Ichinojo - will he find his mojo in 2022?

[Jejima 978]

In Nov/Dec 2014, two-thirds of the people doing this poll thought that Ichinojo would be an Ozeki by January 2016....

Those were the days!

Please include your predictions in the comments below, and state what you think the actual rank of Ichinojo will be on the January 2023 banzuke (important for tie-breakers).

Previous polls....

2021
2020
2019
2018
2017
2016
2015

[just_some_guy 190]

M8E

[Kashunowaka 260]

K1e

[Godango 775]

M3w

[hakutorizakura 448]

M2W

[Morty 1,398]

Same as last year - he will yo-yo around the top to middle maegashira but his best years are behind him and he isn't getting to Ozeki

[Kintamayama 40,714]

ME 2

[Churaumi 683]

He'll be joi-jin, 3 kachikoshi, one will be 11-4.

[chishafuwaku 448]

J2w, only 1kk (8-7)

[Athenayama 476]

M1W

[Shatsume 107]

M4e

[Pitinosato 81]

K1w

[Oortael 136]

M4w

[WAKATAKE 2,365]

M2E

[Yarimotsu 210]

S1E

Ichinojo will awaken from his slumber in at least one decisive tournament, probably towards the middle/end of the year.

[Jejima 978]

Easily the majority of us think that Ichinojo will be ranked in the joi-jin, one year from now. His 4-4 record after nakabi in the first basho of 2022 seems to suggest that that is a good prediction.

A bit over half of us think that half of his bashos will end up KK - again, this far into the sumo year, that is looking quite possible.

Everybody thinks that he will get at least one KK basho, as the lowest predicted worst record is '8-7'. The main spread is between 9 and 11 wins.... Again, looking fairly likely early on.

Well, we'll see....

[Jejima 978]

Ichinojo ended the year on the low, with a 4-11 at M2W. The past 15 98 cases (since 1972) of such a record at such a rank ended up with rikishi being ranked in Mid-Makunouchi (M6-M10), so he'll probably end there for January 2023. This was predicted by just_some_guy, Morty and I am the Yokozuna.

He managed three KKs (including his first ever Makunouchi Yusho). Twelve people (over half) got this correct - including the three mentioned above, who got Q1 correct.

His best Sekitori result was the 12-3 yusho in July. Nobody got this correct. Yarimotsu was over by one, and six were under by one (Kashunowaka, hakutorizakura, Churaumi, Rubensan, Benihana and WAKATAKE).

just_some_guy went with 10-5 (the closest out of the ones getting Q1 and Q2 correct), and his comment about Ichinojo's actual rank for January 2024 looks like it will be pretty close or even spot on.

So, yusho goes to @just_some_guy , I will award the jun-yusho to @Morty because he took the time to make a comment.

 

Edited November 27, 2022 by Jejima

[just_some_guy 190]

Woo!