Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion Kyushu 2018

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Day 8 (results, text-only results):

By popular demand (the circumstances demanding it, that is), the yusho arasoi:

7-1 Ke Takakeisho
6-2 O1w Takayasu, M2e Tochiozan, M7e Abi, M9w Daieisho, M12e Aoiyama, M13e Onosho
5-3 O1e Goeido, Se Mitakeumi, M1w Hokutofuji, M5e Chiyotairyu, M11w Okinoumi, M12w Endo, M15w Meisei

    kyujo Hakuho        Y1   Kakuryu      kyujo
    0-5-3 Kisenosato    Y2
     5-3  Goeido        O1   Takayasu      6-2
                        O2   Tochinoshin   4-4

After the Aki procession by the high-rankers, we're back to having one of those basho. Hakuho and Kakuryu out from the start, Kisenosato out winless by Day 5 with an untimely knee injury. For a basho with a three-yokozuna banzuke, that will be the most yokozuna-less days ever.

Anyway, the yusho race is wide open and it may be a good bet to expect a championship score of only 12-3 (or worse...?), although the 5-3 crowd is unlikely to figure into it - there really isn't anyone there you'd reasonably assume capable of reeling off a 7-day winning streak during week two, at least not on their form shown. The current leader is arguably the one rikishi who has in fact shown the best sumo so far; like his style or not, komusubi Takakeisho has had a splendid week of Doing His Own Brand Of Sumo and deservedly stands at 7-1. Despite all the withdrawals up top he's still had most of a typical grinder schedule, so he's only two ozeki matches away from completing his sanyaku assignments, and tomorrow's matchup with Tochinoshin may already prove crucial for the race.

Tochinoshin for his part is clearly not in top shape, and has struggled to convert even favourable match situations into wins; kadoban may be beckoning again. Fellow ozeki Goeido has been the usual enigma, while Takayasu has needed to work hard for his 6 wins at times but looks largely on form. As it stands he's likely to provide Takakeisho's greatest competition for the tournament title.

If sekiwake Mitakeumi was hoping to backdoor his way to the ozeki rank this basho, the first week has likely crushed that idea already. Losses to luminaries such as Myogiryu and a not particularly mobile Kaisei don't look great on the resumé, not to mention that he can afford barely any more defeats just to reach the numerical promotion target of 11 wins, and still has all three ozeki to come. It's not completely over yet, but...

Ichinojo on the West side of the sekiwake rank - the less said, the better. As the recent history has demonstrated, one shouldn't put it past him to pull off a kachikoshi again even from 2-6, but you'd think his sumo get-out-of-jail cards must be fully up used after the year he has had.

Tochiozan, at his highest rank in a year, has turned in a remarkable performance thus far. He does have a tendency to blow hot and cold these days, so this could easily lead to a 1-6 second week or something, but for now he's the frontrunner for a possible promotion to sanyaku. Hokutofuji's recent resurgence has carried over into Kyushu basho so he's in the mix here as well, as is always-dangerous Tamawashi, who can thank the banzuke committee for keeping him high enough for a potential immediate return to the titled ranks after last basho's 4-11 disaster. The wackiest promotion contender is of course veteran Myogiryu, who I doubt was projected to be 4-4 on the middle Sunday by all that many people. I don't expect him to KK here, but if he does he'll be back in sanyaku for the first time in over three years.

     5-3  Mitakeumi     S    Ichinojo      2-6
     7-1  Takakeisho    K    Kaisei       2-4-2

     4-4  Myogiryu      M1   Hokutofuji    5-3
     6-2  Tochiozan     M2   Tamawashi     4-4
     3-5  Nishikigi     M3   Ryuden        2-6
     4-4  Shodai        M4   Yoshikaze     4-4
     5-3  Chiyotairyu   M5   Asanoyama     4-4
                        M6   Kagayaki      3-5
     6-2  Abi           M7   Shohozan      4-4
     4-4  Kotoshogiku   M9   Daieisho      6-2
                        M11  Okinoumi      5-3
     6-2  Aoiyama       M12
     6-2  Onosho        M13

The top two contenders for demotion to juryo are found down at the very bottom of the maegashira ranks. Arawashi looks decidedly not dohyo-worthy at all right now and should probably be home recuperating from his injuries, and Chiyomaru is en route to his 5th straight makekoshi, not doing much to justify the committee's decision to spare him from demotion last time. Everybody else still has a fighting chance to survive, although there's no shortage of candidates for a trip down.

The juryo promotion zone is serving up its usual mediocrity for the most part, with the first rikishi better than 5-3 found all the way down at J5 in Terutsuyoshi. I have no real idea how he's managed to get 7 wins out of his sumo, as it has all looked a bit like Jedi mind tricks to me, but there's no arguing with the results. I would be somewhat shocked if he can keep it going at that pace for the full basho, though. Of course, as far as promotion goes he doesn't need to beat the division, just get (probably) 10 wins, and he's well on the way to that mark. Also likely headed upwards is Yago, who was snubbed by the committee in favour of Chiyomaru, as he has picked up right where he left off in Aki, making his low-technique-but-high-tenacity sumo turn out a few more wins than losses. Beyond these two, the race for promotion is wide open for anyone who can put together a strong second week.

(1)  2-6  Takanoiwa     M6
(1)  3-5  Ikioi         M8   Takarafuji    3-5  (1)
(1)  4-4  Sadanoumi     M10  Yutakayama    2-6  (3)
(3)  2-6  Chiyonokuni   M11
                        M12  Endo          5-3  (1)
                        M13  Takanosho     2-6  (4)
(3)  4-4  Chiyoshoma    M14  Daishomaru    4-4  (3)
(3)  4-4  Daiamami      M15  Meisei        5-3  (2)
(7)  1-7  Arawashi      M16  Chiyomaru     2-6  (6)

(3)  5-3  Yago          J1   Kotoeko       4-4  (4)
(5)  4-4  Daishoho      J2   Aminishiki    3-5  (6)
(4)  5-3  Kotoyuki      J3   Tokushoryu    3-5  (6)
(7)  3-5  Takagenji     J4
(5)  5-3  Ishiura       J5   Terutsuyoshi  7-1  (3)
(6)  5-3  Akiseyama     J6   Wakatakakage  4-4  (7)
(7)  4-4  Kyokutaisei   J7   Hakuyozan     6-2  (5)
(7)  5-3  Takekaze      J9
(~)  5-3  Azumaryu      J10  Enho          7-1  (6)
                        J11  Tobizaru      6-2  (7)

Upper juryo Hidenoumi is another one who has looked as though he'd be better off watching this tournament on TV, and while he's likely to be saved by the upcoming drop in opponent quality, it's not completely inconceivable that he could fail to collect his required two wins. Chiyonoo, the current division member with the most juryo experience (31 basho), hasn't looked quite as dreadful as Hidenoumi, but being 1-7 is a much, much bigger headache for him down at J9, and it appears that his five years as sekitori may be ending after this tournament.

Juryo debutant Gokushindo started off the basho well enough with 2 wins in 4 days, and is apparently the newest rikishi with a propensity for dragging out bouts ad infinitum, but four losses in a row have now left him in a precarious position. Experience appears to be what he lacks the most for now, so he'll probably be fine in the long run, but it's hard to see him stay in juryo this time. Fellow rookie Tomokaze has been having a better time - outside of strong dohyo awareness he doesn't really seem to really excel at any part of sumo, but he does a lot of things well enough that he's likely a permanent addition to the juryo ranks.

Repromoted Toyonoshima has also looked fairly good so far and may in fact be on a slow ascent back to the top division, while last basho's returnee Jokoryu continues to make an adventure out of most of his matches. It hard to see a makuuchi future for him, and at the moment he'll rather have to worry about taking the downward elevator again. Meanwhile, Shimanoumi's second juryo stint appears headed towards its conclusion, as he's on the way to a fourth straight makekoshi and has no more room to spare this time.

Somewhat unusually, we're already down to only 12 rikishi at risk of demotion.

With first Kaisei and then Kisenosato missing from the sekitori roster we've seen makushita fillers in juryo on most days, with a 3-2 record in favour of the higher-division guys so far. Today it was former collegiate Tamaki's turn - it was his first "regular" visit to juryo following a senshuraku 8th bout bonus earlier in the year, but it turned out anything but positive for him, with Jokoryu sending Tamaki to makekoshi to end a recent streak of 4 KK.

Only two strong candidates for promotion among the makushita-joi, with the rest sporting a plethora of mediocre records or worse. Daiseido, strangely passed over for promotion last basho, looks likely to book his ticket back to juryo this time around, and veteran ex-maegashira Sokokurai appears to be back on form and is even in the yusho race. He'll have to contend against outside zensho candidate Kiribayama next.


                        J4   Hidenoumi     1-7  (2)
(2)  3-5  Kyokushuho    J8   Tsurugisho    3-5  (2)
                        J9   Chiyonoo      1-7  (4)
(1)  5-3  Azumaryu      J10
(3)  3-5  Chiyonoumi    J11
(2)  5-3  Mitoryu       J12  Jokoryu       3-5  (4)
(2)  5-3  Toyonoshima   J13  Gokushindo    2-6  (5)
(5)  3-5  Shimanoumi    J14  Tomokaze      5-3  (3)

     2-2  Gagamaru      Ms1  Daiseido      3-1
     1-3  Toyohibiki    Ms2  Irodori       2-2
(x)  1-4  Tamaki        Ms3  Sagatsukasa   1-3
     2-2  Shiba         Ms4  Kagamio       2-2
     4-0  Sokokurai     Ms5  Churanoumi    2-2
                        Ms12 Kiribayama    4-0

Explanation of symbols used:

numbers = wins needed until favourable outcome (getting promoted / not getting demoted)
o = favourable outcome achieved
x = favourable outcome definitely missed
~ = favourable outcome missed "by the numbers", but still achievable through banzuke luck

(The next updates should be at least a bit more timely...)

Edited by Asashosakari
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The juryo yusho race:

7-1 J5w Terutsuyoshi, J10w Enho

6-2 J7w Hakuyozan, J11w Tobizaru

5-3 J1e Yago, J3e Kotoyuki, J5e Ishiura, J6e Akiseyama, J9e Takekaze, J10e Azumaryu, J12e Mitoryu, J13e Toyonoshima, J14w Tomokaze

Much improved over last basho, when the leading score was only 5-3. Even accounting for his easier slate of opponents, I've found Enho more impressive than Terutsuyoshi to this point, but being low-ranked he's still got the hard part of the schedule coming up. Quite curious to see three of the smallest rikishi in the division among the top four, with only big Hakuyozan sticking out.

I can't imagine that any one of them will be running away towards an early yusho decision here, but based on what's been on show so far I do think the winner will be coming from these four; same as in makuuchi none of the rikishi in the two-wins-behind group have looked overly impressive in amassing their records. My yusho pick: Tobizaru, who just looks all-around solid this basho and IMHO less likely to have the wheels come off his sumo than the two frontrunners.

Lower division yusho races (Day 7/8 results and links to video where available):

4-0 Ms5e Sokokurai (Arashio)
4-0 Ms12w Kiribayama (Michinoku)
4-0 Ms18w Gochozan (Minezaki)
4-0 Ms28w Fujiazuma (Tamanoi)
4-0 Ms36e Takakento (Chiganoura)
4-0 Ms48e Takaryu (Kise)
4-0 Ms49e Hoshoryu (Tatsunami)
4-0 Ms57w Kainoryu (Tomozuna)

4-0 Sd10e Kototebakari (Sadogatake)
4-0 Sd19w Hokutoshu (Hakkaku)
4-0 Sd29e Kurahashi (Asakayama)
4-0 Sd33e Ura (Kise)
4-0 Sd44e Yokoe (Musashigawa)
4-0 Sd55e Hokutohomare (Hakkaku)
4-0 Sd61e Kotoozutsu (Sadogatake)
4-0 Sd66w Kawamoto (Kasugano)
4-0 Sd73e Takatenshu (Chiganoura)
4-0 Sd81w Hikarifuji (Isegahama)
4-0 Sd96w Nakashima (Musashigawa)
4-0 Sd98w Fukunofuji (Isegahama)

4-0 Jd8e Akitoba (Minato)
4-0 Jd15e Mitsuuchi (Onomatsu)
4-0 Jd24e Sumanoumi (Takadagawa)
4-0 Jd31e Tochisato (Kasugano)
4-0 Jd40w Kotokume (Sadogatake)
4-0 Jd59w Iko (Tamanoi)
4-0 Jd60w Kenho (Tokitsukaze)
4-0 Jd66e Ota (Yamahibiki)
4-0 Jd77e Kainowaka (Tomozuna)
4-0 Jd81w Tatsunoumi (Yamahibiki)
4-0 Jd89w Kotourasaki (Sadogatake)
4-0 Jd100w Fujinoteru (Onoe)

4-0 Jk2w Daishoko (Oitekaze)
4-0 Jk8w Kojikara (Tagonoura)
4-0 Jk23w Hatooka (Kise)
4-0 Jk26w Yuma (Onomatsu)

A neat list of contenders with 8 rikishi unbeaten in makushita, 12 each in sandanme and jonidan, and 4 in jonokuchi. That should mean 9 divisional blocks of 4 rikishi playing straight down to their zensho representatives for the last round, the only possible wildcard being the lowest section in sandanme which features two Isegahama rikishi who of course cannot be paired up if they both move on to 5-0. More about the races once these fields have thinned out further.

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The former sekitori through nakabi. Terunofuji and Amakaze are kyujo again, the 35 active ones have put up records that are all over the shop, ranging from four 4-0's to three 0-4's.

Notes in the opening post in the basho banzuke thread.

Record   Rank   Shikona Heya Age Out
2-2 Ms1e Gagamaru Kise 31 1
3-1 Ms1w Daiseido Kise 25 6
1-3 Ms2e Toyohibiki Sakaigawa 34 5
1-3 Ms3w Sagatsukasa Irumagawa 36 28
2-2 Ms4w Kagamio Kagamiyama 30 15
4-0 Ms5e Sokokurai Arashio 34 2
2-2 Ms5w Churanoumi Kise 25 2
0-4 Ms6w Tokushinho Kise 34 18
2-2 Ms8e Akua Tatsunami 28 1
3-1 Ms8w Seiro Shikoroyama 30 1
1-3 Ms9w Satoyama Onoe 37 8
3-1 Ms10e Takayoshitoshi Takanohana 21 4
2-2 Ms10w Kizenryu Kise 33 2
0-4 Ms13e Homarefuji Isegahama 33 2
2-2 Ms14w Higonojo Kise 34 27
1-3 Ms19w Tenkaiho Onoe 34 15
3-1 Ms21e Chiyootori Kokonoe 26 6
3-1 Ms22w Dewahayate Dewanoumi 29 14
2-2 Ms24e Keitenkai Onomatsu 28 37
1-3 Ms26e Chiyoarashi Kokonoe 27 32
4-0 Ms28w Fujiazuma Tamanoi 31 10
2-2 Ms30w Kitaharima Yamahibiki 32 7
2-2 Ms35e Tochihiryu Kasugano 31 5
2-2 Ms38e Dairaido Takadagawa 38 73
1-3 Ms39w Nionoumi Yamahibiki 31 32
3-1 Ms41e Sakigake Shibatayama 32 23
3-1 Ms45e Asahisho Tomozuna 29 9
4-0 Ms48e Takaryu Kise 26 20
1-3 Ms56w Yamaguchi Miyagino 29 5
0-4 Sd3w Kaonishiki Azumazeki 40 43
3-1 Sd18e Masunoyama Chiganoura 28 22
2-2 Sd25w Asabenkei Takasago 29 3
2-2 Sd26e Hitenryu Tatsunami 34 43
kyujo Sd27w Terunofuji Isegahama 26 3
kyujo Sd29w Amakaze Oguruma 27 4
4-0 Sd33e Ura Kise 26 5
3-1 Sd51e Yoshiazuma Tamanoi 41 25


Edited by Asashosakari
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Day 9 (results, text-only results):

8-1 Ke Takakeisho

7-2 O1w Takayasu, M9w Daieisho, M12e Aoiyama, M13e Onosho

6-3 O1e Goeido, M2e Tochiozan, M7e AbiM11w Okinoumi

(Experimental addition of colours to mark the day's winners and losers.)

    kyujo Hakuho        Y1   Kakuryu      kyujo
    0-5-4 Kisenosato    Y2
     6-3  Goeido        O1   Takayasu      7-2
                        O2   Tochinoshin   4-5

Takakeisho is the first sekitori to achieve kachikoshi this basho after a dominant victory over ozeki Tochinoshin, and remains firmly in the yusho lead. Takayasu had little trouble with Yoshikaze to keep his spot as pursuer, while the two highest maegashira chasers lost and the three lower-ranked ones won. (Hands up everyone who had Daieisho as a potential breakout performer for this basho...)

The two-behind group was decimated even more, with only ozeki Goeido (henkaing against Chiyotairyu) and Okinoumi on the winning side of the torikumi. 5 others lost, including sekiwake Mitakeumi who just wasn't able to put away a determined Ryuden. Any ozeki promotion considerations should be void at this point.

Fellow sekiwake Ichinojo may have woken up from his traditional first-week slumber, shoving Shodai around and out for the win today. Ailing Kaisei continues to put up an admirable fight and rewarded himself with victory over yusho-chasing Tochiozan. Day 9 also saw the two lead maegashira matched up and the somewhat surprising winner was Myogiryu, leaving both him and Hokutofuji on 5-4 for the moment. Tamawashi holds this record as well following his defeat of Asanoyama.

The top four maegashira are all on course for kachikoshi now, while the only rikishi ranked M3 to M5 to win today was Ryuden (who had entered the day with the worst record among them), and Chiyotairyu remains the only one with more wins than losses. It's looking quite likely that the sanyaku promotion race will be down to the top-rankers before too long.

     5-4  Mitakeumi     S    Ichinojo      3-6
     8-1  Takakeisho    K    Kaisei       3-4-2

     5-4  Myogiryu      M1   Hokutofuji    5-4
     6-3  Tochiozan     M2   Tamawashi     5-4
     3-6  Nishikigi     M3   Ryuden        3-6
     4-5  Shodai        M4   Yoshikaze     4-5
     5-4  Chiyotairyu   M5   Asanoyama     4-5
                        M6   Kagayaki      3-6  (x)
     6-3  Abi           M7   Shohozan      5-4
     5-4  Kotoshogiku   M9   Daieisho      7-2
                        M11  Okinoumi      6-3
     7-2  Aoiyama       M12
     7-2  Onosho        M13

The maegashira field for possible demotion is down to those ranked in the double digits after Takanoiwa, Ikioi and Takarafuji all clinched saving wins today. Conversely the bottom 5 maegashira at M14w and below were all defeated. Thing are getting quite precarious for Chiyomaru, and Arawashi is even makekoshi already and should find himself headed down now. Chiyonokuni is looking oddly off-form this basho, with his usual enthusiasm in evidence but none of it leading to any success - today he lost a rather messy bout to Takanosho, who is in fairly dire need of wins himself. Yutakayama, whose bouts had looked somewhat similar to Chiyonokuni's, finally managed to have a performance that was both strong and successful as he chased Chiyomaru all around the dohyo before finally ending the match in victory.

Beating Ishiura with good sumo (by his standards), Yago has turned himself into the sole top contender for promotion for now, thanks to Terutsuyoshi's loss at the hands of Kotoeko. The latter two should now both need a 3-3 finish to the basho to have a shot at promotion, as does Kotoyuki who continued his recent domination of Akiseyama (three matches this year, all won by oshidashi). I suspect that's already our full list of promotion contenders - all others will need a very big finish to the basho to get back into the conversation.

(o)  3-6  Takanoiwa     M6

(o)  4-5  Ikioi         M8   Takarafuji    4-5  (o)
(1)  4-5  Sadanoumi     M10  Yutakayama    3-6  (2)
(3)  2-7  Chiyonokuni   M11
                        M12  Endo          5-4  (1)
                        M13  Takanosho     3-6  (3)
(2)  5-4  Chiyoshoma    M14  Daishomaru    4-5  (3)
(3)  4-5  Daiamami      M15  Meisei        5-4  (2)
(x)  1-8  Arawashi      M16  Chiyomaru     2-7  (6)

(2)  6-3  Yago          J1   Kotoeko       5-4  (3)
(5)  4-5  Daishoho      J2   Aminishiki    4-5  (5)
(3)  6-3  Kotoyuki      J3   Tokushoryu    3-6  (6)
(6)  4-5  Takagenji     J4
(5)  5-4  Ishiura       J5   Terutsuyoshi  7-2  (3)
(6)  5-4  Akiseyama     J6   Wakatakakage  5-4  (6)
(~)  4-5  Kyokutaisei   J7   Hakuyozan     6-3  (5)
(~)  5-4  Takekaze      J9
(x)  5-4  Azumaryu      J10  Enho          7-2  (6)
                        J11  Tobizaru      6-3  (~)

A massive henka against Chiyonoumi today has served to move Tsurugisho to the edge of safety. Two more rikishi also improved their records to within one win of their targets: Mitoryu posted an easy win against visiting Sagatsukasa, and Toyonoshima won a short but wild one against fellow veteran Takekaze.

Heavily knee-bandaged Shimanoumi had a tough assignment on paper against yusho contender Tobizaru, but managed to dominate the bout from the tachiai and eventually pushed out his opponent. Youngster Gokushindo also looked good in victory over Kyokushuho, ending a four-day losing streak, but both he and Shimanoumi still have a big 4-win mountain to climb if they want to remain in the paid ranks. Chiyonoo and Jokoryu reduced their own workload to three more wins, meanwhile, both with yorikiri wins over Kyokutaisei and Hakuyozan respectively.

The race for promotion from makushita heated up considerably today, thanks to top 5-ranked rikishi going 3-0 against opponents from further down. Sokokurai took Kiribayama out of both the promotion race and the yusho contest, while Daiseido clinched his early kachikoshi for a now very likely return to sekitoridom. Toyohibiki also defeated a lower-ranked opponent and can continue to hope, although he'll need to keep winning.

In addition two more matches were fought inside the promotion zone, with Gagamaru winning a bout of former top division rikishi against Kagamio, and Irodori prevailing over Shiba in a pairing of aging (ex-)prospects. In both cases the winner is now 3-2 and the loser stands at 2-3. Sagatsukasa's unsuccessful juryo adventure - his first match up there in over four years - unfortunately has left him makekoshi, so he won't be returning at this time.

                        J4   Hidenoumi     1-8  (2)
(2)  3-6  Kyokushuho    J8   Tsurugisho    4-5  (1)
                        J9   Chiyonoo      2-7  (3)
(1)  5-4  Azumaryu      J10
(3)  3-6  Chiyonoumi    J11
(1)  6-3  Mitoryu       J12  Jokoryu       4-5  (3)
(1)  6-3  Toyonoshima   J13  Gokushindo    3-6  (4)
(4)  4-5  Shimanoumi    J14  Tomokaze      6-3  (2)

     3-2  Gagamaru      Ms1  Daiseido      4-1
     2-3  Toyohibiki    Ms2  Irodori       3-2
                        Ms3  Sagatsukasa   1-4  (x)
     2-3  Shiba         Ms4  Kagamio       2-3
     5-0  Sokokurai     Ms5  Churanoumi    2-2
                        Ms12 Kiribayama    4-1  (x)


Juryo yusho race:

7-2 J5w Terutsuyoshi, J10w Enho

6-3 J1e Yago, J3e Kotoyuki, J7w Hakuyozan, J11w Tobizaru, J12e Mitoryu, J13e Toyonoshima, J14w Tomokaze

5-4 J1w Kotoeko, J5e Ishiura, J6e Akiseyama, J6w Wakatakakage, J9e Takekaze, J10e Azumaryu

I wish I could say I'm surprised that yesterday's top four all lost, but I think we've all got low expectations for juryo yusho races these days. Enho had his typically hard-fought bout with Wakatakakage and just couldn't pull off the victory for a change, but the other three weren't really at the races today and lost in rather one-sided fashion. The 5-3 pursuit group posted 5 wins and 4 losses, though none of these winners were involved in the frontrunners' demise.

Tomorrow's schedule is also very light on intra-leaders action. Only Terutsuyoshi (7-2) vs Yago (6-3) and Mitoryu (6-3) vs Azumaryu (5-4) have been paired up.


Haven't had any opportunity to watch the lower-division action yet, so I'll just leave you with the Day 9 results link for now and talk about today's developments tomorrow when we also have the next round's matchups.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Thanks as always for this. Incidentally, this really is top-class analysis, way beyond anything else out there. Shame it can't have its own website or something so it could reach readers beyond the forum.

PS. I look forward daily to the barely veiled jabs at poor old Yago. ;)

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The color coding is an excellent idea. I have to ask, why the jab at Yago?

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34 minutes ago, Bumpkin said:

The color coding is an excellent idea. I have to ask, why the jab at Yago?

Because it gets tiring just making fun of Mitoryu's sumo. 

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41 minutes ago, Bumpkin said:

The color coding is an excellent idea. I have to ask, why the jab at Yago?

Asashosakari has said several times that he doesn't rate Yago and thinks he is low on technique. ;)

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4 hours ago, Rocks said:

Because it gets tiring just making fun of Mitoryu's sumo. 

Boring, ugly sumo?

It looks like Yago will get to Makuuchi first.  

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I'm still pissed at Yago for what he did to Othello and everyone else. He's a right psychopath. 

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38 minutes ago, Atenzan said:

I'm still pissed at Yago for what he did to Othello and everyone else. He's a right psychopath. 

You get a haha, because there's no groan icon.

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17 hours ago, Pandaazuma said:

Asashosakari has said several times that he doesn't rate Yago and thinks he is low on technique. ;)

Good defense against Terutsuyoshi's attempted leg grab off the tachiai today though! As somebody who enjoys seeing overly tricky sumo punished I was actually rooting for him for the next few seconds...

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3-1 Sd18e Masunoyama Chiganoura 27 22

Good to see Masunoyama coming back up the ranks once again, he clinched his kachi-koshi yesterday. He had back surgery in June after doctors discovered that he was suffering ossification of the ligamentum flavum, causing the spine to be compressed and numbness of his legs and feet. Ahead of the Aki basho (in which he finished 6-1) he was able to do suriashi without any problems for the first time in several months. He has quite a big scar on his back, which can just about be seen in this hanamichi picture.


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Day 10 (results, text-only results)

9-1 Ke Takakeisho

8-2 O1w Takayasu, M9w Daieisho, M12e Aoiyama, M13e Onosho

7-3 O1e Goeido, M11w Okinoumi

Fully green today as the only losers were a pair of 6-3's who have dropped off the table, namely Tochiozan and Abi.

    kyujo Hakuho        Y1   Kakuryu      kyujo
    0-5-5 Kisenosato    Y2
     7-3  Goeido        O1   Takayasu      8-2
                        O2   Tochinoshin   5-5

Takakeisho picked up his 9th win today with another emphatic defeat of a very credible opponent, this time lead maegashira Hokutofuji, and I'm starting to have second thoughts about my prediction that the yusho score is likely to fall to 12-3. The new Chiganoura-beya rikishi appears to be completely in the proverbial zone this basho, and one has to wonder if anyone outside of ozeki Takayasu still has a good shot at beating him. Takakeisho holds even or positive head-to-head records against all the likely maegashira they may still be throwing at him, with the exception of low-ranked Daieisho (currently the highest M guy with 8 wins).

Of course, as it stands it would only take Takayasu defeating him to turn the race wide open again, as the ozeki also clinched the early kachikoshi today at Chiyotairyu's expense. Goeido is also closing in on his KK and remains sort of in the yusho race, but back-to-back days with henka - this time at Asanoyama - don't exactly make it look as though he's in yusho-contending form. Tochinoshin brought his record back to evens against one of his favourite opponents, Ichinojo, but remains with somewhat of an uphill battle if he wants to finish kachikoshi as well.

Ichinojo for his part finds himself 3-7 for the second basho running; can he run the table for the last-minute kachikoshi again? Mitakeumi lost to fellow ex-next ozeki Shodai, a tricky opponent for him (H2H now 7-9), and it would appear that his ozeki run is completely back to square one - it's hard to see how 9-6 followed by at best a 10-5 can even lead into the next tournament, short of him winning another yusho there. Of course, as it stands Mitakeumi should probably be more concerned with just making 8 wins anyway, what with all three ozeki still to come for him.

Day 10 was not a great day for the sanyaku promotion hopefuls. Only Tamawashi was able to win, which has brought komusubi Kaisei to the brink of makekoshi. Aside from Hokutofuji's already-mentioned loss to the yusho leader, the day also saw Myogiryu defeated by the basho's other surprise package, Nishikigi, while Tochiozan fell at the hands of Yoshikaze in what was already the 32nd meeting between these two veterans.

Daieisho, Aoiyama and Onosho secured their kachikoshi in the lower half of the maegashira ranks and should see themselves tested against joi-level opposition soon.

     5-5  Mitakeumi     S    Ichinojo      3-7
     9-1  Takakeisho    K    Kaisei       3-5-2

     5-5  Myogiryu      M1   Hokutofuji    5-5
     6-4  Tochiozan     M2   Tamawashi     6-4
     4-6  Nishikigi     M3   Ryuden        3-7
     5-5  Shodai        M4   Yoshikaze     5-5
     5-5  Chiyotairyu   M5   Asanoyama     4-6
     6-4  Abi           M7   Shohozan      6-4
     6-4  Kotoshogiku   M9   Daieisho      8-2
                        M11  Okinoumi      7-3
     8-2  Aoiyama       M12
     8-2  Onosho        M13

Tochiozan is up next for Takakeisho; the yusho leader holds a 5-1 H2H advantage there.

Only two of the 10 maegashira still seeking to avoid demotion were paired up today. That bout saw Meisei deny Sadanoumi his last needed shiroboshi, so both are now one win short of safety. The rest of the bunch went 3-5, with positive results only for Endo (now safe), Yutakayama (finally getting results for his good sumo), and Daiamami.

Chiyonokuni delivered an outstanding match with Shohozan, but once again wasn't able to come through for the win, and he now finds himself makekoshi and in serious danger of demotion. I've rarely seen such a well-fought 2-8 record in the low maegashira ranks... Stablemate Chiyomaru is one step ahead of Chiyonokuni as his own 2-8 will definitely see him accompany Arawashi on the way down to juryo.

Visiting Kotoeko was the one to profit from Chiyomaru's plight today, as he moves ever closer to his second shot at the top division. For now he has closed the gap to his fellow top-ranked juryo Yago, who lost a quick see-sawing battle with yusho co-leader Terutsuyoshi. The four guys ranked J2 and J3 were all successful on Day 10, although it remains the case that only Kotoyuki can be considered a strong promotion candidate among them.

(1)  4-6  Sadanoumi     M10  Yutakayama    4-6  (1)
(3)  2-8  Chiyonokuni   M11
                        M12  Endo          6-4  (o)
                        M13  Takanosho     3-7  (3)
(2)  5-5  Chiyoshoma    M14  Daishomaru    4-6  (3)
(2)  5-5  Daiamami      M15  Meisei        6-4  (1)
(x)  1-9  Arawashi      M16  Chiyomaru     2-8  (x)

(2)  6-4  Yago          J1   Kotoeko       6-4  (2)
(4)  5-5  Daishoho      J2   Aminishiki    5-5  (4)
(2)  7-3  Kotoyuki      J3   Tokushoryu    4-6  (5)
(~)  4-6  Takagenji     J4
(5)  5-5  Ishiura       J5   Terutsuyoshi  8-2  (2)
(~)  5-5  Akiseyama     J6   Wakatakakage  6-4  (5)
(~)  5-5  Kyokutaisei   J7   Hakuyozan     6-4  (5)
(x)  5-5  Takekaze      J9
                        J10  Enho          8-2  (5)
                        J11  Tobizaru      6-4  (x)

The burly trio of Tsurugisho, Mitoryu and Toyonoshima can all plan ahead for 2019 now after they picked up their last required win to stay in juryo. All of them were matched up with other demotion candidates, so their successes were rather less good news for Jokoryu, Azumaryu and Kyokushuho. Another such bout saw victory for Shimanoumi over Chiyonoo; bottom-ranked and obviously less than fully fit Shimanoumi has looked quite a bit better these last couple of days and perhaps he'll still manage to avoid going back to makushita. With Shimanoumi's Day 10 win, rookie Gokushindo has become our most endangered juryo rikishi now, although he proved to be decent opposition for yusho-leading Enho today.

Hidenoumi had another one-sided loss, this time to Kotoyuki, and it's appears increasingly likely that he could be headed for the deepest demotion in five years.

Only two high makushita rikishi were in action today. Churanoumi fell to 2-3 against last basho's demotee Akua, and will almost certainly not be going to juryo after Kyushu even if he still gets his kachikoshi. His fellow Kise-beya rikishi Daiseido already got his KK yesterday and was pulled up into juryo duty, where Tomokaze proved too strong. (They've met for three straight basho, and will probably get to do it again in January.)

                        J4   Hidenoumi     1-9  (2)
(2)  3-7  Kyokushuho    J8   Tsurugisho    5-5  (o)
                        J9   Chiyonoo      2-8  (3)
(1)  5-5  Azumaryu      J10
(2)  4-6  Chiyonoumi    J11
(o)  7-3  Mitoryu       J12  Jokoryu       4-6  (3)
(o)  7-3  Toyonoshima   J13  Gokushindo    3-7  (4)
(3)  5-5  Shimanoumi    J14  Tomokaze      7-3  (1)

     3-2  Gagamaru      Ms1  Daiseido      4-2
     2-3  Toyohibiki    Ms2  Irodori       3-2
     2-3  Shiba         Ms4  Kagamio       2-3
     5-0  Sokokurai     Ms5  Churanoumi    2-3

Another Kise guy will be filling out the juryo schedule tomorrow, as it's Gagamaru going up for his second visit of the basho, this time against Gokushindo. All other top 5 members are also in action, including Toyohibiki and Shiba head to head with makekoshi on the line for the loser.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Juryo yusho race:

8-2 J5w Terutsuyoshi, J10w Enho

7-3 J3e Kotoyuki, J12e Mitoryu, J13e Toyonoshima, J14w Tomokaze

6-4 J1e Yago, J1w Kotoeko, J6w Wakatakakage, J7w Hakuyozan, J11w Tobizaru

A bit of a lucky win by Terutsuyoshi today, taking advantage of Yago's overeagerness, while Enho patiently out-waited Gokushindo. Tobizaru on the other hand looked completely clueless how to deal with his opponent for the second day running, so my yusho pick is no longer even among the immediate pursuers. Hakuyozan and Yago have also departed the 3-loss group, so we're down to 4 rikishi there.

The sixpack of 5-4's was hit even harder and only managed to produce two winners, but on the upside both Kotoeko and Wakatakakage looked quite good in their matches.

There's a bit more action among the frontrunners coming up for tomorrow, with Enho (8-2) meeting Mitoryu (7-3), Terutsuyoshi (8-2) going against Tobizaru (6-4), and Kotoyuki (7-3) facing Hakuyozan (6-4).

Lower division yusho races (Day 9 results and links to video - with thanks to Miselet's unending efforts):

5-0 Ms5e Sokokurai (Arashio)
4-1 Ms12w Kiribayama (Michinoku)
5-0 Ms18w Gochozan (Minezaki)
4-1 Ms28w Fujiazuma (Tamanoi)
4-1 Ms36e Takakento (Chiganoura)
5-0 Ms48e Takaryu (Kise)
4-1 Ms49e Hoshoryu (Tatsunami)
5-0 Ms57w Kainoryu (Tomozuna)

5-0 Sd10e Kototebakari (Sadogatake)
4-1 Sd19w Hokutoshu (Hakkaku)
4-1 Sd29e Kurahashi (Asakayama)
5-0 Sd33e Ura (Kise)
5-0 Sd44e Yokoe (Musashigawa)
4-1 Sd55e Hokutohomare (Hakkaku)
5-0 Sd61e Kotoozutsu (Sadogatake)
4-1 Sd66w Kawamoto (Kasugano)
4-1 Sd73e Takatenshu (Chiganoura)
5-0 Sd81w Hikarifuji (Isegahama)
4-1 Sd96w Nakashima (Musashigawa)
5-0 Sd98w Fukunofuji (Isegahama)

4-1 Jd8e Akitoba (Minato)
5-0 Jd15e Mitsuuchi (Onomatsu)
5-0 Jd24e Sumanoumi (Takadagawa)
4-1 Jd31e Tochisato (Kasugano)
5-0 Jd40w Kotokume (Sadogatake)
4-1 Jd59w Iko (Tamanoi)
5-0 Jd60w Kenho (Tokitsukaze)
4-1 Jd66e Ota (Yamahibiki)
4-1 Jd77e Kainowaka (Tomozuna)
5-0 Jd81w Tatsunoumi (Yamahibiki)
5-0 Jd89w Kotourasaki (Sadogatake)
4-1 Jd100w Fujinoteru (Onoe)

5-0 Jk2w Daishoko (Oitekaze)
4-1 Jk8w Kojikara (Tagonoura)
5-0 Jk23w Hatooka (Kise)
4-1 Jk26w Yuma (Onomatsu)

An eclectic quartet of rikishi populated the jonokuchi race here: Both makushita-strength Hatooka and sandanme-caliber Yuma missed five straight basho (with Yuma even having to do maezumo again), and the presumptive favourite Hatooka had little trouble winning their matchup. Daishoko is a 30-year-old veteran who has spent most of his career bouncing between sandanme and jonidan, but recent hard times with 4 straight makekoshi sent him all the way down to jonokuchi. His experience proved vital as big 16-year-old rookie Kojikara (two KK, then missed Aki basho) gave him a good fight. Hatooka should win this division, of course.

The best-known names in the jonidan race are probably those of 39-year-old ex-Kaio tsukebito Kainowaka and massive 238 kg rikishi Kenho, although the former is now out of the race and the latter is unlikely to figure into the yusho race. The favourite here has to be Mitsuuchi, the talented 22-year-old who was already in high sandanme nearly three years ago, but has only completed three full tournaments (plus two maezumo appearances) since then. He's the "defending" champion from jonokuchi last time out. Tough challenge for him by Akitoba yesterday, however, in a bout well worth watching.

Much more star power is evident in sandanme, of course, where Ura continues his quest to return to sekitori status. His upcoming Day 11 match with new high school prospect Kototebakari is likely to be the tougher challenge of the remaining two. The middle block of the sandanme race features Yokoe and Kotoozutsu, relatively young (22 and 21) and still fairly new in ozumo - both are looking to break out of the middle of the division where they're found themselves stuck for the last little while.

The lowest sandanme section did see both Isegahama-beya rikishi Hikarifuji and Fukunofuji advance to 5-0 - this would ordinarily be good news for them as they ought to get placed against the next available lower-ranked opponents (i.e. guys from jonidan), but the scheduling committee has decided to do things differently this time and put them against higher-ranked Yokoe and Kotoozutsu instead. (Of course, maybe avoiding Mitsuuchi isn't so bad for Hikarifuji...) Quite unusual, but I'm happy to see the Sd and Jd yusho races remain separate from each other. In any case, Fukunofuji's another talented youngster in the "has yet to get past mid-sandanme" mold, although he finds himself much lower than Yokoe and Kotoozutsu for this basho due to kyujo in Aki.

And finally, the makushita race. Much-hyped Mongolian prospect Hoshoryu had already started off the last basho 3-0, but finished only 4-3 and had to beat fellow talent Naya for his last-bout kachikoshi there - this time he went one better to 4-0, but experienced low makushita / high sandanme dweller Kainoryu put an end to that in a pretty good bout. Takaryu, the former one-time juryo (off a fluky yusho from Ms10), is quite frankly too large for his own good, but 22-year-old semi-prospect Takakento wasn't able to find a way to handle his bulk yesterday and eventually ran out of dohyo space.

I would be quite surprised if either Kainoryu or Takaryu ended up winning the makushita yusho, in any case, as the two contenders from the other half of the division are of much higher caliber with perennial upper-rank presence Gochozan and long-time sekitori Sokokurai. Gochozan tends to be quite streaky and puts together 4/5-bout winning streaks with some regularity, and former maegashira Fujiazuma had no answer to his sumo on Day 9 either. Sokokurai, of course, is working his way back from a string of injuries suffered earlier this year. Talented Kiribayama proved to be no challenge to him, and it obviously won't be a great surprise if Sokokurai proceeds to win his remaining two bouts as well to clinch both the yusho and his return to sekitori status.

Edited by Asashosakari
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The former sekitori through Day 10.

new KK: Daiseido, Takayoshitoshi, Masunoyama

new MK: Sagatsukasa, Tenkaiho, Nionoumi

Record   Rank   Shikona Heya Age Out
3-2 Ms1e Gagamaru Kise 31 1
4-2 Ms1w Daiseido Kise 25 6
2-3 Ms2e Toyohibiki Sakaigawa 34 5
1-4 Ms3w Sagatsukasa Irumagawa 36 28
2-3 Ms4w Kagamio Kagamiyama 30 15
5-0 Ms5e Sokokurai Arashio 34 2
2-3 Ms5w Churanoumi Kise 25 2
1-4 Ms6w Tokushinho Kise 34 18
3-2 Ms8e Akua Tatsunami 28 1
3-2 Ms8w Seiro Shikoroyama 30 1
2-3 Ms9w Satoyama Onoe 37 8
4-1 Ms10e Takayoshitoshi Takanohana 21 4
2-3 Ms10w Kizenryu Kise 33 2
0-5 Ms13e Homarefuji Isegahama 33 2
3-2 Ms14w Higonojo Kise 34 27
1-4 Ms19w Tenkaiho Onoe 34 15
3-2 Ms21e Chiyootori Kokonoe 26 6
3-2 Ms22w Dewahayate Dewanoumi 29 14
2-3 Ms24e Keitenkai Onomatsu 28 37
2-3 Ms26e Chiyoarashi Kokonoe 27 32
4-1 Ms28w Fujiazuma Tamanoi 31 10
2-3 Ms30w Kitaharima Yamahibiki 32 7
2-3 Ms35e Tochihiryu Kasugano 31 5
2-3 Ms38e Dairaido Takadagawa 38 73
1-4 Ms39w Nionoumi Yamahibiki 31 32
3-2 Ms41e Sakigake Shibatayama 32 23
3-2 Ms45e Asahisho Tomozuna 29 9
5-0 Ms48e Takaryu Kise 26 20
2-3 Ms56w Yamaguchi Miyagino 29 5
0-5 Sd3w Kaonishiki Azumazeki 40 43
4-1 Sd18e Masunoyama Chiganoura 28 22
3-2 Sd25w Asabenkei Takasago 29 3
3-2 Sd26e Hitenryu Tatsunami 34 43
kyujo Sd27w Terunofuji Isegahama 26 3
kyujo Sd29w Amakaze Oguruma 27 4
5-0 Sd33e Ura Kise 26 5
3-2 Sd51e Yoshiazuma Tamanoi 41 25


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If things fall right Makushita/Juryo promotion/demotion is going to be very messy.

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Day 11 (results, text-only results)

10-1 Ke Takakeisho

9-2 O1w Takayasu, M9w Daieisho, M12e Aoiyama

8-3 O1e Goeido, M11w Okinoumi, M13e Onosho

    kyujo Hakuho        Y1   Kakuryu      kyujo
    0-5-6 Kisenosato    Y2
     8-3  Goeido        O1   Takayasu      9-2
                        O2   Tochinoshin   6-5

Nothing new in the yusho race - another day, another decisive victory by leading Takakeisho, this time over Tochiozan whose hot start into the basho has given way to 5 losses in 6 days. The chasing group stayed largely intact with only Onosho having to yield his spot against Shohozan. However, the only winner to come by his shiroboshi in easy fashion was Daieisho who defeated struggling Kagayaki, while Aoiyama had to survive a feisty shoving duel against Yutakayama and ozeki Takayasu's win over sekiwake Ichinojo was close enough to require mono-ii confirmation.

The other pair of ozeki were successful on Day 11 as well. Tochinoshin defeated Chiyotairyu when the latter fell forward largely on his own, although the ozeki appeared to be in charge of the bout at that point anyway. Goeido sent komusubi Kaisei to makekoshi, clinching his own KK in the process, and has taken the opportunity to withdraw from the basho altogether with an arm injury, now that kadoban status is no longer on the horizon.

Also makekoshi is Ichinojo, ending his streak of 7, often head-scratching, kachikoshi tournaments. He'll still have the opportunity to stick in sanyaku, of course, but I'm not sure anyone's going to bet on four straight wins from here on out. Fellow sekiwake Mitakeumi is struggling as well and dropped to a loss-leading record again courtesy of his third straight defeat, today against Yoshikaze.

Perennial joi member Tamawashi has slipped into the driver's seat (bad metaphor these days?) of the sanyaku promotion race as the only top 4 guy to win today. Of course, Myogiryu's loss was a necessary consequence of that because they faced each other. Nishikigi continues to turn heads with his performance this basho; his Day 11 victim was Hokutofuji, who picked up his third straight loss. The promotion contest may be jumbled again tomorrow, however, with Tamawashi's turn to battle the yusho leader.

     5-6  Mitakeumi     S    Ichinojo      3-8
    10-1  Takakeisho    K    Kaisei       3-6-2 (x)

     5-6  Myogiryu      M1   Hokutofuji    5-6
     6-5  Tochiozan     M2   Tamawashi     7-4
     5-6  Nishikigi     M3   Ryuden        4-7
     5-6  Shodai        M4   Yoshikaze     6-5
     5-6  Chiyotairyu   M5   Asanoyama     4-7  (x)
     6-5  Abi           M7   Shohozan      7-4
(x)  6-5  Kotoshogiku   M9   Daieisho      9-2
                        M11  Okinoumi      8-3
     9-2  Aoiyama       M12
(x)  8-3  Onosho        M13

Goeido's withdrawal has come at a rather untimely moment, as we're down to just two top-rankers, Takayasu and Tochinoshin, but they are now already set to meet tomorrow - otherwise this match would likely have been held back for senshuraku. As suggested elsewhere this does open the possibility of doing Takayasu-Takakeisho as the basho's final match, although it's anybody's guess if the yusho will still be on the line at that point.

Demotion-threatened Chiyonokuni finally rewarded himself for his consistently good sumo this basho with victory over Ikioi, creating a bit of breathing room towards the bottom of the division. Takanosho and Daishomaru weren't so lucky and remain prime candidates to join Arawashi and Chiyomaru on their trip to juryo. Meisei, on the other hand, should be secure now with his 7th win, one more than he had managed in his first go at makuuchi four months ago. Daiamami moved within one win of safety by beating mid-ranked Kotoshogiku, while Sadanoumi and Yutakayama missed out on clinching their top division spots.

Yago was handed a prime opportunity today, with his visit to makuuchi putting him opposite the corpse of Arawashi, and he fully took advantage of it. At 7-4 his makuuchi debut is now imminent - or at least should be, but then he managed to fall from 8-4 to 8-7 last basho and was passed over. A losing streak this time would mean outright makekoshi, of course.

Kotoyuki is riding one of those waves typical for oshi-zumo rikishi who everything just clicks, and four wins in a row have brought him close to a makuuchi return as well. Daishoho is also back in contention for promotion following back-to-back winning days, while Kotoeko and Aminishiki suffered setbacks today. Terutsuyoshi continues to loom as a contender from further down.

(1)  4-7  Sadanoumi     M10  Yutakayama    4-7  (1)
(2)  3-8  Chiyonokuni   M11
                        M13  Takanosho     3-8  (3)
(2)  5-6  Chiyoshoma    M14  Daishomaru    4-7  (3)
(1)  6-5  Daiamami      M15  Meisei        7-4  (o)
(x)  1-10 Arawashi      M16  Chiyomaru     3-8  (x)

(1)  7-4  Yago          J1   Kotoeko       6-5  (2)
(3)  6-5  Daishoho      J2   Aminishiki    5-6  (4)
(1)  8-3  Kotoyuki      J3   Tokushoryu    4-7  (~)
(x)  4-7  Takagenji     J4
(4)  6-5  Ishiura       J5   Terutsuyoshi  9-2  (1)
(~)  6-5  Akiseyama     J6   Wakatakakage  6-5  (~)
(~)  6-5  Kyokutaisei   J7   Hakuyozan     6-5  (~)
                        J10  Enho          8-3  (~)

Hidenoumi finally managed to stop his slide at four losses, and even looked decently competitive in today's bout, although it must be said that Tsurugisho put the bout into Hidenoumi's wheelhouse by going for yotsu right off the tachiai. Still, with likely just one more win required things do look a lot more sunny for Hidenoumi now than they did 24 hours ago.

The four lower-ranked juryo most at risk of demotion didn't have the greatest day overall  - only the much improved Shimanoumi (three straight wins) was able to help himself to a shiroboshi today. Gokushindo lost to visitor Gagamaru and can't afford any more bad days now. Chiyonoo was defeated easily by resurgent Toyonoshima, and Jokoryu lost a match of demotion candidates against Azumaryu, who should be safe. (I must admit I'm a bit surprised, as Azumaryu looked like he could barely walk for the first three or four days of the basho.) Juryo rookie Tomokaze clinched his kachikoshi today, securing his continued presence in the paid ranks early.

Gagamaru's victory up in juryo earned him a kachikoshi as well, so we've now got both top-ranked makushita on 4-2 and with strong claims for promotion. An even stronger position could still be achieved by Sokokurai who maintained his unbeaten record today and will be going for the zensho yusho on Day 13. It does appear that this trio will be the only ones contending for slots - the next-best candidate Irodori fell to 3-3 and already needs to hope that at least 4 juryo rikishi end up failing to meet their staying targets.

A pair of former sekitori veterans will definitely not be returning to juryo for January, as both Toyohibiki and Kagamio went MK today. Kise-beya duo Shiba (over Toyohibiki) and Churanoumi maintained their shots at kachikoshi, but are even less likely to get a word in on the promotion race than Irodori is.

                        J4   Hidenoumi     2-9  (1)
(1)  4-7  Kyokushuho    J8
                        J9   Chiyonoo      2-9  (3)
(o)  6-5  Azumaryu      J10
(2)  4-7  Chiyonoumi    J11
                        J12  Jokoryu       4-7  (3)
                        J13  Gokushindo    3-8  (4)
(2)  6-5  Shimanoumi    J14  Tomokaze      8-3  (o)

     4-2  Gagamaru      Ms1  Daiseido      4-2
(x)  2-4  Toyohibiki    Ms2  Irodori       3-3
     3-3  Shiba         Ms4  Kagamio       2-4  (x)
     6-0  Sokokurai     Ms5  Churanoumi    3-3

Tough assignment for Hidenoumi for tomorrow - Chiyomaru's record is only marginally better, but well, underperforming maegashira versus underperforming juryo. The schedule is pretty cruel to the main demotion candidates altogether, as we're also getting Chiyonoo against Gokushindo, while Jokoryu has to deal with Irodori, who will be completing his 7-bout basho early.


Juryo yusho race:

9-2 J5w Terutsuyoshi

8-3 J3e Kotoyuki, J10w Enho, J12e Mitoryu, J13e Toyonoshima, J14w Tomokaze

7-4 J1e Yago

Juryo has a sole leader for the second time this basho, following Day 5's Tobizaru. (Who has since gone 1-5...) Enho just can't seem to handle Mitoryu, and for a while it looked as though he would lose by kotenage for the third time in three attempts, but it ended up as the not very far off kimetaoshi instead. Terutsuyoshi did much better and posted a decisive victory over Tobizaru, of all people.

All four 7-3 pursuers were successful and have joined Enho in kachikoshi territory, so the yusho race is still far from decided, especially as Terutsuyoshi has only faced one of them so far (Kotoyuki). I doubt anybody else will still get back into the race after the two-behind group was almost completely eradicated today: Kotoeko, Wakatakakage, Hakuyozan and Tobizaru all fell to 6-5, only Yago remains in after his successful trip to makuuchi against Arawashi.

Lowest-ranked pursuer Tomokaze has received first dibs on the new leader and will try to bring him back into the fold tomorrow. Kotoyuki and Enho are also paired up, so at least one rikishi is guaranteed to remain only one off the lead even if Terutsuyoshi wins. Mitoryu meanwhile goes up against veteran Takekaze (5-6), and Toyonoshima meets Ishiura (6-5).

Edited by Asashosakari
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6 minutes ago, Asashosakari said:

Tamawashi has slipped into the driver's seat (bad metaphor these days?)


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No intra-sanyaku match on Day 13.  They have Tochinoshin-Mitakeumi, Takayasu-Mitakeumi, and Takayasu-Takakeisho among the Ozeki, as well as Kaisei-Ichinojo, left to do.  They could still do 3 matches on Day 15 if they do Takayasu-Mitakeumi on Day 14, which indeed would leave Takayasu-Takakeisho as the last match of the tournament.  Since that's the only way to get 3 in one day now and they seemed to signal their desire to do that by not having any on Day 13, it seems like a decent bet.  They could do two each Days 14 and 15, but if they planned on only doing 2 on day 15, they presumably would have split the other two between Days 13 and 14, not only to spread them out but to also get an extra day to see which maegashira to match up against one Ozeki instead of Goeido.

Edited by Gurowake
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Looks like  Takayoshitoshi will be in Juryo promotion range next basho.  I have to say that outside of Takanosho  the former Takaknohana guys have taken the transition well. 


Day 13 match between Mitoryu and Kotoyuki will be interesting. It's pointless henkaing Mitoryu as he's too slow at the start. Could this be he his yusho? In any case I think the winner of that match is the yusho winner.

Edited by Rocks

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Takanosho isn't a former Takanohana guy.  He was Chiganoura-beya's only sekitori before this basho--seems like he's in an odd spot. (It's also a different kanji.)

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Looking at who they might send into Juryo from Makushita the last 2 days:

6-0: Sokokurai is facing Takaryu Day 13 for the Makushita Yusho

5-1: No one high enough in rank.

4-2:  Gagamaru is scheduled against Wakanotoharu already.  The next 4-2 match is Dewahayate-NIshikifuji.  The next highest ranked 4-2 is Chiyootori, who would face Nishikifuji if facing someone lower in rank, so Chiyootori must be facing someone higher, and Bushozan who is next highest is eligible to face him.  The gap between these matches appears to have an even number of rikishi, and it appears there's no issues with matching them within that group, so it looks like Daiseido will not be facing someone in Juryo unless ms7 Kotodaigo does as well, which would be unusual.

3-3: Highest ranked match is Kotokamatani vs. Satoyama, and there are an even number of 3-3s of higher rank, but looking at who they are exactly, there's Akua and Seiro who are the next two spots higher in rank on the actual banzuke.  Looking at their schedules, Seiro has already faced all three of the others, while Akua if fighting someone lower in rank would face Kotokamatani.  So it looks to me like Akua has to face someone higher in rank.  Looking at the space before the next match further down, Mugendai vs. Akinoyama, it looks like in between there is Higonojo vs. Nogami, Tsurubayashi vs. Ryusei, and Ikegawa vs. Kansei based on who each of them have already fought, and Akinoyama would face Kansei if Kansei wasn't needed as Ikegawa's opponent.  So that looks to mean that Seiro is fighting someone higher in rank as well.  Since Seiro has already faced Akua, they both must be matched against the guys in the top 5, Shiba and Churanoumi.

2-4: Top 4 ranked, down through Ms6 Tomisakae, are all in action on Day 13.

1-5: top two ranked Tamaki and Tokushinho face each other Day 13.

0-6: No one high enough in rank.

So it seems to me like their plan if there is a withdrawal is to use Daiseido and Kotodaigo.  Their plans as to whether to use them in exchange bouts Day 15 instead of facing each other will likely depend on what happens in Juryo Days 13 and 14 and whether Sokokurai wins the Yusho. Daiseido might be squeezed out of promotion again if Sokokurai wins and there are not enough candidates for demotion, so he might be called into an exchange match exactly when needed to make his own spot but will face Kotodaigo otherwise.

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Day 12 (results, text-only results)

11-1 Ke Takakeisho

10-2 O1w Takayasu

9-3 M9w Daieisho, M11w Okinoumi, M12e Aoiyama, M13e Onosho

Victory for both 8-3's that were active, catching up with two losing 9-2's; Goeido has withdrawn as mentioned yesterday.

    kyujo Hakuho        Y1   Kakuryu      kyujo
    0-5-7 Kisenosato    Y2
     8-4  Goeido        O1   Takayasu     10-2
                        O2   Tochinoshin   6-6

Leading Takakeisho with another strong result on Day 12 as Tamawashi proved to be as little of a match as the previous opponents. Ozeki Takayasu was the only pursuer to keep pace, defeating Tochinoshin in what has turned out to be this basho's sole match among the yokozuna and ozeki. (Third time already this year.)

Tochinoshin continues to need two wins to avoid becoming kadoban, of course, and it's arguable that he would have been better off with Goeido staying in the tournament. It's now Takanoiwa for him tomorrow, followed by probably either Asanoyama or Shohozan, and Mitakeumi to close things out on senshuraku. Mitakeumi sports a 6-6 record as well following today's freebie over Goeido, and still has Chiyotairyu and yusho-chasing Takayasu to go through before that final match.

Ichinojo meanwhile has apparently begun his traditional quest for a respectable end to his basho, actually resisting powerful Ryuden's repeated attempts to oust him from the dohyo. He'll need to do it three more times to remain sanyaku-ranked for January.

Tochiozan prevailed in the sanyaku contenders' playoff against Myogiryu, and is back in the "lead" thanks to Tamawashi's loss in the day's highlight bout. Hokutofuji failed to win for the fourth straight day, this time against Shodai. All three top-ranked maegashira have managed to make quite a hash of their strong first week performances, and while Myogiryu was arguably overperforming in the first place, Hokutofuji will probably rue losing this excellent chance to secure his sanyaku debut.

Meanwhile, it's three wins in a row for Yoshikaze, who could be sneaking his way into a promotion if the higher-ranked guys do badly enough over the final weekend. (A 9th loss for Ichinojo would also help, of course.)

     6-6  Mitakeumi     S    Ichinojo      4-8
    11-1  Takakeisho    K    Kaisei       3-7-2 (x)

     5-7  Myogiryu      M1   Hokutofuji    5-7
     7-5  Tochiozan     M2   Tamawashi     7-5
     6-6  Nishikigi     M3   Ryuden        4-8  (x)
     6-6  Shodai        M4   Yoshikaze     7-5
(x)  5-7  Chiyotairyu   M5
(x)  6-6  Abi           M7   Shohozan      8-4
                        M9   Daieisho      9-3
                        M11  Okinoumi      9-3
(x)  9-3  Aoiyama       M12

Somewhat unexpectedly they've decided to go with Aoiyama as Takakeisho's next maegashira opponent, partly motivated by the fact that Daieisho has been put against Takayasu instead. Either way, the choice of a lower-ranked Day 13 opponent for the leader is understandable, as it has given them an extra day to decide whether he should meet another pursuer for his last maegashira match, or the straight-up joi choice Nishikigi. I suspect it'll be Nishikigi as they'll likely expect Daieisho to be defeated by the ozeki and taken out of the race.

There's also no shortage of intrigue in the sanyaku race, where Ichinojo-Yoshikaze, Myogiryu-Shodai and Hokutofuji-Tamawashi have all been scheduled amongst the contenders.

Takanosho can't seem to buy a win anymore; today's strange tottari loss to Kagayaki is arguably emblematic of his entire tournament, and he's now in huge danger of seeing his first makuuchi stint ending after his sophomore basho. Sadanoumi and Yutakayama won't have to worry about that anymore following victories over Arawashi and Endo today, and Chiyonokuni is also finally getting the breaks he deserves, beating Daiamami to move within one win of safe ground. Daiamami himself also remains one win short, while Chiyoshoma and Daishomaru still require two out of three.

Yago survived a spirited challenge by even bigger Akiseyama today, and has clinched both his kachikoshi and an upcoming top division promotion now. I won't be surprised if he eventually becomes a Daishomaru-style lower maegashira regular, but I'm highly skeptical that he'll manage to stick in makuuchi right from the start. Kotoyuki defeated Enho in double-quick time and should be good for another go at the prime time as well. It'll be his 6th promotion, tying him as the active leader with Kyokushuho, Tamawashi and Toyohibiki. (Remember when Tamawashi was nothing more than an elevator guy?)

Kotoeko is also closing on a return to makuuchi, while Terutsuyoshi failed to pick up the clinching win for now. Daishoho posted a very clueless-looking loss against Kyokutaisei, and may need to win all remaining bouts to have a chance.

(o)  5-7  Sadanoumi     M10  Yutakayama    5-7  (o)
(1)  4-8  Chiyonokuni   M11
                        M13  Takanosho     3-9  (3)
(2)  5-7  Chiyoshoma    M14  Daishomaru    5-7  (2)
(1)  6-6  Daiamami      M15
(x)  1-11 Arawashi      M16  Chiyomaru     3-9  (x)

(o)  8-4  Yago          J1   Kotoeko       7-5  (1)
(3)  6-6  Daishoho      J2   Aminishiki    5-7  (~)
(o)  9-3  Kotoyuki      J3   Tokushoryu    5-7  (~)
(3)  7-5  Ishiura       J5   Terutsuyoshi  9-3  (1)
(x)  6-6  Akiseyama     J6   Wakatakakage  6-6  (x)
(~)  7-5  Kyokutaisei   J7   Hakuyozan     7-5  (~)
                        J10  Enho          8-4  (x)

Maegashira Chiyomaru somehow managed to look like the much worse rikishi between him and Hidenoumi, so the latter has actually secured his juryo rank after all. Perhaps unfortunately for him there's now no need for further maegashira-juryo matchups after Goeido's withdrawal, as I suspect he was gonna face Arawashi sooner or later, too.

Kyokushuho got slapped down quickly by Tokushoryu and thus wasn't able to save himself for now. Shimanoumi continues to reel off wins, now already four in a row, and they're not fluky wins either, so what looked extremely unlikely at 3-5 is suddenly within range - one more win for kachikoshi at the bottom rank to gain another tournament in juryo.

Gokushindo will continue to have his back to the wall for the rest of the basho, but he avoided the demotion for at least one more day; his defeat of hapless Chiyonoo has left both having to win through to Sunday now. Jokoryu moved into slightly better position thanks to a fast pulldown victory which sent makushita Irodori to a hard-luck makekoshi. (Don't lose both your juryo visits if you want to get promoted...) Jokoryu needs two more shiroboshi, as does Chiyonoumi who finds himself mired in the demotion mess after four losses in his last five bouts, today against upper-ranked Takagenji.

Tough assignment for Hidenoumi for tomorrow - Chiyomaru's record is only marginally better, but well, underperforming maegashira versus underperforming juryo. The schedule is pretty cruel to the main demotion candidates altogether, as we're also getting Chiyonoo against Gokushindo, while Jokoryu has to deal with Irodori, who will be completing his 7-bout basho early.

                        J4   Hidenoumi     3-9  (o)
(1)  4-8  Kyokushuho    J8
                        J9   Chiyonoo      2-10 (3)
(2)  4-8  Chiyonoumi    J11
                        J12  Jokoryu       5-7  (2)
                        J13  Gokushindo    4-8  (3)
(1)  7-5  Shimanoumi    J14

     4-2  Gagamaru      Ms1  Daiseido      4-2
                        Ms2  Irodori       3-4  (x)
     3-3  Shiba         Ms4
     6-0  Sokokurai     Ms5  Churanoumi    3-3

Still no definitive demotions, but it will take a mighty effort by the juryo guys to avoid opening up at least two slots. As seems to be customary of late, they haven't bothered giving Sokokurai a harder-on-paper opponent than the other zensho rikishi, so his promotion will be secured if he can beat Ms48e Takaryu.

I don't have anything to add to Gurowake's analysis of possible Day 14/15 exchange bouts, except to say that IMHO Daiseido and Kotodaigo are only held back for the emergency of a Day 13 withdrawal - putting them into juryo for optional bouts would be extremely unusual given Kotodaigo's low rank, so Daiseido will just have to suck it up that he's not getting a shot at an at-risk juryo rikishi.

One juryo rikishi is certain to be safe after Day 13: Kyokushuho and Shimanoumi are meeting head-to-head to decide a juryo spot for Hatsu. Jokoryu and Chiyonoo are also paired up, which will either open up the first promotion slot or give the committee another rikishi to play with who needs to win both on Saturday and Sunday.

Edited by Asashosakari
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