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Guess Kiribayama's Aite - May 2023 edition

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Announcing the May 2023 edition of Guess Kisenosato's Aite.... / Guess Hokutofuji's Aite....

Guess Kiribayama's Aite

All you have to do is guess S1E Kiribayama's opponent each day, before the torikumi comes out. If you guess correctly, you get a shiroboshi. This is surprisingly more fun (or frustrating) and challenging than it should be. It also gets you to think a bit more about the 'inner-workings' of sumo.

Here is the current banzuke:-

Banzuke for May 2023
Reonito (YOW 11-4) Y1 
Sakura (YOE 10-5) YO Gurowake (Y1E Kosho) 
Oshirokita (S1E 12-3) S1 Sumo Spiffy (S1W 12-3)
Seiyashi (M3E 10-4-1) K1 Jejima (K1W Kosho)
Profomisakari (K1E 9-6) M1 Ryoshishokunin (M1E 9-4-2)  
Hakuhonofan (M2E 9-6)  M2 WAKATAKE (M2W Kosho) 
Jakusotsu (M1W 8-7) M3 shimodahito (M3W 9-5-1) 
The Kyokai (M4E 2-13) M4 Bunbukuchagama (mz) 7-7-1
Tetsuba (mz) 7-6-2 M5

Comments:
Oshirokita and Sumo Spiffy will both be considered for promotion to Ozeki with a Yusho or Yusho equivalent Jun-Yusho this basho.

The rules are as follows:-
1. Guess S1E Kiribayama's opponents on each day of the basho.
2. Entries need to be in before 11:30 am Japan time on the previous day, except for the days 1 and 2 entries which need to be in before 11:30 am Japan time on the Friday prior to the start of the basho. If it turns out that the daily toriukumi is printed before these times, then any entry proved to have come afterwards is not allowed for that day (so enter early to be safe).
3. Tie-breakers to decide the Yusho.... We look at the result of the day 15 prediction, then day 14, and so on back to day 1. If still a tie, then the highest ranked on the banzuke can claim the Yusho.
4. If S1E Kiribayama goes kyujo during the basho, we switch to S1W Hoshoryu (S2E Daieisho then S2W Wakamotoharu kept further in reserve, if needed due to a mass spate of kyujos) for the days after his fusensho loss (I.e. we can still guess who gets the freebie). For the immediate day afterwards, (unless it is known very soon after the event), everyone will get a 'kyujo'.
5. Players that are leading the Yusho race (especially in the final few days of the basho), are requested / expected to get their picks in very early (before all the other players, if possible) - in order to avoid suspicions of 'tactical picking'.
6. If the kyokai changes the originally posted torikumi for any day (such as for a late kyujo), the first version released will be used for the purpose of this game. (Highlighted, so that I will remember it, unlike in a previous basho!)
7. 
If the sumo forum goes down for a long period of time, you may still make your picks to Jejima or Jakusotsu at the 'obvious' gmail addresses or by any other method. 

Special prizes (many thanks to Yaochoyama):

1. Outstanding performance (shukun-sho) - the one who correctly picks the aite the most consecutive days. You have to have a minimum of three to win this prize.

2. Fighting spirit (kanto-sho) - the one who limits their incorrect aite picks to the shortest number of consecutive days (literally the one whose longest losing streak is the shortest). Any losing streak of 5 or more days would disqualify you from this prize.

3. Technique (gino-sho) - the one who is best at making correct picks when no one, or hardly anyone else does. A point system is used as follows and you need at least 3 points to claim this prize:

3 points if you're the only win to make the correct pick
2 points if you're one of two to make the correct pick
1 point if you're one of three to make the correct pick

New players ((Order,order!)) are cordially invited to this game!

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No doubts about Terunofuji's participation this time, right?

If so:

1: Midorifuji
2: Endō

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Hmm, maybe I am handicapping myself here?

1. Midorifuji

2. Tobizaru

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On 03/05/2023 at 21:44, Oshirokita said:

Hmm, maybe I am handicapping myself here?

I see my mistake now. That'll teach me to make picks before filling in the same heyas on my grid. Oops.

  • Like 1

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On 07/05/2023 at 08:28, Oshirokita said:

I see my mistake now. That'll teach me to make picks before filling in the same heyas on my grid. Oops.

You can still change your mind!

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3 hours ago, Jejima said:

You can still change your mind!

If we get news of a new kyujo before the torikumi are released I might change my picks. If not, I won't since I don't feel it is ethical to change picks after looking at everyone else's.

  • Like 1

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3 hours ago, Oshirokita said:

If we get news of a new kyujo before the torikumi are released I might change my picks. If not, I won't since I don't feel it is ethical to change picks after looking at everyone else's.

This is good of you, but I'll be upfront about this: I haven't put out my torikumi video because I've been trying to figure out why day 2 is Endo and not Takayasu, and Endo would have never occurred to me if not for this thread. I think I see why, but if I'm right, it involves some kind of norm or guideline or whatever that I had no idea existed until now. There's no mechanical reason why it can't be Takayasu. The only difference between us is I was, as usual, late to the party.

  • Like 1

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Reonito (Y1e) 2-0
Sakura (YOe) 2-0
Gurowake (YOw) 2-0
Sumo Spiffy (S1w) 2-0
Seiyashi (K1e) 2-0
Jejima (K1w) 2-0
Hakuhonofan (M2e) 2-0
WAKATAKE (M2w) 2-0
Jakusotsu (M3e) 2-0
shimodahito (M3w) 2-0
Bunbukuchagama (M4w) 2-0
Hoshotakamoto (mz) 2-0
Oshirokita (S1e) 1-1
Profomisakari (M1e) 1-1
Tetsuba (M5e) 1-1
The Kyokai (M4e) 0-2
Ryoshishokunin (M1w) kosho

Kiribayama's aites: 1. Midorifuji, 2. Endo

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12 hours ago, Profomisakari said:

I believe I'm to old to understand this.

Now I'm sure I am to old to understand this. 

Edited by Profomisakari
  • Haha 2

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