Jejima

Guess Hokutofuji's Aite January 2020

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Announcing the January 2020 edition of Guess Kisenosato's Aite....

Guess Hokutofuji's Aite

All you have to do is guess M2E Hokutofuji's opponent each day, before the torikumi comes out. If you guess correctly, you get a shiroboshi. This is surprisingly more fun (or frustrating) and challenging than it should be. It also gets you to think a bit more about the 'inner-workings' of sumo.

Here is the current banzuke:-

New banzuke for January 2020

Jakusotsu (Y2E 6-9)            Y1 Gurowake (YOW 6-8-1)
Kuroimori (Y1W 4-10-1)          Y2
                                                   YO Sakura (Y1E Kosho)

chishafuwaku (O1E 7-7-1)       O1

WAKATAKE (S1E 6-9)       S1  Ryoshishokunin (K1E 9-6)
                                              S2  Tenshinhan (S1W Kosho)   
orandashoho (M1W 6-9)     K1 shimodahito (K1W Kosho)  

Jejima (M1E Kosho)                   M1 Andonishiki (M2E 6-8-1)
Profomisakari (M2W 6-9)        M2 Hakuhonofan (M3W 6-5-4)
The Kyokai (M4E 3-12)              M3 Houmanumi (mz 3-7-5)

Banzuke-gai
Umizoi (M3E 0-0-15)
Chickystar (M4W 0-0-15)

Comments
All three Yokozunas are expected to perform much better than last basho - especially Kuroimori who went MK.
We hope that he (Dai) Yokozuna-Ozeki will be competing this basho, after an absence in November.
chishafuwaku will be considered for promotion to Yokozuna with a Yusho in January.

The rules are as follows:-
1. Guess M2E Hokutofuji's opponents on each day of the basho.
2. Entries need to be in before 11:30 am Japan time on the previous day, except for the days 1 and 2 entries which need to be in before 11:30 am Japan time on the Friday prior to the start of the basho. If it turns out that the daily toriukumi is printed before these times, then any entry proved to have come afterwards is not allowed for that day (so enter early to be safe).
3. Tie-breakers to decide the Yusho.... We look at the result of the day 15 prediction, then day 14, and so on back to day 1. If still a tie, then the highest ranked on the banzuke can claim the Yusho.
4. If M2E Hokutofuji goes kyujo during the basho, we switch to M2W Mitakeumi (M1W Myogiryu, then M1E Endo kept further in reserve, if needed due to a mass spate of kyujos) for the days after his fusensho loss (I.e. we can still guess who gets the freebie). For the immediate day afterwards, (unless it is known very soon after the event), everyone will get a 'kyujo'.
5. Players that are leading the Yusho race (especially in the final few days of the basho), are requested / expected to get their picks in very early (before all the other players, if possible) - in order to avoid suspicions of 'tactical picking'.
6. If the kyokai changes the originally posted torikumi for any day (such as for a late kyujo), the first version released will be used for the purpose of this game.

 
Special prizes (many thanks to Yaochoyama):

1. Outstanding performance (shukun-sho) - the one who correctly picks the aite the most consecutive days. You have to have a minimum of three to win this prize.

2. Fighting spirit (kanto-sho) - the one who limits their incorrect aite picks to the shortest number of consecutive days (literally the one whose longest losing streak is the shortest). Any losing streak of 5 or more days would disqualify you from this prize.

3. Technique (gino-sho) - the one who is best at making correct picks when no one, or hardly anyone else does. A point system is used as follows and you need at least 3 points to claim this prize:

3 points if you're the only win to make the correct pick
2 points if you're one of two to make the correct pick
1 point if you're one of three to make the correct pick

New players ((Order,order!)) are cordially invited to this game - it is an official second league © game!

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It's been a long time since I have played this game. I think I will give it a go again. I expect to do poorly. My Day 2 pick already looks iffy...

1. Goeido

2. Takayasu

 

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1. Goeido

2. Takakeisho

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1.goeido
2.takakeisho

and now's the time to wander over to the TORCHBEARER thread and get you picks in.  This only happens once a year.  Good Luck.

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Day 1 - Goeido
Day 2 - Takayasu

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Three more players - yay!

Gurowake (2-0)
kuroimori (2-0)
Sakura (2-0)
chishafuwaku (2-0)
WAKATAKE (2-0)
Ryoshishokunin (2-0)
Tenshinhan (2-0)
shimodahito (2-0)
Jejima (2-0)
Hakuhonofan (2-0)
Jakusotsu (1-1)
Profomisakari (1-1)
Houmanumi (1-1)
Oshirokita (1-1)
Joaoiyama (1-1)
orandashoho (0-0-2)
Andonishiki (0-0-2)
Andreas21 (0-2)
The Kyokai (0-2)

Hokutofuji's aites: 1. Goeido, 2. Takakeisho

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Huge brainfart on my side calculating the number of Sanyaku matchups. 8x7 is not 72! D'oh...

Day 3 - Kakuryu

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7 hours ago, Jakusotsu said:

Huge brainfart on my side calculating the number of Sanyaku matchups. 8x7 is not 72! D'oh...

I initially did (n+1)*n/2 (The sum of the first n positive integers) instead of (n-1)*n/2 (number of matchups among n players) and came to the same sort of result, but since I always fill in a guess for the entire basho's schedule, I caught the error quickly.

3. Kakuryu

Edited by Gurowake

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may i still apply for kosho pls, 

too busy with fulfilling new year' resolutions for the moment :(

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3 Kakuryu (I reserve the right to change my mind when he pulls out after day 1)

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