Asashosakari

Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion Aki 2019

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Day 8 (results, text-only results)

8-0 M8e Okinoumi

7-1 M10w Meisei

6-2 Se Mitakeumi, Sw Takakeisho, Kw Endo, M2w Asanoyama, M14e Tsurugisho, M15e Ishiura

While we've already had recent tournaments with "young" yusho winners, the whole race this month kind of feels like a glimpse into sumo's future, the unlikely 34-year-old leader notwithstanding. Kakuryu's withdrawal today following his triple kinboshi concession only emphasized that impression. So, we've got Okinoumi of all people in the lead, and it hasn't even been a fluky 8-0 run to my eyes, followed by almost exactly 10 years younger Meisei who has turned things around big-time from his wretched July appearances.

The actual main contenders, however, arguably are the quartet of 6-2's in the joi, and the two frontrunners will almost certainly face some combination of them before too long. Anyway, it's hard to see how the yusho score ends up better than 12-3 from here unless Okinoumi just keeps bringing down the house - Meisei dropping only one more match once the opposition gets harder appears a rather far-fetched idea, and I don't see any of the 6-2 crowd going on a 7-0 tear. Get in your playoff predictions now.

For more immediate considerations we do of course have a pair of kadoban ozeki and a former one who'd like to get his rank back. Goeido is having his usual basho with his performances fluctuating between blight and delight on a daily basis, but appears in good stead for a KK finish from 5-3, while Tochinoshin is clearly nowhere near 100% physically and stands at just 3-5 with a whole bunch of hard opponents still to come. Gonna be tough for the big Georgian, but not (yet) impossible. Takakeisho, meanwhile, has both astounded and impressed by being much less rusty than probably anyone expected, but his 6-2 record still leaves him somewhat vulnerable to missing his 10-win target.

Either way, if the next banzuke doesn't feature four ozeki, it looks like the committee's resolve to have no more than the minimum number of lower sanyaku will be severely tested, what with all incumbents well on course to kachikoshi and a high likelihood to have at least one strongly promotable record by an upper maegashira.

     4-4  Kakuryu       Y    Hakuho       0-2-6
    kyujo Takayasu      O1   Goeido        5-3
     3-5  Tochinoshin   O2
     6-2  Mitakeumi     S    Takakeisho    6-2
     5-3  Abi           K    Endo          6-2

     2-6  Hokutofuji    M1   Aoiyama       1-7
(x) 1-4-3 Ichinojo      M2   Asanoyama     6-2
     3-5  Daieisho      M3   Tomokaze      5-3
     5-3  Tamawashi     M4   Shodai        2-6
     2-6  Chiyotairyu   M5   Ryuden        3-5
     3-5  Shimanoumi    M6   Myogiryu      5-3
     4-4  Kotoshogiku   M7   Kotoeko       3-5
     8-0  Okinoumi      M8   Takarafuji    5-3
                        M9
     4-4  Sadanoumi     M10  Meisei        7-1
                        M11  Enho          5-3
     5-3  Shohozan      M12
                        M13
     6-2  Tsurugisho    M14


While he has looked okay on some days, Tochiozan's recent decline has continued into another basho, and after staving off demotion only through luck last time he may be headed to juryo this time around. Fellow veteran Toyonoshima arguably overachieved with 7 wins in July - sadly he's in no danger of duplicating that this basho as he finds himself tied for the division's worst record at 1-7 at the moment, one foot already on the escalator down to juryo. Takagenji also appears likely to be headed that way with just two wins from the top division's bottom spot. The list of main demotion contenders is rounded out by Daishoho, although (unlike the others) he has fought better than his 2-6 record indicates and I won't be surprised if he secures his spot during week two.

Nagoya basho saw four juryo rikishi earn their promotions to the top flight, and all four have acquitted themselves well so far, with impressive 6-2 records by Ishiura and rookie Tsurugisho as well as decent 4-4's for Yutakayama and Azumaryu. The latter two are ranked low enough that they've still got a job to do, though, if they want to earn another makuuchi appearance. That said, Azumaryu's performances thus far have been a pleasant surprise (I'd have expected something like 2-6...) and I'm rooting for him to earn more makuuchi time after his long road back.

The juryo division, as per its usual, doesn't feature a whole lot of clear-cut promotion candidates at the moment. Takanosho has done best among the top-rankers and isn't too far off a return to the top division, while Kokonoe duo Chiyomaru and Chiyoshoma still have a bit more work left to do. As things stand we should probably expect that borderline demotable maegashira records will be good enough to survive again.

(2)  2-6  Terutsuyoshi  M9   Kotoyuki      3-5  (1)
                        M10
(2)  3-5  Onosho        M11
                        M12  Daishoho      2-6  (4)
(2)  4-4  Kagayaki      M13  Nishikigi     4-4  (2)
                        M14  Toyonoshima   1-7  (6)
(1)  6-2  Ishiura       M15  Azumaryu      4-4  (3)
(3)  4-4  Yutakayama    M16  Tochiozan     3-5  (5)
(6)  2-6  Takagenji     M17  ---

(4)  4-4  Chiyomaru     J1   Daiamami      3-5  (5)
(3)  6-2  Takanosho     J2   Chiyoshoma    5-3  (4)
(5)  4-4  Tokushoryu    J3   Wakatakakage  2-6  (7)
(6)  4-4  Yago          J4   Kiribayama    4-4  (6)
(5)  5-3  Daishomaru    J5
(~)  3-5  Mitoryu       J6   Hidenoumi     5-3  (6)
(6)  5-3  Kyokushuho    J7
(7)  5-3  Kaisei        J8   Tobizaru      4-4  (~)
                        J9   Kyokutaisei   4-4  (~)
                        J10  Sokokurai     5-3  (~)
(7)  6-2  Kotonowaka    J11
                        J12  Ikioi         6-2  (~)


Two spots in juryo for Kyushu basho have been open since the start of the tournament, courtesy of Takanofuji's house arrest following his latest tsukebito-beating debacle as well as Yoshikaze's inability to recover from knee surgery in time for the basho (and eventual decision to outright retire after five days).

The slot-opening is unlikely to stop there as there's no shortage of active rikishi who have had less than stellar first weeks. Seiro was already in trouble at 2-5 and has now withdrawn from the tournament altogether, although the gastroenteritis diagnosis that led to the withdrawal may well see him back in action in a few days. Sekitori newcomers Asagyokusei and Kaisho were always going to have a difficult task being ranked at the bottom of the division, and both are a bit short of where they ought to be if they want to avoid the trip back to makushita, and the fourth post-Nagoya promotee Irodori is also not on course for survival right now. The field of major demotion candidates concludes with Chiyonoumi who will have to duplicate last basho's Houdini act (from 2-8 to 6-9) if he wants to remain in juryo once more.

With the potential for a large number of available juryo positions any kachikoshi in upper makushita could be highly valuable this basho, though as usual Day 8 is a bit early for clear conclusions as to which rikishi are going to go up. Last basho's hard-luck non-promotee Wakamotoharu has made a good start, however, and needs just one more win from the top spot in the division. Defending makushita champion Chiyonoo won't be retaining his title, but at 2-2 he has already demonstrated that the yusho was no fluke and that he's a justified part of the promotion zone here, and could well be returning to juryo after five tournaments in makushita. His stablemate Chiyootori has been suffering in the unpaid ranks for a year longer than that, but he's the highest-ranked undefeated rikishi now and thus also well in the race despite the lack of a top 5 ranking. Big Mongolian Sakigake, not seen in juryo since 2015, is the other surprise 4-0 in the extended promotion zone.

                        J5   Takanofuji   kyujo (x)
(1)  3-5  Mitoryu       J6
                        J7   Yoshikaze    0-0-5 (i)
                        J8   Tobizaru      4-4  (1)
(2)  3-5  Ichiyamamoto  J9   Kyokutaisei   4-4  (1)
(3)  3-5  Gagamaru      J10  Sokokurai     5-3  (1)
                        J11  Chiyonoumi    2-6  (4)
(5)  2-6  Seiro         J12  Ikioi         6-2  (1)
(4)  3-5  Irodori       J13  Kizakiumi     5-3  (2)
(5)  3-5  Asagyokusei   J14  Kaisho        4-4  (4)

     3-1  Wakamotoharu  Ms1  Arawashi      2-2
     3-1  Akua          Ms2  Chiyonoo      2-2
(x)  1-4  Nishikifuji   Ms3  Ryuko        kyujo
     1-3  Midorifuji    Ms4  Kototebakari  3-1
     2-2  Hoshoryu      Ms5  Akiseyama     2-2
     3-1  Churanoumi    Ms6
                        Ms7  Chiyootori    4-0
                        ...
     4-0  Sakigake      Ms14


Explanation of symbols used:

numbers = wins needed until favourable outcome (getting promoted / not getting demoted)
o = favourable outcome achieved
x = favourable outcome definitely missed
~ = favourable outcome missed "by the numbers", but still achievable through banzuke luck

Edited by Asashosakari
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Juryo yusho race:

6-2  J2e Takanosho, J11e Kotonowaka, J12w Ikioi

5-3  J2w Chiyoshoma, J5e Daishomaru, J6w Hidenoumi, J7e Kyokushuho, J8e Kaisei, J10w Sokokurai, J13w Kizakiumi

4-4  J1e Chiyomaru, J3e Tokushoryu, J4e Yago, J4w Kiribayama, J8w Tobizaru, J9w Kyokutaisei, J14w Kaisho

As usual I'm loathe to list a "race" that includes more than half the division, but at least the rikishi were nice enough to arrange themselves into conveniently-sized groups this time, so you're getting all 17 names. No day with a sole leader thus far; we previously had two losing leaders from 3-0 and three more from 5-1. More details if/when the field has been whittled down a bit more.


Lower division yusho races (Day 7/8 results):

4-0 Ms7w Chiyootori (Kokonoe)
4-0 Ms14e Sakigake (Shibatayama)
4-0 Ms22e Wakatakamoto (Arashio)
4-0 Ms27e Terunofuji (Isegahama)
4-0 Ms36w Kagamio (Kagamiyama)
4-0 Ms46w Chiyonokuni (Kokonoe)
4-0 Ms54w Tochikamiyama (Kasugano)

4-0 Sd1w Oazuma (Tamanoi)
4-0 Sd6e Tsushida (Tokitsukaze)
4-0 Sd16w Asanojo (Takasago)
4-0 Sd28e Mitozakura (Azumazeki)
4-0 Sd36w Tsushimanada (Sakaigawa)
4-0 Sd41w Sakaekaze (Oguruma)
4-0 Sd46w Sadanohikari (Sakaigawa)
4-0 Sd63e Hitenryu (Tatsunami)
4-0 Sd67e Wakaichiro (Musashigawa)
4-0 Sd75e Suzuki (Fujishima)
4-0 Sd84w Akitoba (Minato)
4-0 Sd96w Fujinowaka (Fujishima)

4-0 Jd4e Kotosusumu (Sadogatake)
4-0 Jd11e Yukiumi (Yamahibiki)
4-0 Jd15w Sakurai (Naruto)
4-0 Jd16e Motobayashi (Naruto)
4-0 Jd29e Toma (Miyagino)
4-0 Jd41e Shobushi (Takadagawa)
4-0 Jd48w Sadanohana (Sakaigawa)
4-0 Jd63w Yukiamami (Tatsunami)
4-0 Jd72w Tomiyutaka (Tokitsukaze)
4-0 Jd80e Araoyama (Onomatsu)
4-0 Jd92w Higonoryu (Kise)
4-0 Jd98w Aomihama (Dewanoumi)
4-0 Jd105e Takabayama (Onoe)

4-0 Jk5w Nankairiki (Kise)
4-0 Jk9e Mimori (Irumagawa)
4-0 Jk15w Itakozakura (Shikihide)
4-0 Jk27e Murata (Takasago)
4-0 Jk30e Omura (Michinoku)


Feel free to pick out your early favourites, I'll dig into it after round 5.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Are you surprised by Kotonowaka's 6-2? He's always been such a steady plodder. Can he keep this run up the whole basho?

Edited by Rocks

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They are certainly being kind to Okinoumi in scheduling so far. Ryuden today and Sadnoumi tomorrow.  Ryuden is ranked higher but Okinoumi has a favorable record against him and Ryuden hasn't being looking to good.  Okinoumi is ranked lower and Okinoumi has a very good record against him. Sadanoumi is doing okay. Okinoumi can easily be 10-0 if he keeps the nerves in check.

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They may be saving Okinoumi for the sanyaku days 11-15. Remember that the ozeki can't go against each other until very late, and depending on how Tochinoshin is doing, we could be seeing Goeido vs one of 3 possibilities for day 15: one of the sekiwake or Okinoumi if he's still leading the race.

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Yeah they sure are extra kind to Okinoumi indeed. That Sadanoumi match up is a strange one to me. If they had to pair him against a lower ranked guy again why did they pick M10w Sadanoumi when they could have picked M10e Meisei instead ? I really hope Okinoumi gets harder matchups after that.

Edited by Rainoyama

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11 hours ago, Asashosakari said:

if the next banzuke doesn't feature four ozeki, it looks like the committee's resolve to have no more than the minimum number of lower sanyaku will be severely tested, what with all incumbents well on course to kachikoshi and a high likelihood to have at least one strongly promotable record by an upper maegashira.

Asanoyama is used to being denied a sanyaku spot after a yusho - I expect him to finish runner-up this time and get stuck again at m1e, if Takakeisho or more likely Tochinoshin fail - among his opponents to come, the 2 sekiwake and Goeido look good and Tochinoshin can only afford 2 more losses.

Edited by Akinomaki

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21 minutes ago, Akinomaki said:

Asanoyama is used to being denied a sanyaku spot after a yusho - I expect him to finish runner-up this time and get stuck again at m1e, if Takakeisho or more likely Tochinoshin fail - the 2 sekiwake and Goeido look good and he can only afford 2 more losses.

Goeido only needs 8 which means he needs two more wins and can afford up to 4 more losses (he is 6-3).  Oh maybe I didn't understand well  and you're refering to Asanoyama there ?

Edited by Rainoyama

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Hard to see a 7-0 promotion from makushita with all the big names lurking lower in the division. I guess it ultimately depends on scheduling though.

Edited by Tsuchinoninjin

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3 hours ago, Rainoyama said:

Goeido only needs 8 which means he needs two more wins and can afford up to 4 more losses (he is 6-3).  Oh maybe I didn't understand well  and you're refering to Asanoyama there ?

I was referring to Tochinoshin - the 3 are his strong opponents yet to come

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6 hours ago, Tsuchinoninjin said:

Hard to see a 7-0 promotion from makushita with all the big names lurking lower in the division. I guess it ultimately depends on scheduling though.

A 7-0 from Ms1-Ms15 is an automatic promotion to juryo 

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28 minutes ago, WAKATAKE said:

A 7-0 from Ms1-Ms15 is an automatic promotion to juryo 

Yes, what I'm saying is that the 4-0 guys in that range won't reach 7-0 because of Terunofuji, Kagamio, Chiyonokuni, that new guy...

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20 hours ago, Asashosakari said:

4-0 Jk5w Nankairiki (Kise)
4-0 Jk9e Mimori (Irumagawa)
4-0 Jk15w Itakozakura (Shikihide)
4-0 Jk27e Murata (Takasago)
4-0 Jk30e Omura (Michinoku)


14 years and three shikona ago was the last time Itakozakura made a 4-0 start, in the 2005 Haru basho. Unfortunately his 5th bout here saw him get flattened by Murata who is dominating in Jonokuchi, hopefully now fully recovered from his knee problems.

Good to see Nankairiki back, he's only down here because of his own knee injury. I had him picked as the only threat to Murata, but he lost against Mimori.

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A day late again, here is the look at the former sekitori toiling in the lower divisions. Aminishiki retired and so didn't make the trip to makushita after Nagoya basho but three other juryo rikishi did, and since only Seiro and Irodori moved back up we've expanded the list once again, this time from 37 to 38.

Quite a few long-timers have reached another anniversary of their last juryo appearances, namely Hitenryu and Kaonishiki (both 8 years), Keitenkai (7 years since his ill-fated one salaried tournament), and Yoshiazuma (5 years). More recently we also saw Kitaharima (two years ago) and Akua (last September) in juryo.

Not many recent birthdays - August saw Jokoryu's 31st and Arawashi's 33rd, and Kaonishiki turned 41 this past Saturday.

Anyway, the first-week results:
 

Record   Rank   Shikona Heya Age Out
3-1 Ms1e Wakamotoharu Arashio 25 3
2-2 Ms1w Arawashi Minezaki 33 1
3-1 Ms2e Akua Tatsunami 28 6
2-2 Ms2w Chiyonoo Kokonoe 28 5
kyujo Ms3w Ryuko Onoe 21 1
2-2 Ms5w Akiseyama Kise 34 1
 
3-1 Ms6e Churanoumi Kise 25 2
1-3 Ms7e Asabenkei Takasago 30 8
4-0 Ms7w Chiyootori Kokonoe 26 11
3-1 Ms9w Daiseido Kise 26 3
2-2 Ms10w Toyohibiki Sakaigawa 34 10
1-3 Ms12e Fujiazuma Tamanoi 32 15
4-0 Ms14e Sakigake Shibatayama 33 28
 
2-2 Ms16w Kizenryu Kise 34 7
3-1 Ms17w Hakuyozan Takadagawa 24 2
1-3 Ms18w Chiyoarashi Kokonoe 28 37
1-3 Ms24w Sagatsukasa Irumagawa 37 33
4-0 Ms27e Terunofuji Isegahama 27 8
1-3 Ms27w Higonojo Kise 34 32
2-2 Ms28e Kitaharima Yamahibiki 33 12
2-2 Ms29e Jokoryu Kise 31 4
 
2-2 Ms35w Takaryu Kise 27 25
4-0 Ms36w Kagamio Kagamiyama 31 20
1-3 Ms37w Nionoumi Yamahibiki 32 37
3-1 Ms39w Gokushindo Nishikido 23 5
1-3 Ms40e Asahisho Tomozuna 30 14
3-1 Ms43e Keitenkai Onomatsu 29 42
4-0 Ms46w Chiyonokuni Kokonoe 29 2
3-1 Ms49w Tokushinho Kise 35 23
2-2 Ms56w Masunoyama Chiganoura 28 27
 
1-3 Sd23w Yoshiazuma Tamanoi 42 30
0-4 Sd25e Kaonishiki Azumazeki 40 48
3-1 Sd27e Amakaze Oguruma 28 9
0-4 Sd28w Dairaido Takadagawa 39 78
3-1 Sd52e Homarefuji Isegahama 34 7
4-0 Sd63e Hitenryu Tatsunami 35 48
1-3 Sd89e Daikiho Miyagino 30 10
 
kyujo Jd36w Ura Kise 27 10

 

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Day 9 (results, text-only results)

8-1 M8e Okinoumi, M10w Meisei

7-2 Se Mitakeumi, Sw Takakeisho, M2w Asanoyama

6-3 O1w Goeido, Kw Endo, M8w Takarafuji, M12e Shohozan, M14e Tsurugisho, M15e Ishiura

And there goes the last sekitori zensho record after Okinoumi's good fortune was ended by a slip-up against Ryuden, which allowed Meisei to pull even at 8-1 with a powerful sukuinage after he was put on the back foot by former ozeki Kotoshogiku. Sekiwake duo Mitakeumi and Takakeisho demonstrated strong sumo against Tomokaze and Tamawashi, while Asanoyama prevailed over Abi in the wildest bout we're likely to see this basho. Fellow joi contender Endo was felled by a Tochinoshin henka, however, and dropped to 6-3.

Tochinoshin is 4-5 with that and gets a potential breather with 2-7 Chiyotairyu tomorrow. He does still need to face Goeido and both sekiwake, but at 5-5 he'd have a fighting chance at least. (Although I'm not convinced that sumo would benefit all that much from his continued presence at the second-highest rank...)

Takakeisho's shiroboshi today was arguably quite a crucial one since guys like Tamawashi are dangerous enough to make or break a 10-win challenge. The two ozeki, Abi, and three maegashira remain for him, with 2-7 Shodai up tomorrow.

Asanoyama is now the clear frontrunner for a potential promotion into sanyaku with Tomokaze and Tamawashi at a two-win deficit to him (and at lower ranks to begin with).

    4-4-1 Kakuryu       Y    Hakuho       0-2-7
    kyujo Takayasu      O1   Goeido        6-3
     4-5  Tochinoshin   O2
     7-2  Mitakeumi     S    Takakeisho    7-2
     5-4  Abi           K    Endo          6-3

     3-6  Hokutofuji    M1   Aoiyama       2-7
                        M2   Asanoyama     7-2
     3-6  Daieisho      M3   Tomokaze      5-4
     5-4  Tamawashi     M4   Shodai        2-7  (x)
(x)  2-7  Chiyotairyu   M5   Ryuden        4-5
(x)  3-6  Shimanoumi    M6   Myogiryu     5-3-1
     4-5  Kotoshogiku   M7   Kotoeko       4-5
     8-1  Okinoumi      M8   Takarafuji    6-3
                        M9
(x)  4-5  Sadanoumi     M10  Meisei        8-1
                        M11  Enho          5-4  (x)
     6-3  Shohozan      M12
                        M13
(x)  6-3  Tsurugisho    M14

(Slight change in table format since there's no good reason to give the yokozuna and ozeki their own spot this basho.)


Kotoyuki did what Kotoyuki does when the opponent is Kagayaki, running the H2H to 7-1 in his favour and clinching his top division spot for the next tournament. Ishiura failed to follow suit against Shohozan and will have to wait at least one more day for safety. Nobody has managed to join him at one win off the target for now - candidates Terutsuyoshi, Onosho, Kagayaki and Nishikigi all took losses on Day 9. Things went better for the bottom four on the banzuke who were all victorious, although Azumaryu (iffy mono-ii decision over Enho) and Takagenji (uncalled false start against Tsurugisho) both did so under questionable circumstances.

Toyonoshima, meanwhile, has picked up the first actively fought makekoshi of the tournament in makuuchi, with even juryo visitor Wakatakakage proving too strong for him at the moment. (After four previous losses against Toyonoshima, no less, twice in makushita and twice in juryo.)

The promotion race in juryo got a little more mediocre-looking courtesy of main contender Takanosho's defeat at the hands of Daishomaru. Top-ranked Chiyomaru improved to 5-4 against Mitoryu and only needs to win half his remaining matches now. Tokushoryu won for the fifth time in six days, today against Kaisei, and is starting to mount a promotion challenge, which appeared rather unlikely back at 0-3. Daishomaru is also in the mix now following four straight wins.

(2)  2-7  Terutsuyoshi  M9   Kotoyuki      4-5  (o)
                        M10
(2)  3-6  Onosho        M11
                        M12  Daishoho      3-6  (3)
(2)  4-5  Kagayaki      M13  Nishikigi     4-5  (2)
                        M14  Toyonoshima   1-8  (6)
(1)  6-3  Ishiura       M15  Azumaryu      5-4  (2)
(2)  5-4  Yutakayama    M16  Tochiozan     4-5  (4)
(5)  3-6  Takagenji     M17  ---

(3)  5-4  Chiyomaru     J1   Daiamami      3-6  (5)
(3)  6-3  Takanosho     J2   Chiyoshoma    5-4  (4)
(4)  5-4  Tokushoryu    J3   Wakatakakage  3-6  (6)
(6)  4-5  Yago          J4   Kiribayama    4-5  (6)
(4)  6-3  Daishomaru    J5
(x)  3-6  Mitoryu       J6   Hidenoumi     6-3  (5)
(5)  6-3  Kyokushuho    J7
(~)  5-4  Kaisei        J8   Tobizaru      5-4  (~)
                        J9   Kyokutaisei   4-5  (x)
                        J10  Sokokurai     5-4  (x)
(6)  7-2  Kotonowaka    J11
                        J12  Ikioi         7-2  (~)


Resurgent Ikioi has saved his sekitori bacon with today's victory over Kyokutaisei and should be getting a kachikoshi again at last, following three disastrous tournaments with a combined score of 11-34. Tobizaru is also an early clincher after defeating upper-ranked Yago, and no less than five more rikishi can secure their juryo presence for Kyushu with one more successful day now. Another six remain in varying amounts of danger, all needing to go at least 3-3 the rest of the way. Rookie Kaisho improved his record to 5-4 against Sokokurai, while fellow debutant Asagyokusei was defeated by juryo second-timer Irodori and is in rather rough shape for survival at 3-6. Chiyonoumi lost to Kizakiumi in yet another matchup among demotion candidates and he's rapidly headed to the same sort of predicament he found himself in towards the end of the July tournament.

Over in makushita all promotion contenders were in action, also with plenty of head-to-head meetings of course. Wakamotoharu and Akua took a major step towards their juryo returns in vanquishing Kototebakari and Churanoumi for their KK records, and at least for Wakamotoharu it should only be a matter of time until his promotion campaign can officially be declared complete. Chiyonoo also improved his chances significantly and damaged those of direct rival Arawashi at the same time. Ms5 duo Hoshoryu and Akiseyama were defeated by lower-ranked opposition and will have to rely on a lot of slots opening up in juryo if they do still get kachikoshi from 2-3 now. Midorifuji, on the other hand, has already followed stablemate Nishikifuji into MK territory.

Last not least the 4-0 battle in the top 15 zone was won by Chiyootori, so he continues to be in the promotion mix as well.

                        J5   Takanofuji   kyujo (x)
(1)  3-6  Mitoryu       J6
                        J7   Yoshikaze    0-0-5 (i)
                        J8   Tobizaru      5-4  (o)
(1)  4-5  Ichiyamamoto  J9   Kyokutaisei   4-5  (1)
(3)  3-6  Gagamaru      J10  Sokokurai     5-4  (1)
                        J11  Chiyonoumi    2-7  (4)
(5) 2-6-1 Seiro         J12  Ikioi         7-2  (o)
(3)  4-5  Irodori       J13  Kizakiumi     6-3  (1)
(5)  3-6  Asagyokusei   J14  Kaisho        5-4  (3)

     4-1  Wakamotoharu  Ms1  Arawashi      2-3
     4-1  Akua          Ms2  Chiyonoo      3-2
                        Ms3
(x)  1-4  Midorifuji    Ms4  Kototebakari  3-2
     2-3  Hoshoryu      Ms5  Akiseyama     2-3
(x)  3-2  Churanoumi    Ms6
                        Ms7  Chiyootori    5-0
                        ...
(x)  4-1  Sakigake      Ms14

Seiro is back in action tomorrow, but winning at least 4 out of 6 in his likely weakened physical state will be a tough ask. He gets Wakamotoharu for his comeback bout.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Juryo yusho race:

7-2 J11e Kotonowaka, J12w Ikioi

6-3 J2e Takanosho, J5e Daishomaru, J6w Hidenoumi, J7e Kyokushuho, J13w Kizakiumi

5-4 J1e Chiyomaru, J2w Chiyoshoma, J3e Tokushoryu, J8e Kaisei, J8w Tobizaru, J10w Sokokurai, J14w Kaisho

Still no sole leader, but the "good" way this time with two winners among yesterday's leading trio. Still lots of sumo to come, of course, but I wouldn't be surprised if a low-ranker actually takes it. 14 rikishi left in contention, sort of.

Nothing overly exciting to report about tomorrow's schedule, none of the top 2+5 guys are paired up. No less than five of them are getting opponents from the 5-4 group, however, the sole exceptions being Takanosho (against 3-6 Mitoryu) and Kizakiumi (versus 4-5 Ichiyamamoto). As it happens that leaves two more 5-4's, and those are matched up against each other (Kaisei and Kaisho, not the same stable despite the similar shikonae).


Lower division yusho races (Day 9 results):

5-0 Ms7w Chiyootori (Kokonoe)
4-1 Ms14e Sakigake (Shibatayama)
4-1 Ms22e Wakatakamoto (Arashio)
5-0 Ms27e Terunofuji (Isegahama)
4-1 Ms36w Kagamio (Kagamiyama)
5-0 Ms46w Chiyonokuni (Kokonoe)
4-1 Ms54w Tochikamiyama (Kasugano)

5-0 Sd1w Oazuma (Tamanoi)
5-0 Sd6e Tsushida (Tokitsukaze)
4-1 Sd16w Asanojo (Takasago)
4-1 Sd28e Mitozakura (Azumazeki)
5-0 Sd36w Tsushimanada (Sakaigawa)
4-1 Sd41w Sakaekaze (Oguruma)
5-0 Sd46w Sadanohikari (Sakaigawa)
5-0 Sd63e Hitenryu (Tatsunami)
4-1 Sd67e Wakaichiro (Musashigawa)
5-0 Sd75e Suzuki (Fujishima)
4-1 Sd84w Akitoba (Minato)
5-0 Sd96w Fujinowaka (Fujishima)

4-1 Jd4e Kotosusumu (Sadogatake)
4-1 Jd11e Yukiumi (Yamahibiki)
5-0 Jd15w Sakurai (Naruto)
5-0 Jd16e Motobayashi (Naruto)
4-1 Jd29e Toma (Miyagino)
4-1 Jd41e Shobushi (Takadagawa)
5-0 Jd48w Sadanohana (Sakaigawa)
4-1 Jd63w Yukiamami (Tatsunami)
5-0 Jd72w Tomiyutaka (Tokitsukaze)
4-1 Jd80e Araoyama (Onomatsu)
5-0 Jd92w Higonoryu (Kise)
5-0 Jd98w Aomihama (Dewanoumi)
4-1 Jd105e Takabayama (Onoe)

4-1 Jk5w Nankairiki (Kise)
5-0 Jk9e Mimori (Irumagawa)
4-1 Jk15w Itakozakura (Shikihide)
5-0 Jk27e Murata (Takasago)
5-0 Jk30e Omura (Michinoku)

Quite a congregation of ex-sekitori in the makushita race, and the two who weren't got taken out today. Chiyootori - Terunofuji for round 6 is certainly as high-profile as it can get in makushita right now, and I doubt either will really relish this unexpected test. We do only have three unbeaten contenders in makushita now, but it's quite likely that Chiyonokuni will get us back to the normal bracket format with a win against Oazuma. (Assuming they're matched up, which would shock me if not.) Of course, if Chiyonokuni is joined at 6-0 by stablemate Chiyootori we'll have an entirely different complication to the yusho race. I'm not going to venture any sort of guess as to who of the three is the most likely to be champion on Friday.

As for sandanme, the division cannibalized its neighbours at both ends today, so 12x 4-0 has yielded 7x 5-0. Two pairs of same-stable rikishi continue to populate the race here with Sakaigawa's Tsushimanada and Sadanohikari, and Fujishima's Suzuki and Fujinowaka. They could resolve the next pairings for the latter duo by deviating from standard procedure and giving them higher-ranked opponents rather than lower-ranked ones (which would avoid dragging more jonidan rikishi into the sandanme race), but considering the top two in jonidan are also a same-stable pair, I guess they might as well do two Fujishima-Naruto matchups here to eliminate at least one headache spot.

In any case, the sandanme winner really should be coming from the likely round 6 Tsushida - Tsushimanada match, the former being a very promising fresh talent and the latter an upper makushita competitor before he recently missed two tournaments. 19-year-old rookie Suzuki has also debuted very well so far with this being his 4th straight KK amid a combined record of 20-6, but it would be quite an upset if he got past the two higher-ranked contenders. (And his possible Naruto opponent for Day 11 provides a question mark as well, see next paragraph.)

Jonidan only has 6 undefeated rikishi left, and how that proceeds will depend on what they do with the Naruto duo. I wouldn't be too surprised if collegiates Sakurai and Motobayashi get to contest another playoff after their encounter in jonokuchi last basho (not augmented by a third Naruto deshi this time), but the road to get there looks rather messy from the scheduling perspective. Either way, while I can see one of them possibly getting upset along the way I would be surprised if it happens to both of them, so the new jonidan winner will likely be hailing from Naruto-beya.

And lastly, as Yubinhaad already pointed out the only probable roadblock to Murata's comeback yusho in jonokuchi was likely removed with mid-makushita quality Nankairiki's defeat by Mimori.

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22 hours ago, Rainoyama said:

Yeah they sure are extra kind to Okinoumi indeed. That Sadanoumi match up is a strange one to me. If they had to pair him against a lower ranked guy again why did they pick M10w Sadanoumi when they could have picked M10e Meisei instead ? I really hope Okinoumi gets harder matchups after that.

Maybe because Meisei was his closest pursuer and they want to hold off for the sense of drama that a yusho chase creates. They’re not immune to that, particularly when the big names are out or misfiring. Sumo is entertainment after all. No need to put Meisei and Okinoumi against each other just yet.

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10 hours ago, Tsuchinoninjin said:

Yes, what I'm saying is that the 4-0 guys in that range won't reach 7-0 because of Terunofuji, Kagamio, Chiyonokuni, that new guy...

Chiyootori is (the only left)  in that range - a former komusubi

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11 hours ago, Asashosakari said:

Although I'm not convinced that sumo would benefit all that much from his continued presence at the second-highest rank

Unfortunately I think that is very much the situation now for Tochinoshin. Although i would be pleased to see him regain something like his best form.

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12 hours ago, Asashosakari said:

the look at the former sekitori toiling in the lower divisions.

This list would be even more interesting if the former sanyaku were marked somehow - e.g. bold

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15 hours ago, Akinomaki said:

Chiyootori is (the only left)  in that range - a former komusubi

Well I guess we will see what happens in some hours.

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Day 10 (results, text-only results)

8-2 Se Mitakeumi, Sw Takakeisho, M2w Asanoyama, M8e Okinoumi, M10w Meisei

7-3 M8w Takarafuji, M14e Tsurugisho

6-4 O1w Goeido, Ke Abi, Kw Endo, M11w Enho, M12e Shohozan, M15e Ishiura, M16e Yutakayama

Time for the erstwhile leaders to turn back into mid-maegashira pumpkins, it seems. Meisei met his bane Tsurugisho (H2H 1-5 from makushita and juryo), and the top division rookie promptly managed to swing down Meisei with uwatenage despite the latter's far superior grip. Okinoumi for his part got punished for an ill-advised pulling attempt against well-balanced Sadanoumi and found himself rushed-and-crushed out of the dohyo in response. All three yusho-experienced pursuers from the joi-jin marched to KK in unison to catch up with the lead; Takakeisho and Asanoyama proved overwhelming to opponents Shodai and Shimanoumi, while Mitakeumi needed to win going backwards against dangerous Tamawashi (and had to pass a hair pull check mono-ii on top of that).

Ozeki Goeido dropped to 6-4 with the sort of awkward loss to Abi that only Goeido seems capable of, while Tochinoshin prevailed over Chiyotairyu by going against his usual tactics of trying to finish bouts in a hurry, which was probably a good idea given how relatively un-dangerous Chiyotairyu is in the clinch. (Anyone up for the surely thrilling senshuraku musubi no ichiban featuring an 8-6 Goeido versus a 7-7 Tochinoshin...? At least we've got the likely Mitakeumi-Endo and Takakeisho-Abi undercard to look forward to.)

In any case, we're arguably down to two maegashira who can still provide the banzuke committee with promotion headaches. Freshly kachikoshi Asanoyama is one of them, of course, and the other is top-ranked Hokutofuji who remains in the mix at 4-6 after defeating komusubi Endo today. Tamawashi and Tomokaze (loss in yotsu to clever Ryuden) can no longer finish better than 10-5 and they're at ranks where we've seen the committee easily give the thumbs down on promotion. The same goes for Daieisho who had dropped to 6 losses yesterday, but who at least stays in the hunt for a second straight joi kachikoshi with today's defeat of Aoiyama (now MK).

    4-4-2 Kakuryu       Y    Hakuho       0-2-8
    kyujo Takayasu      O1   Goeido        6-4
     5-5  Tochinoshin   O2
     8-2  Mitakeumi     S    Takakeisho    8-2
     6-4  Abi           K    Endo          6-4

     4-6  Hokutofuji    M1   Aoiyama       2-8  (x)
                        M2   Asanoyama     8-2
     4-6  Daieisho      M3   Tomokaze      5-5
     5-5  Tamawashi     M4
                        M5   Ryuden        5-5
                        M6   Myogiryu     5-3-2
(x)  4-6  Kotoshogiku   M7   Kotoeko       4-6  (x)
     8-2  Okinoumi      M8   Takarafuji    7-3
                        M9
                        M10  Meisei        8-2
                        M11
(x)  6-4  Shohozan      M12


Kotoyuki played pinball with Ishiura off the tachiai, so the diminutive Miyagino rikishi failed to secure his spot in makuuchi for the third straight day. A lot of others made their move towards safety, however, with Onosho, Kagayaki, Nishikigi and Yutakayama all just one white star away from their makuuchi ticket for Kyushu after today. Nishikigi got there as a freebie courtesy of ailing Toyonoshima's decision to withdraw after his makekoshi became official yesterday.

Tochiozan was the other winner down here, besting Azumaryu with a quick pulldown. Both remain with some work to do, and so do Terutsuyoshi (fourth straight loss, today to Kagayaki), Daishoho (defeated by Yutakayama), and bottom-ranked Takagenji. The latter is in a heap of trouble now with just one loss standing between him and juryo after today's kuroboshi against juryo visitor Daiamami.

Takanosho lost again in juryo, this time to Mitoryu, and has ceded his spot as the top promotion contender to newly 6-4 Chiyomaru now. Tokushoryu also collected his 6th win overall and his fourth in a row, and is very much in the mix. All in all the we're seeing some rather crushing mediocrity atop the juryo rankings, with everybody in the top 4 ranks somewhere between 6-4 and 4-6. Daishomaru of all people is the bright spot at J5, winning his fifth straight to move up to 7-3.

(2)  2-8  Terutsuyoshi  M9
                        M10
(1)  4-6  Onosho        M11
                        M12  Daishoho      3-7  (3)
(1)  5-5  Kagayaki      M13  Nishikigi     5-5  (1)
                        M14  Toyonoshima   1-9  (x)
(1)  6-4  Ishiura       M15  Azumaryu      5-5  (2)
(1)  6-4  Yutakayama    M16  Tochiozan     5-5  (3)
(5)  3-7  Takagenji     M17  ---

(2)  6-4  Chiyomaru     J1   Daiamami      4-6  (4)
(3)  6-4  Takanosho     J2   Chiyoshoma    5-5  (4)
(3)  6-4  Tokushoryu    J3   Wakatakakage  4-6  (5)
(5)  5-5  Yago          J4   Kiribayama    4-6  (~)
(3)  7-3  Daishomaru    J5
                        J6   Hidenoumi     6-4  (5)
(5)  6-4  Kyokushuho    J7
(x)  5-5  Kaisei        J8   Tobizaru      5-5  (x)
                        ...
(5)  8-2  Kotonowaka    J11
                        J12  Ikioi         8-2  (~)


With five lower juryo rikishi close to safety we were likely to see some good news today, and in fact one bit was guaranteed to come as Ichiyamamoto and Kizakiumi were paired up. The taller guy with the longer shikona prevailed here and can start to plan for his third juryo tournament now. He was joined on safe shores by Mitoryu as well as Kyokutaisei, who sent Chiyonoumi to his second straight Day 10 makekoshi. If he wants to survive yet again, he better be starting soon... Debutant Asagyokusei defeated Gagamaru which leaves both in significant danger still, and Irodori also remains in trouble after losing to upper-ranked Yago. Kaisho picked up his fourth straight victory (and sixth in seven days) against Kaisei, whom he had previously done tsukebito work for, and is in surprisingly good shape to retain his juryo spot after all.

Lastly (or firstly in torikumi terms), Seiro decided to put the lie to my "back in action" comment from yesterday and failed to show up for his scheduled match with makushitan Wakamotoharu. As he's not on tomorrow's action list he has clinched a demotable record, and barring yet another return (attempt) for Day 12 and four straight wins he's toast now. Wakamotoharu on the other hand is certain to stage his second juryo appearance in Kyushu after today's free win, given that he'll finish no worse than 3rd in the promotion queue.

 

                        J5   Takanofuji   kyujo (x)
(o)  4-6  Mitoryu       J6
                        J7   Yoshikaze    0-0-5 (i)
                        J8
(o)  5-5  Ichiyamamoto  J9   Kyokutaisei   5-5  (o)
(3)  3-7  Gagamaru      J10  Sokokurai     5-5  (1)
                        J11  Chiyonoumi    2-8  (4)
(~) 2-7-1 Seiro         J12
(3)  4-6  Irodori       J13  Kizakiumi     6-4  (1)
(4)  4-6  Asagyokusei   J14  Kaisho        6-4  (2)

(o)  5-1  Wakamotoharu  Ms1  Arawashi      2-3
     4-1  Akua          Ms2  Chiyonoo      3-2
                        Ms3
                        Ms4  Kototebakari  3-2
     2-3  Hoshoryu      Ms5  Akiseyama     2-3
                        Ms6
                        Ms7  Chiyootori    5-0

Kizakiumi gets to feature in another safety playoff tomorrow, this time with Sokokurai.

And as it's an odd-numbered day we're getting loads and loads of action in high makushita as well, including veteran Mongolian Arawashi against upstart compatriot Hoshoryu with makekoshi on the line. Chiyonoo and Kototebakari are both 3-2 but have faced each other already, so they're going against Ms6-ranked duo Churanoumi and Tsurubayashi (both Kise-beya, incidentally). Akiseyama meets Hungarian Masutoo - at his highest position ever at Ms8 at 33 years of age - and for Akua they've had to reach down all the way to semi-prospect Oki at Ms12 as there's no 4-1 left between them.

Last not least there's also the anticipated yusho race match between Chiyootori and Terunofuji, of course.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Juryo yusho race:

8-2 J11e Kotonowaka, J12w Ikioi

7-3 J5e Daishomaru

6-4 J1e Chiyomaru, J2e Takanosho, J3e Tokushoryu, J6w Hidenoumi, J7e Kyokushuho, J13w Kizakiumi, J14w Kaisho

Well, that field got thinned out in a hurry. KK-clinching wins for both leaders, and just one of five pursuers managed to keep up. It's juryo and all, but I do feel it's rather likely that the winner will be coming from these three now.

Kotonowaka and Ikioi haven't met yet despite their very similar ranking positions, and it'll be interesting to see how much they delay their meeting now. We do get a highlight bout for Day 11 with Kotonowaka going against chaser Daishomaru, so we could end up with anywhere from one to three leaders after tomorrow. Ikioi has to deal with 5-5 Tobizaru meanwhile, and among the 6-4's we get Takanosho against Hidenoumi. Tokushoryu meets 4-6 Kiribayama, and the remaining four all get 5-5 opponents (Chiyomaru-Tochiozan in makuuchi, Kyokushuho-Yago, Kaisho-Ichiyamamoto, Kizakiumi-Sokokurai).


Lower division yusho races:

5-0 Ms7w Chiyootori (Kokonoe)
5-0 Ms27e Terunofuji (Isegahama)
5-0 Ms46w Chiyonokuni (Kokonoe)

5-0 Sd1w Oazuma (Tamanoi)
5-0 Sd6e Tsushida (Tokitsukaze)
5-0 Sd36w Tsushimanada (Sakaigawa)
5-0 Sd46w Sadanohikari (Sakaigawa)
5-0 Sd63e Hitenryu (Tatsunami)
5-0 Sd75e Suzuki (Fujishima)
5-0 Sd96w Fujinowaka (Fujishima)

5-0 Jd15w Sakurai (Naruto)
5-0 Jd16e Motobayashi (Naruto)
5-0 Jd48w Sadanohana (Sakaigawa)
5-0 Jd72w Tomiyutaka (Tokitsukaze)
5-0 Jd92w Higonoryu (Kise)
5-0 Jd98w Aomihama (Dewanoumi)

5-0 Jk9e Mimori (Irumagawa)
5-0 Jk27e Murata (Takasago)
5-0 Jk30e Omura (Michinoku)

The decision has been made to keep the sandanme and jonidan races separate from each other, so the Fujishima duo in sandanme faces higher-ranked opponents Sadanohikari and Hitenryu, while the Naruto duo meets the lower-rankers Sadanohana and Tomiyutaka in jonidan. That has led to a rather awkward matchup between Motobayashi and Tomiyutaka with a rank difference of no less than 56, which is quite rare for a round 6 pairing. Needless to say I expect both Naruto deshi to advance here and then we'll get to play the same guessing game for the Day 13 torikumi again. (Especially if both Fujishima guys lose and the lowest sandanme 6-0 ends up being middle-ranked Hitenryu...)

Everything else proceeds as expected, including Chiyonokuni against Oazuma as a cross-divisional Ms/Sd pairing. Sorry Terunofuji fans, but I'm rooting for both Kokonoe rikishi here.

Lowest-ranked Omura is the odd man out once again in this field of 19, and will face a 1-loss rikishi for the third straight match.

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The ex-sekitori through Day 10.

new KK: Wakamotoharu, Akua, Gokushindo, Keitenkai

new MK: Asahisho, Yoshiazuma
 

Record   Rank   Shikona Heya Age Out
5-1 Ms1e Wakamotoharu Arashio 25 3
2-3 Ms1w Arawashi Minezaki 33 1
4-1 Ms2e Akua Tatsunami 28 6
3-2 Ms2w Chiyonoo Kokonoe 28 5
kyujo Ms3w Ryuko Onoe 21 1
2-3 Ms5w Akiseyama Kise 34 1
 
3-2 Ms6e Churanoumi Kise 25 2
2-3 Ms7e Asabenkei Takasago 30 8
5-0 Ms7w Chiyootori Kokonoe 26 11
3-2 Ms9w Daiseido Kise 26 3
2-3 Ms10w Toyohibiki Sakaigawa 34 10
2-3 Ms12e Fujiazuma Tamanoi 32 15
4-1 Ms14e Sakigake Shibatayama 33 28
 
2-3 Ms16w Kizenryu Kise 34 7
3-2 Ms17w Hakuyozan Takadagawa 24 2
2-3 Ms18w Chiyoarashi Kokonoe 28 37
2-3 Ms24w Sagatsukasa Irumagawa 37 33
5-0 Ms27e Terunofuji Isegahama 27 8
2-3 Ms27w Higonojo Kise 34 32
3-2 Ms28e Kitaharima Yamahibiki 33 12
2-3 Ms29e Jokoryu Kise 31 4
 
2-3 Ms35w Takaryu Kise 27 25
4-1 Ms36w Kagamio Kagamiyama 31 20
2-3 Ms37w Nionoumi Yamahibiki 32 37
4-1 Ms39w Gokushindo Nishikido 23 5
1-4 Ms40e Asahisho Tomozuna 30 14
4-1 Ms43e Keitenkai Onomatsu 29 42
5-0 Ms46w Chiyonokuni Kokonoe 29 2
3-2 Ms49w Tokushinho Kise 35 23
2-3 Ms56w Masunoyama Chiganoura 28 27
 
1-4 Sd23w Yoshiazuma Tamanoi 42 30
0-5 Sd25e Kaonishiki Azumazeki 40 48
3-2 Sd27e Amakaze Oguruma 28 9
1-4 Sd28w Dairaido Takadagawa 39 78
3-2 Sd52e Homarefuji Isegahama 34 7
5-0 Sd63e Hitenryu Tatsunami 35 48
2-3 Sd89e Daikiho Miyagino 30 10
 
kyujo Jd36w Ura Kise 27 10


Surprisingly low early MK count this basho.

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Day 11 (results, text-only results)

9-2 Sw Takakeisho, M10w Meisei

8-3 Se Mitakeumi, M2w Asanoyama, M8e Okinoumi, M8w Takarafuji, M14e Tsurugisho

7-4 O1w Goeido, Kw Endo, M11w Enho, M12e Shohozan, M16e Yutakayama

The same 7 rikishi remain in the lead or one win off the pace after Day 11, but the two groups were jumbled up quite a bit. Takakeisho is now arguably in the driver's seat of the yusho race after he defeated Tochinoshin with ozeki-caliber sumo. Only Meisei managed to keep up with him with a dominant victory over Ishiura. Ryuden engaged in some smart close quarters defending of Mitakeumi's pushing attempts and eventually turned the tables on the sekiwake, Asanoyama got muscled all around the dohyo by Hokutofuji and finally out of it, and Okinoumi was far too eager to dispose of Tsurugisho and found himself with his legs not following his body.

Tsurugisho is KK in his makuuchi debut with that, and should be in the weekend sansho conversations. Takarafuji also moved up to 8-3 by patiently outlasting Daishoho, picking up his earliest kachikoshi in over two years.

Komusubi Endo dispatched of Shodai and is closing in on his first-ever sanyaku kachikoshi, while Abi got thrust down by Tamawashi and has a little more work to do in order to duplicate last basho's 8-7 record. Kadoban ozeki Goeido defeated struggling Chiyotairyu after many-a-matta and appears very likely to retain his rank now.

    4-4-3 Kakuryu       Y    Hakuho       0-2-9
    kyujo Takayasu      O1   Goeido        7-4
     5-6  Tochinoshin   O2
     8-3  Mitakeumi     S    Takakeisho    9-2
     6-5  Abi           K    Endo          7-4

     5-6  Hokutofuji    M1
                        M2   Asanoyama     8-3
     4-7  Daieisho      M3   Tomokaze      6-5
     6-5  Tamawashi     M4
                        M5   Ryuden        6-5
                        M6   Myogiryu     6-3-2
                        M7
     8-3  Okinoumi      M8   Takarafuji    8-3
                        M9
                        M10  Meisei        9-2

Takakeisho only requires one more successful day to reclaim his ozeki rank, which would be well deserved. It could come as early as tomorrow against Myogiryu, who has yet to defeat Takakeisho in six attempts and is nursing a leg injury. Tochinoshin, conversely, needs to win 3 out of 4 to avoid exchanging places with the sekiwake; for Day 12 he has Mitakeumi in his sights - or the other way around, as the case may be. The sekiwake could really use the win himself, not only for the yusho race but also his own ozeki aspirations.


Myogiryu's ailing calf wasn't enough to stop him from beating Terutsuyoshi and at 2-9 the Isegahama youngster is getting close to a full-on reversal of last basho's 12-3 record. Daishoho's fortunes have also started to turn south again after a brief surge, and he is now the most endangered rikishi - that is, considering that Takagenji went makekoshi in a one-sided match against Onosho today and has moved from endangered to outright done. Tochiozan received a favourable matchup with juryo visitor Chiyomaru and scored his 5th straight head-to-head win against the burly Kokonoe rikishi. (But boy does Tochiozan look slow nowadays...)

Yutakayama and Nishikigi had a good ol' safety playoff today, and the Tokitsukaze man (soon to have a yokozuna in his heya?) improved to 7-4 while Nishikigi will have to wait a bit longer to secure his makuuchi spot for Kyushu. Kagayaki and Ishiura also failed to collect their last needed shiroboshi, but Azumaryu continues to surprise and he also stands just one win away from more top division action after today's defeat of Kotoyuki.

The merry go round in juryo continues, and Takanosho is the top promotion contender again after Chiyomaru's loss up in makuuchi. Wakatakakage, Yago and Kiribayama were the other winners of the day in the top 5 ranks, but all were only lesser contenders before this, so they're not anywhere near making a definitive mark on the promotion race yet.

(2)  2-9  Terutsuyoshi  M9
                        M10
(o)  5-6  Onosho        M11
                        M12  Daishoho      3-8  (3)
(1)  5-6  Kagayaki      M13  Nishikigi     5-6  (1)
                        M14  Toyonoshima  1-9-1 (x)
(1)  6-5  Ishiura       M15  Azumaryu      6-5  (1)
(0)  7-4  Yutakayama    M16  Tochiozan     6-5  (2)
(~)  3-8  Takagenji     M17  ---

(2)  6-5  Chiyomaru     J1   Daiamami      4-7  (4)
(2)  7-4  Takanosho     J2   Chiyoshoma    5-6  (4)
(3)  6-5  Tokushoryu    J3   Wakatakakage  5-6  (4)
(4)  6-5  Yago          J4   Kiribayama    5-6  (~)
(3)  7-4  Daishomaru    J5
                        J6   Hidenoumi     6-5  (~)
(~)  6-5  Kyokushuho    J7
                        ...
(4)  9-2  Kotonowaka    J11
                        J12  Ikioi         9-2  (~)

I'm fairly sure that Yutakayama is in fact safe already, but given that the M17e spot could still disappear if Tochinoshin hangs on as ozeki, I've marked him as zero wins needed rather than the usual (o) safe mark for now. On the other hand it's still conceivable - if highly unlikely - that Takagenji could survive with 7 wins. (But where is he going to get those on his current form?)


Second time was the charm for Kizakiumi and he should now be safe for November after defeating Sokokurai, who continues to require one win himself. Rookie Kaisho ran his winning streak to 5 and can start to dream of a kachikoshi in his juryo debut, even moreso as he faces Chiyonoumi on Day 12 - the Kokonoe man dropped another bout, this time to high-ranked Wakatakakage, and he is now closer to demotion than he was at any point last basho (which was enough of a disaster for him already).

Asagyokusei lost to Kyokutaisei and sports the mirror record to fellow debutant Kaisho's 7-4, so he's got a 4-win mountain to climb as well if he still wants to stay in juryo from here. Gagamaru defeated fellow demotion candidate Irodori and has put himself into the slightly better - but by no means good - position of the two. Lastly, Seiro isn't coming back to action again, so his demotion has become a certainty.

Meanwhile the second free spot has been awarded as we welcome Akua back to juryo for his third sekitori appearance, following a full year spent in makushita. Given other events of the day he didn't even need to win for it, but he did so anyway and has improved his record to 5-1. Veteran Arawashi was sent to makekoshi by Hoshoryu and will have to win his final match now just to keep himself ranked high enough for another shot at returning in two months. Chiyonoo was dropped to 3-3 by Churanoumi and will face a make-or-break bout of his own soon. Kototebakari picked up his kachikoshi and looks very likely - though not certain - to earn his juryo debut by senshuraku.

                        J5   Takanofuji   kyujo (x)
                        J6
                        J7   Yoshikaze    0-0-5 (i)
                        ...
(2)  4-7  Gagamaru      J10  Sokokurai     5-6  (1)
                        J11  Chiyonoumi    2-9  (4)
(x) 2-7-2 Seiro         J12
(3)  4-7  Irodori       J13  Kizakiumi     7-4  (o)
(4)  4-7  Asagyokusei   J14  Kaisho        7-4  (1)

(o)  5-1  Wakamotoharu  Ms1  Arawashi      2-4  (x)
(o)  5-1  Akua          Ms2  Chiyonoo      3-3
                        Ms3
                        Ms4  Kototebakari  4-2
     3-3  Hoshoryu      Ms5  Akiseyama     3-3
     4-2  Churanoumi    Ms6  Tsurubayashi  3-3
                        Ms7  Chiyootori    5-1

Chiyootori wasn't able to come through his zensho matchup with Terunofuji and has lost the opportunity to return to juryo on a 7-0 record, but given the large number of open slots we may end up with there's a non-zero chance that even 6-1 could do it for him, so I'll keep him listed for now. The two Ms6's have been (re-)added for the same reason, just to be on the safe side. (I could have probably left it to just Churanoumi, but anyway...)

There is currently no need to send makushita rikishi into juryo to complete the schedule, so it remains to be seen how many of them (and who) they'll bring up between Days 13 and 15. Chiyonoo-Hoshoryu hasn't happened yet, so that could be a straight-up KK/MK decider, and Kototebakari-Churanoumi is a possible pairing as well.

Edited by Asashosakari
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