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Jejima

Guess Hokutofuji's Aite - November 2021 edition

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Announcing the November 2021 edition of Guess Kisenosato's Aite....

Guess Hokutofuji's Aite

All you have to do is guess M12W Hokutofuji's opponent each day, before the torikumi comes out. If you guess correctly, you get a shiroboshi. This is surprisingly more fun (or frustrating) and challenging than it should be. It also gets you to think a bit more about the 'inner-workings' of sumo.

Here is the current banzuke:-

Banzuke for November 2021

Sakura (YOW 10-4-1)  Y1 Gurowake (Y1E 9-5-1)
chishafuwaku (Y1W 9-5-1) YO Reonito (YOE 8-6-1) 
Oshirokita (S1W 7-7-1) S1 Profomisakari (S1E Kosho)
Hakuhonofan (M2E 8-6-1) K1 WAKATAKE (M1W 7-4-4)    
Jejima (K1E 6-8-1) 
M1 Jakusotsu (K1W 6-8-1)
The Kyokai (M3E 4-10-1) M2  shimodahito (M2W Kosho)
Ryoshishokunin (M3W 3-11-1) M3 Seiyashi (mz 3-11-1) 

Comment:
Nothing to say, for a change.

The rules are as follows:-
1. Guess M12W Hokutofuji's opponents on each day of the basho.
2. Entries need to be in before 11:30 am Japan time on the previous day, except for the days 1 and 2 entries which need to be in before 11:30 am Japan time on the Friday prior to the start of the basho. If it turns out that the daily toriukumi is printed before these times, then any entry proved to have come afterwards is not allowed for that day (so enter early to be safe).
3. Tie-breakers to decide the Yusho.... We look at the result of the day 15 prediction, then day 14, and so on back to day 1. If still a tie, then the highest ranked on the banzuke can claim the Yusho.
4. If M12W Hokutofuji goes kyujo during the basho, we switch to M12E Ishiura (M13E Yutakayama, then M13W Tochinoshin kept further in reserve, if needed due to a mass spate of kyujos) for the days after his fusensho loss (I.e. we can still guess who gets the freebie). For the immediate day afterwards, (unless it is known very soon after the event), everyone will get a 'kyujo'.
5. Players that are leading the Yusho race (especially in the final few days of the basho), are requested / expected to get their picks in very early (before all the other players, if possible) - in order to avoid suspicions of 'tactical picking'.
6. If the kyokai changes the originally posted torikumi for any day (such as for a late kyujo), the first version released will be used for the purpose of this game. (Highlighted, so that I will remember it, unlike in a previous basho!)
7. 
If the sumo forum goes down for a long period of time, you may still make your picks to Jejima or Jakusotsu at the 'obvious' gmail addresses or by any other method. 

Special prizes (many thanks to Yaochoyama):

1. Outstanding performance (shukun-sho) - the one who correctly picks the aite the most consecutive days. You have to have a minimum of three to win this prize.

2. Fighting spirit (kanto-sho) - the one who limits their incorrect aite picks to the shortest number of consecutive days (literally the one whose longest losing streak is the shortest). Any losing streak of 5 or more days would disqualify you from this prize.

3. Technique (gino-sho) - the one who is best at making correct picks when no one, or hardly anyone else does. A point system is used as follows and you need at least 3 points to claim this prize:

3 points if you're the only win to make the correct pick
2 points if you're one of two to make the correct pick
1 point if you're one of three to make the correct pick

New players ((Order,order!)) are cordially invited to this game!

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I unfortunately will have to be kyujo this basho, as I'll be without internet access for a good proportion of the first half of the basho. 

But as the good Terminator says, I'll be back - to prop up the bottom of the banzuke! 

Edited by Seiyashi
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It's the fun new game of "Guess how many people ranked ahead of Hokutofuji will be kyujo, because most of them aren't important enough to announce it ahead of time".

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Just now, Gurowake said:

It's the fun new game of "Guess how many people ranked ahead of Hokutofuji will be kyujo, because most of them aren't important enough to announce it ahead of time".

I guess it's only a question of whether that number is even or odd, as long as it's not at nearby ranks.

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6 hours ago, Reonito said:

I guess it's only a question of whether that number is even or odd, as long as it's not at nearby ranks.

It's modulo four rather than 2 for day 2..

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Assuming everyone is in, it should definitely be

1. Ishiura

My math comes up with

2. Kotonowaka

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Day 2's lottery did a fine job separating the wheat from the chaff:

Sakura (2-0)
Gurowake (2-0)
Reonito (2-0)
Oshirokita (1-1)
Profomisakari (1-1)
WAKATAKE (1-1)
Jejima (1-1)
Jakusotsu (1-1)
Ryoshishokunin (1-1)
chishafuwaku (0-0-2)
Hakuhonofan (0-2)
shimodahito (0-0-2)
sahaven111 (0-2)
The Kyokai (0-2)
Seiyashi (kosho)

Hokutofuji's aites: 1. Ishiura, 2. Kotonowaka

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8 hours ago, Jakusotsu said:

Day 2's lottery did a fine job separating the wheat from the chaff:

Not a lottery.  I just didn't check for do-beya matchups and now feel dumb.
3. Tochinoshin

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3. terutsuyoshi....  missed one of the rare chances to co-share the lead ;-)

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3. Tochinoshin

Edited by Gurowake

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