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Sakura

Break The Curse (The Nigate Game) Natsu 2022

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Welcome to Break The Curse (The Nigate Game) 

It's an easy game to play, but you have to pick wisely.

In this daily game, you have to choose three Makuuchi bouts where you think a rikishi with a losing head-to-head record against his opponent will win. Post you guesses either here with spoiler tags or PM me on this forum.

Rules

1) Every day, choose three Makuuchi bouts listed for that same day. The bouts must follow this form:

                A) The first bout must contain a rikishi from Sanyaku (any bout with a  Y/O/S/K can be chosen).

                B) The second bout must contain a rikishi ranked M1 through M8.

                C) The third bout must contain a rikishi ranked M9 or lower. A lower ranked Makuuchi rikishi against a Juryo rikishi can be chosen.

2) Some bouts will fit in multiple categories (e.g. a Y vs M1 bout can be chosen for the first or second bout). However, you may not choose the same bout twice (or more). If you do, the second (or third) instance of the bout will score you 0 points.

3) Any bouts that do not fit the criteria will not score points.

4) You will score points if the rikishi with the losing record in head-to-head wins. E.g. if RIKISHI A has a 30-20 winning record over RIKISHI B and RIKISHI B wins, then you score points. If RIKISHI A wins, then you score 0 points.

5) The number of points you score is calculated by the difference in head-to-head score prior to the bout. E.g. if RIKISHI A has a 30-20 winning record over RIKISHI B and RIKISHI B wins, then you score 30-20=10 points. These points are called base points.

6) When determining points, any previous bouts between the two rikishi that were in a playoff or decided by fusen do not count. I'll be using the head-to-head stats from the database, so if it gives a head-to-head of 5[-1]-8[+1], then that will be used as a 4-8 record in the calculations.

7) Fusen: If your rikishi wins by fusen, then you get half of all points (including the bonus points in rule 9) rounded up to the nearest integer.

8) The Kotoshogiku Rule. This rule has been named in honour of Kotoshogiku's extremely lopsided head-to-head result with Hakuho. The maximum number of base points on any match-up is 20. If RIKISHI A has a head-to-head winning record of 50-5 over RIKISHI B then the base points will be 20, not 45.

9)  In addition to  the points given as described above there will be an additional  3 points for picking a winning rikishi. This should make some of the lower scoring but low risk bouts more attractive to pick. 

10) For any day, due to timezones, it may be that I cannot get to posting the points scores until well after the torikumi is out. You may choose to wait for me or calculate them yourselves.

11) Promotion Rules for Ozeki

  •  33 wins over last three basho of which last two in Sanyaku. All those bahso must have a winning record.
  •  30 wins over last three basho of which last two in Sanyaku. All those bahso must have a winning record. AND a Yusho in those three.
  • 2 Yusho over the last three basho (last two basho in Sanyaku) or a Yusho/Jun-Yusho back-to-back combination (in Sanyaku)

12) Entry deadline is start of Juryo

Winning

The winner is the one with the most points and the end of the basho. The tiebreaker is decided by the bonus points system.

The entry form is an anonymous survey that I post links to here.

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NOTE: Due to new SurveyMonkey restrictions I will once again be collecting guesses on the forum. You may either post them here with spoiler tags or PM me.

Day 1 points will be posted when DB has updated.

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Base Points for Day 1. Choose one from each section. Don't repeat bouts.

Sanyaku

3 - Daieisho (vs Terunofuji)
12 - Mitakeumi (vs Takayasu)
6 - Kiribayama (vs Shodai)
2 - Kotonowaka (vs Takakeisho)
1 - Hokutofuji (vs Wakatakakage)
3 - Tamawashi (vs Abi)
 

M1-M8 

12 - Mitakeumi (vs Takayasu)
6 - Kiribayama (vs Shodai)
2 - Kotonowaka (vs Takakeisho)
1 - Hokutofuji (vs Wakatakakage)
3 - Tamawashi (vs Abi)
3 - Onosho (vs Takanosho)
1 - Ura (vs Tobizaru)
9 - Shimanoumi (vs Kotoeko)
1 - Terutsuyoshi (vs Kotoshoho)

M9+

1 - Terutsuyoshi (vs Kotoshoho)
3 - Okinoumi (vs Tochinoshin)
1 - Nishikigi (vs Aoiyama)
1 - Chiyotairyu (vs Sadanoumi)
4 - Azumaryu (vs Yutakayama)
 

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Spoiler

Sanyaku: Mitakeumi over Takayasu

M1-M8: Shimanoumi over Kotoeko

M9+: Okinoumi over Tochinoshin

 

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Day 1 

Sanyaku - Daieisho
M1-M8 - Onosho
M9-M17 - Nishikigi

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Mitakeumi

Shimanoumi

Okinoumi

 

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Sanyaku Mitakeumi

M1-M8 Shimanoumi 

M9+ Azumaryu 

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Mitakeumi
Shimanoumi
Azumaryu

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Day 1

Mitakeumi 

Shimanoumi

Okinoumi

 

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Day 1

mitakeumi

shimanoumi

azumaryu

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I sent my picks via PM

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In addition to Achiyama, I also received picks from @Athenayama via PM.

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Mitakeumi

Shimanoumi

Okinoumi

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Picks for Day 2

Sanyaku

1 - Terunofuji (vs Takayasu)
2 - Shodai (vs Kotonowaka)
4 - Kiribayama (vs Takakeisho)
3 - Hoshoryu (vs Mitakeumi)
1 - Hokutofuji (vs Abi)
5 - Tamawashi (vs Wakatakakage)

M1-M8

1 - Terunofuji (vs Takayasu)
2 - Shodai (vs Kotonowaka)
4 - Kiribayama (vs Takakeisho)
1 - Hokutofuji (vs Abi)
5 - Tamawashi (vs Wakatakakage)
4 - Onosho (vs Endo)
5 - Wakamotoharu (vs Tobizaru)
1 - Kotoeko (vs Terutsuyoshi)
3 - Shimanoumi (vs Kotoshoho)

M9+

3 - Shimanoumi (vs Kotoshoho)
2 - Nishikigi (vs Tochinoshin)
7 - Aoiyama (vs Okinoumi)
2 - Sadanoumi (vs Chiyoshoma)
4 - Yutakayama (vs Meisei)
1 - Oho (vs Azumaryu)
1 - Ichiyamamoto (vs Kotokuzan)
 

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Kiribayama
Wakamotoharu
Yutakayama
 

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To all players. You don't have to put it out in the open if you want don't want to. PM or spoiler tags are available.

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Posted (edited)
6 hours ago, Sakura said:


 

Tamawashi

Wakamotoharu

Aoiyama

 

 

Edited by tsunamiko

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Kiribayama 

Wakamotoharu

Sadanoumi

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day 2

Shodai
Wakamotoharu
Yutakayama

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Day 2

Terunofuji

Onosho

Aoiyama

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