Asashosakari

Banzuke for Kyushu 2021

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1 hour ago, Tigerboy1966 said:

A missed opportunity. What's wrong with Kyokukagayakiyama?

Not even Kunio puts that many notes into it.

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I am missing the new banzuke in the sumo db. How long does it normally take after publication for it to show? 

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2 hours ago, orandashoho said:

I am missing the new banzuke in the sumo db. How long does it normally take after publication for it to show? 

Can be any time between right after the banzuke drops and right before the basho starts. ;-)

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On 31/10/2021 at 17:06, Asashosakari said:

No joi position for Sd21 yusho winner Fujiseiun.

I've taken a look at this, and it's clear that the area is extremely crowded.  Keep in mind that in general, the higher you're ranked in Makushita, the less your movement will be, though over these ranges there's little change.  The rikishi listed before the gaps below all had twice as much separation from the rikishi above them on the list on the current banzuke compared to the previous banzuke.  The ones after the gaps are where things returned more or less to normal, and in two cases there was a shift in the opposite direction, indicating a relative lack of people to put in that area.

3-4:
Roga Ms6w -> Ms13e
Tsurubayashi Ms7w -> Ms15e
Tsukahara Mw8w -> Ms17e
--
Dewanoryu Ms11w -> Ms19e


4-3:
Kototsubasa Ms19e -> Ms14e
Mineyaiba Ms20e -> Ms16e
--
Kamito Ms22e -> Ms18e

5-2:

Atamifuji Ms24w -> Ms14w
Ishizaki Ms25e -> Ms15w
Tennozan Ms25w ->  Ms16w
--
Hokutenkai Ms28w -> Ms18w

For completion's sake, I'll mention that Ms12e Chiyootori was 2-5 from Ms3e, Ms12w Asashiyu was 1-14 from J13w, and Ms13w Kanno was 6-1 from Ms34e.  Ms17w is our man Fujiseiun.  If you consider how most sekitori demotions are handled (Oki 0-15 J13e -> Ms13e for 2020.11), Asashiyu's looks really harsh, which gives evidence that the area above this was also crowded, as one usually sees that the sekitori demotions are given preference for spots - notice how Oki's demotion is exactly 14 ranks - one for each loss greater than wins and one for the division boundary - by this reasoning, Asashiyu should have been Ms11w.  There's also 3-4 Tochimaru Ms5e -> Ms10w, a smaller gap by a full rank compared to Roga's demotion, although this stretching is a little more reasonable given how much the top of the division is compressed.

Now this doesn't explain why most previous Sd20-25 rikishi got a Ms15 spot, but it suggests that giving them such a spot is not as hard-coded into the movements as certain promotions are.  If you go back to 2012.09, there was Hagane Sd25e -> Ms17w, while in 2016.03 there was Karatsuumi Sd25e -> Ms15e.  So it's possible, just not a guarantee.

 

Edited by Gurowake
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