Asashosakari

Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion Nagoya 2019

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Posted (edited)

Day 8 (results, text-only results)

8-0 Ye Kakuryu, Yw Hakuho

7-1 O1w Takayasu

6-2 Se Mitakeumi, M7e Myogiryu, M7w Tomokaze, M16w Terutsuyoshi


     8-0  Kakuryu       Y    Hakuho        8-0
     3-5  Goeido        O1   Takayasu      7-1
(x) kyujo Takakeisho    O2   Tochinoshin  0-6-2

Betting on Takayasu to play a credible role in yusho races during week two has tended to be a longshot in the past, and even though he stands at 7-1 for now, today's tweak (or worse) to his left arm courtesy of Tamawashi's grab at it has only made it more likely that this championship will be coming down to the two frontrunning yokozuna. Both Kakuryu and Hakuho have had their mini-scares during various bouts but they ultimately came through unscathed on all eight days. With the ozeki rank rapidly depleting this basho after Tochinoshin (who was barely there physically) and Goeido had to join Takakeisho on the sidelines, the yokozuna duo only has the two sekiwake left on their schedules, plus Takayasu if he makes it that far.

(In case the question comes up: Yes, three ozeki being kadoban has happened before, albeit with five in total on the banzuke. That said, one should probably expect Takayasu to try to claw his way to an 8th win.)

Mitakeumi is quietly having a pretty good basho and could conceivably put himself back onto the ozeki track with a strong finish, but then he's been known to fall apart during the second half of tournaments. The multiple high-ranker kyujo could play into his hands here, though. Fellow sekiwake Tamawashi has had a week to forget, however, and it's difficult to claim that he's been unlucky en route to his 1-7 record - he really has looked that bad most of the time.

The two sanyaku debutants (first time in over five years) ranked at komusubi, Abi and Ryuden, have acquitted themselves decently so far with 3 wins apiece, and can still hope to finish kachikoshi. Sadly it's unlikely to be enough for an immediate second promotion up to sekiwake, what with kyujo-kadoban Takakeisho coming down into the rank for September. In any case, Ryuden has arguably looked the better of the two, with his style of forcing his aite into unorthodox positions flummoxing more than a few opponents already.

None of the upper-ranked maegashira has been truly standing out from the pack so far, with Hokutofuji and Ichinojo leading the pace at relatively modest 5-3 records. But conversely it's also just been joi debutant Meisei who has struggled, so for now it's a wide open race for any sanyaku slots that may open up eventually.

     6-2  Mitakeumi     S    Tamawashi     1-7
     3-5  Abi           K    Ryuden        3-5

     3-5  Asanoyama     M1   Hokutofuji    5-3
     3-5  Aoiyama       M2   Endo          3-5
     4-4  Shodai        M3   Daieisho      3-5
     2-6  Meisei        M4   Ichinojo      5-3
     4-4  Kotoshogiku   M5   Takarafuji    2-6
     5-3  Chiyotairyu   M6   Shimanoumi    4-4
     6-2  Myogiryu      M7   Tomokaze      6-2
     4-4  Onosho        M8   Okinoumi      4-4
     4-4  Shohozan      M9


Veteran Yoshikaze is kyujo, and after having flirted with a trip to juryo a few times already over the past year, his demotion is a certainty this time. Given his general physical state I'm not that hopeful that he'll be able to bounce back at 37 years of age. Kaisei will almost definitely be joining him on the way down, his preferred style of sumo having proved nearly impossible to execute with his injured arm this basho, but there should still be enough left in the 32-year-old's tank for another run in makuuchi as long as that particular health issue improves again.

And one more stalwart of the top division is also struggling - Tochiozan has arguably been slowly declining for three years now, still putting up occasional highlights along the way, but this basho's performance has continued right where the 1-7 finish to Natsu basho left off two months ago, and he now needs more wins than losses on the homestretch to avoid a potential demotion. Toyonoshima also requires 4 wins out of 7 to stay, though with him it comes a lot less unexpected, and so does still-new-to-makuuchi Yago if he wants to make sure a third straight makekoshi doesn't catapult him out of the top division as well.

On the flipside we find a real dearth of strong promotion contenders in the juryo division, with Ishiura currently closest to promotion at just 5-3 from J2e. This race will definitely need a few more days to even begin to shake out, but if you don't already have somebody to root for, you can't go wrong with Azumaryu who was last seen in makuuchi all the way back in Aki 2014 and who could become the second-latest top division returnee ever if he KKs here.

                        M9   Daishoho      3-5  (1)
(1)  4-4  Kotoeko       M10  Takagenji     4-4  (1)
(x) kyujo Yoshikaze     M11  Nishikigi     3-5  (2)
(4)  2-6  Tochiozan     M12  Kagayaki      5-3  (1)
(2)  4-4  Chiyomaru     M13  Sadanoumi     5-3  (1)
(4)  3-5  Toyonoshima   M14  Enho          5-3  (2)
(4)  3-5  Yago          M15  Kaisei        1-7  (6)
(3)  5-3  Kotoyuki      M16  Terutsuyoshi  6-2  (2)

(5)  3-5  Tokushoryu    J1   Azumaryu      4-4  (4)
(4)  5-3  Ishiura       J2   Gagamaru      1-7  (~)
(5)  4-4  Chiyoshoma    J3   Yutakayama    5-3  (4)
(5)  5-3  Wakatakakage  J4   Takanosho     5-3  (5)
(6)  4-4  Kyokushuho    J5   Sokokurai     3-5  (7)
(5)  6-2  Tsurugisho    J6   Tobizaru      5-3  (6)
(7)  4-4  Hidenoumi     J7   Daishomaru    5-3  (6)
(7)  5-3  Daiamami      J8
(7)  5-3  Mitoryu       J9   Kiribayama    5-3  (7)
                        J10
(7)  6-2  Kyokutaisei   J11
(~)  6-2  Takanofuji    J12


Lower juryo was repopulated for this basho by no less than 4 sekitori debutants, the greatest number since Kyushu 2014, but the strongest record by a promoted rikishi thus far has come courtesy of the sole returnee to juryo; reigning makushita winner Takanofuji stands at 6-2 and should be getting that first sekitori kachikoshi at the third time of asking now. The four rookies stand variously between 5-3 and 3-5 and all can still get that KK as well. Unfortunately for him, the lowest-ranked among them also has the worst record to date, so Kotonowaka the younger will be travelling by far the hardest road to avoid his immediate return to makushita, needing 5 more wins.

Joining the youngster in the danger zone are two top division veterans in Ikioi and Aminishiki, with the latter already assured of his demotion (or intai?) should he not be returning from kyujo status soon. Ikioi's sudden demise over the last two and a half basho has been something to behold (in the worst possible way) and even with "only" four wins to go it's hard to see his results improving to that degree over the next few days. Catastrophic decline like that has rarely been reversed by an old-ish rikishi before, so even if Ikioi were to decide to stick it out in makushita, I'm not sure there'd be any light at the end of the tunnel.

The list of demotion-threatened rikishi is completed by Akiseyama - in big, big trouble at 2-6 - and by perennial lower-half resident Chiyonoumi.

Coming off his near-miss two months ago (MK- and demotion-clinching loss on senshuraku), Seiro looks determined to stage another return to the paid ranks, and he currently sports the only record better than 2-2 among the top 8 rikishi in makushita. Nothing much else to report here yet, Day 8 is as usual far too early to make many serious predictions about who's going to go up. However, given the goings-on in juryo it stands to reason that a relatively large number of promotion slots could become available again.

Somewhat unusually, neither of the two unbeaten records in the top 15 ranks is held by a rikishi in the immediate promotion zone, which may add a further wildcard to this race.

                        J2   Gagamaru      1-7  (1)
                        ...
                        J8   Ikioi         1-7  (4)
                        J9
(4)  2-6  Chiyonoumi    J10  Arawashi      4-4  (2)
                        J11  Aminishiki   0-3-5 (6)
(1)  6-2  Takanofuji    J12  Ryuko         4-4  (3)
(2)  5-3  Ichiyamamoto  J13  Kizakiumi     4-4  (3)
(6)  2-6  Akiseyama     J14  Kotonowaka    3-5  (5)

     3-1  Seiro         Ms1  Irodori       2-2
     1-3  Daiseido      Ms2  Hoshoryu      2-2
     2-2  Tamaki        Ms3  Churanoumi    1-3
     2-2  Chiyootori    Ms4  Kaisho        2-2
(x)  0-4  Fujiazuma     Ms5  Wakamotoharu  3-1
                        ...
     4-0  Akua          Ms7
                        Ms11 Midorifuji    4-0


Explanation of symbols used:

numbers = wins needed until favourable outcome (getting promoted / not getting demoted)
o = favourable outcome achieved
x = favourable outcome definitely missed
~ = favourable outcome missed "by the numbers", but still achievable through banzuke luck

Edited by Asashosakari
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Posted (edited)

Juryo yusho race:

6-2 J6e Tsurugisho, J11e Kyokutaisei, J12e Takanofuji

5-3 (10 rikishi - five Day 8 winners, five losers)

4-4 (7 rikishi - three winners, four losers)

I'm not sure exactly who I was expecting to play a role in the yusho race this month (my Oracle entry says "nobody"...), but I don't think any of the 6-2 trio would have made my top 10 if somebody had held a gun to my head before shonichi and made me pick.* I'll try to present a more detailed look once we no longer have nearly three-quarters of the division within two wins of the lead. Meanwhile I'm rooting for the potential carnage of a 9-6 yusho score.


(* In fact none of them did make my 8 picks for Juryo Game now that I'm looking at that, which I guess is close enough.)


Lower division yusho races (Day 7/8 results):

4-0 Ms7e Akua (Tatsunami)
4-0 Ms11w Midorifuji (Isegahama)
4-0 Ms20w Tsurubayashi (Kise)
4-0 Ms38w Asakoki (Takasago)
4-0 Ms41w Chiyonoo (Kokonoe)
4-0 Ms49e Kagamio (Kagamiyama)
4-0 Ms52w Hatooka (Kise)

4-0 Sd8e Fukamiyama (Onoe)
4-0 Sd10e Nakazono (Nishonoseki)
4-0 Sd20e Asatenmai (Takasago)
4-0 Sd32e Kihonoumi (Dewanoumi)
4-0 Sd34e Aozora (Kasugano)
4-0 Sd42w Tochikamiyama (Kasugano)
4-0 Sd51w Terasawa (Takasago)
4-0 Sd61e Seigo (Shikoroyama)
4-0 Sd66e Asonishiki (Sakaigawa)
4-0 Sd75w Okinohama (Hakkaku)
4-0 Sd87w Rendaiyama (Kise)

4-0 Jd1e Hodaka (Onoe)
4-0 Jd2w Daikisho (Oitekaze)
4-0 Jd14e Homarefuji (Isegahama)
4-0 Jd24e Mutsukaze (Oguruma)
4-0 Jd27w Hitenryu (Tatsunami)
4-0 Jd37w Furanshisu (Shikihide)
4-0 Jd44w Tokisakae (Tokitsukaze)
4-0 Jd58e Mukaida (Naruto)
4-0 Jd64e Watanabe (Oguruma)
4-0 Jd72e Toma (Miyagino)
4-0 Jd82e Oba (Otake)
4-0 Jd87e Kiyota (Dewanoumi)
4-0 Jd98e Adachi (Tagonoura)
4-0 Jd108e Asahio (Asahiyama)

4-0 Jk5w Asadoji (Takasago)
4-0 Jk27e Marusho (Naruto)
4-0 Jk27w Sakurai (Naruto)
4-0 Jk28e Motobayashi (Naruto)
4-0 Jk28w Mishima (Naruto)


Yikes, that jonokuchi field...

Edited by Asashosakari
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Trivia: there has never been a Basho with three 7-0 rikishi in Jonokuchi, and only 14 Jk playoffs at all.  Something to cheer for, I guess. 

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19 hours ago, Asashosakari said:

4-0 Jd98e Adachi (Tagonoura)


Long-serving Adachi is now 5-0 for only the second time in his 17-year career, so if you like to cheer for an underdog, he's your unlikely Jonidan contender. Not many rikishi have 100 career basho under their family name either.

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2 hours ago, Yubinhaad said:


Long-serving Adachi is now 5-0 for only the second time in his 17-year career, so if you like to cheer for an underdog, he's your unlikely Jonidan contender. Not many rikishi have 100 career basho under their family name either.

Incredible.  I just featured him in another post on rikishi who rise from Jonokuchi without a kachi-koshi.  The anti-jinx works again!

 

That guy owes me money(Yushowinner...).

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Posted (edited)

Late fill-in for Day 8, the ex-sekitori crowd. 37 of 'em this time after we had five demotions from juryo after last basho and only one former sekitori going back up.
 

Record   Rank   Shikona Heya Age Out
3-1 Ms1e Seiro Shikoroyama 30 1
2-2 Ms1w Irodori Shikoroyama 27 1
1-3 Ms2e Daiseido Kise 26 2
1-3 Ms3w Churanoumi Kise 25 1
2-2 Ms4e Chiyootori Kokonoe 26 10
0-4 Ms5e Fujiazuma Tamanoi 32 14
3-1 Ms5w Wakamotoharu Arashio 25 2
 
kyujo Ms6e Chiyonokuni Kokonoe 29 1
4-0 Ms7e Akua Tatsunami 28 5
2-2 Ms10e Hakuyozan Takadagawa 24 1
1-3 Ms11e Kizenryu Kise 34 6
2-2 Ms13e Asabenkei Takasago 30 7
2-2 Ms13w Toyohibiki Sakaigawa 34 9
3-1 Ms14w Chiyoarashi Kokonoe 28 36
 
2-2 Ms17w Jokoryu Kise 30 3
0-4 Ms21w Masunoyama Chiganoura 28 26
3-1 Ms22e Sakigake Shibatayama 33 27
2-2 Ms23w Kitaharima Yamahibiki 32 11
3-1 Ms28w Sagatsukasa Irumagawa 37 32
1-3 Ms30e Nionoumi Yamahibiki 32 36
 
1-3 Ms31e Tokushinho Kise 35 22
2-2 Ms32w Asahisho Tomozuna 29 13
3-1 Ms39w Higonojo Kise 34 31
1-3 Ms40w Takaryu Kise 27 24
4-0 Ms41w Chiyonoo Kokonoe 28 4
4-0 Ms49e Kagamio Kagamiyama 31 19
2-2 Ms53w Gokushindo Nishikido 23 4
3-1 Ms57e Keitenkai Onomatsu 29 41
3-1 Ms59e Terunofuji Isegahama 27 7
 
2-2 Sd37e Yoshiazuma Tamanoi 42 29
3-1 Sd38w Kaonishiki Azumazeki 40 47
3-1 Sd49w Amakaze Oguruma 28 8
3-1 Sd53e Dairaido Takadagawa 39 77
2-2 Sd71w Yamaguchi Miyagino 30 9
kyujo Sd76w Ura Kise 27 9
 
4-0 Jd14e Homarefuji Isegahama 34 6
4-0 Jd27w Hitenryu Tatsunami 35 47

 

Edited by Asashosakari
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Posted (edited)

Day 9 (results, text-only results)

9-0 Ye Kakuryu

8-1 Yw Hakuho

7-2 O1w Takayasu, M7e Myogiryu, M7w Tomokaze, M16w Terutsuyoshi


     9-0  Kakuryu       Y    Hakuho        8-1
    3-5-1 Goeido        O1   Takayasu      7-2
(x) kyujo Takakeisho    O2   Tochinoshin  0-6-3

Hakuho's usual cleverness and quick thinking seemed to desert him today, as he had neither an offensive nor a defensive answer to Ichinojo doing what Ichinojo does, so it's the first loss of the basho for the main man of sumo. Youngster Meisei also put up a good fight against the other yokozuna, but Kakuryu's eventual victory didn't really appear in doubt at any point. Pursuer Takayasu sadly looked much worse for wear from yesterday's encounter with Tamawashi's armlock attempt, and saw his attempt at a quick-rush victory derailed by a strong Shodai thrustdown. Based on today's showing it's probably safe to say that Takayasu will be outta here as soon as he has that 8th win in his hands.

But for now he's joined by a trio of maegashira at two wins off the lead, with all of Myogiryu, Tomokaze and Terutsuyoshi winning their Day 9 battles in fairly dominant fashion. Terutsuyoshi may get spared for another while, but the M7 duo is likely to see joi opposition as soon as they're kachikoshi. (Of course, that would still only mean Day 12 at the earliest - if KK on Day 10, the Day 11 schedule will have already been created.)

Komusubi Abi pulled off a killer uwatenage out of nowhere on one-rank-higher Mitakeumi, defeating him for the first time in four attempts. Fellow komusubi Ryuden found himself under immediate pressure by defending champion Asanoyama, however, and ultimately couldn't stave off the yorikiri, so it's now Abi who looks the better to retain the rank. Tamawashi, meanwhile, has dropped to makekoshi after a quick semi-henka loss to Hokutofuji, who remains the frontrunner for a promotion into sanyaku. It was a very strong showing overall by the joi maegashira today, with 6 wins by the top 8 rank and filers (including one head-to-head match, won by Endo against Aoiyama). The only sanyaku-ranked wrestler to beat a maegashira today was Kakuryu, in fact.

     6-3  Mitakeumi     S    Tamawashi     1-8
     4-5  Abi           K    Ryuden        3-6

     4-5  Asanoyama     M1   Hokutofuji    6-3
     3-6  Aoiyama       M2   Endo          4-5
     5-4  Shodai        M3   Daieisho      4-5
(x)  2-7  Meisei        M4   Ichinojo      6-3
     5-4  Kotoshogiku   M5   Takarafuji    2-7  (x)
     6-3  Chiyotairyu   M6   Shimanoumi    5-4
     7-2  Myogiryu      M7   Tomokaze      7-2
(x)  4-5  Onosho        M8   Okinoumi      4-5  (x)
(x)  4-5  Shohozan      M9


Kaisei looked rather hapless once again today, which served to deliver the division-clinching 6th win to Sadanoumi. I guess Kaisei's overall style makes it relatively unlikely that he'll suffer significant further injury to his right arm by staying in the tournament, but it's clearly a major hindrance and it's hard to see him getting much out of any further matches. Tomorrow he faces Tochiozan, still holder of the second-worst record in the low maegashira ranks after today's one-sided loss to Terutsuyoshi, but even he should be able to execute against the ailing Brazilian. And after that it's difficult to spot another potential opponent against whom Kaisei would have a decent chance to pick up a shiroboshi.

Joining Sadanoumi as certain members of the Aki basho top division roster are Daishoho after a big ol' yotsu battle victory over Chiyomaru, and Kotoeko who defeated Yago. The demotion candidate field has broken apart into two groups a bit now, with a bunch of rikishi only one or two wins away from safety, and another quartet requiring 4+.

Over in juryo Ishiura now has the sole best claim on a promotion slot after beating fellow small man Tobizaru, as the other "four wins needed" duo Azumaryu and Yutakayama were both unsuccessful on Day 9. A fair few other rikishi moved up into that status group with victories, namely Tokushoryu, Chiyoshoma, Takanosho and Tsurugisho. You'd have to think that at least two of these six will be able to finish the basho with the required 4-2 record, though that still wouldn't give us all that many promotable scores.

                        M9   Daishoho      4-5  (o)
(o)  5-4  Kotoeko       M10  Takagenji     4-5  (1)
(x) kyujo Yoshikaze     M11  Nishikigi     3-6  (2)
(4)  2-7  Tochiozan     M12  Kagayaki      5-4  (1)
(2)  4-5  Chiyomaru     M13  Sadanoumi     6-3  (o)
(4)  3-6  Toyonoshima   M14  Enho          6-3  (1)
(4)  3-6  Yago          M15  Kaisei        1-8  (6)
(2)  6-3  Kotoyuki      M16  Terutsuyoshi  7-2  (1)

(4)  4-5  Tokushoryu    J1   Azumaryu      4-5  (4)
(3)  6-3  Ishiura       J2   Gagamaru      2-7  (~)
(4)  5-4  Chiyoshoma    J3   Yutakayama    5-4  (4)
(5)  5-4  Wakatakakage  J4   Takanosho     6-3  (4)
(5)  5-4  Kyokushuho    J5   Sokokurai     3-6  (~)
(4)  7-2  Tsurugisho    J6   Tobizaru      5-4  (6)
(~)  4-5  Hidenoumi     J7   Daishomaru    5-4  (6)
(6)  6-3  Daiamami      J8
(~)  5-4  Mitoryu       J9   Kiribayama    6-3  (6)
                        J10
(6)  7-2  Kyokutaisei   J11
(x)  6-3  Takanofuji    J12

 

Gagamaru wasn't very likely to get dropped to makushita from J2 anyway, but today's defeat of Daishomaru in the battle of the round men has made sure of his continued presence in the second division. Ikioi and Akiseyama, two of the other three main strugglers, faced off today, with the better end for top division veteran Ikioi. Chiyonoumi joined Gagamaru, Ikioi and Akiseyama at 2-7 with a loss to rookie Kizakiumi and is increasingly in trouble here.

All in all the four debutants posted three wins today, with Kotonowaka (vs Arawashi) and Ichiyamamoto (against makushita visitor Daiseido) also improving their standing alongside Kizakiumi. Ryuko fell at the hands of yusho co-leader Kyokutaisei, meanwhile.

Daiseido's loss has seen him drop to 1-4 and makekoshi, so that's it for his sekitori return hopes for this tournament. Churanoumi, also of Kise-beya, finds himself in this predicament as well following the day's loss to young hope Naya. All in all nearly the entire promotion zone was in action today, as is customary for Day 9, featuring in three head-to-head battles. These saw victories for Wakamotoharu (now the first KK, but at a low position) over top-ranked Seiro, Irodori over Tamaki, and Hoshoryu over Chiyootori. Kaisho will be completing the hoshitori for the top 5 ranks tomorrow.

Further down, the matchup of the two highest-ranked leaders saw a win for ex-sekitori Akua against undersized Midorifuji, so the 28-year-old two-time juryo member can continue to dream of an unexpected return to the paid ranks.

                        J2   Gagamaru      2-7  (o)
                        ...
                        J8   Ikioi         2-7  (3)
                        J9
(4)  2-7  Chiyonoumi    J10  Arawashi      4-5  (2)
                        J11  Aminishiki   0-3-6 (x)
(1)  6-3  Takanofuji    J12  Ryuko         4-5  (3)
(1)  6-3  Ichiyamamoto  J13  Kizakiumi     5-4  (2)
(6)  2-7  Akiseyama     J14  Kotonowaka    4-5  (4)

     3-2  Seiro         Ms1  Irodori       3-2
(x)  1-4  Daiseido      Ms2  Hoshoryu      3-2
     2-3  Tamaki        Ms3  Churanoumi    1-4  (x)
     2-3  Chiyootori    Ms4  Kaisho        2-2
                        Ms5  Wakamotoharu  4-1
                        ...
     5-0  Akua          Ms7
                        Ms11 Midorifuji    4-1  (x)

-----

Juryo yusho race:

7-2 J6e Tsurugisho, J11e Kyokutaisei

6-3 J2e Ishiura, J4w Takanosho, J8e Daiamami, J9w Kiribayama, J12e Takanofuji, J13e Ichiyamamoto

5-4 J3e Chiyoshoma, J3w Yutakayama, J4e Wakatakakage, J5e Kyokushuho, J6w Tobizaru, J7w Daishomaru, J9e Mitoryu, J13w Kizakiumi

Still plenty of names populating these three tiers, but a bit better to handle already, so this time with full listings. The 6-3 group arguably does feature some names one would expect to find in the race with maku/juryo elevator rikishi Ishiura and Daiamami, as well as talented duo Takanosho and Kiribayama.

Kyokutaisei looks to have drawn the better leader assignment for tomorrow, as he's going against underperforming Akiseyama, while Tsurugisho faces high-ranked Tokushoryu. Then again, Tsurugisho leads that H2H 5-4, while Kyokutaisei is 2-6 for his career against Akiseyama...


I'll do the toriteki update tomorrow as one of the jonokuchi 4-0's did not yet compete on Day 9.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Day 10 (results, text-only results)

10-0 Ye Kakuryu

9-1 Yw Hakuho

8-2 O1w Takayasu, M7e Myogiryu, M7w Tomokaze, M16w Terutsuyoshi


    10-0  Kakuryu       Y    Hakuho        9-1
    3-5-2 Goeido        O1   Takayasu      8-2
(x) kyujo Takakeisho    O2   Tochinoshin  0-6-4

No losses all around among the leading and pursuing rikishi today. Kakuryu demonstrated smart sumo in handling Ichinojo after his kinboshi yesterday, while Hakuho simply opted to slap struggling sekiwake Tamawashi around the dohyo for a bit. All three chasing maegashira showed strong skills again and have secured their very early kachikoshi. Takayasu is also KK as his frantic one-armed sumo actually came through against Meisei today. He's been scheduled against Hakuho for tomorrow which I suppose lessens the likelihood that he will be exiting straight away, what with the frequent reluctance by rikishi to withdraw from such high-profile matchups.

Mitakeumi lost his second straight to a lower-ranked opponents, and that hope of a renewed ozeki push already seems fleeting again given his remaining schedule with both yokozuna yet to come. His West-side counterpart Tamawashi is even headed down to the maegashira ranks after his 9th loss, and as neither komusubi can still reach 11 wins it appears very likely that our next two sekiwake will be named Mitakeumi and Takakeisho (barring a full-on collapse by the incumbent, I suppose).

Komusubi duo Abi and Ryuden scored opposite results again, the former defeating Asanoyama with a well-timed pulldown and the latter being unable to stop Hokutofuji's charges. For Ryuden it's getting quite difficult to retain his rank now, to put it mildly, Abi however has an excellent chance to finish kachikoshi from 5-5. Hokutofuji is waiting in the wings should a sanyaku slot open up, needing just one more win for his KK, but in general the scores of the joi maegashira are more than respectable this basho. I suspect we and the Kyokai will find ourselves with a rather tricky situation up here for the next banzuke-making session, shouldn't these guys score quite a few more losses than wins over the remaining five days. In any case, the glut of decent records up here should mean that we'll be seeing lots and lots more matchups within this group, rather than against lower-ranked maegashira with good scores.

     6-4  Mitakeumi     S    Tamawashi     1-9  (x)
     5-5  Abi           K    Ryuden        3-7

     4-6  Asanoyama     M1   Hokutofuji    7-3
     4-6  Aoiyama       M2   Endo          5-5
     5-5  Shodai        M3   Daieisho      5-5
                        M4   Ichinojo      6-4
     5-5  Kotoshogiku   M5
     6-4  Chiyotairyu   M6   Shimanoumi    6-4
     8-2  Myogiryu      M7   Tomokaze      8-2


No major surprise in today's Tochiozan-Kaisei battle...it lasted longer than the matches of more on-form rikishi against Kaisei did, but ultimately Tochiozan's victory wasn't really threatened at any time. Kaisei is now demotable by the numbers after loss #9, and though banzuke luck could still save him, he's arguably much, much closer to finishing 1-14 than the required 6-9. Yago is on course to accompany the Brazilian on the way down after his 5th loss in 6 days, today against Shimanoumi (whom he'd previously defeated all 5 times they had met). Toyonoshima improved his lot a bit with a win against Kagayaki, but like Tochiozan he's looking at 3 more wins in five days or it could be another straight demotion back to juryo, just like four months ago.

On the brighter side the day also brought the first ever top division KK for Terutsuyoshi as well as the 7th win for Enho and Kotoyuki. For Kotoyuki it's an opportunity to score his first makuuchi kachikoshi in almost two years, and for Enho let's just hope we don't see a repeat of the May tournament when he crumbled from 7-2 to 7-8 in his debut.

Ishiura failed to move closer to a makuuchi return, losing to Kyokushuho today, so with five days to go nobody in juryo is an odds-on favourite to finish with a promotable record. Of course, that means lucky promotions with fewer than the prescribed number of wins are likely to come available. At least the next-best group of candidate rikishi - who required four wins entering today - did pretty well, with four wins and just two losses among them.

                        M10  Takagenji     4-6  (1)
(x) kyujo Yoshikaze     M11  Nishikigi     3-7  (2)
(3)  3-7  Tochiozan     M12  Kagayaki      5-5  (1)
(2)  4-6  Chiyomaru     M13
(3)  4-6  Toyonoshima   M14  Enho          7-3  (o)
(4)  3-7  Yago          M15  Kaisei        1-9  (~)
(1)  7-3  Kotoyuki      M16  Terutsuyoshi  8-2  (o)

(4)  4-6  Tokushoryu    J1   Azumaryu      5-5  (3)
(3)  6-4  Ishiura       J2   Gagamaru      2-8  (x)
(3)  6-4  Chiyoshoma    J3   Yutakayama    6-4  (3)
(5)  5-5  Wakatakakage  J4   Takanosho     6-4  (4)
(4)  6-4  Kyokushuho    J5   Sokokurai     3-7  (x)
(3)  8-2  Tsurugisho    J6   Tobizaru      5-5  (~)
(~)  5-5  Hidenoumi     J7   Daishomaru    5-5  (~)
(5)  7-3  Daiamami      J8
(~)  6-4  Mitoryu       J9   Kiribayama    6-4  (~)
                        J10
(~)  7-3  Kyokutaisei   J11


Troubled Ikioi managed to procure another win, but after Gagamaru today and Chiyonoumi tomorrow he'll be out of easy-ish opponents and still need at least one more shiroboshi. Things do look better than they did a couple of days ago, but he's far from home yet. Chiyonoumi for his part is makekoshi now and in a world of trouble of his own, his run of seven tournaments in juryo likely coming to an end if he doesn't turn things around sharpish.

The two bottom-ranked J14 rikishi Akiseyama and Kotonowaka are also in big danger, although the heavyweight veteran on the East side at least avoided the fall to MK for now, defeating erstwhile yusho co-leader Kyokutaisei. Ryuko lost for the fourth straight days and has firmly joined fellow rookie youngster Kotonowaka in demotion trouble.

Not much new in makushita, just the fifth match for Kaisho which he duly won over new talent Tsukahara who's ranked just outside the top 5 for this basho. Well, and one more bit of action: Tamaki was up for an early 6th bout in juryo and made the most of it against Ryuko, and so can still hope to finish with kachikoshi and possibly even a sekitori debut.

And in closing news (in more than one way), ultra-veteran Aminishiki made his intai official today, ending a career that lasted more than 22 years - almost 20 of which he spent in the top two divisions, totalling the co-most sekitori basho in history alongside former ozeki Kaio.

                        J8   Ikioi         3-7  (2)
                        J9
(4)  2-8  Chiyonoumi    J10  Arawashi      4-6  (2)
                        J11  Aminishiki   0-3-6 (i)
(o)  7-3  Takanofuji    J12  Ryuko         4-6  (3)
(o)  7-3  Ichiyamamoto  J13  Kizakiumi     6-4  (1)
(5)  3-7  Akiseyama     J14  Kotonowaka    4-6  (4)

     3-2  Seiro         Ms1  Irodori       3-2
                        Ms2  Hoshoryu      3-2
     3-3  Tamaki        Ms3
     2-3  Chiyootori    Ms4  Kaisho        3-2
                        Ms5  Wakamotoharu  4-1
                        ...
     5-0  Akua          Ms7

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Posted (edited)

Juryo yusho race:

8-2 J6e Tsurugisho

7-3 J8e Daiamami, J11e Kyokutaisei, J12e Takanofuji, J13e Ichiyamamoto

6-4 J2e Ishiura, J3e Chiyoshoma, J3w Yutakayama, J4w Takanosho, J5e Kyokushuho, J9e Mitoryu, J9w Kiribayama, J13w Kizakiumi

The torikumi of our two leaders went according to their head-to-head stats mentioned yesterday, so Tsurugisho finds himself the first sole leader of the basho while Kyokutaisei slinks back into the new four-strong pursuit group, composed entirely of lower-half members of the division. Still lots of sumo to come though, and considering Tsurugisho has had a whopping one double-digit record in his 22 juryo appearances... In any case, he gets challenged by top-ranked Azumaryu tomorrow, another matchup that Tsurugisho has previously enjoyed to the tune of a 9-3 H2H. None of the immediate pursuers are paired up, but three of them are meeting 6-4 opponents; the sole exception is lucky Daiamami who will go up against 2-8 Gagamaru instead.


Lower division yusho races (Day 9/10 results for makushita to jonidan and the messy jonokuchi pairings):

5-0 Ms7e Akua (Tatsunami)
4-1 Ms11w Midorifuji (Isegahama)
5-0 Ms20w Tsurubayashi (Kise)
4-1 Ms38w Asakoki (Takasago)
5-0 Ms41w Chiyonoo (Kokonoe)
4-1 Ms49e Kagamio (Kagamiyama)
5-0 Ms52w Hatooka (Kise)

4-1 Sd8e Fukamiyama (Onoe)
4-1 Sd10e Nakazono (Nishonoseki)
5-0 Sd20e Asatenmai (Takasago)
5-0 Sd32e Kihonoumi (Dewanoumi)
4-1 Sd34e Aozora (Kasugano)
4-1 Sd42w Tochikamiyama (Kasugano)
5-0 Sd51w Terasawa (Takasago)
5-0 Sd61e Seigo (Shikoroyama)
4-1 Sd66e Asonishiki (Sakaigawa)
5-0 Sd75w Okinohama (Hakkaku)
4-1 Sd87w Rendaiyama (Kise)

4-1 Jd1e Hodaka (Onoe)
5-0 Jd2w Daikisho (Oitekaze)
5-0 Jd14e Homarefuji (Isegahama)
4-1 Jd24e Mutsukaze (Oguruma)
5-0 Jd27w Hitenryu (Tatsunami)
4-1 Jd37w Furanshisu (Shikihide)
5-0 Jd44w Tokisakae (Tokitsukaze)
4-1 Jd58e Mukaida (Naruto)
4-1 Jd64e Watanabe (Oguruma)
5-0 Jd72e Toma (Miyagino)
5-0 Jd82e Oba (Otake)
4-1 Jd87e Kiyota (Dewanoumi)
5-0 Jd98e Adachi (Tagonoura)
4-1 Jd108e Asahio (Asahiyama)

4-1 Jk5w Asadoji (Takasago)
5-0 Jk27e Marusho (Naruto)
5-0 Jk27w Sakurai (Naruto)
5-0 Jk28e Motobayashi (Naruto)
4-1 Jk28w Mishima (Naruto)

Two Kise-beya rikishi left in the race for makushita, two from Takasago in sandanme, so jonokuchi isn't the only division with some same-stable playoff potential. Surprisingly the division race with the greatest name value may be found in jonidan this time, courtesy of former maegashira Homarefuji, former two-time juryo Hitenryu (what is it with his alleged move to wakaimonogashira several months ago?), and new super-heavyweight Hakuho protegé Toma. They've got plenty of competition from strong new high schooler Daikisho and collegiate rookie Tokisakae, however, so this may be quite an open race - unless Homarefuji is back to anywhere close to his proper skill level, in which case he's the clear favourite, of course.

Sandanme is notoriously difficult to predict, but you'd have to think that fairly well-regarded ex-collegiate Terasawa is the frontrunner here, given that he's likely of makushita strength and the other four contenders probably aren't. 38-year-old Asatenmai does have plenty of experience though and could conceivably surprise with his first-ever yusho, even if he's several years removed from his best days (which strangely enough didn't even happen until he was already into his 30s).

Makushita ought to come down to former sekitori Akua and Chiyonoo, though semi-prospect Tsurubayashi can't be ruled out - he's still only 25 years old but already has 7 years of makushita experience, but on the other hand those numbers do also indicate that he hasn't really managed to go as far as one would hope for a rikishi who made his debut in the third division just days after his 18th birthday. He's certainly good enough to provide a proper challenge to Akua, at any rate. Hatooka is a bit of the odd man out here, still coming back from nearly a year out with injury, but before that detour he'd topped out in mid-makushita already in his first run up the banzuke, so he might not be all that underranked right now (unlike Chiyonoo, most probably).

And finally, the one Naruto-beya deshi in jonokuchi who faced a 4-0 opponent was victorious, while his three stablemates went 2 wins and one loss against 3-1 opponents, so one of 'em is out now. The three-way playoff scenario is still on, but first it's going to be interesting to see how they deal with that trio for their regularly scheduled matches. Only one of them has been placed in action on Day 11, facing a 4-1 opponent as surely the other two will as well on Day 12. There will be an even number of 6-0 records across sandanme and jonidan, so I doubt any low 6-0 jonidan will be mixed into this mess for the final round, probably necessitating more matchups with 1-loss opponents. On the flipside, maybe we will end up with no 7-0 rikishi in jonokuchi at all...

 

Edited by Asashosakari
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The ex-sekitori through Day 10.

new KK: Wakamotoharu, Sakigake, Sagatsukasa, Higonojo, Terunofuji, Kaonishiki, Dairaido

new MK: Daiseido, Churanoumi, Nionoumi
 

Record   Rank   Shikona Heya Age Out
3-2 Ms1e Seiro Shikoroyama 30 1
3-2 Ms1w Irodori Shikoroyama 27 1
1-4 Ms2e Daiseido Kise 26 2
1-4 Ms3w Churanoumi Kise 25 1
2-3 Ms4e Chiyootori Kokonoe 26 10
0-5 Ms5e Fujiazuma Tamanoi 32 14
4-1 Ms5w Wakamotoharu Arashio 25 2
 
kyujo Ms6e Chiyonokuni Kokonoe 29 1
5-0 Ms7e Akua Tatsunami 28 5
2-3 Ms10e Hakuyozan Takadagawa 24 1
2-3 Ms11e Kizenryu Kise 34 6
3-2 Ms13e Asabenkei Takasago 30 7
2-3 Ms13w Toyohibiki Sakaigawa 34 9
3-2 Ms14w Chiyoarashi Kokonoe 28 36
 
2-3 Ms17w Jokoryu Kise 30 3
0-4-1 Ms21w Masunoyama Chiganoura 28 26
4-1 Ms22e Sakigake Shibatayama 33 27
2-3 Ms23w Kitaharima Yamahibiki 32 11
4-1 Ms28w Sagatsukasa Irumagawa 37 32
1-4 Ms30e Nionoumi Yamahibiki 32 36
 
2-3 Ms31e Tokushinho Kise 35 22
2-3 Ms32w Asahisho Tomozuna 29 13
4-1 Ms39w Higonojo Kise 34 31
2-3 Ms40w Takaryu Kise 27 24
5-0 Ms41w Chiyonoo Kokonoe 28 4
4-1 Ms49e Kagamio Kagamiyama 31 19
3-2 Ms53w Gokushindo Nishikido 23 4
3-2 Ms57e Keitenkai Onomatsu 29 41
4-1 Ms59e Terunofuji Isegahama 27 7
 
3-2 Sd37e Yoshiazuma Tamanoi 42 29
4-1 Sd38w Kaonishiki Azumazeki 40 47
3-2 Sd49w Amakaze Oguruma 28 8
4-1 Sd53e Dairaido Takadagawa 39 77
3-2 Sd71w Yamaguchi Miyagino 30 9
kyujo Sd76w Ura Kise 27 9
 
5-0 Jd14e Homarefuji Isegahama 34 6
5-0 Jd27w Hitenryu Tatsunami 35 47

 

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Posted (edited)

Day 11 (results, text-only results)

11-0 Ye Kakuryu

10-1 Yw Hakuho

9-2 M7w Tomokaze, M16w Terutsuyoshi


    11-0  Kakuryu       Y    Hakuho       10-1
    3-5-3 Goeido        O1   Takayasu      8-3
(x) kyujo Takakeisho    O2   Tochinoshin  0-6-5

Ozeki Takayasu did do the smart thing after all and withdrew following yesterday's KK-clinching victory, which served to give Hakuho the day off with a freebie win. In turn, the other yokozuna Kakuryu had to work extra-hard to dispatch of crafty ex-ozeki Kotoshogiku today. But dispatch him he eventually did, so the zensho record and sole yusho lead remain intact.

As widely noted already, a 4-strong ozeki squad being completely absent from the tournament action is an unprecedented development. What can you do...

Takayasu wasn't the only one to depart the two-loss rikishi group as Okinoumi found a way to stop Myogiryu's powerful forward drive today and eventually brought him out of the dohyo for his third defeat. Tomokaze and Terutsuyoshi looked very good again in victories over Kotoyuki and Nishikigi, and continue to give chase for the yusho, unlikely as it is when the rikishi they're chasing are two yokozuna.

Mitakeumi stopped his losing streak at two, but had to survive a strong yotsu challenge by Meisei who ultimately just didn't seem to have the necessary horsepower to decide the match in his favour. Struggling Tamawashi tried the pushing approach against burly Ichinojo but failed to make significant headway and got pulled down before too long.

Komusubi and M2-ranked rikishi found themselves paired up today, and both matches went the maegashiras' way, Endo defeating Ryuden and Aoiyama beating Abi. The first sanyaku promotion slot has thus opened up with Ryuden's makekoshi. For now there's no fully qualified contender as we have yet to find the first kachikoshi among the maegashira-joi; the closest candidate, Hokutofuji, lost to Asanoyama in a battle of the top-ranked maegashira today. The M3 duo were also matched up, and this bout saw Daieisho execute an unusual victory on Shodai's mawashi, by a throw no less. (He's got less than 10 of those for his career, in nearly 300 victories...)

     7-4  Mitakeumi     S    Tamawashi     1-10 (x)
     5-6  Abi           K    Ryuden        3-8  (x)

     5-6  Asanoyama     M1   Hokutofuji    7-4
     5-6  Aoiyama       M2   Endo          6-5
     5-6  Shodai        M3   Daieisho      6-5
                        M4   Ichinojo      7-4
     5-6  Kotoshogiku   M5
     6-5  Chiyotairyu   M6   Shimanoumi    6-5
     8-3  Myogiryu      M7   Tomokaze      9-2

Despite the depleted sanyaku ranks they're not bothering to save up Hakuho-Mitakeumi for a possible senshuraku slotting, so that match will be happening tomorrow. Kakuryu for his part will be facing Chiyotairyu, against whom he has never lost in 11 encounters.


Kaisei also made the intelligent decision and opted to end his participation in the Nagoya proceedings after yesterday's loss had all but assured his demotion to juryo. None of the other demotion candidates were able to profit from it as he was scheduled to face higher-ranked Onosho today.

Three rikishi stood one win away from safety entering Day 11, but only one them was able to take advantage of it. Kagayaki's the one, and in the process he sent Yago even closer to his doom - he now needs to win all remaining matches to be certain to stay in the top division. Kotoyuki will have to continue to seek his final needed win after today's loss in his tough assignment against Tomokaze, and so does Takagenji, who's been seeking it for six days already; today it was Chiyomaru who extended the debutant's losing streak. Chiyomaru himself is now also just one shiroboshi away. Two highly endangered veterans were matched up as well, with the better end for Tochiozan who quickly pulled down an overcommitted Toyonoshima.

And we're back to Ishiura being the sole top candidate for promotion among the high-ranked juryo rikishi after Azumaryu, Chiyoshoma and Yutakayama all suffered defeats today. Given the goings-on in the low maegashira ranks he may very well be just one more victory away from his 4th promotion to the top division, even if the numbers still say two. Somebody who is more likely to need the prescribed two wins is lower-ranking yusho leader Tsurugisho who continues to dispatch all comers and stands at 9-2 now.

                        M10  Takagenji     4-7  (1)
(x) kyujo Yoshikaze     M11  Nishikigi     3-8  (2)
(2)  4-7  Tochiozan     M12  Kagayaki      6-5  (o)
(1)  5-6  Chiyomaru     M13
(3)  4-7  Toyonoshima   M14
(4)  3-8  Yago          M15  Kaisei        1-10 (x)
(1)  7-4  Kotoyuki      M16

(3)  5-6  Tokushoryu    J1   Azumaryu      5-6  (3)
(2)  7-4  Ishiura       J2
(3)  6-5  Chiyoshoma    J3   Yutakayama    6-5  (3)
(4)  6-5  Wakatakakage  J4   Takanosho     6-5  (4)
(4)  6-5  Kyokushuho    J5
(2)  9-2  Tsurugisho    J6   Tobizaru      5-6  (x)
(~)  6-5  Hidenoumi     J7   Daishomaru    6-5  (~)
(4)  8-3  Daiamami      J8
(x)  6-5  Mitoryu       J9   Kiribayama    7-4  (~)
                        J10
(~)  8-3  Kyokutaisei   J11


Chiyonoumi prevailed in the battle of troubled rikishi against Ikioi, pulling even with his aite at 3-8. Ranked three spots lower he remains in the greater spot of bother for now, however. The first certain demotion has been determined, meanwhile, after bottom-ranked Akiseyama was defeated for his makekoshi by Daishomaru. The other J14 Kotonowaka improved his situation slightly with victory over visiting makushitan Irodori, but still has a big job ahead if he wants to stay. Fellow rookie Ryuko lost once again, this the fifth match in a row, and is spiralling towards demotion at this rate. His victorious opponent here was Arawashi who inched closer to safety again. Kizakiumi found himself way up in the torikumi today, and wasn't able to come through against J4 Wakatakakage.

Irodori's loss has left him on a 3-3 record before the final round, a score he shares with no less than four other promotion zone denizens: Tamaki already got his yesterday, Hoshoryu (with a loss) and Chiyootori (with a win) find themselves there newly after matches against lower-ranked opposition, and Kaisho is also 3-3 after losing to fellow promotion contender Seiro. Well, not just contender anymore as Seiro is now kachikoshi and assured of a return to the sekitori ranks.

And lastly, there won't be a 7-0 promotion from outside the top 5 ranks this basho after Akua was defeated by Tsurubayashi, who himself is ranked too low for it at Ms20.

                        J8   Ikioi         3-8  (2)
                        J9
(3)  3-8  Chiyonoumi    J10  Arawashi      5-6  (1)
                        J11  Aminishiki   0-3-8 (i)
                        J12  Ryuko         4-7  (3)
                        J13  Kizakiumi     6-5  (1)
(x)  3-8  Akiseyama     J14  Kotonowaka    5-6  (3)

(o)  4-2  Seiro         Ms1  Irodori       3-3
                        Ms2  Hoshoryu      3-3
     3-3  Tamaki        Ms3
     3-3  Chiyootori    Ms4  Kaisho        3-3
                        Ms5  Wakamotoharu  5-1
                        ...
(x)  5-1  Akua          Ms7

Fill-in rikishi continue to be needed for the juryo schedule, and starting things off for the promotion hopefuls is Chiyootori tomorrow, who will face Kizakiumi.

-----

Juryo yusho race:

9-2 J6e Tsurugisho

8-3 J8e Daiamami, J11e Kyokutaisei, J12e Takanofuji, J13e Ichiyamamoto

7-4 J2e Ishiura, J9w Kiribayama

Can it be? Could this be turning into a high-quality yusho race after all? Wins all around for the leader and his four immediate pursuers, the latter of whom are now kachikoshi. As detailed yesterday, three of those pursuers faced 6-4 opponents, but that's not all the damage that group took today - all in all just 2 of the formerly 8 rikishi have managed to remain two wins off the lead, so suddenly we have a very manageable list of just 7 yusho contenders.

Their pairings for Day 12:

J6e Tsurugisho (9-2)    - J3e Chiyoshoma (6-5)

J8e Daiamami (8-3)      - J12e Takanofuji (8-3)
J11e Kyokutaisei (8-3)  - J10e Chiyonoumi (3-8) 
J13e Ichiyamamoto (8-3) - J8w Ikioi (3-8)

J2e Ishiura (7-4)       - J7e Hidenoumi (6-5)
J9w Kiribayama (7-4)    - J14w Kotonowaka (5-6)

Leading Tsurugisho has met both 7-4's already, but not any of the 8-3's.

Edited by Asashosakari
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3 hours ago, Asashosakari said:

Despite the depleted sanyaku ranks they're not bothering to save up Hakuho-Mitakeumi for a possible senshuraku slotting, so that match will be happening tomorrow.

(Inastateofconfusion...)

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Posted (edited)
2 hours ago, Jakusotsu said:

(Inastateofconfusion...)

Wow, brainfart. I got horribly sidetracked trying to source intra-sanyaku matches for the soroibumi there and ended up putting Kakuryu against Tamawashi. (Laughing...)


On a more factual note, the ex-sekitori results through 12 days.

new KK: Seiro, Asabenkei, Gokushindo, Keitenkai, Yoshiazuma, Amakaze

new MK: Chiyootori, Hakuyozan, Kizenryu, Jokoryu, Tokushinho, Asahisho
 

Record   Rank   Shikona Heya Age Out
4-2 Ms1e Seiro Shikoroyama 30 1
3-3 Ms1w Irodori Shikoroyama 27 1
2-4 Ms2e Daiseido Kise 26 2
2-4 Ms3w Churanoumi Kise 25 1
3-4 Ms4e Chiyootori Kokonoe 26 10
1-5 Ms5e Fujiazuma Tamanoi 32 14
5-1 Ms5w Wakamotoharu Arashio 25 2
 
kyujo Ms6e Chiyonokuni Kokonoe 29 1
5-1 Ms7e Akua Tatsunami 28 5
2-4 Ms10e Hakuyozan Takadagawa 24 1
2-4 Ms11e Kizenryu Kise 34 6
4-2 Ms13e Asabenkei Takasago 30 7
3-3 Ms13w Toyohibiki Sakaigawa 34 9
3-3 Ms14w Chiyoarashi Kokonoe 28 36
 
2-4 Ms17w Jokoryu Kise 30 3
0-4-2 Ms21w Masunoyama Chiganoura 28 26
4-2 Ms22e Sakigake Shibatayama 33 27
3-3 Ms23w Kitaharima Yamahibiki 32 11
4-2 Ms28w Sagatsukasa Irumagawa 37 32
2-4 Ms30e Nionoumi Yamahibiki 32 36
 
2-4 Ms31e Tokushinho Kise 35 22
2-4 Ms32w Asahisho Tomozuna 29 13
5-1 Ms39w Higonojo Kise 34 31
3-3 Ms40w Takaryu Kise 27 24
6-0 Ms41w Chiyonoo Kokonoe 28 4
4-2 Ms49e Kagamio Kagamiyama 31 19
4-2 Ms53w Gokushindo Nishikido 23 4
4-2 Ms57e Keitenkai Onomatsu 29 41
5-1 Ms59e Terunofuji Isegahama 27 7
 
4-2 Sd37e Yoshiazuma Tamanoi 42 29
4-2 Sd38w Kaonishiki Azumazeki 40 47
4-2 Sd49w Amakaze Oguruma 28 8
5-1 Sd53e Dairaido Takadagawa 39 77
3-3 Sd71w Yamaguchi Miyagino 30 9
kyujo Sd76w Ura Kise 27 9
 
6-0 Jd14e Homarefuji Isegahama 34 6
5-1 Jd27w Hitenryu Tatsunami 35 47


Fifth straight MK for Jokoryu.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Posted (edited)

Day 12 (results, text-only results)

12-0 Ye Kakuryu

11-1 Yw Hakuho

10-2 M16w Terutsuyoshi


    12-0  Kakuryu       Y    Hakuho       11-1
    3-5-4 Goeido        O1   Takayasu     8-3-1
(x) kyujo Takakeisho    O2   Tochinoshin  0-6-6

Another maegashira pursuer fell by the wayside after Tomokaze just wasn't able to budge big Ichinojo even with a double inside grip, so it's now only Terutsuyoshi in pursuit of the two yokozuna; he showed great footwork in turning the tables on Myogiryu to set up a quick pushout victory today. Great footwork of sorts also led to Kakuryu's susoharai legsweep defeat of Chiyotairyu, while Hakuho had to work longer against Mitakeumi, overcoming a morozashi hold by his opponent for the eventual yorikiri just like Ichinojo did.

After back-to-back losses for komusubi Abi it has become more likely again that two maegashira will get to enjoy a promotion to sanyaku for the next basho. Ichinojo has staked claim to one of them now as the first joi maegashira to be kachikoshi, but he continues to have heavy competition especially on the West side of the rankings, so from M4 he's likely to need more shiroboshi. As predicted a couple of days ago we're still seeing lots and lots of matchups between joi rikishi as the schedulers try to sort out their records, today with both M2 Aoiyama and Endo defeating komusubi for the second straight day, Shodai keeping his unblemished career record (4-0) against Hokutofuji intact, and Daieisho demonstrating similar dominance over Asanoyama (6-1).

     7-5  Mitakeumi     S    Tamawashi     2-10 (x)
     5-7  Abi           K    Ryuden        3-9  (x)

     5-7  Asanoyama     M1   Hokutofuji    7-5
     6-6  Aoiyama       M2   Endo          7-5
     6-6  Shodai        M3   Daieisho      7-5
                        M4   Ichinojo      8-4
     6-6  Kotoshogiku   M5
(x)  6-6  Chiyotairyu   M6   Shimanoumi    7-5
     8-4  Myogiryu      M7   Tomokaze      9-3

With the ozeki squad eliminated from the competition the two yokozuna are getting to enjoy uncharacteristically low-ranked maegashira opponents this basho. Tomorrow they'll both be going against rikishi ranked at M7, Kakuryu against Tomokaze and Hakuho versus Myogiryu - the first time since Aki 2014 that there are multiple matches of yokozuna against M7 or lower, and the first time since all the way back in Nagoya 2002 that it involves more than one maegashira (link).


Kachikoshi for Kotoyuki today with a win over Kagayaki, as mentioned before he hasn't had one of those in makuuchi in quite a while, not since Kyushu 2017 to be exact. Conversely Tochiozan was sent to makekoshi today, his fourth in a row, with the last two having come at lower ranks than any since 2007. He's probably gonna manage to stay in the top division this time in the end, but the writing may be on the wall for the 32-year-old veteran of over 70 makuuchi tournaments.

Kotoyuki was the only one newly saving himself today; Chiyomaru lost a length battle with Okinoumi and Takagenji was defeated yet again courtesy of Shimanoumi, his seventh straight loss and this time for makekoshi as well. Not such an auspicious debut for the Chiganoura youngster after all, especially after the promising 4-1 start.

Yago has been riding a losing streak of his own, and today's extension of it to 5 days at Nishikigi's hands has put him into demotable territory. He may yet save himself with three wins, but it's hard to see him doing it given his form this basho. Nishikigi for his part is close to safety now.

And the pattern continues in upper juryo, as we seemingly alternate days on which Ishiura is the only high-ranker doing well, and days where most rikishi up there are victorious except for him. Today it was the latter with Azumaryu, Yutakayama, Wakatakakage and Takanosho all successful. Still no kachikoshi above Tsurugisho's J6, however - he's now the nominal frontrunner for promotion having reached a double-digit win count.

                        M10  Takagenji     4-8  (1)
(x) kyujo Yoshikaze     M11  Nishikigi     4-8  (1)
(2)  4-8  Tochiozan     M12
(1)  5-7  Chiyomaru     M13
(2)  5-7  Toyonoshima   M14
(~)  3-9  Yago          M15  Kaisei      1-10-1 (x)
(o)  8-4  Kotoyuki      M16

(3)  5-7  Tokushoryu    J1   Azumaryu      6-6  (2)
(2)  7-5  Ishiura       J2
(3)  6-6  Chiyoshoma    J3   Yutakayama    7-5  (2)
(3)  7-5  Wakatakakage  J4   Takanosho     7-5  (3)
(~)  6-6  Kyokushuho    J5
(1) 10-2  Tsurugisho    J6
(~)  7-5  Hidenoumi     J7   Daishomaru    7-5  (~)
(~)  8-4  Daiamami      J8
                        J9   Kiribayama    8-4  (~)
                        J10
(x)  8-4  Kyokutaisei   J11


Ichiyamamoto was seemingly unprepared for Ikioi rushing out of the tachiai and found himself shoved out of the dohyo before he had any time to set up Ikioi for his trademark slapdown routine. With the win things are looking up for the embattled veteran, though I'm not sure any of his remaining three opponents will be giving him quite such a convenient opening. Chiyonoumi was also successful again, today somewhat surprisingly against resurgent Kyokutaisei, and can also have renewed hopes. Debutant youngsters Ryuko and Kotonowaka were defeated by Wakatakakage and Kiribayama respectively, however, and with 3 wins needed from 3 days they're staring down the abyss now. Arawashi lost as well to Takanosho and failed to retain his position in juryo for now.

As mentioned yesterday the parade of the 3-3 makushita rikishi through juryo has started, and it started off badly for them: Chiyootori's hopes of a return to the paid ranks after 10 tournaments were dashed by Kizakiumi in a lengthy match, a result that has also served to secure Kizakiumi's further presence in the second division.

No other action by makushita promotion zone rikishi today, although I neglected to mention yesterday that Wakamotoharu had improved his score to 5-1 and will be nominally the second-best promotion contender as long as none of the 3-3's convert their KK opportunities.

                        J8   Ikioi         4-8  (1)
                        J9
(2)  4-8  Chiyonoumi    J10  Arawashi      5-7  (1)
                        J11  Aminishiki   0-3-8 (i)
                        J12  Ryuko         4-8  (3)
                        J13  Kizakiumi     7-5  (o)
(x)  4-8  Akiseyama     J14  Kotonowaka    5-7  (3)

(o)  4-2  Seiro         Ms1  Irodori       3-3
                        Ms2  Hoshoryu      3-3
     3-3  Tamaki        Ms3
(x)  3-4  Chiyootori    Ms4  Kaisho        3-3
                        Ms5  Wakamotoharu  5-1

Tomorrow's juryo schedule welcomes Irodori into the fold for a match against Ryuko. Given their respective rank and win-loss statuses, this is potentially a straight exchange bout. All others including Wakamotoharu appear to be held for possible Day 14/15 visits, although it'll also be possible to play off Hoshoryu against either Tamaki or Kaisho directly.

Meanwhile in intra-juryo action one rikishi will have cause to celebrate as Ikioi and Arawashi will be determining one spot head to head. Chiyonoumi will go against Sokokurai (J5w 3-9) and Kotonowaka's hopes are being tested by Gagamaru (J2w 2-10).

Edited by Asashosakari
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Posted (edited)

Juryo yusho race:

10-2 J6e Tsurugisho

9-3 J12e Takanofuji

8-4 J8e Daiamami, J9w Kiribayama, J11e Kyokutaisei, J13e Ichiyamamoto

Jinxed it? Not such great results at least for the pursuers today, with the only winner from the head to head meeting between Takanofuji and Daiamami. Both Kyokutaisei and Ichiyamamoto were defeated by highly demotion-threatened rikishi as detailed above. Tsurugisho, conversely, showed more dominant sumo in dispatching of Chiyoshoma, against whom he'd previously gone winless in 3 encounters. Is he actually the next Shimanoumi type who has a sudden true breakout?

The kinda-sorta pursuers at two wins back also didn't escape unscathed; while Kiribayama was able to clinch his kachikoshi and stay on the outskirts of the yusho race, Ishiura couldn't avoid falling back further.

So, we're down to six contenders. Their matches for Day 13:

J6e  Tsurugisho (10-2)  - J12e Takanofuji (9-3)

J8e  Daiamami (8-4)     - J1e  Tokushoryu (5-7)
J9w  Kiribayama (8-4)   - J4e  Wakatakakage (7-5)
J11e Kyokutaisei (8-4)  - J3w  Yutakayama (7-5)
J13e Ichiyamamoto (8-4) - J4w  Takanosho (7-5)


Lower division yusho races (Day 11 results for makushita to jonidan and Day 11/12 in jonokuchi):

5-1 Ms7e Akua (Tatsunami)
6-0 Ms20w Tsurubayashi (Kise)
6-0 Ms41w Chiyonoo (Kokonoe)
5-1 Ms52w Hatooka (Kise)

6-0 Sd20e Asatenmai (Takasago)
5-1 Sd32e Kihonoumi (Dewanoumi)
6-0 Sd51w Terasawa (Takasago)
5-1 Sd61e Seigo (Shikoroyama)
6-0 Sd75w Okinohama (Hakkaku)

5-1 Jd2w Daikisho (Oitekaze)
6-0 Jd14e Homarefuji (Isegahama)
5-1 Jd27w Hitenryu (Tatsunami)
6-0 Jd44w Tokisakae (Tokitsukaze)
5-1 Jd72e Toma (Miyagino)
5-1 Jd82e Oba (Otake)
6-0 Jd98e Adachi (Tagonoura)

6-0 Jk27e Marusho (Naruto)
6-0 Jk27w Sakurai (Naruto)
6-0 Jk28e Motobayashi (Naruto)

The by far most competitive match here was Chiyonoo-Hatooka in makushita, eventually won by the more experienced former makuuchi man. Hatooka almost managed to survive getting spun completely around, but it still left him in a disadvantageous enough position that Chiyonoo was able to capitalize. Oba-Adachi in jonidan was also a little bit of a tussle, the rest were decided quickly and decisively, including the top-ranked match between Akua and Tsurubayashi where the latter cleverly managed to get to the back of his opponent which resulted in Akua taking a flying fall off the dohyo.

No trouble at all for the three remaining Naruto-beya deshi in the jonokuchi race, so the (depending on your point of view) best/worst-case scenario entering the final round has been achieved. In jonidan Homarefuji made very short work of Hitenryu in his oshidashi victory, though this seemed as much due to Hitenryu not having that much to offer as it was through Homarefuji looking strong, and Tokisakae took advantage of oversized Toma's general lack of a stable posture in throwing him down.

Both Takasago-beya contenders in sandanme were successful, but somewhat surprisingly (at least to me) they're not the only ones on 6-0 after Okinohama prevailed over new talent Daikisho. That set of results has given the schedulers an excuse to mix lowest-ranked jonidan representative Adachi into the jonokuchi chaos after all: There aren't four unbeaten rikishi in jonidan now (which would have lent itself to pairing them up), and there's also no possibility to place the highest-ranked jonidan guy against a sandanme opponent. Consequently the sandanme race now sees Asatenmai and Okinohama play off for one 7-0 record, while Terasawa goes against Sd29w 5-1 Tochikodai, and jonidan will get a guaranteed 7-0 out of Homarefuji-Tokisakae. Whether this is a straight yusho decider will thus depend on the earlier Adachi-Marusho pairing. Sakurai and Motobayashi, meanwhile, are facing 5-1 opponents in Jk15w Tomiyutaka and Jk3w Yukiamami.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Posted (edited)

Day 13 (results, text-only results)

12-1 Ye Kakuryu, Yw Hakuho

11-2 M16w Terutsuyoshi

10-3 M7w Tomokaze

    12-1  Kakuryu       Y    Hakuho       12-1
    3-5-5 Goeido        O1   Takayasu     8-3-2
(x) kyujo Takakeisho    O2   Tochinoshin  0-6-7

It's not often that Kakuryu has been outsmarted by somebody not also ranked at yokozuna, but today was such a day, courtesy of Tomokaze knowing exactly how to execute a backpeddling pulldown without compromising your own position in the process. Yubinhaad already gave some statistical details, so I'll just add that it's only the 50th kinboshi overall from M7 or lower (for comparison: M6 alone has seen 43, and that's not been a joi rank all that often).

And so we enter the final weekend with the two yokozuna tied for the lead after Hakuho manhandled Myogiryu to the ground as he seems to like to do. Terutsuyoshi continued his stunning run with another strong victory over Onosho, but with the yokozuna yet to meet each other he's essentially one win behind the lead with one day to go, so he's in need of very favourable results just to get into a playoff. (More specifically, whoever ends up winning the senshuraku yokozuna showdown needs to lose tomorrow. Plus two more wins of his own, of course.) Tomokaze is out of the race for the same reason despite today's heroics.

We've found our second sekiwake for Aki basho - Mitakeumi is kachikoshi now with a straight-forward overpowering of Kotoshogiku, so it's all but certain that he will be occupying the East side again while demoting kyujo ozeki Takakeisho is going to try to regain his rank with 10 wins from the West side. That just leaves the komusubi ranks to be settled, where incumbent Abi took the first of three steps to retain his position after all; a wild win over Daieisho today who did his best to hang in against Abi's relentless pushing for as long as he could, but completely failed to get his own pushing attack going.

Ichinojo's reign as the virtual #1 contender for a sanyaku promotion has proved short-lived as Hokutofuji defeated him with a strong performance for his own kachikoshi today, and Endo (victory over Shimanoumi) is now also KK from a higher rank. Another joi battle saw Aoiyama prevail over Asanoyama, the latter now MK in his yusho defense.

     8-5  Mitakeumi     S    Tamawashi     3-10 (x)
     6-7  Abi           K    Ryuden        4-9  (x)

(x)  5-8  Asanoyama     M1   Hokutofuji    8-5
     7-6  Aoiyama       M2   Endo          8-5
(x)  6-7  Shodai        M3   Daieisho      7-6
                        M4   Ichinojo      8-5
(x)  6-7  Kotoshogiku   M5
                        M6   Shimanoumi    7-6  (x)
(x)  8-5  Myogiryu      M7   Tomokaze     10-3

(Shodai and Myogiryu would still be considered in the race in the by-the-numbers approach I usually take to decide who to list and who to eliminate, but neither can still pass Hokutofuji or Endo and there will be at most two slots open, so they're out.)

Based on today's results I'm guessing Kakuryu would rather have faced Tamawashi (as Hakuho did) than Tomokaze... Tomorrow he meets freshly KK Mitakeumi, while Hakuho contends against the notionally much easier selection of Kotoshogiku. And in the sanyaku race Abi's komusubi slot will be on the line against Ichinojo.


It's kind of rare for the last few days that maegashira at risk of demotion will meet head to head. Usually those matchups are all done already, but Nishikigi vs Tochiozan wasn't yet, and the fairly decisive victory by younger Nishikigi has put his veteran opponent in a harsh spot, needing to win both weekend bouts to not have to rely on banzuke luck to stay in the top division. He is the only one in this situation now after fellow oldie Toyonoshima swung Shohozan around and out of the dohyo for his almost-safe sixth win. (On a day with a lot of arm grab-related finishing in makuuchi...) Chiyomaru and Takagenji had opportunities to make sure of their makuuchi membership but neither managed to come through against Meisei and Sadanoumi respectively. At this rate Takagenji might end up having to hope that 4-11 is good enough to stay...

...and it might not be, as a single day of good results in high juryo can sometimes turn a middling race into a fairly strong one. Today's scores did exactly that with 5 of the 7 contenders between J1 and J4 posting wins, along with leading Tsurugisho who is nominally even the first contender in the unofficial promotion territory now. One more win will be advisable though given the occasional reluctance to promote rikishi from such lowish ranks as J6, especially those who would be newcomers to makuuchi.

In any case all of Ishiura, Yutakayama and Takanosho have achieved their KKs now, the obvious minimum requirement to play any role in the promotion decisions at all. Tokushoryu fell to makekoshi, however, so no direct return to the top flight for him.

                        M10  Takagenji     4-9  (1)
(x) kyujo Yoshikaze     M11  Nishikigi     5-8  (o)
(2)  4-9  Tochiozan     M12
(1)  5-8  Chiyomaru     M13
(1)  6-7  Toyonoshima   M14
(x)  3-10 Yago          M15  Kaisei      1-10-2 (x)
                        M16

(x)  5-8  Tokushoryu    J1   Azumaryu      7-6  (1)
(1)  8-5  Ishiura       J2
(2)  7-6  Chiyoshoma    J3   Yutakayama    8-5  (1)
(~)  7-6  Wakatakakage  J4   Takanosho     8-5  (2)
(x)  6-7  Kyokushuho    J5
(o) 11-2  Tsurugisho    J6
(x)  7-6  Hidenoumi     J7   Daishomaru    7-6  (x)
(~)  9-4  Daiamami      J8
                        J9   Kiribayama    9-4  (~)


Credit where credit is due: That was good sumo by both Ikioi and Chiyonoumi today, and their victories over Arawashi and Sokokurai have served to move Ikioi to safe ground and Chiyonoumi just one win away from it. That wasn't exactly to be expected only a few days ago. The loss has also left Arawashi not quite safe yet as he enters the weekend, same as last basho (where he was 6-7 and needed to win one, eventually finishing 8-7). Young Kotonowaka avoided makekoshi and demotion for now, muscling Gagamaru out of the ring, but even younger Ryuko will have to regroup in makushita next time after his 7th loss in a row has ensured his demotion. Tough break after his promising 4-2 start.

Ryuko's opponent was makushita guest Irodori who has thus earned the late kachikoshi and more importantly is now certain to return to juryo, hopefully for a better turn than last basho's 6-9 debut.

                        J8   Ikioi         5-8  (o)
                        J9
(1)  5-8  Chiyonoumi    J10  Arawashi      5-8  (1)
                        J11  Aminishiki   0-3-8 (i)
                        J12  Ryuko         4-9  (x)
                        J13
(x)  4-9  Akiseyama     J14  Kotonowaka    6-7  (2)

(o)  4-2  Seiro         Ms1  Irodori       4-3  (o)
                        Ms2  Hoshoryu      3-3
     3-3  Tamaki        Ms3
                        Ms4  Kaisho        3-3
                        Ms5  Wakamotoharu  5-1

The schedulers have opted to bring only one more 3-3 up into juryo, that being Kaisho against Arawashi tomorrow, while Hoshoryu and Tamaki have been given the perhaps even more cruel task of contesting their KK and possible promotion against each other. Wakamotoharu will then be filling in the Day 15 schedule, and at least by historical precedent he might be certain to earn the 3rd-best position in the promotion queue with a 6th win, potentially passing even a 4-3 Hoshoryu. (He would definitely be ahead of Kaisho and very likely Tamaki.) But just 5-2 would also be good if a 4th slot opens up, given that he should be ahead of Kaisho regardless of whether he finishes 4-3 or 3-4.

Besides the Arawashi-Kaisho matchup further action will be delivered in Chiyonoumi-Wakatakakage (J4e 7-6) and Kotonowaka-Sokokurai (J5w 3-10).

Edited by Asashosakari
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Thanks for the updates @Asashosakari. This thread is great as usual.

This basho will possibly see Tsurugisho finally reaching Makuuchi as one its greatest news promotion-wise. That is to say that unless some last day kachi-koshi brings a new face to Juryo it will be kind of boring in that department, which is rather normal after 4 promotions to juryo.

Leaving sumo is Aminishiki, who received his own thread but here I would like to say that I got used to seeing him as last representative of an old way of doing sumo. He and former Ozeki Kaio really stood out from the crowd.

Leaving Makuuchi  for now is Yago. So far he has shown excellent raw power, but not much else. He looks injured to boot.

Speaking of dropping, when I see the list of former sekitori I realize that only a handful of them still have decent a shot at regaining sekitorihood, but also that very few spots are available for those willing to hang up the mawashi and stay with the kyokai (which is not new, but I think about it every time I have the chance.).

What occurred to me only today though is how many of these kabu on loan are in fact ejectable seats. Kotoshogiku is probably just one disastrous basho away from intai, Yoshikaze will to drop to Juryo for the first time in ages and Tochiozan, who has been a perennial member of Makuuchi since 03.2007 (!) is likely to follow suit. Both Ikioi and Chiyootori don't look that great either.

There are some forced oyakata retirements for 2021, but that is unlikely to solve to problem. I am curious as to if the kyokai will come up with something, but for now I bet they won't.

By the way, my post is not well-organized but I will leave it as is.

 

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Well, if I read the Kabu section in the dB correctly: Ikioi, Tochiozan, Kotoshogiku and Yoshikaze are already owners of kabu rights (Endo too, but he's not leaving soon).

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Juryo yusho race:

11-2 J6e Tsurugisho

10-3 ---

9-4 J8e Daiamami, J9w Kiribayama, J12e Takanofuji

More sumo goodness from Tsurugisho today, and as his Day 13 opponent was his sole closest pursuer Takanofuji, suddenly the yusho is almost decided. His defeated opponent as well as the two contenders who won from 8-4 will have to hope for a double slip-up by the leader now.

Anyway, Tsurugisho has faced both Kiribayama (win on Day 6) and Takanofuji by now, and Daiamami shares his heya, so he's all out of direct matchups. The chasing trio has also met in all three combinations already, so tomorrow's schedule for them has ended up thusly:

J6e  Tsurugisho (11-2) - J4w  Takanosho (8-5)

J8e  Daiamami (9-4)    - J13e Ichiyamamoto (8-5)
J9w  Kiribayama (9-4)  - J3e  Chiyoshoma (7-6)
J12e Takanofuji (9-4)  - J2e  Ishiura (8-5)


Lower division yusho races (Day 13 results for makushita to jonidan [minus Adachi] and Day 13 for the jonokuchi trio [plus Adachi]):

6-1 Ms20w Tsurubayashi (Kise)
7-0 Ms41w Chiyonoo (Kokonoe)

7-0 Sd20e Asatenmai (Takasago)
7-0 Sd51w Terasawa (Takasago)
6-1 Sd75w Okinohama (Hakkaku)

6-1 Jd14e Homarefuji (Isegahama)
7-0 Jd44w Tokisakae (Tokitsukaze)
6-1 Jd98e Adachi (Tagonoura)

7-0 Jk27e Marusho (Naruto)
7-0 Jk27w Sakurai (Naruto)
7-0 Jk28e Motobayashi (Naruto)

Sakurai had to work hard for his 7th win in a bout that lasted nearly two minutes, his stablemates got there easily, so as was mentioned earlier in the week we'll be getting the first-ever three-way 7-0 playoff in the jonokuchi division.

With Adachi eliminated from the jonidan race by Marusho, Homarefuji and Tokisakae got to contest the championship directly, and once again after just four months (albeit in a senshuraku playoff there) a former top division member was unable to come through against a rookie talent. Tokisakae came out of the blocks quickly, soon found himself armlocked and nearly thrown down, but managed to hang on and overpower Homarefuji. Congrats to Tokisakae for his first yusho after he "only" finished 6-1 in his banzuke debut last time. Of course, as a university graduate these results don't say that much about his upside yet, but the next tournament around Sd45 might start to tell us something.

No trouble at all for the old/young Takasago duo in sandanme, who will now be going to senshuraku for another same-stable playoff. Anyone know off-hand when we last had two of those in the same tournament...? And lastly the makushita decider, which looked much the same as the two matches in sandanme - Chiyonoo easily marched Tsurubayashi out of the dohyo here. It's taken him three basho, but Chiyonoo has found the shortcut straight back to the promotion zone now; we'll see soon if he's good enough to actually get back to juryo again.

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12 hours ago, Yamanashi said:

Well, if I read the Kabu section in the dB correctly: Ikioi, Tochiozan, Kotoshogiku and Yoshikaze are already owners of kabu rights (Endo too, but he's not leaving soon).

That’s the point - those who are borrowing those shares will be ejected if their owners decide to retire. 

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Neither Sokokurai nor Gagamaru has looked particularly impressive on their way back to upper juryo, so no surprise they will see their ranks heading south next time. Experience has thought me that you can win with shaky sumo for a while, but bad form will catch up to you eventually.

It is strange to see a Yusho-clincher in Tsurugisho facing one of the worst rikishi of the whole divison on senshuraku, but it doesn't make much of a difference after all.

If both Yutakayama and Takanosho manage to get the re-promotion,   I believe they will be a long term asset to Makuuchi. They are way better than their current ranks suggest, IMHO.

 

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I don't know what Tsurugisho has been drinking but I have rarely seen such a shocking improvement. He has gone from inconsistent toiler to hard-as-nails arse-kicker in the space of a couple of months. A pleasure to watch. Actually Juryo was good in general this time. Some great sumo down there.

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Tsurugisho obviously had some health issues earlier this year. I didn't get a closer look at his calf this basho, but it can't be as discoloured as it was 4 months ago.

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Posted (edited)

Day 14 (results, text-only results)

13-1 Ye Kakuryu

12-2 Yw Hakuho

11-3 M7w Tomokaze, M16w Terutsuyoshi


    13-1  Kakuryu       Y    Hakuho       12-2
    3-5-6 Goeido        O1   Takayasu     8-3-3
(x) kyujo Takakeisho    O2   Tochinoshin  0-6-8

The second major kinboshi surprise in as many days, today courtesy of Kotoshogiku who did some vintage Giku sumo to bump Hakuho out of the dohyo. Kakuryu for his part easily prevailed over Mitakeumi, so the East-side yokozuna goes into their senshuraku encounter with a one-win lead and thus two opportunities to secure the yusho, regular match or playoff. Terutsuyoshi's hopes of entering such a potential playoff were dashed by a Hokutofuji slapdown in very short order earlier in the session.

With today's loss it's certain that Mitakeumi will finish no better than 9-6 for the second basho running, so that should be it for any sort of post-Aki ozeki chances. Another bunch of contenders fell out of the sanyaku race today: Aoiyama was defeated by Shimanoumi in almost trademark Aoiyama fashion, Ichinojo was surprised by Abi's powerful thrusting and (as so often) couldn't recover once he was moving backwards, and Daieisho is out anyway despite beating Ryuden. He can thank Hokutofuji and Endo for that who both improved to unpassable 9-5 records against Isegahama duo Terutsuyoshi and Takarafuji. Abi's victory has put him in position to retain his komusubi rank after all tomorrow.

     8-6  Mitakeumi     S    Tamawashi     4-10 (x)
     7-7  Abi           K    Ryuden        4-10 (x)

                        M1   Hokutofuji    9-5
(x)  7-7  Aoiyama       M2   Endo          9-5
                        M3   Daieisho      8-6  (x)
                        M4   Ichinojo      8-6  (x)
                        M5
                        M6
                        M7   Tomokaze     11-3

Hokutofuji and Endo are meeting on senshuraku, and this should be a straight shoot-out for a promotion to komusubi. The loser will have to hope that Abi fails to achieve his kachikoshi against Kotoshogiku (M5e 7-7) later on. A losing Endo finishing on 9-6 may also still be vulnerable to Tomokaze if he's 12-3, though after the Asanoyama snub last time it does look quite unlikely for the committee to decide that way. Incidentally, Tomokaze faces fellow 11-3'er Terutsuyoshi in what I guess can be described as a crowd pleaser matchup. (Possibly also with sansho implications, though by all rights each should be getting one unconditionally for their deep runs in the yusho race this basho, with Tomokaze also having defeated a strongly performing yokozuna of course.)
 

Only one newly safe low maegashira today, and it's one I wouldn't have expected, namely Toyonoshima who scored his important 7th win over Nishikigi. Takagenji had his arguably best opportunity of the whole week, but even struggling Yago proved too strong for him, so it's straight loss #9 and big worries for the final day. Chiyomaru was also unsuccessful against Shohozan and enters Day 15 on the bubble as well.

The yusho race in juryo is over after Tsurugisho secured the title with one day to spare thanks to another strong showing against Takanosho. Congrats to a rikishi that I suspect almost nobody would have tabbed for the championship two weeks ago. With 12 wins his upcoming top division debut should not be in doubt now, and it'll be very interesting to see what his follow-up performance will look like. He's never even been ranked above J5 before, which is extremely unusual for somebody who reaches makuuchi after such extensive time in juryo (22 basho in his case, all consecutively).

Just for completeness, Tsurugisho's erstwhile pursuers went 2 and 1 today with double-digit clinching victories for Takanofuji (over Ishiura) and Daiamami (against Ichiyamamoto), and a defeat for Kiribayama (against Chiyoshoma).

The wannabe promotees had a rather middling day, and only Yutakayama managed to move up to a promotable record at demotion-bound Ryuko's expense (8th loss in a row). Ishiura alternated wins and losses for the 8th straight day and remains at risk of missing out on a promotion that looked far more likely a week ago at 5-2. Azumaryu finds himself at 7-7 after losing to Daishomaru and now faces make-or-break time tomorrow in his long quest for another makuuchi appearance.

                        M10  Takagenji     4-10 (1)
(x) kyujo Yoshikaze     M11
(~)  4-10 Tochiozan     M12
(1)  5-9  Chiyomaru     M13
(o)  7-7  Toyonoshima   M14
(x)  4-10 Yago          M15  Kaisei      1-10-3 (x)
                        M16

                        J1   Azumaryu      7-7  (1)
(1)  8-6  Ishiura       J2
(1)  8-6  Chiyoshoma    J3   Yutakayama    9-5  (o)
(~)  8-6  Wakatakakage  J4   Takanosho     8-6  (~)
                        J5
(o) 12-2  Tsurugisho    J6
                        J7
(~) 10-4  Daiamami      J8
                        J9   Kiribayama    9-5  (x)

Yutakayama is technically not fully safe yet as he could still end up 5th in the queue with only 4 open slots, but he'd have to have no less than 6 match results go against him tomorrow for that scenario to materialize. (I do suppose the re-appearance of the M17e slot could also give the committee an excuse to spare Tochiozan if he finishes 5-10, which would take out a presumed available slot and give us a minimum of only 3.)

As noted above Tsurugisho's final match of the basho has not only become irrelevant for the yusho race but was also made downright meaningless by pairing him up with Gagamaru (J2w 3-11). We'll see if he treats it as a nice little parting gift or if his focus is now off with the yusho decided and Gagamaru actually manages to win.

No crossover matches of juryo against maegashira here, which is a little surprising considering that at least Chiyomaru is ranked low enough that it would be completely normal to schedule such a bout. Chiyomaru instead faces Nishikigi (M11w 5-9) and Takagenji has received a difficult assignment against high-ranked Shodai (M3e 6-8). Tochiozan's faint survival hopes will be up in a match with Shohozan (M9e 6-8).


Lower juryo enters senshuraku with three rikishi still at risk of demotion. The J10 pair Chiyonoumi and Arawashi were unable to pick up their last needed shiroboshi, the former against upper-ranker Wakatakakage and the latter against Kaisho from makushita. Conversely Kotonowaka kept himself alive for another day, this time prevailing over Sokokurai.

Kaisho thus secured the crucial and potentially promotion-clinching kachikoshi, and so did Tamaki who took victory in his KK/MK decider with Hoshoryu, whose 8-basho kachikoshi streak has come to its end at the arguably most frustrating moment.

(1)  5-9  Chiyonoumi    J10  Arawashi      5-9  (1)
                        J11  Aminishiki   0-3-8 (i)
                        J12  Ryuko         4-10 (x)
                        J13
(x)  4-10 Akiseyama     J14  Kotonowaka    7-7  (1)

(o)  4-2  Seiro         Ms1  Irodori       4-3  (o)
                        Ms2  Hoshoryu      3-4  (x)
(o)  4-3  Tamaki        Ms3
                        Ms4  Kaisho        4-3
                        Ms5  Wakamotoharu  5-1
                        Ms6
     6-1  Akua          Ms7

If you're wondering why I've marked Tamaki as a certain promotion even though I previously said that he'll be behind Wakamotoharu if he goes 6-1: The answer comes courtesy of the Day 15 schedule which sees Wakamotoharu paired up with Kotonowaka, so it's either Tamaki taking (at minimum) the third slot of three or the fourth slot of four. But of course as many as 6 slots could end up available, which in theory would bring Akua into the fold for a very surprising promotion. Based on the wealth of precedents we have he's not going to pass any of the 5 KKs from the top 5 ranks and he's also not going to be exchanged with a 5-10 Chiyonoumi (who'd be the #6 demotion candidate if everyone crashes and burns), but it cannot be ruled out with complete certainty, so he's back on the table for now.

The more interesting case to watch though will be Kaisho who's all but guaranteed to be the possible #5 promotee and thus needs 5 slots to be open. Unlike Tamaki he definitely could use a Kotonowaka loss since Wakamotoharu will be ahead either way. However, a case can also be made here that 4 wins at Ms4 aren't good enough to force down 5-10's from J10, which would mean that 5 slots cannot become available for him. We'll see if the banzuke committee has to make that determination or if the Day 15 results take care of it on their own.

In any case, as is customary the schedulers have also attempted to give both J10 rikishi a hard task to master if they want to avoid a demotable record, with Chiyonoumi going against J5e Kyokushuho and Arawashi up against J1w Azumaryu. Both opponents are 7-7 and Azumaryu additionally has the possibility of a makuuchi return riding on it.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Posted (edited)
47 minutes ago, Asashosakari said:

No crossover matches of juryo against maegashira here, which is a little surprising considering that at least Chiyomaru is ranked low enough that it would be completely normal to schedule such a bout.

Unnecessary Makuuchi-Juryo crossover matches seem to have fallen out of style.  There have been 227 such days since 2001, so more than 10 a year on average, but only 4 since Hatsu 2017.

http://sumodb.sumogames.de/Query_bout.aspx?show_form=0&group_by=basho&group_by2=day&having=2&year=>2000&m=on&lowerd1=on&gsort_by=date&offset=200

 

Edited by Gurowake
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