Guess Kiribayama's Aite - November 2022 edition

[Jejima 978]

Announcing the November 2022 edition of Guess Kisenosato's Aite.... / Guess Hokutofuji's Aite....

Guess Kiribayama's Aite

All you have to do is guess K1W Kiribayama's opponent each day, before the torikumi comes out. If you guess correctly, you get a shiroboshi. This is surprisingly more fun (or frustrating) and challenging than it should be. It also gets you to think a bit more about the 'inner-workings' of sumo.

Here is the current banzuke:-

Banzuke for November 2022

Reonito (YOE 10-5) Y1 
Sakura (YOW 9-6) YO Gurowake (Y1E 8-7) 
Jakusotsu (S1W 9-6)  S1 Oshirokita (S1E 8-7)
                                       S2  Hakuhonofan (K1E 11-3-1)
Profomisakari (K1W 9-6)  K1 Sumo Spiffy (M1E 10-5)
WAKATAKE (M2W 8-5-2) M1 shimodahito (M3E 8-4-3) 
Seiyashi (M1W 7-7-1) M2  Jejima (M3W 4-11)
The Kyokai (M4E 3-12) M3 Ryoshishokunin (M4W Kosho)

Banzuke-gai
Chartorenji (M2E 0-0-15) 

Comment:
Hakuhonofan will be considered for promotion to Ozeki with a yusho, or yusho equivalent.

The rules are as follows:-
1. Guess K1W Kiribayama's opponents on each day of the basho.
2. Entries need to be in before 11:30 am Japan time on the previous day, except for the days 1 and 2 entries which need to be in before 11:30 am Japan time on the Friday prior to the start of the basho. If it turns out that the daily toriukumi is printed before these times, then any entry proved to have come afterwards is not allowed for that day (so enter early to be safe).
3. Tie-breakers to decide the Yusho.... We look at the result of the day 15 prediction, then day 14, and so on back to day 1. If still a tie, then the highest ranked on the banzuke can claim the Yusho.
4. If K1W Kiribayama goes kyujo during the basho, we switch to K1E Tamawashi (K2E Tobizaru, then K2W Daieisho kept further in reserve, if needed due to a mass spate of kyujos) for the days after his fusensho loss (I.e. we can still guess who gets the freebie). For the immediate day afterwards, (unless it is known very soon after the event), everyone will get a 'kyujo'.
5. Players that are leading the Yusho race (especially in the final few days of the basho), are requested / expected to get their picks in very early (before all the other players, if possible) - in order to avoid suspicions of 'tactical picking'.
6. If the kyokai changes the originally posted torikumi for any day (such as for a late kyujo), the first version released will be used for the purpose of this game. (Highlighted, so that I will remember it, unlike in a previous basho!)
7. If the sumo forum goes down for a long period of time, you may still make your picks to Jejima or Jakusotsu at the 'obvious' gmail addresses or by any other method. 

Special prizes (many thanks to Yaochoyama):

1. Outstanding performance (shukun-sho) - the one who correctly picks the aite the most consecutive days. You have to have a minimum of three to win this prize.

2. Fighting spirit (kanto-sho) - the one who limits their incorrect aite picks to the shortest number of consecutive days (literally the one whose longest losing streak is the shortest). Any losing streak of 5 or more days would disqualify you from this prize.

3. Technique (gino-sho) - the one who is best at making correct picks when no one, or hardly anyone else does. A point system is used as follows and you need at least 3 points to claim this prize:

3 points if you're the only win to make the correct pick
2 points if you're one of two to make the correct pick
1 point if you're one of three to make the correct pick

New players () are cordially invited to this game!

Edited November 2, 2022 by Jejima

[Seiyashi 3,460]

This seems too easy:

1: Shōdai
2: Takakeishō

Or am I missing something?

Edited November 4, 2022 by Seiyashi
Yep, definitely missed something, but what?

[Gurowake 3,485]

7 hours ago, Jejima said:

All you have to do is guess M8W Hokutofuji's opponent each day

erm...

[Seiyashi 3,460]

7 minutes ago, Gurowake said:

7 hours ago, Jejima said:

All you have to do is guess M8W Hokutofuji's opponent each day

erm...

If we're talking about nitpicks, then the first line also still says September 2022.

[Athenayama 476]

1 hour ago, Gurowake said:

erm...

 

57 minutes ago, Seiyashi said:

If we're talking about nitpicks, then the first line also still says September 2022.

Come on, give the man a break, he must handle several games at a time!

[Jejima 978]

I think all correct now? 

Edited November 2, 2022 by Jejima

[Jejima 978]

38 minutes ago, Athenayama said:

 

Come on, give the man a break, he must handle several games at a time!

Actually it's the house-hunting in a rush that is taking up all my time....

[Gurowake 3,485]

1. Ura

2. Wakatakakage

[Sakura 1,257]

1. Ura
2. Wakatakakage

[shimodahito 244]

Greetings all.  My goal is to not miss a day.
1.Ura
2.Wakatakakage

[Sumo Spiffy 247]

1. Ura

2. Wakatakakage

There's a contrarian in me that wants to go with Meisei on day 2, but that only works if schedules are made purely by ordering rikishi top to bottom, and whether they're komusubi or sekiwake or whatever doesn't matter. But there isn't a lot to go on, and too much still says Waka is the guy.

[Reonito 686]

Now that there's more info that Teru should be out, and barring any other news,

1. Ura

2. Wakatakakage

[Jejima 978]

1. Ura

2. W5A

[Hakuhonofan 326]

1. Ura

2. Wakatakakage

[Jakusotsu 4,906]

No clue how they'll solve that mess...

Day 1 - Ura
Day 2 - WTK

[Sumo Spiffy 247]

14 hours ago, Jakusotsu said:

No clue how they'll solve that mess...

Day 1 - Ura
Day 2 - WTK

Which mess?

[Oshirokita 155]

1. Ura

2. Wakatakakage

[Jakusotsu 4,906]

7 hours ago, Sumo Spiffy said:

Which mess?

The 2O-3S-4K mess.

[Profomisakari 626]

I don't know better:

Day 1  -  Ura
Day 2  -  Wakatakakage

 

[WAKATAKE 2,365]

1. Ichinojo

2. Ura

[Jakusotsu 4,906]

Seiyashi was indeed missing something (but what?), and WAKATAKE will be kind of glad being wrong because he missed the deadline by three minutes.

Reonito (Y1e) 2-0
Sakura (YOe) 2-0
Gurowake (YOw) 2-0
Jakusotsu (S1e) 2-0
Oshirokita (S1w) 2-0
Hakuhonofan (S2w) 2-0
Profomisakari (K1e) 2-0
Sumo Spiffy (K1w) 2-0
shimodahito (M1w) 2-0
Jejima (M2w) 2-0
WAKATAKE (M1e) 0-0-2
Seiyashi (M2e) 0-2
Ryoshishokunin (M3w) 0-0-2
The Kyokai (M3e) 0-2

Kiribayama's aites: 1. Ura, 2. Wakatakakage

[Jakusotsu 4,906]

Day 3 - Midorifuji

(...unless they will kick out Ichinojo after all...)

[Seiyashi 3,460]

2 hours ago, Jakusotsu said:

Seiyashi was indeed missing something (but what?)

That there was no K2e last basho.

Day 3 - Midorifuji.

[Gurowake 3,485]

13 hours ago, Jakusotsu said:

(...unless they will kick out Ichinojo after all...)

I don't think this matters for this game this particular day.

3. Midorifuji

[Reonito 686]

The guesses aren't due until Sunday (Monday 11:30 am Japan time), correct? The first couple of days always throw me off.