Doitsuyama Posted March 24, 2010 Posted March 24, 2010 The makushita yusho will go to the lower half of the division as Homarefuji beat Shironoryu and will most likely face the new Bulgarian Aoiyama on day 13 for the yusho decider as Aoiyama won against Tochiyashiki to stay undefeated in his makushita debut basho. The two lead makushita had the chance for kachi-koshi today and Matsutani came through against Aoki to secure his sekitori debut next basho. Kanbayashi lost to Hochiyama and must win his seventh bout to avoid a drop, and even a win doesn't secure a juryo return for him as Ms2e Hoshikaze won against Kaisei and at five wins already has secured a fast juryo return. A third or more promotions for Kanbayashi or Hochiyama will need more demotions from juryo which is far from sure at this point. Terashita's win streak got broken at 20 wins as he lost to Russian Orora who got to six wins for the first time since Aki 2004 and secured a makushita return with the win today. Two more rikishi will complete the sandanme leader trio tomorrow. In jonidan Chiyonishiki won against Wakanoryu and has a real chance for the jonidan yusho as his competition is 21 years old jonidan regular Hokutotsuru and either 20 years old Shobimaru or 18 years old Wakanishiki, all three with a negative jonidan career record (with Chiyonishiki being 72-25 in jonidan). The Hatsu 2010 class has some promising rikishi with five at none or one loss so far (and the losses only in bouts between them), and three of them fought and won today with Shibahara now leading at 6-0 and Koshinonami and Hasegawa at 5-1. Jonokuchi Jk22w Kaidonami (3-3) tsukidashi Jk18w Moriurara (2-4) Jk17e Onuki (1-5) yorikiri Jk25w Takaora (1-4) Jk21w Oyamamoto (3-3) yorikiri Jk16w Fukukasuga (2-4) Jk25e Yutoyama (3-3) yorikiri Jk16e Kaikisho (2-4) Jk23w Rokumonsen (4-2) oshitaoshi Jk15w Shikinokawa (3-3) Jk24w Hasegawa (5-1) hikiotoshi Jk15e Kototakahashi (3-3) Jk13w Maenokatsu (4-2) hikiotoshi Jk12w Daikoyama (3-3) Jk23e Koshinonami (5-1) uwatenage Jk9e Masuamami (4-2) Jk11w Kasachikara (1-5) yorikiri Jk6w Sakuma (0-6) Jk22e Shibahara (6-0) oshidashi Jk4e Tamaseiryo (4-2) Jk3e Takatenshu (3-3) yoritaoshi Jk10w Daiseishin (2-4) Jk5w Koseki (4-2) oshidashi Jk1e Daikosei (3-3) Jonidan Jk8e Fukusegawa (2-4) hikiotoshi Jd114e Aratobi (1-5) Jd112e Enami (3-3) yoritaoshi Jd111e Kanryu (2-4) Jd114w Hakkairyu (2-4) hikiotoshi Jd108w Hinohikari (1-5) Jd106e Iwabuchi (2-4) yorikiri Jd108e Matsugahama (1-5) Jd110w Suekawa (3-3) oshidashi Jd103w Takaakita (2-4) Jd102w Hisatsukasa (5-1) oshidashi Jd112w Ranbuzan (4-2) Jd99e Tsuya (3-3) shitatenage Jd101e Kotonishikawa (2-4) Jd98e Sumanoumi (4-2) oshidashi Jd104e Otsukuba (3-3) Jd97e Teraofuji (3-3) hatakikomi Jd99w Hokuyozan (2-4) Jd94w Kohiyama (5-1) uchigake Jd100w Fujinoumi (4-2) Jd92e Motokiyama (2-4) yorikiri Jd93w Hakubizan (1-5) Jd88e Kotookazaki (4-2) yorikiri Jd91w Hokutoryu (3-3) Jd90w Hirose (3-3) oshidashi Jd86w Tamashinzan (2-4) Jd85w Chiyonishiki (6-0) oshidashi Jd105e Wakanoryu (5-1) Jd84e Daitenyu (5-1) yorikiri Jd87e Ryushonami (4-2) Jd81e Akatsuki (4-2) uwatenage Jd82e Ishihara (3-3) Jd81w Minezakura (3-3) uwatenage Jd78e Shijima (2-4) Jd73w Adachi (4-2) yorikiri Jd75w Masuryu (3-3) Jd75e Zendaisho (3-3) hikiotoshi Jd71w Nara (2-4) Jd70w Araki (2-4) yorikiri Jd73e Raizan (1-5) Jd67w Yamamoto (3-3) oshidashi Jd69w Kotofubuki (2-4) Jd67e Karyutsukasa (3-3) uwatedashinage Jd64w Kotoomura (2-4) Jd65w Kamakari (4-2) hatakikomi Jd63w Yoshinofuji (3-3) Jd68e Igarashi (5-1) shitatenage Jd61e Echizenyama (4-2) Jd59e Oigarashi (2-4) shitatenage Jd66e Itako (1-5) Jd58e Tagen (4-2) yorikiri Jd63e Ikataumi (3-3) Jd55w Taguchi (3-3) fusen Jd57w Kinunonami (2-4) Jd57e Tochitensho (2-4) oshidashi Jd52w Amanowaka (1-5) Jd50w Nakayama (2-4) uwatenage Jd52e Arai (1-5) Jd48w Ikedo (5-1) oshidashi Jd60e Kurenishiki (4-2) Jd49e Yatsurugi (3-3) yorikiri Jd47w Kiriarashi (2-4) Jd53e Sekiho (3-3) yorikiri Jd46e Wakanofuji (2-4) Jd45e Oseumi (3-3) yorikiri Jd43w Wakamiura (2-4) Jd44e Tamakaizan (3-3) shitatenage Jd41w Hisachikara (2-4) Jd60w Sakabe (1-5) oshidashi Jd40w Ichifuji (0-6) Jd38w Daigonishiki (2-4) kimedashi Jd43e Kaneko (1-5) Jd36e Tsurubayashi (3-3) oshitaoshi Jd37w Hayabusa (2-4) Jd40e Tamakishin (3-3) hikiotoshi Jd34w Kisenishiki (2-4) Jd31w Hatachijo (2-4) oshidashi Jd33e Komatensho (1-5) Jd29e Tochiotoha (4-2) yoritaoshi Jd30w Hikosaka (3-3) Jd31e Hokutotsuru (6-0) oshidashi Jd26e Koju (5-1) Jd25e Sadanoshu (2-4) hatakikomi Jd27w Tomisakae (1-5) Jd22e Matsubayama (5-1) uwatenage Jd32e Kosenho (4-2) Jd19w Satonofuji (5-1) kainahineri Jd23e Kirizakura (4-2) Jd18e Takada (4-2) hikiotoshi Jd24e Makuhari (3-3) Jd20e Kozan (3-3) yorikiri Jd16w Sadanosho (2-4) Jd13w Tosahayato (5-1) oshidashi Jd16e Hanakaze (4-2) Jd11w Daishokai (3-3) uwatenage Jd14w Misakiyama (2-4) Jd10w Yakunoshima (4-2) oshitaoshi Jd17e Yudai (3-3) Jd9w Obamaumi (2-4) yorikiri Jd8w Kiryu (1-5) Jd5w Daishoko (3-3) oshidashi Jd7w Fujinohana (2-4) Jd6w Akinokawa (4-2) oshidashi Jd4w Wakahikari (3-3) Jd9e Jiguruma (5-1) shitatenage Jd4e Daijo (4-2) Jd3w Otakayama (5-1) yorikiri Jd13e Chiyoshuho (4-2) Sandanme Sd99e Kawashita (4-2) tsukiotoshi Jd2w Notozakura (3-3) Jd1w Raiko (4-2) okuritaoshi Sd97w Hakunishiki (3-3) Sd93w Fukugoriki (5-1) okuridashi Sd96e Sadanokuni (4-2) Sd94e Ayanokaze (4-2) yorikiri Sd92w Tsurunoumi (3-3) Sd94w Daiseiho (3-3) hatakikomi Sd89w Yuzawa (2-4) Sd87w Daise (4-2) shitatenage Sd90e Takashoma (3-3) Sd86e Kamiyutaka (5-1) yorikiri Sd84w Chiyonoriku (4-2) Sd82w Hidaka (4-2) hikiotoshi Sd85e Tochitaiga (3-3) Sd81e Gonoumi (3-3) oshidashi Sd88e Kakutaiki (2-4) Sd79w Kitagawa (3-3) oshidashi Sd83w Takamiryu (2-4) Sd77e Nishitani (4-2) okuridashi Sd76w Hokazan (3-3) Sd75e Miura (3-3) yoritaoshi Sd74w Asahio (2-4) Sd71w Fukudayama (4-2) yorikiri Sd75w Isamizuki (3-3) Sd74e Daihoyama (3-3) kotenage Sd70w Tanno (2-4) Sd69e Daishokaku (4-2) yoritaoshi Sd69w Tamanotaka (3-3) Sd66e Danyu (4-2) kawazugake Sd68w Haruhikari (3-3) Sd65e Tochikasuga (4-2) oshidashi Sd63e Hokuoryu (3-3) Sd60e Isenohana (4-2) yorikiri Sd62e Kaorufuji (3-3) Sd61w Kotodaishin (3-3) kotenage Sd58w Daigen (2-4) Sd56w Fujiarashi (2-4) oshidashi Sd63w Kaisho (1-5) Sd55w Toyohikari (4-2) yorikiri Sd59w Aokishin (3-3) Sd54e Isoazuma (4-2) hatakikomi Sd55e Maeshinpu (3-3) Sd51w Kisenowaka (3-3) tsukiotoshi Sd53e Kainowaka (2-4) Sd50e Kaishinho (4-2) yorikiri Sd48w Sasayama (3-3) Sd49e Chiyoraizan (2-4) yorikiri Sd46e Koriyama (1-5) Sd44w Asanawa (4-2) tottari Sd47w Higo (3-3) Sd47e Toshinyama (4-2) oshidashi Sd41w Kotokensei (3-3) Sd42w Kyokutaisei (3-3) ketaguri Sd40e Honda (2-4) Sd38w Asanotosa (5-1) uwatedashinage Sd46w Hokkairyu (4-2) Sd34w Kasugashima (1-5) oshidashi Sd45w Kyokuhozan (0-6) Sd31e Shinyu (2-4) katasukashi Sd33e Tochifudo (1-5) Sd32e Torugawa (3-3) hatakikomi Sd30e Kei (2-4) Sd27e Mankajo (5-1) kotenage Sd28e Migikataagari (4-2) Sd25w Chiyoarashi (4-2) oshitaoshi Sd29w Teruazuma (3-3) Sd43e Orora (6-0) yorikiri Sd25e Terashita (5-1) Sd24w Masuhikari (2-4) yorikiri Sd28w Ogifuji (1-5) Sd20w Takageppo (4-2) oshitaoshi Sd23e Asahisho (3-3) Sd23w Matsumoto (3-3) hatakikomi Sd19w Kihakuriki (2-4) Sd18w Wakakasuga (4-2) kotenage Sd17w Miyamaru (3-3) Sd15w Wakarikido (3-3) oshidashi Sd18e Araumago (2-4) Sd13w Kotomisen (5-1) tsukitaoshi Sd16w Gorikiyama (4-2) Sd11e Tokachiumi (4-2) oshidashi Sd13e Chiyonoshin (3-3) Sd9e Nishikikaze (3-3) yorikiri Sd11w Higoarashi (2-4) Sd10w Rendaiyama (3-3) okuridashi Sd8e Masunofuji (2-4) Sd8w Ota (5-1) yorikiri Sd7w Sakigake (4-2) Sd10e Takunishiki (2-4) yorikiri Sd4w Maegunzan (1-5) Sd3w Aozora (3-3) uwatenage Sd7e Koshinoryu (2-4) Sd2w Bungonishiki (3-3) oshidashi Sd6e Haruzakura (2-4) Makushita Sd1w Daishoryu (2-4) hatakikomi Ms60w Kisomitsuru (1-5) Ms59e Tochinoyama (3-3) oshidashi Ms57w Daishoki (2-4) Ms58e Chiyonokuni (5-1) yorikiri Ms55w Wakamifuji (4-2) Ms54w Inoue (3-3) abisetaoshi Ms54e Kawanari (2-4) Ms57e Sadanishiki (2-4) oshidashi Ms51e Aisaka (1-5) Ms48e Aoiyama (6-0) kotenage Ms60e Tochiyashiki (5-1) Ms47e Yamatofuji (3-3) oshidashi Ms51w Wakainami (2-4) Ms45w Kihonoumi (2-4) sukuinage Ms50e Kumagai (1-5) Ms44e Sakaguchi (4-2) kotenage Ms49e Hokuo (3-3) Ms45e Matsumidori (2-4) koshikudake Ms41w Tokio (1-5) Ms39w Hishofuji (3-3) yoritaoshi Ms43w Naoe (2-4) Ms39e Shoho (3-3) hatakikomi Ms37w Wakanoshima (2-4) Ms34e Toyonokuni (4-2) yorikiri Ms37e Nankairiki (3-3) Ms33e Azumaryu (3-3) yorikiri Ms34w Kagamio (2-4) Ms28w Nionoumi (4-2) oshidashi Ms30e Rikiryu (3-3) Ms29w Shoketsu (5-1) oshidashi Ms25w Daitensho (4-2) Ms23e Tochihiryu (3-3) kotenage Ms25e Ikioi (2-4) Ms21w Daishoyama (3-3) oshidashi Ms22w Kasugakuni (2-4) Ms36e Homarefuji (6-0) oshidashi Ms19w Shironoryu (5-1) Ms18e Kyokushuho (2-4) uwatenage Ms23w Nakano (1-5) Ms27w Fukunohana (1-5) yorikiri Ms13w Sasaki (0-6) Ms8e Ryuho (4-2) uwatenage Ms11e Fujiazuma (3-3) Ms5e Tsurugidake (3-3) tsukidashi Ms7w Sotairyu (2-4) Ms3w Jumonji (3-3) okuridashi Ms4w Nakanokuni (2-4) Ms2w Sadanoumi (2-4) okuritaoshi Ms7e Surugatsukasa (1-5) Ms2e Hoshikaze (5-1) uwatenage Ms5w Kaisei (4-2) Ms3e Hochiyama (4-2) oshidashi Ms1w Kanbayashi (3-3) Ms1e Matsutani (4-2) hikiotoshi Ms4e Aoki (3-3)
Asashosakari Posted March 24, 2010 Posted March 24, 2010 Jd18e Takada (4-2) hikiotoshi Jd24e Makuhari (3-3) Sandanme debut secured for the former 5-basho persister. Well done! Actually - he even looks kinda prospecty right now. I wonder what the Predictatron thinks about a 17-year-old who's at the 56th (with 4-3) or 50th (with 5-2) percentile after 13 basho...
Pippooshu Posted March 24, 2010 Posted March 24, 2010 (edited) I've said this, two tournment ago but I repeat it: Aoiyama is a cannibal. From his beginnig in the official sumo he has lost only one time. Until now this is his score: 7-0 7-0 (1-0: win against Kazafuzan in the Kettei-Sen) 6-1 6-0... That's incredible... Edited March 24, 2010 by Pippooshu
Gusoyama Posted March 24, 2010 Posted March 24, 2010 (edited) I've said this, two tournment ago but I repeat it: Aoiyama is a cannibal. From his beginnig in the official sumo he has lost only one time. Until now this is his score:7-0 7-0 (1-0: win against Kazafuzan in the Kettei-Sen) 6-1 6-0... That's incredible... Even if he loses tomorrow, he will be one of 11 to start with 26 or more wins in the first 4 basho of a career. Here are the other 10. (Kuniazuma does not count because he was returning from injury, as I was told, and the link clearly shows) Good company to have: 3 Yokozuna - Asashoryu, Wakanohana, Musashimaru 1 Ozeki - Konishiki 2 Komusubi - Itai, Kokkai 3 Maegashira - Yoshikaze, Sakaizawa, Tosayutaka 1 Juryo - Daishodai Edited March 24, 2010 by Gusoyama
Randomitsuki Posted March 24, 2010 Posted March 24, 2010 Actually - he even looks kinda prospecty right now. I wonder what the Predictatron thinks about a 17-year-old who's at the 56th (with 4-3) or 50th (with 5-2) percentile after 13 basho... Pre-basho prediction: Sandanme 12 career-high. Post-basho prediction for a 4-3: Sandanme 12 career high Post-basho prediction for a 5-2: Makushita 17 career high. Thus spoke Predictatron. Cough.
Randomitsuki Posted March 24, 2010 Posted March 24, 2010 I partially revoke the cough, as Predictatron was fed with inaccurate data. A 4-3 should move Takada to the 53rd percentil (not the 56th), a 5-2 to the 49th percentil (not to the 50th). Upon recalibration the predictions are Makushita 9 (for a 5-2) vs. Makushita 32 (for a 4-3).
Asashosakari Posted March 24, 2010 Posted March 24, 2010 I partially revoke the cough, as Predictatron was fed with inaccurate data.A 4-3 should move Takada to the 53rd percentil (not the 56th), a 5-2 to the 49th percentil (not to the 50th). Upon recalibration the predictions are Makushita 9 (for a 5-2) vs. Makushita 32 (for a 4-3). Hmm... Here are the assumptions I made: 1) currently 671 rikishi on the banzuke 2) 50 rikishi coming in from maezumo 3) guesstimated ~20 rikishi going intai or falling off the banzuke after Haru --> ~700 rikishi on the Natsu banzuke 4) 4-3 should move Takada to about Sd100 (#390), 5-2 to about Sd80 (#350) Checking now, I see my 5-2 estimate was a bit optimistic, it's more like Sd83 on average so #355ish.
Bealzbob Posted March 26, 2010 Posted March 26, 2010 (edited) Aoiyama is certainly a Bulgarian in a hurry. It sure looks like he can match the gorilla's achievement of being sekitori in only his 6th basho (not including maezumo). Edited March 26, 2010 by Bealzbob
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