y be enough for an Ozeki Run?

None in Makuushi, but one in Juryo (2001.07) and three in Jonokuchi (!!!)

(I'm flexing my Query muscles (Showing off...) )

Wow, 8 man playoff.