Sakura

Promotion/Demotion/Yusho Discussion Aki 2021

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@Asashosakari will not be able to provide coverage of this topic this basho. I've covered before, and I am willing to do so again. It'll be about 8 hours before I get Day 8 up though, but it will come. Thanks for your patience.

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Day 8 (resultstext-only results)

8-0 Yw Terunofuji

7-1 M10w Myogiryu

6-2 S1e Mitakeumi, M6w Onosho, M8e Okinoumi, M11e Endo, M17e Chiyonokuni

I apologise that this took a long time to make. So, shin-Yokozuna Terunofuji is off to a great start, looking utterly dominant in most of his matches and didn't look like he would lose in those that were more challenging. It certainly seems to be his for the taking at the moment. The quality of the competition just isn't up to his level and he has been the most dominant rikishi of the last year. That's no disrespect to one-behind Myogiryu, who has shown some good form this basho against mid-ranked opponents.

We're without Yokozuna Hakuho for this tournament, since his whole heya was sidelined again for COVID reasons. This time it was Hokuseiho who kept testing positive and a a result we've been robbed of a potential head-to-head (assuming that Hakuho's body would have made it that far) against Terunofuji.

Ozeki Shodai has been his usual self, and should make his kachi-koshi. Kadoban Takakeisho opened up the basho with three straight losses and looking shaky doing so. He's improved since then and now sits at 4-4, but it'll still be a fight to avoid demotion. However, aside from Terunofuji, I wouldn't say that anyone was looking good enough, that if Takakeisho's having a reasonable day, that it would be an automatic loss. I'm not counting him out just yet.

In the lower Sanyaku, Mitakeumi has looked like his better self, but given his history anything from 8 to 12 wins by the end of the basho seems plausible. Meisei, Takayasu and Ichinojo have all struggled to some degree, so there is good potential for  number of slots to open up. Of course, none have yet and we don't know if Takakeisho will be occupying one of them. Kiribayama has the lead position at the moment in case any should open up.

Finally, we should remember that Asanoyama still exists. However, his Sekiwake rank is just a placeholder as her serves his suspension and he can be ignored for the rest of the basho.

  ky-COVID Hakuho Y Terunofuji 8-0
  5-3 Shodai O Takakeisho 4-4
  6-2 Mitakeumi S Meisei 3-5
(x) susp Asanoyama S  
  3-5 Takayasu K Ichinojo 3-5
           
  2-4-2 Hoshoryu M1 Takanosho 4-4
      M2 Kiribayama 5-3
  4-4 Wakatakakage M3 Kotonowaka 3-5
  3-5 Tamawashi M4 Daieisho 5-3
      M5 Takarafuji 4-4
  4-4 Ura M6 Onosho 6-2
  3-5 Shimanoumi M7 Terutsuyoshi 3-5
  6-2 Okinoumi M8 Tobizaru 4-4
  4-4 Aoiyama M9 Hidenoumi 3-5
  4-4 Chiyotairyu M10 Myogiryu 7-1
  6-2 Endo M11    
      ...    
  5-3 Chiyomaru M16    
  6-2 Chiyonokuni M17    

 

At the bottom end of the division, Tokushoryu is the most endangered rikishi, needing 5 wins to keep his place. There are four more riksihi needing at least four to have survivable records. One thing we learnt from last time is that having a survivable record can take precedence over a candidate with a strong promotable record. Further good news for the rikishi at this end of the division is that Juryo (as per usual) is not producing much in the way of good promotion candidates. Only Akua and Sadanoumi seem reasonable at the moment and Sadanoumi still requires 3 for a proper promotable record. Everyone else will have to put together a serious winning streak.

(1) 1-7 Chiyoshoma M5      
      ...      
      M9 Hidenoumi 3-5 (1)
      M10      
      M11 Kotoeko 2-6 (3)
  ky-COVID Ishiura M12 Tochinoshin 2-6 (4)
(2) 4-4 Kagayaki M13 Tsurugisho 4-4 (2)
(3) 3-5 Kaisei M14 Yutakayama 4-4 (3)
(4) 3-5 Ichiyamamoto M15 Chiyonoo 3-5 (4)
(2) 5-3 Chiyomaru M16 Tokushoryu 3-5 (5)
(2) 6-2 Chiyonokuni M17      
             
(6) 2-6 Mitoryu J1 Akua 7-1 (1)
(7) 2-6 Daiamami J2 Kyokutaisei 2-4-2 (x)
(6) 3-5 Wakamotoharu J3 Sadanoumi 6-2 (3)
(6) 4-4 Shohozan J4 Kaisho 5-3 (5)
(4) 6-2 Abi J5 Bushozan 5-3 (5)
(7) 4-4 Oho J6      
(5) 6-2 Daishomaru J7      
      J8 Kotoshoho 6-2 (6)
(6) 6-2 Nishikifuji J9    
      J10 Nishikigi 6-2 (7)

 

There have been a number of bad performances in Juryo, including seemingly injured Azumaryu and Hakuyozan. However, their ranking might be enough to save them if rikishi below them don't start winning soon. These include veteran Kyokushuho who needs 5 to be safe and shin-Juryo Asashiyu (ex-Murata), who is certainly finding sekitori competition a struggle. No one in Makushita has a claim yet, but aside from the two undefeated rikishi in the extended promotion zone, the best position in the promotion queue belongs to Terasawa, sitting at 3-1 at Ms1e and with over a strong-looking Juryo rikishi Daishoho  to boot. I'm hoping the man with the famous mawashi gets promoted.

      J6 Hakuyozan 1-7 (3)
      J7 Tohakuryu 2-6 (2)
(3) 2-6 Azumaryu J8      
      J9    
(2) 4-4 Yago J10      
  ky-COVID Enho J11 Midorifuji 3-5 (3)
(5) 2-6 Kyokushuho J12 Hokuseiho ky-COVID  
(4) 3-5 Takakento J13 Asashiyu 1-7 (6)
(4) 4-4 Churanoumi J14 Daishoho 6-2 (2)
             
  3-1 Terasawa Ms1 Chiyoarashi 2-2  
  2-2 Hiradoumi Ms2 Kotokuzan 3-1  
  1-3 Chiyootori Ms3 Hokaho ky-COVID (x)
  1-3 Jokoryu Ms4 Kotoyusho 3-1  
  2-2 Tochimaru Ms5 Akiseyama kyujo (x)
      ...      
      Ms9 Tsushimanada 4-0  
      ...      
  4-0 Kitanowaka Ms11      

 

Given that we're well into Day 9 already, I will wait to post the Juryo and other lower division results.

 

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Day 9 (resultstext-only results)

8-1 Yw Terunofuji

7-2 M6w Onosho, M8e Okinoumi, M10w Myogiryu, M11e Endo, M17e Chiyonokuni

6-3 Oe Shodai, Se Mitakeumi, M2w Kiribayama, M4w Daieisho, M16e Chiyomaru

Yusho and Sanyaku race

So, the zensho-yusho is off, courtesy of Terunofuji's loss to Daieisho. Daieisho gave a powerful performance, showing the same levels that he was producing in January. It's a pity he's not that consistent with it. The zensho-yusho may be off, but the yusho is still Terunofuji's to lose. He still holds a one win advantage after Myogiryu succumbed to a loss against Onosho. With that win, Onosho finds himself in the one-win-behind grouping with Myogiryu, as well as Okinoumi, Endo and Chiyonokuni who were all successful today.

Out of the 2-loss group, four of the five are paired up tomorrow with Endo taking on Onosho and Myogiru facing Okinoumi. Chiyonkuni gets the struggling Hidenoumi. There are still a few permutations left amongst this group, and I expect we might see Myogiryu-Chiyonokuni on Day 11.

The only member of the two loss group not to win on Day 9 was Mitakeumi, beaten in convincing fashion by Kiribayama. Kiribayama himself is now in the chasing group 2-behind alongside Mitakeumi, Ozeki Shodai, Chiyomaru and Daieisho. The Mongolian remains the frontrunner for any open Sanyaku slots. Those slots are looking increasingly likely as Ichinojo looked poor in a defeat against Takanosho and Takayasu struggled against Takakeisho. The Ozeki now needs just three wins to retain his rank and is looking good to do so, though a defeat against tomorrow's Sekiwake opponent Meisei would be a major setback.

Shodai survived against Chiyoshoma, but didn't look as good as he has been this basho, whereas Meisei looked strong in his win against Tamawashi. He'll have to defeat at least one of Terunofuji, Shodai and Takakeisho if he wants a kachi-koshi however.

The other Sanyaku matchups tomorrow are Shodai-Daieisho, Mitakeumi-Wakatakakage, Ichinojo-Tamawashi, Takaysu-Kotonowaka and Terunofuji-Ura. The last of these I would consider intriguing if it weren't for the fact that Ura's knees seem in worse shape than the Yokozuna's.

 

  ky-COVID Hakuho Y Terunofuji 8-1
  6-3 Shodai O Takakeisho 5-4
  6-3 Mitakeumi S Meisei 4-5
(x) susp Asanoyama S  
  3-6 Takayasu K Ichinojo 3-6
           
  3-4-2 Hoshoryu M1 Takanosho 5-4
      M2 Kiribayama 6-3
  4-5 Wakatakakage M3 Kotonowaka 3-6
  3-6 Tamawashi M4 Daieisho 6-3
      M5 Takarafuji 5-4
  4-5 Ura M6 Onosho 7-2
  4-5 Shimanoumi M7 Terutsuyoshi 3-6
  7-2 Okinoumi M8 Tobizaru 4-5
  4-5 Aoiyama M9 Hidenoumi 3-6
  5-4 Chiyotairyu M10 Myogiryu 7-2
  7-2 Endo M11    
      ...    
  6-3 Chiyomaru M16    
  7-2 Chiyonokuni M17    

Makuuchi-Juryo 
 

There were wins by Chiyonkuni, Chiyomaru and Kagayaki to leave them needing just one win for safety (against fellow demotion candidates Tokushoryu, Hidenoumi and Kaisei respectively). Tochinoshin beat Chiyonoo to move his magic number to 3 wins. Chiyonoo along with Ichiayamamoto needs to win more than half the remaining bouts, and Tokushoryu needs to win all but one for numerical safety.

Demotion zone matchups for Day 10 are Chiyonokuni - Hidenoumi, which will guarantee safety for one of them, along with Chiyonoo- Tsurugisho, Chiyomaru-Yutakayama, and Kaisei-Ichiyamamoto.

On the Juryo side, Akua lost to former joi-and-Sanyaku regular Abi, on his way back up after his suspension. Akua is still the best candidate for promotion, needing just one win. Sadanoumi was successful against Yago and just needs two more by the numbers. Abi himself is now a reasonable candidate for promotion, but still needs to win half of his matches.

Mitoryu had to leave the basho with an injury, and will not be making his Makuuchi debut in November.

The most crucial bout in promotion terms tomorrow is Abi-Sadanonumi, with the winner getting kachi-kochi. Akua faces Bushozan.

 

(1) 1-8 Chiyoshoma M5      
      ...      
      M9 Hidenoumi 3-6 (1)
      M10      
      M11 Kotoeko 3-6 (2)
  ky-COVID Ishiura M12 Tochinoshin 3-6 (3)
(1) 5-4 Kagayaki M13 Tsurugisho 4-5 (2)
(3) 3-6 Kaisei M14 Yutakayama 5-4 (2)
(4) 3-6 Ichiyamamoto M15 Chiyonoo 3-6 (4)
(1) 6-3 Chiyomaru M16 Tokushoryu 3-6 (5)
(1) 7-2 Chiyonokuni M17      
             
(x) 2-7 Mitoryu J1 Akua 7-2 (1)
(~) 2-7 Daiamami J2      
(6) 3-6 Wakamotoharu J3 Sadanoumi 7-2 (2)
(5) 5-4 Shohozan J4 Kaisho 6-3 (4)
(3) 7-2 Abi J5 Bushozan 6-3 (4)
(6) 5-4 Oho J6      
(5) 6-3 Daishomaru J7      
      J8 Kotoshoho 7-2 (5)
(5) 7-2 Nishikifuji J9    
      J10 Nishikigi 6-3 (~)

Juryo - Makushita

I forgot to mention yesterday that the first Juryo slot is aready open, courtesy of Takagenji being kicked out. As he's not on the banzuke, I had forgotten about him.


There were four victories in the demotion zone today, three coming in intra-demotion-zone bouts, with Azumaryu beating Kyukushuho, Tohakuryu defeating Asashiyu and Midorifuji victorious against Hakuyozan. Churanoumi was also successful, defeating yusho-chasing Daishomaru. Everyone else in the chart lost. Asashiyu now has his back against the wall needing to win out to be safe by the numbers. Kyokushuho is not much better off, still needing five and Takakento could use a few wins as well.

Day 11 matchups see Chiyoarashi coming up to face Churanoumi along with bouts between Azumaryu and Asashiyu and Midorifuji and Tohakuryu.

On the Makushita side, all the top Makushitans were in action today save for Jokoryu. In the matchups of promotion hopefuls, Hiradoumi beat Tochimaru and Terasawa got his kachi-koshi against Kotoyusho. He's still not first in line yet, because that honour could go to Kitanowaka if he manages to win out. Elsewhere, Chiyoarashi beat Tsukahara but Kotokuzan lost to Shiba and Chiyootori exits the picture altogether with a loss to Roga.

The only bout of interest down here tomorrow is Jokoryu against Ukrainian hopeful Shishi.

 

      J6 Hakuyozan 1-8 (3)
      J7 Tohakuryu 3-6 (1)
(2) 3-6 Azumaryu J8      
      J9    
(2) 4-5 Yago J10      
  ky-COVID Enho J11 Midorifuji 4-5 (2)
(5) 2-7 Kyokushuho J12 Hokuseiho ky-COVID  
(4) 3-6 Takakento J13 Asashiyu 1-8 (6)
(3) 5-4 Churanoumi J14 Daishoho 6-3 (2)
             
  4-1 Terasawa Ms1 Chiyoarashi 3-2  
  3-2 Hiradoumi Ms2 Kotokuzan 3-2  
(x) 1-4 Chiyootori Ms3      
  1-3 Jokoryu Ms4 Kotoyusho 3-2  
  2-3 Tochimaru Ms5      
      ...      
      Ms9 Tsushimanada 4-1 (x)
      ...      
  5-0 Kitanowaka Ms11      

 

Explanation of sumbols

(#) Number of wins required to reach positive outcome
(o) Target number of wins achieved (whether or not the positive outcome actually happens or not is another matter)
(~) Need banzuke luck
(x) Target missed.

Edited by Sakura
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Juryo race

7-2 J1w Akua, J3w Sadanoumi, J5e Abi, J8w Kotoshoho, J9e Nishikifuji

6-3 J4w Kaisho, J5w Bushozan, J7e Daishomaru, J10w Nishikigi, J14w Daishoho

5-4 J4e Shohozan, J6e Oho, J14e Churanoumi

Juryo is being Juryo. Akua's loss today means that almost half the division is within two of the lead. There is enough pedigree here, that I won't speculate on a winner just yet. However, I'd be surprised if it came from the four loss group. Of the matches involving at least one of the two loss rikishi we have Akua-Bushozan, Nishikifuji-Hakuyozan, Kotoshoho- Daishoho and Abi-Sadanoumi. The last of the matches will guarantee us an 8-win rikishi at the end of the day.

Lower division races

5-0 Ms11e Kitanowaka (Hakkaku)
5-0 Ms25e Ishizaki (Takasago)
5-0 Ms43e Fukai (Takasago)
5-0 Ms54w Hikarifuji (Isegahama)

5-0 Sd21e Fujiseiun (Fujishima)
5-0 Sd27e Tomiyutaka (Tokitsukaze)
5-0 Sd52e Osanai (Takasago)
5-0 Sd73w Narutaki (isenoumi)
5-0 Sd82w Suguro (Fujishima)
5-0 Sd95w Taiyo (Onoe)

5-0 Jd17w Kotakiyama (Futagoyama)
5-0 Jd49e Kiryuko (Tatsunami)
5-0 Jd63e Hitoshi (Oitekaze)
5-0 Jd70e Yashiroumi (Kise)
5-0 Jd99e Kakutaiki (Michinoku)

5-0 Jk13e Mifuneyama (Kise)
5-0  Jk20e Setonoumi (Takadagawa)

In theory the Makushita race should come down to a 6-0 vs 6-0 matchup, but it's not unlikely that both 6-0 riksihi will be from Takasago, which would necessitate a different solution. It's not a foregone conclusion though as Kitanowaka should provide a good enough test for Sandanme tsukedashi starter Ishizaki. 

Sandanme should shrink down to three 6-0 rikishi as per usual. The bigger names here are Fujiseiun (undefeated in regulation for career), Osanai (just one loss in career) and Narutaki (returning from injury).

The Jonidan race only has 5 undefeated rikishi at this time, which is slightly unusual. It'll be interesting how the do things from here. The most interesting names in this group are recent Mae-zumo starters Kiryuko and Hitoshi.

In Jonokuchi we have 30-yo veteran Mifuneyama, who dropped from Makushita because of injury and 17-yo Setonoumi, who dropped from Jonidan because of injury. With only two undefeated rikishi, they'll have to be at least some matchups against 1 loss rikishi coming up.

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6 hours ago, Sakura said:

He's still not first in line yet, because that honour could go to Kitanowaka if he manages to win out.

I think we don't know whether a KK from Ms1e or a 7-0 from lower down in the extended promotion zone would take precedence if only a single juryo slot were to open, as both are as close to a guaranteed promotion as these things get. There was a time a few basho ago where this came up, but in the end a second slot opened up to make the discussion moot, and that's almost certain to happen again this time.

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Day 10 (resultstext-only results)

9-1 Yw Terunofuji

8-2 M6w Onosho, M10w Myogiryu

6-3 Oe Shodai, Se Mitakeumi, M2w Kiribayama, M8e Okinoumi, M11e Endo, M17e Chiyonokuni

Yusho and Sanyaku race

Ura tried all sorts of things (including a Nero impersonation), but it was still easy going for the Yokozuna, who remains one win ahead of a shrunken chase group. In the head-to-head matchups Onosho and Myogiryu were fairly dominant in victories against Endo and Okinoumi respectively. Chiyonokuni was a surprising loser against Hidenoumi.

Terunofuji starts his end-of-basho slate of the remaining sanyaku opponents in reverse order. Takayasu is first up. He has one of the better records against the Isegahama man, but does not look like he'll provide much resistance. Onosho has been pulled up against resurgent Ozeki Takakeisho, who was firmly in control of his match against Meisei, but Myogiryu has to face injured Ichiyamamoto. 

It is looking likely that Takakeisho will clear kadoban now as all he has to do is beat his remaining two Maegashira opponents (assuming the scheduling goes according to plan) to be safe. Meisei on the other hand will need to beat at least one of Shodai (on the slate for Day 11) and Terunofuji to avoid make-koshi. Both komusubis improved to 4-6. Takayasu got a second freebie after Kotonowaka pulled out of the tournament. He'll still need to beat at least one of Terunofuji or Meisei to avoid make-koshi though. Ichinojo beat Tamawashi and only has Shodai as a Sanyaku opponent left to fight, so probably has a better chance of avoiding the drop than Takayasu.

 

  ky-COVID Hakuho Y Terunofuji 9-1  
  7-3 Shodai O Takakeisho 6-4  
  7-3 Mitakeumi S Meisei 4-6  
(x) susp Asanoyama S    
  4-6 Takayasu K Ichinojo 4-6  
             
  3-5-2 Hoshoryu M1 Takanosho 5-5  
      M2 Kiribayama 7-3  
  4-6 Wakatakakage M3 Kotonowaka 3-7 (x)
  3-7 Tamawashi M4 Daieisho 6-4  
      M5 Takarafuji 6-4  
  4-6 Ura M6 Onosho 8-2  
  4-6 Shimanoumi M7 Terutsuyoshi 3-7  
  7-3 Okinoumi M8 Tobizaru 4-6  
  5-5 Aoiyama M9 Hidenoumi 4-6  
  6-4 Chiyotairyu M10 Myogiryu 8-2  
  7-3 Endo M11      
      ...      
(x) 6-4 Chiyomaru M16      
(x) 7-3 Chiyonokuni M17      

Makuuchi-Juryo 
Hidenoumi's surprise victory removed him from demotion danger, and he is joined there by beleaguered joi-rikishi Chiyoshoma, who took advantage of not having to face Terunofuji to beat Shimanoumi. There were also victories for Kotoeko, Tochinoshin, Chiyonoo, Yutakayama and Kaisei, the latter of who beat Ichiyamamoto who now needs to win all but one of his remaining bouts. Tokushoryu is in an even worse position after losing to Aoiyama. He'll need to win out.

In Juryo, there were a lot of wins in the promotion zone, but most of these were by rikishi who are probably still long-shots for promotion at this time, so I won't mention them here. In the direct clash, Abi beat Sadanoumi leaving both requiring two wins. Akua is now nominally promotable, but there are no open slots yet and if he finishes 8-7 they could conceivably move him over to J1e.

Kotonowaka's withdrawal means an imbalance in Makuuchi again and Wakamotoharu is coming up to face Chiyomaru. Tochinoshin and Tokushoryu face-off while everyone else goes up against an already safe opponent. 

 

(o) 2-8 Chiyoshoma M5      
      ...      
      M9 Hidenoumi 4-6 (o)
      M10      
      M11 Kotoeko 4-6 (1)
  ky-COVID Ishiura M12 Tochinoshin 4-6 (2)
(1) 5-5 Kagayaki M13 Tsurugisho 4-6 (2)
(2) 4-6 Kaisei M14 Yutakayama 6-4 (1)
(4) 3-7 Ichiyamamoto M15 Chiyonoo 4-6 (3)
(1) 6-4 Chiyomaru M16 Tokushoryu 3-7 (5)
(1) 7-3 Chiyonokuni M17      
             
      J1 Akua 8-2 (o)
(~) 3-7 Daiamami J2      
(5) 4-6 Wakamotoharu J3 Sadanoumi 7-2 (2)
(4) 6-4 Shohozan J4 Kaisho 6-4 (4)
(2) 8-2 Abi J5 Bushozan 6-4 (4)
(~) 5-5 Oho J6      
(5) 6-4 Daishomaru J7      
      J8 Kotoshoho 7-3 (5)
(4) 8-2 Nishikifuji J9    
      J10 Nishikigi 7-3 (~)

Juryo - Makushita

Azumaryu continued his resurgence against Asashiyu and now stands one win away from safety. He's joined there by Daishoho and Midorifuji who were also victorious. Kyukushuho and Churanoumi also won, the latter against Makushita visitor Chiyoarashi who now sits on the MK/KK line. Asashiyu's loss means that there should be a place for Terasawa even if Kitanowaka goes 7-0. 

Jokoryu defeated Shishi to avoid make-koshi and keep his hopes alive.

The joi is in action on Day 11 with important bouts in Jokoryu-Tochimaru (for MK) and Hiradoumi-Kotoyusho (for KK).  Kotokuzan will face Tsurubayashi.

 

      J6 Hakuyozan 1-9 (3)
      J7 Tohakuryu 3-7 (1)
(1) 4-6 Azumaryu J8      
      J9 Takagenji removed (x)
(2) 4-6 Yago J10      
  ky-COVID Enho J11 Midorifuji 5-5 (1)
(4) 3-7 Kyokushuho J12 Hokuseiho ky-COVID  
(4) 3-7 Takakento J13 Asashiyu 1-9 (~)
(2) 6-4 Churanoumi J14 Daishoho 7-3 (1)
             
(o) 4-1 Terasawa Ms1 Chiyoarashi 3-3  
  3-2 Hiradoumi Ms2 Kotokuzan 3-2  
      Ms3      
  2-3 Jokoryu Ms4 Kotoyusho 3-2  
  2-3 Tochimaru Ms5      
      ...      
  5-0 Kitanowaka Ms11      


Explanation of sumbols

(#) Number of wins required to reach positive outcome
(o) Target number of wins achieved (whether or not the positive outcome actually happens or not is another matter)
(~) Need banzuke luck
(x) Target missed.

Edited by Sakura
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Day 10

Juryo race

8-2 J1w Akua, J5e Abi, J9e Nishikifuji

7-3 J3w Sadanoumi, J8w KotoshohoJ10w Nishikigi, J14w Daishoho

6-4 J4e Shohozan, J4w Kaisho, J5w Bushozan, J7e Daishomaru, J14e Churanoumi

Abi was the winner of the 7-2 matchup against Sadanoumi and he was joined in reaching kachi-koshi. Akua dismissed chaser Bushozan and Nishikifuji was victorious over the struggling Hakuyozan. Former prospect Kotoshoho was beaten by Daishoho and drops to the chase pack. My hunch is that the final yusho score will be no worse than 11-4, but this being Juryo, I wouldn't bet on it. Akua is up against Oho in the last Juryo bout of the Day 11 action and should be favoured there. Abi has a matchup against Daishoho (4-1 head-to-head in favour of Daishoho). Nishikifuji faces Daishomaru, who started out at 5-0 but has now dropped to 6-4.

Lower-division races

No action on Day 10, of course, but on Day 11 they have matched the rikishi up straight down the banzuke order. This means than Mifuneyama is up in Jonidan again, whereas Setonoumi gets to face another 1 loss rikishi, this time in Kokuryunami.

Edited by Sakura
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Day 11

Juryo race

9-2 J5e Abi, J9e Nishikifuji

8-3 J1w AkuaJ3w Sadanoumi, J10w Nishikigi, 

7-4 J4e Shohozan, J8w Kotoshoho, J14e Churanoumi, J14w Daishoho

Both Abi and Nishikifuji prevailed against Oitekaze-beya opponents to move to 9 wins, Abi against Daishoho and Nishikifuji against Daishomaru. Akua dropped off the pace with a surprising defeat to Oho. I'm still inclined to think that the yusho score will be 11-4 or 12-3. Abi is looking like the most likely yusho winner to me, but this is Juryo so I won't place any bets on it.

Abi faces two-behind Churanoumi on Day 12 and Nishikifuji faces topped ranked yusho challenger Akua. Sadanoumi will attempt to make up the gap againsst Bushozan, whereas Nishikigi has probably the easiest task against 7-loss Azumaryu.

Lower-division races

6-0 Ms11e Kitanowaka (Hakkaku)
5-1 Ms25e Ishizaki (Takasago)
6-0 Ms43e Fukai (Takasago)
5-1 Ms54w Hikarifuji (Isegahama)

6-0 Sd21e Fujiseiun (Fujishima)
5-1 Sd27e Tomiyutaka (Tokitsukaze)
5-1 Sd52e Osanai (Takasago)
6-0 Sd73w Narutaki (isenoumi)
6-0 Sd82w Suguro (Fujishima)
5-1 Sd95w Taiyo (Onoe)

6-0 Jd17w Kotakiyama (Futagoyama)
5-1 Jd49e Kiryuko (Tatsunami)
6-0 Jd63e Hitoshi (Oitekaze)
5-1 Jd70e Yashiroumi (Kise)
5-1 Jd99e Kakutaiki (Michinoku)

6-0 Jk13e Mifuneyama (Kise)
6-0  Jk20e Setonoumi (Takadagawa)

No real surprises here. Osanai was beaten by the more experienced Narutaki and Ishizaki by Kitamowaka, but neither of these really constitutes an upset. The results leave us with two undefeated rikishi in all divisions except for Sandanme. I'm hoping that they'll pair up the rikishi by division, and have Suguro face a high ranked 5-1 opponent in Sandanme. That would be simpler than going straight down the banzuke for pairings, which could leave a huge mess in Jonidan.

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Day 11 (resultstext-only results)

10-1 Yw Terunofuji

9-2 M10w Myogiryu

8-3 Oe Shodai, Se Mitakeumi, M6w Onosho, M8e Okinoumi, M11e Endo, M17e Chiyonokuni

Yusho and Sanyaku race

Terunofuji never looked like losing against former Ozeki Takayasu.and maintains his lead. Myogiryu was unsurprisingly a victor over Ichiyamamoto to remain one behind , but Onosho lost in short order to Takakeisho to drop to two-behind. Takakeisho is now just one win away from clearing kadoban, which he ought to do against his final (barring withdrawals, or the need to insert Myogiryu into the proceedings) Maegashira opponent Takarafuji tomorrow.

The other Ozeki Shodai got his eighth win, looking very good, against Meisei, and will be secure in his Ozeki rank through January. Mitakeumi also secured his rank, at Sekiwake, very comfortably against Daieisho. After their losses, both Meisei and Takayasu sit at seven losses. Meisei will attempt to win out to retain his rank against Terunofuji, and Takayasu has already pulled out after having to leave the arena on a wheelchair today. I'll mark him with an (x) when he records his fusen today. Ichinojo was victorious against Takarafuji, but has to go up against in-form Ozeki Shodai next. At six losses, it is one he can afford to lose however. Mitakeumi goes against Onosho and yusho hopeful Myogiryu has a more straightforward task (on paper) against Kagayaki.

Kiribayama remains the frontrunner for that open slot, but the gap closed after his defeat to Wakatakakage today.

  ky-COVID Hakuho Y Terunofuji 10-1  
  8-3 Shodai O Takakeisho 7-4  
  8-3 Mitakeumi S Meisei 4-7  
(x) susp Asanoyama S    
  4-7 Takayasu K Ichinojo 5-6  
             
(x) 3-6-2 Hoshoryu M1 Takanosho 6-5  
      M2 Kiribayama 7-4  
  5-6 Wakatakakage M3      
  4-7 Tamawashi M4 Daieisho 6-5  
      M5 Takarafuji 6-5  
  4-7 Ura M6 Onosho 8-3  
  4-7 Shimanoumi M7 Terutsuyoshi 3-8 (x)
  8-3 Okinoumi M8 Tobizaru 4-7  
  6-5 Aoiyama M9 Hidenoumi 5-6  
  7-4 Chiyotairyu M10 Myogiryu 9-2  
  8-3 Endo M11      


Makuuchi-Juryo 

Victories by Chiyonokuni and Kotoeko will ensure continued Makuuchi presence for them, and for Chiyonokuni it was a well-deserved kachi-koshi as well. Tochinoshin also won, to find himself as part of a group of four rikishi needing one more win for safety. His aite today was Tokushoryu, who now finds himself with a demotable record. No more wins down here, which means that Ichiyamamoto needs to win out and Chiyonoo is not much better off.

Despite the loss, Akua is still the only Juryo rikishi with a promotable record. Abi and Sadanoumi both moved to just one win required after victories over Daishoho and Kotoshoho. There were also wins for Daiamami, Wakamotoharu, Shohozan, Oho  and Nishikifuji, but these remain long-shots for promotion for now.

There are no direct match-ups in the demotion or promotion zones on Day 12, so we could see a lot of change tomorrow.

      M11 Kotoeko 5-6 (o)
  ky-COVID Ishiura M12 Tochinoshin 5-6 (1)
(1) 5-6 Kagayaki M13 Tsurugisho 4-7 (2)
(2) 4-7 Kaisei M14 Yutakayama 6-5 (1)
(4) 3-8 Ichiyamamoto M15 Chiyonoo 4-7 (3)
(1) 6-5 Chiyomaru M16 Tokushoryu 3-8 (~)
(o) 8-3 Chiyonokuni M17      
             
      J1 Akua 8-3 (o)
(~) 4-7 Daiamami J2      
(4) 5-6 Wakamotoharu J3 Sadanoumi 8-3 (1)
(3) 7-4 Shohozan J4 Kaisho 6-5 (4)
(1) 9-2 Abi J5 Bushozan 6-5 (4)
(~) 6-5 Oho J6      
(~) 6-5 Daishomaru J7      
      J8 Kotoshoho 7-4 (~)
(3) 9-2 Nishikifuji J9    
      J10 Nishikigi 8-3 (~)


Juryo - Makushita

Asashiyu's tenth loss will send him to Makushita without question. Despite beating Tohakuryu, Kyokushuho remains in danger, and Takakento is in an even worse position needing to win our after a defeat today to Daiamami. Churanoumi beat Azumaryu to join his opponent and four others in needing just one win for safety. Direct matchups in the demotion zone include Kyokushuho - Hakuyozan and Daishoho - Tohakuryu, which will at least move one of them to safety.

There was some crucial joi-action today. Hiradoumi beat Kotoyusho to get KK. at Ms2, but could still end up as low as fifth in the promotion queue if things don't go his way. Kotoyusho can still get a kachi-koshi but is unlikely to get a promotion with the way things stand at the moment. The other Makushita 2, Kotokuzan,  also won to get a kachi-koshi today (against Tsurubayashi). Jokoryu went to 3-3 with a victory over Tochimaru. This sends Tochimaru to a make-koshi, which is particularly unfortunate after having three kachi-koshi in the Makushita promotion zone without any luck before reaching Ms1e and getting a 3-4 record. This result should send him out the promotion zone entirely (save for getting a yusho next time around). Terasawa got a fifth win for his already successful campaign and Kitanowaka remains in the hunt after defeating Ishizaki.

      J6 Hakuyozan 2-9 (2)
      J7 Tohakuryu 3-8 (1)
(1) 4-7 Azumaryu J8      
      J9 Takagenji removed (x)
(1) 5-6 Yago J10      
  ky-COVID Enho J11 Midorifuji 5-6 (1)
(3) 4-7 Kyokushuho J12 Hokuseiho ky-COVID  
(4) 3-8 Takakento J13 Asashiyu 1-10 (x)
(1) 7-4 Churanoumi J14 Daishoho 7-4 (1)
             
(o) 5-1 Terasawa Ms1 Chiyoarashi 3-3  
  4-2 Hiradoumi Ms2 Kotokuzan 4-2  
      Ms3      
  3-3 Jokoryu Ms4 Kotoyusho 3-3  
(x) 2-4 Tochimaru Ms5      
      ...      
  6-0 Kitanowaka Ms11      

 

Explanation of symbols.
(#) Number of wins required to reach positive outcome
(o) Target number of wins achieved (whether or not the positive outcome actually happens or not is another matter)
(~) Need banzuke luck
(x) Target missed.

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3 hours ago, Reonito said:

My Day 12 update at Tachiai.

So you're saying I just need ctrl-c and ctrl-v? :-)

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3 minutes ago, Sakura said:

So you're saying I just need ctrl-c and ctrl-v? :-)

It's nowhere near as detailed, and I didn't go into the Juryo yusho race or the lower divisions (although I might add the Juryo-Makushita exchange picture tomorrow). Always love to compare my take with yours or @Asashosakari's.

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2 hours ago, Reonito said:
2 hours ago, Sakura said:

So you're saying I just need ctrl-c and ctrl-v? :-)

It's nowhere near as detailed, and I didn't go into the Juryo yusho race or the lower divisions (although I might add the Juryo-Makushita exchange picture tomorrow). Always love to compare my take with yours or @Asashosakari's.

Maybe some day we should have a mini podcast-style interview thing (though not necessarily a podcast) about the promotion/demotion/yusho picture with you three masters interacting. (Applauding...)

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2 hours ago, Seiyashi said:

Maybe some day we should have a mini podcast-style interview thing (though not necessarily a podcast) about the promotion/demotion/yusho picture with you three masters interacting. (Applauding...)

I'm out of likes, but I concur.

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Day 12 (resultstext-only results)

10-2 Yw Terunofuji

9-3 M6w Onosho, M8e Okinoumi, M10w Myogiryu, M11e Endo

8-4 Oe Shodai, Ow Takakeisho, Se Mitakeumi, M17e Chiyonokuni

Yusho and Sanyaku race

A second loss for Terunofuji, this time at the hands of Meisei, who looked in control of the bout. It was no fluke by any means. Despite the loss, the Yokozuna is still the sole leader after Myogiryu was a surprising loser to Kagayaki earlier in the day. He is joined in the immediate chasing group by Onosho (who beat Mitakeumi), Okinoumi (who beat Kiribayama) and Endo (who beat Takanosho).

Mitakeumi was quoted earlier as saying he was focusing on beating Terunofuji. Perhaps he should have concentrated on his match with Onosho instead. Anyway, he is two behind and shares that space with the Ozeki pair and Chiyonokuni. Shodai lost to komusubi Ichinojo and Takakeisho removed has kadoban tag against Takarafuji. He is the first kadoban Ozeki to start 0-3 and survive.

The scheduling for Day 13 is interesting. They kept the Terunofuji-Mitakeumi match, but have seemingly skipped the Ozeki clash. The reasoning is not 100% clear, but @Gurowake suggests that given that the torikumi is made before the day's action, it looks like they are giving Takakeisho an extra Maegashira opponent to escape kadoban with. Something similar happened with Shodai a couple of basho ago. Anyway, whatever the reason, the torikumi looks good after the Day 12 action with the Ozkei paired up against two of the 9-3's. Shodai takes on Onosho and Takakeisho takes on Myogiryu, to whom he's never lost.

Okinoumi faces Ichinojo and Endo gets Kiribayama. None of the Maegashira challengers have easy match-ups, so Terunofuji leading by two from the pack is a serious prospect. On the other hand, if all goes the way of the lower-ranked rikishi, we could have a five way  tie at the end of the day 13 action.

Meisei has at least put off make-koshi for one day, and with only Maegashira opponents left (he faces Takarafuji tomorrow), a KK is a good possibility. He needs to win out to retain his rank and at to win at least two to stay in sanyaku. If he does not keep his rank, then Ichinojo at 6-6 is now a prime candidate to replace him. We've just got the one confirmed opening in Sanyaku at the moment, but we could still get up to three. Kiribayama is now joined by Onosho as joint favourites for promotion, but there are a number of rikishi near the top of the Maegashira ranks making a strong case.

  ky-COVID Hakuho Y Terunofuji 10-2  
  8-4 Shodai O Takakeisho 8-4  
  8-4 Mitakeumi S Meisei 5-7  
(x) susp Asanoyama S    
(x) 4-8 Takayasu K Ichinojo 6-6  
             
      M1 Takanosho 6-6  
      M2 Kiribayama 7-5  
  6-6 Wakatakakage M3      
  5-7 Tamawashi M4 Daieisho 7-5  
      M5 Takarafuji 6-6  
(x) 4-8 Ura M6 Onosho 9-3  
  5-7 Shimanoumi M7      
  9-3 Okinoumi M8 Tobizaru 5-7 (x)
(x) 6-6 Aoiyama M9 Hidenoumi 5-7 (x)
  7-5 Chiyotairyu M10 Myogiryu 9-3  
  9-3 Endo M11      



Makuuchi-Juryo 

Victories for Kagayaki, Tochinoshin, Yutakayama and Chiyomaru should all see the safely back in Makuuchi in November. I've left Chiyomaru as a (0) however since we now have a few more reasonable candidates to choose from. However, the last banzuke when Chiyonokuni was kept in favour instead of Juryo champion Mitoryu suggests that they won't promote anyone unless there is a spot. On the other hand, Mitoryu has been a Juryo-journeyman for most of his career, and perhaps they thought that Chiyonkuni, a Makuuchi veteran was still a better prospect to keep. It may be different if it were someone like Abi who needs the spot.

Chiyomaru's stablemate Chiyonoo is now the most endangered rikishi (aside from already demotable Tokushoryu) after a loss to Juryo visitor Daiamami. Ichiyamamoto was victorious over Terutsuyoshi but the pair of M15s will need to win out to avoid demotable records.  

Abi joins Akua in having a promotable record with a victory over Churanoumi. Sadanoumi is still waiting after a loss to Bushozan. Shohozan and Nishikifuji have now become decent candidates for promotion as they continue to win. They both only need two wins to have properly promotable records. Shohozan faces Daishoho and Nishikifuji and Sadanoumi actually face off with one another on Day 13.

  ky-COVID Ishiura M12 Tochinoshin 6-6 (o)
(o) 6-6 Kagayaki M13 Tsurugisho 5-7 (1)
(2) 4-8 Kaisei M14 Yutakayama 7-5 (o)
(3) 4-8 Ichiyamamoto M15 Chiyonoo 4-8 (3)
(0) 7-5 Chiyomaru M16 Tokushoryu 3-9 (x)
      M17      
             
      J1 Akua 8-3 (o)
(~) 5-7 Daiamami J2      
(3) 6-6 Wakamotoharu J3 Sadanoumi 8-4 (1)
(2) 8-4 Shohozan J4 Kaisho 6-6 (~)
(o) 10-2 Abi J5 Bushozan 7-5 (3)
(x) 6-6 Oho J6      
(~) 7-5 Daishomaru J7      
      J8 Kotoshoho 7-5 (x)
(2) 10-2 Nishikifuji J9    
      J10 Nishikigi 9-3 (~)


Juryo - Makushita

In the battle of the demotion candidates, Daishoho was victorious over Tohakuryu and is now safe. He is joined there by Yago, who beat Kaisho. Kyokushuho gained another victory (this time over fellow demotion candidate Hakuyozan) but still really needs two more wins. Takakento on the other hand has a properly demotable record, and given the number of good records at the very top of Makushita I think it unlikely that he would remain. 

Aside from the Makushita Yusho bout between Kitanowaka and Fukai, the only promotion candidate in action on Day 13 is Hiradoumi who comes up to try and get a 5th win, at the expense of Churanoumi.

      J6 Hakuyozan 2-10 (2)
      J7 Tohakuryu 3-9 (1)
(1) 4-8 Azumaryu J8      
      J9 Takagenji removed (x)
(o) 6-6 Yago J10      
  ky-COVID Enho J11      
(2) 5-7 Kyokushuho J12 Hokuseiho ky-COVID  
(~) 3-9 Takakento J13 Asashiyu 1-11 (x)
(1) 7-5 Churanoumi J14 Daishoho 8-4 (o)
             
(o) 5-1 Terasawa Ms1 Chiyoarashi 3-3  
  4-2 Hiradoumi Ms2 Kotokuzan 4-2  
      Ms3      
  3-3 Jokoryu Ms4 Kotoyusho 3-3  
      Ms5      
      ...      
  6-0 Kitanowaka Ms11      


Explanation of symbols.

(#) Number of wins required to reach positive outcome
(o) Target number of wins achieved (whether or not the positive outcome actually happens or not is another matter)
(~) Need banzuke luck
(x) Target missed

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Day 12

Juryo race

10-2 J5e Abi, J9e Nishikifuji

9-3 J10w Nishikigi, 

8-4 J1w Akua, J3w SadanoumiJ4e Shohozan, J14w Daishoho

Abi and Nishikifuji keep marching on. Then 10-win pair have yet to meet this basho and I expect they'll save that for Day 15 unless one, but not both, lose on Day 13. Nishikigi reamins one behind with a win over Azumaryu. I suspect that the yusho line will be no worse than 12-3 (cue a massive collapse).

Match-ups for Day 13

Abi vs Kotoshoho (J8w, 7-5)
Nishikifuji vs Sadanoumi

Nishikigi vs Tohakuryu (J7w, 3-9)

Akua vs Daishomaru (J7e, 7-5)
Shohozan vs Daishoho

I haven't actually seen any Juryo this time around, so I cannot say much more than that.

I'll cover the lower divisions after the Day 13 action.

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Day 13 (resultstext-only results)

11-2 Yw Terunofuji

10-3 M6w Onosho, M10w Myogiryu, M11e Endo

9-4 M8e Okinoumi

Yusho and Sanyaku race

Mitakeumi is often all talk and no result. It's an odd thing to say about someone with two yusho and a soon to be 17th Sekiwake appearance. He mentioned a secret strategy to beat Terunofuji, but it came to nothing and the Yokozuna remains one win ahead of the chasing pack. The pack was thinned slightly after Okinoumi lost to a resurgent and kachi-koshi chasing Ichinojo to fall back to two-off-the-pace. After being given the gift of not facing each other on day 13, the Ozeki thanked the committee by losing their matches. Shodai almost pushed Onosho out, but Onosho rallied from the edge and drove Shodai right across the dohyo and out. Takakeisho's loss to Myogiryu, to whm he had never lost, was even more surprising. He looked a bit tentative, which was taken advantage of by Myogiryu, who pulled a nice sukuinage at the edge. Onosho and Myogiryu remain in the chasing group and are joined there by Endo who dispatched Kiribayama in short order.

The results mean that the Ozeki are now out of contention for the yusho. Ichinojo just needs one more win to remain in Sanyaku, as does Meisei who beat Takarafuji comfortably. So, we still only have one confirmed open Sanyaku slot (and it's looking like it'll stay that way). Kiribayama is now only the third best candidate at the moment (jointly with Daieisho), behind Onosho and Takanosho.  

Day 14 action sees Terunofuji take on Takakeisho. The scheduled Shodai-Mitakeumi matchup has been set aside to give the yusho challenging Maegashira some tests. Shodai gets Myogiryu and Mitakeumi faces Okinoumi. Onosho has to face make-koshi avoiding Meisei and Endo gets his first sanyaku opponent in Ichinojo. None of these matchups will be easy for the chasers, so we could see Terunofuji clinch the yusho by the end of the day.

Assuming they stick with waiting for Day 14 to play out before making the torikumi then I suspect Terunofuji will face one of the challengers, only if he's tied with them after the day's action. If that is the case then we'll probably see the Ozeki matchup after all. However, I think it is much more likely that he'll be the sole leader and so he'll face Shodai in the final regulation bout f the basho.


  ky-COVID Hakuho Y Terunofuji 11-2
  8-5 Shodai O Takakeisho 8-5
  8-5 Mitakeumi S Meisei 6-7
(x) susp Asanoyama S  
(x) 4-8-1 Takayasu K Ichinojo 7-6
           
      M1 Takanosho 7-6
      M2 Kiribayama 7-6
  7-6 Wakatakakage M3    
(x) 5-8 Tamawashi M4 Daieisho 8-5
      M5 Takarafuji 6-7
      M6 Onosho 10-3
(x) 6-7 Shimanoumi M7    
  9-4 Okinoumi M8    
      M9    
(x) 7-6 Chiyotairyu M10 Myogiryu 10-3
  10-3 Endo M11    


Makuuchi-Juryo 

Losses for both Ichiayamamoto and Chiyonoo both lost and now have demotable records. I've left them as (~) needing banzuke luck for now, because it's conceivable that they win out and end up with better records than say Kaisei. On current form, that seems unlikely however. Kaisei himself only needs one ore win after beating Tobizaru, and I've marked Chiyomaru as safe, given that there are now three proper demotion candidates.

On the Juryo side of things, Sadanoumi now has a promotable record after beating yusho challenger Nishikifuji. With a reasonable number of promotion candidates, I suspect that anyone marked as needing banzuke luck won't get that luck, but I've held off from declaring them to have no hope for now.

Important bouts for Day 14 on the Makuuchi side are Ura-Kaisei, Chiyonoo-Terutsuyoshi, Shimanoumi-Tsurugisho and Ichiyamamoto-Tobizaru. On the Juryo side we have Daiamami-Nishikifuji and Shohozan- Daishomaru to keep an eye on.

  ky-COVID Ishiura M12      
    Kagayaki M13 Tsurugisho 5-8 (1)
(1) 5-8 Kaisei M14      
(~) 4-9 Ichiyamamoto M15 Chiyonoo 4-9 (~)
(o) 7-6 Chiyomaru M16 Tokushoryu 3-10 (x)
      M17      
             
      J1 Akua 8-5 (o)
(~) 6-7 Daiamami J2      
(~) 6-7 Wakamotoharu J3 Sadanoumi 9-4 (o)
(2) 8-5 Shohozan J4 Kaisho 6-7 (x)
(o) 11-2 Abi J5 Bushozan 7-6 (~)
      J6      
(~) 8-5 Daishomaru J7      
      J8      
(2) 10-3 Nishikifuji J9    
      J10 Nishikigi 10-3 (~)


Juryo - Makushita

Azumaryu picked up a fifth win, over Bushozan, to secure his sekitori status. It didn't look like that after the first week, so congratulations to him. Hakuyozan moved on step closer to safety by beating Takakento, who'll certainly be heading back to the unsalaried ranks now. Kyukoshuho continued his resurgence by beating high-ranked Wakamotoharu and needs just one more himself. Tohakuryu was beaten by yusho chasing Nishikigi and Churanoumi succumbed to Makushitan Hiradoumi who should finish second in the promotion queue and therefore secured his spot.

The only other promotable Makushitan in action on Day 13 was Kitanowaka. Unfortunately, he lost his bout against Fukai, and along with it the Makushita yusho and a Juryo promotion. 

The promotion picture might be cleared up after Day 14. We'll have three visitors to the second division. Already kachi-koshi Makushita 2 Kotokuzan faces Churanoumi. A win here should secure him the third open slot. Jokoryu has a kachi-koshi/make-koshi on the line against Kyokushuho. Chiyoarashi has the same, but against Tohakuryu. For the record Hakuyozan goes against Yago.

      J6 Hakuyozan 3-10 (1)
      J7 Tohakuryu 3-10 (1)
(o) 5-8 Azumaryu J8      
      J9 Takagenji removed (x)
      J10      
  ky-COVID Enho J11      
(1) 6-7 Kyokushuho J12 Hokuseiho ky-COVID  
(x) 3-10 Takakento J13 Asashiyu 1-12 (x)
(1) 7-6 Churanoumi J14      
             
(o) 5-1 Terasawa Ms1 Chiyoarashi 3-3  
(o) 5-2 Hiradoumi Ms2 Kotokuzan 4-2  
      Ms3      
  3-3 Jokoryu Ms4 Kotoyusho 3-3  
      Ms5      
      ...      
(x) 6-1 Kitanowaka Ms11      

Explanation of symbols.
(#) Number of wins required to reach positive outcome
(o) Target number of wins achieved (whether or not the positive outcome actually happens or not is another matter)
(~) Need banzuke luck
(x) Target missed

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Day 13

Juryo race

11-2 J5e Abi, 

10-3 J9e Nishikifuji, J10w Nishikigi, 

9-4 J3w SadanoumiJ14w Daishoho

Abi is now the sole leader of the Juryo race after defeating former Makuuchi Kotoshoho and Nishikifuji lost to promotion chasing Sadanoumi. It's his race to lose now, and I don't imagine he'll finish worse than 12-3. They've matched him up with Nishikigi for Day 14 however, with Nishikifuji a possibility for Day 15, so there is some possibility for shake-up yet.

Match-ups for Day 14

Abi vs Nishikigi

Nishikifuji vs Daiamami (J2e, 6-7)

Sadanoumi vs Oho (J6e, 7-6)
Daishoho vs Azumaryu (J8e, 5-8)

Lower division action

6-1 Ms11e Kitanowaka (Hakkaku)
7-0 Ms43e Fukai (Takasago)

7-0 Sd21e Fujiseiun (Fujishima)
6-1 Sd73w Narutaki (isenoumi)
6-1 Sd82w Suguro (Fujishima)

6-1 Jd17w Kotakiyama (Futagoyama)
7-0 Jd63e Hitoshi (Oitekaze)

6-1 Jk13e Mifuneyama (Kise)
7-0  Jk20e Setonoumi (Takadagawa)

We're down with the lower division races entirely now. There will be no playoffs below Juryo this time around. This is courtesy of Suguro failing to come through his bout with one-loss Asakishin in Sandanme meaning that his stablemate Fujiseiun's victory over Narutaki granted him that division's yusho. Fujiseiun has yet to drop a regulation bout in his career, his only defeat being a layoff in Jonidan to Osanai last time around.

As mentioned previously, Kitanowaka lost the Makushita yusho, and promotion hope, to Fukai. Somewhat surprising, but Fukai was a deserved winner in that bout. No real surprise in Hitoshi taking the Jonidan yusho over Kotakiyama, but Setonoumi beating former Makushita stalwart Mifuneyama for the Jonokuchi yusho was.

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2 hours ago, Sakura said:

The promotion picture might be cleared up after Day 14. We'll have three visitors to the second division. Already kachi-koshi Makushita 2 Kotokuzan faces Churanoumi. A win here should secure him the third open slot. Jokoryu has a kachi-koshi/make-koshi on the line against Kyokushuho. Chiyoarashi has the same, but against Tohakuryu.

I have the Makushita promotion order as Terasawa, Hiradoumi, Kotokuzan with a win, Chiyoarashi with a win, Kotokuzan with a loss, Jokoryu with a win, Kotoyusho with a win. Jokoryu and Kotoyusho have to hope for at least four open slots, and it's not clear that they'd push down any of the borderline Juryo demotion candidates even if those lose out.

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7 hours ago, Reonito said:

I have the Makushita promotion order as Terasawa, Hiradoumi, Kotokuzan with a win, Chiyoarashi with a win, Kotokuzan with a loss, Jokoryu with a win, Kotoyusho with a win. Jokoryu and Kotoyusho have to hope for at least four open slots, and it's not clear that they'd push down any of the borderline Juryo demotion candidates even if those lose out.

I concur.

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Looks like Terasawa, Hiradoumi, and Kotokuzan are going up, Jokoryu needs to hope for a Kyokushuho loss, and Kotoyusho is out of luck.

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4 minutes ago, Reonito said:

Looks like Terasawa, Hiradoumi, and Kotokuzan are going up, Jokoryu needs to hope for a Kyokushuho loss, and Kotoyusho is out of luck.

Yes. Though I'm not convinced a 4-3 at Ms4 would necessarily be enough to force down a 6-9 J12.

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14 minutes ago, Sakura said:

Yes. Though I'm not convinced a 4-3 at Ms4 would necessarily be enough to force down a 6-9 J12.

They did have them fight head-to-head today, for what it's worth...

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4 minutes ago, Reonito said:

They did have them fight head-to-head today, for what it's worth...

True, and that's a consideration. I wouldn't say that their behaviour toward exchange bouts when making the banzuke has been consistent however.

Edited by Sakura
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