Asashosakari

Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion Nagoya 2018

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2 minutes ago, Asashosakari said:

Decided to flip the order around to get the lower division summary done before the Day 11 bouts started taking place.

But you started with Juryo.

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1 minute ago, Bumpkin said:

But you started with Juryo.

I'm sorry, next time I'll tailor my workflow to your expectations.

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6 minutes ago, Asashosakari said:

I'm sorry, next time I'll tailor my workflow to your expectations.

My expectation is that you will post the best thread on the forum as you see fit. OK?

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Presumably alternating ozeki bouts with the other Sekiwake. Which would have him against Goeido on day 14.

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Day 11 (results, text-only results):

Yusho arasoi:

11-0 Sw Mitakeumi
10-1 ---
9-2 M13e Tochiozan, M13w Asanoyama
 

    3-3-5 Kakuryu       Y1   Hakuho       3-1-7
    kyujo Kisenosato    Y2
     8-3  Goeido        O1   Takayasu      7-4
                        O2   Tochinoshin  5-2-4

Mitakeumi smartly neutralized opponent Kaisei's main offensive weapons en route to another decisive victory, so it's now 11-0 for the yusho leader. Both low-ranked pursuers did their part to maintain some modicum of suspense, however, with Tochiozan defeating Chiyotairyu in a merry-go-round pulling battle and Asanoyama grabbing hold of Nishikigi before patiently marching him out.

Only one ozeki can celebrate shedding the kadoban tag today, and it's Goeido who went into full-on Goeido desperation mode and tried to rush his opponent off the dohyo in split-seconds. Lucky for him the opponent was Daishomaru who didn't have any response to it. Takayasu on the other hand ran into a suddenly reawakened Ichinojo and found himself at the receiving end of a powerful shove that dropped the ozeki to 7-4.

The big winner of the day in the sanyaku promotion race was Ikioi as the only one among the top four maegashira contenders to win today; he defeated komusubi Tamawashi after torinaoshi, overcoming a 4-10 H2H history. Chiyonokuni lost to the other komusubi, already-MK Shohozan, while Takakeisho was defeated by Endo. The latter may still get back into the race himself if he goes back to winning now, after his Day 9/10 losses had seemed to end his hopes already.

Kotoshogiku had to withdraw from the action with an arm injury and thus picked up his makekoshi via fusenpai.

     5-6  Ichinojo      S    Mitakeumi    11-0
     6-5  Tamawashi     K    Shohozan      3-8  (x)

                        M1   Kotoshogiku   3-8  (x)
     6-5  Ikioi         M2   Chiyonokuni   6-5
                        M3   Takakeisho    7-4
     7-4  Kaisei        M4
                        M5
     8-3  Endo          M6   Chiyotairyu   7-4
                        M7
                        M8
     7-4  Myogiryu      M9   Yutakayama    8-3
                        ...
     9-2  Tochiozan     M13  Asanoyama     9-2

As mentioned by earlier posts, they're starting off Mitakeumi's top three bouts a day early by putting him against ozeki Takayasu for Day 12. It's possible indeed that they're simply trying to alternate Mitakeumi and Ichinojo's ozeki matchups, but it does also mean they have bought themselves another day (and possibly two) to determine the yusho leader's last maegashira opponent. It had looked as though the default candidate, Endo, was fading, which didn't leave any obvious choice. The two M13's are arguably too low to get picked, and ironically the fact that there are two of them probably makes it even less likely. We'll see if the Day 13 torikumi brings us Mitakeumi-maegashira or already Mitakeumi-Goeido in a few hours.

Mitakeumi-Takayasu did get turned into an inspired choice by today's events, although I'm not sure they really expected Takayasu to miss the kachikoshi. Among the pursuers it's Asanoyama who gets an upper-ranked opponent for tomorrow in Kaisei, after it was Tochiozan's turn with Chiyotairyu today (he meets Myogiryu now).


Meisei avoided the makekoshi for a second day, this time against Chiyomaru, so there's still no definite demotion. Fellow debutant Kotoeko was less fortunate and got overpowered by higher-ranked Takarafuji, and he is now MK. Both of them will need to win all remaining matches in order to stay in makuuchi.

Things have also turned ugly for Arawashi, with a basho record of 5 straight losses, followed by three wins (in which he looked pretty good), and now three one-sided losses again. To add insult to injury, Aoiyama shoved him into the third row today. Yoshikaze continues to be without any wins in Nagoya, and it's all getting rather late and desperate for him at this stage. Today's Yoshikaze defeater was Kyokutaisei and he can now look forward to more top division action back in Tokyo. Okinoumi and Ishiura took crucial steps to secure their own survival, beating Daieisho and Chiyoshoma respectively.

With what seems like 3 or 4 slots becoming available in the end, the race should be on in juryo. But there's not much of that, and it may turn out that some endangered maegashira will get to stay with subpar records. The two juryo frontrunners did win on Day 11, so Takanoiwa (surviving a hectic match with Terutsuyoshi) is now 10-1 and absolutely certain to return to makuuchi, and Takanosho (beating Chiyonoo) improved to 9-2 and can also start to plan for his makuuchi debut. Kotoyuki got slapped down by demotion-threatened Tokushoryu, but he's still in a good position to earn the promotion, while everybody else already needs to win at least 3 out of 4 to have any chance, and all 4 matches to be credible candidates.

The Akiseyama kachikoshi quest is still on, however, now with 4 wins from 0-7.

                        M5   Yoshikaze     0-11 (2)
                        ...
(1)  3-8  Chiyoshoma    M8   Kyokutaisei   4-7  (o)
                        M9
(1)  4-7  Chiyomaru     M10
                        M11
                        M12  Arawashi      3-8  (3)
                        M13
(4)  3-8  Kotoeko       M14  Okinoumi      5-6  (2)
(2)  5-6  Ishiura       M15  Ryuden        6-5  (1)
(o)  8-3  Hokutofuji    M16  Meisei        4-7  (4)

                        J1   Akiseyama     4-7  (4)
(4)  5-6  Daiamami      J2   Takagenji     4-7  (~)
(2)  7-4  Kotoyuki      J3   Takanoiwa    10-1  (o)
(1)  9-2  Takanosho     J4   Aminishiki    6-5  (4)
(4)  6-5  Daishoho      J5   Hidenoumi     6-5  (4)
(x)  5-6  Seiro         J6   Kyokushuho    6-5  (~)
(~)  6-5  Tsurugisho    J7
                        ...
(x)  7-4  Chiyonoo      J11


Both J14 fell to 3-8 makekoshi today, Homarefuji against Chiyonoumi and Churanoumi to Tsurugisho. Both are now obviously demotable if there's a need, but with Sokokurai already headed down and Kizenryu potentially getting a terrible record as well, it might still be slightly possible to survive with a 7-8 finish. Kizenryu for his part finally won again after six straight losses, but it may all be too little too late.

The rest of the candidate field was thinned out considerably. Chiyonoumi, Tobizaru (vs. Aminishiki) and Gagamaru (vs. Takekaze) reached safe shores, and Tokushoryu is also almost safe after today's victory over Kotoyuki. Wakatakakage remained at one needed win as he lost to makushita visitor Kiribayama in a totally crazy bout.

Kiribayama isn't the only one to be 3-3 down there now; Gokushinho prevailed against ex-juryo Dewahayate and he can also still hope to ascend to the paid ranks. The head-to-head meeting between Akua and Jokoryu was decided in favour of the less prominent ex-sekitori with the aquatic name. Ordinarily that would be curtains for Jokoryu's promotion hopes, but in this basho he could well have a shot even with just 4 wins from Ms5. Of course, he'll need to win his final match now. (FWIW, Nikkan Sports even opined today that Toyonoshima is in the running for a lucky promotion; he's currently 4-2 at Ms7w. Irodori faces Ms7e Sagatsukasa on Day 12, and I might well include the winner of that and Toyonoshima in the table for the last few days.)

Hakuyozan and Enho were also in action, both victorious, so the former continues to gun for the yusho and the latter is now certain to return to juryo.

(1)  4-7  Tokushoryu    J9   Gagamaru      5-6  (o)
(x) kyujo Sokokurai     J10
                        J11
(1)  6-5  Wakatakakage  J12  Chiyonoumi    7-4  (o)
(4)  3-8  Kizenryu      J13  Tobizaru      7-4  (o)
(~)  3-8  Homarefuji    J14  Churanoumi    3-8  (~)

(o)  6-0  Hakuyozan     Ms1
     3-3  Gokushindo    Ms2  Enho          5-1  (o)
                        Ms3  Kiribayama    3-3
                        Ms4
     3-3  Jokoryu       Ms5  Akua          4-2
                        Ms6  Irodori       3-2

Kotoshogiku's exit from the basho means there's no need for makushita rikishi in juryo now, so no such matches are on the Day 12 schedule. Barring further withdrawals, they will need an even number of fill-ins for the last three days, and I would guess they will be sending all of Gokushindo/Kiribayama/Jokoryu/Akua up there.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Juryo yusho race:

10-1 J3w Takanoiwa
9-2 J4e Takanosho
8-3 ---
7-4 J3e Kotoyuki, J11e Chiyonoo, J12w Chiyonoumi, J13w Tobizaru

We're arguably down to two contenders now after Kotoyuki and Chiyonoo weren't able to keep up with the winning frontrunners. With only four days to go it would take quite the collapse by Takanoiwa just to allow the 7-4's to get into playoff contention.

Day 12 sees Takanoiwa go up into makuuchi early, but just for a visit against struggling Kotoeko for now. Takanosho meets Chiyonoumi, Kotoyuki and Chiyonoo are paired up, and Tobizaru faces Mitoryu (J11w 6-5).


Lower division yusho races (Day 11 results and links to video where available):

6-0 Ms1e Hakuyozan (Takadagawa)
5-1 Ms24e Daishoryu (Oitekaze)
5-1 Ms34w Tomisakae (Isegahama)
6-0 Ms49w Takayoshitoshi (Takanohana)

6-0 Sd11w Kagamio (Kagamiyama)
5-1 Sd26e Byakko (Azumazeki)
6-0 Sd47e Kototebakari (Sadogatake)
5-1 Sd61e Saio (Nishikido)
5-1 Sd86e Torakio (Naruto)
6-0 Sd91e Sasakiyama (Kise)

5-1 Jd10w Shuji (Kise)
6-0 Jd35w Sadanohikari (Sakaigawa)
6-0 Jd46e Kawamoto (Kasugano)
5-1 Jd71e Daishosei (Oitekaze)
6-0 Jd81e Rao (Tatsunami)
5-1 Jd100w Sakura (Takadagawa)
5-1 Jd106e Terunosato (Tagonoura)

6-0 Jk28e Tsushida (Tokitsukaze)
6-0 Jk29w Roman (Tatsunami)

Most of the 10 race matches turned out to be fairly one-sided.

Tomisakae gave it all he had but Takayoshitoshi just proved too strong, and Daishoryu stood little chance against Hakuyozan. Should hopefully be a good match for the makushita yusho on Day 13, both leaders certainly look to be of juryo strength.

The sandanme bouts featured only foregone conclusions, with Kagamio fully in control of Byakko, Kototebakari on defense just briefly before he overpowered Saio, and Torakio (with a big ol' arm and shoulder taping) having absolutely nothing to offer against Sasakiyama.

The best match(es) of the bunch was delivered by Sadanohikari and Shuji who had to go through a redo to determine the winner. Lanky Mongolian Sadanohikari was on the offensive in both matches and won the rematch decisively. The earliest four pairings were all over quickly with the favourites winning, leaving aside the strange false stop by the gyoji in Roman's bout that was already mentioned elsewhere.

So, that's 10 unbeaten rikishi at 6-0 now, the right number to match them all up directly. And given the respective ranks of the contenders I would be surprised if something else happened. Sasakiyama and Sadanohikari are close enough with a 44-rank difference to be paired up across divisions, with the winner enabling a playoff in his division, and makushita and jonokuchi should see straight yusho-deciding bouts.

(The only conceivable alternative would be to put the lowest-ranking contender in both sandanme and jonidan against a higher-ranked 5-1 opponent, but I don't see what would be gained by that.)

Edited by Asashosakari
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53 minutes ago, Asashosakari said:

Ordinarily that would be curtains for Jokoryu's promotion hopes, but in this basho he could well have a shot even with just 4 wins from Ms5. Of course, he'll need to win his final match now.

(Praying...)(Praying...)(Praying...)

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Man, this is getting crazy. Kotoeko and Messei are toast. Yoshikaze doesn't look like he'll ever get a win. Ishiura and Arawashi still need 2 wins.  We could have as many as 5 going down. What do they do then? The top five guys with KKs in Juryo get promoted? Bottom of Juryo looks just as bad with 4 going down.

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Day 12 (results, text-only results):

Yusho arasoi:

11-1 Sw Mitakeumi
10-2 ---
9-3 O1e Goeido, M9w Yutakayama, M13e Tochiozan, M13w Asanoyama


    3-3-6 Kakuryu       Y1   Hakuho       3-1-8
    kyujo Kisenosato    Y2
     9-3  Goeido        O1   Takayasu      8-4
                        O2   Tochinoshin  5-2-5

The day started off so well for Mitakeumi: Both pursuers Tochiozan and Asanoyama lost in rather decisive fashion, to Myogiryu and Kaisei respectively, opening up a three-loss gap. However, an unclear finish plus questionable mono-ii decision in the leader's match with ozeki Takayasu led to him taking his first loss of the basho, so the race stands essentially unchanged after all. (I'm in the "should have been a torinaoshi" camp, for what little that's worth.)

Takayasu did clinch his kachikoshi with that result and can rest a little easier for the remainder of the basho as well as Aki. He didn't catch up to fellow ozeki Goeido, however, who countered a badly mistimed pulling attempt by opponent Endo for a quick 9th win. Goeido is even back in the yusho race now (along with surprise addition Yutakayama - five straight wins), and can still personally reduce the gap to one loss tomorrow.

Ichinojo appears to be interested in getting kachikoshi after all and is now on three wins in a row following a classic Ichinojo-style defeat of Kagayaki. That might spell bad news for komusubi Tamawashi's promotion aspirations, although still less bad news than his kotenage has spelled for his opponents' elbows this basho...Chiyonokuni did not appear to be in a good way following their match and it remains to be seen if he'll try to tough it out or withdraw from the tournament.

Takakeisho and Chiyotairyu had an amusing bout, which can be summarized as thus from Takakeisho's perspective: push - crouch - push - crouch - push - crouch - push - fake crouch - slapdown. It was a match between two contenders for promotion to sanyaku, and Chiyotairyu is now likely out of the race as there are too many strong candidates ahead of him, while Takakeisho joined Kaisei in achieving kachikoshi today. Ikioi also remains well-placed following today's victory over Takarafuji.

     6-6  Ichinojo      S    Mitakeumi    11-1
     7-5  Tamawashi     K    Shohozan      3-9  (x)

                        M1
     7-5  Ikioi         M2   Chiyonokuni   6-6
                        M3   Takakeisho    8-4
     8-4  Kaisei        M4
                        M5
     8-4  Endo          M6   Chiyotairyu   7-5
                        M7
                        M8
     8-4  Myogiryu      M9   Yutakayama    9-3
                        ...
(x)  9-3  Tochiozan     M13  Asanoyama     9-3  (x)

They've decided to delay Mitakeumi's last maegashira matchup for another day, after all, so it's Goeido for him on Day 13. He will not yet clinch the yusho in any case, even if he defeats the ozeki, as pursuers Tochiozan and Yutakayama are also paired up. Asanoyama for his part meets Myogiryu.


It was a rather forgettable day for the maegashira at risk of demotion. They combined for a 2-7 record, and that includes the result of the direct meeting between Chiyomaru and Yoshikaze, which has left the former safe for Aki and the latter winless. The sole other winner was Okinoumi who managed to completely reverse a strong pushing attack by Nishikigi.

Meisei's loss against Daieisho sent him to makekoshi, and being ranked in the very last spot it likely sealed his demotion; the candidate list from juryo isn't that weak that he might survive here now. Kotoeko is also nominally demotable after his one-sided loss to juryo Takanoiwa, but he might still have some small hope with three straight closing wins. Arawashi looked outclassed by Kyokutaisei and has next to no margin for error remaining as well.

Meanwhile we get to welcome youngster Takanosho to the world of the top division; the 23-year-old reached double-digit wins against juryo debutant Chiyonoumi and his promotion should not be in doubt now. Kotoyuki achieved his kachikoshi today and stands a good chance to join on the way up. The rest of the contenders remain rather ill-placed, though we've now reached a stage in the basho where a (three-day) winning streak by somebody wouldn't come hugely unexpected.

(Obligatory: Go Akiseyama!)

                        M5   Yoshikaze     0-12 (2)
                        ...
(1)  3-9  Chiyoshoma    M8
                        M9
(o)  5-7  Chiyomaru     M10
                        M11
                        M12  Arawashi      3-9  (3)
                        M13
(~)  3-9  Kotoeko       M14  Okinoumi      6-6  (1)
(2)  5-7  Ishiura       M15  Ryuden        6-6  (1)
                        M16  Meisei        4-8  (x)

                        J1   Akiseyama     5-7  (3)
(~)  5-7  Daiamami      J2   Takagenji     5-7  (~)
(1)  8-4  Kotoyuki      J3   Takanoiwa    11-1  (o)
(o) 10-2  Takanosho     J4   Aminishiki    7-5  (3)
(3)  7-5  Daishoho      J5   Hidenoumi     7-5  (3)
                        J6   Kyokushuho    6-6  (x)
(x)  6-6  Tsurugisho    J7


Homarefuji likely punched his ticket to juryo with loss #9 against Hidenoumi today; as iffy as the makushita race has been, it seems almost impossible that they won't find somebody to replace a guy who has 9 losses at J14. Churanoumi continues to hang on by his fingernails after defeating Seiro, while Kizenryu has joined him in banzuke purgatory now, having lost to Aminishiki.

And that's all she wrote about potential demotion candidates - Tokushoryu and Wakatakakage secured their continued juryo presence on Day 12, so we'll be down to just the three active candidates and absent Sokokurai for the last three days of the basho.

Down in makushita it was Irodori who kept his name in the list of potential lucky promotees from outside the top 5, while opponent Sagatsukasa dropped to 3-3.

(o)  5-7  Tokushoryu    J9
(x) kyujo Sokokurai     J10
                        J11
(o)  7-5  Wakatakakage  J12
(~)  3-9  Kizenryu      J13
(x)  3-9  Homarefuji    J14  Churanoumi    4-8  (~)

(o)  6-0  Hakuyozan     Ms1
     3-3  Gokushindo    Ms2  Enho          5-1  (o)
                        Ms3  Kiribayama    3-3
                        Ms4
     3-3  Jokoryu       Ms5  Akua          4-2
                        Ms6  Irodori       4-2
                        Ms7  Toyonoshima   4-2

Nobody is getting sent up from makushita to juryo for Day 13, but the published matches do confirm that Kiribayama and Akua will be appearing up there on either Day 14 or 15. Gokushindo and Jokoryu may be joining them, or alternatively play off for one kachikoshi and possible promotion against each other.

Other than Hakuyozan's yusho decider, none of the listed makushita rikishi will be in action tomorrow.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Juryo yusho race:

11-1 J3w Takanoiwa
10-2 J4e Takanosho
9-3 ---
8-4 J3e Kotoyuki, J13w Tobizaru

The listed four rikishi were all successful on Day 12, while Kokonoe duo Chiyonoo and Chiyonoumi fell to 7-5 and are definitely out of contention now. Of course, the chances for Kotoyuki and Tobizaru are mostly theoretical as well, given the three-win gap to the leader.

Day 13 brings us: Takanoiwa - Tobizaru, Takanosho - Wakatakakage (J12e 7-5), and Kotoyuki - Chiyonoumi (J12w 7-5).


Lower division yusho races:

6-0 Ms1e Hakuyozan (Takadagawa)
6-0 Ms49w Takayoshitoshi (Takanohana)

6-0 Sd11w Kagamio (Kagamiyama)
6-0 Sd47e Kototebakari (Sadogatake)
6-0 Sd91e Sasakiyama (Kise)

6-0 Jd35w Sadanohikari (Sakaigawa)
6-0 Jd46e Kawamoto (Kasugano)
6-0 Jd81e Rao (Tatsunami)

6-0 Jk28e Tsushida (Tokitsukaze)
6-0 Jk29w Roman (Tatsunami)

No surprises here. It's five pairings straight down the ranks, including the cross-divisional matchup between Sasakiyama and Sadanohikari.

Trivia note: Tsushida vs Roman will be the very first match on Day 13. This is only the second time since 1989 that the jonokuchi yusho will be decided in such fashion, following Kyushu 2010. (There was also a 6-0 vs 6-0 opening bout in Haru 1997, but that tournament had three 6-0 rikishi in jonokuchi so it wasn't a yusho decider.)

 

Edited by Asashosakari
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Ex-sekitori through Day 12:

new KK: Akua, Toyonoshima, Tokushinho, Fujiazuma, Asahisho, Chiyootori, Yoshiazuma

new MK: Dewahayate, Sakigake
 

Record   Rank   Shikona Heya Age Out
6-0 Ms1e Hakuyozan Takadagawa 23 1
5-1 Ms2w Enho Miyagino 23 2
kyujo Ms4e Asabenkei Takasago 29 1
3-3 Ms5e Jokoryu Kise 29 13
4-2 Ms5w Akua Tatsunami 27 3
 
kyujo Ms6e Terunofuji Isegahama 26 1
3-3 Ms7e Sagatsukasa Irumagawa 36 26
4-2 Ms7w Toyonoshima Tokitsukaze 35 11
2-4 Ms8w Kitaharima Yamahibiki 31 5
2-4 Ms9w Dewahayate Dewanoumi 29 12
3-3 Ms11w Higonojo Kise 33 25
3-3 Ms12e Tochihiryu Kasugano 31 3
5-1 Ms13e Daiseido Kise 25 4
0-2-4 Ms13w Amakaze Oguruma 27 2
3-3 Ms14e Satoyama Onoe 37 6
5-1 Ms14w Toyohibiki Sakaigawa 33 3
 
4-2 Ms16e Tokushinho Kise 34 16
3-3 Ms17e Chiyoarashi Kokonoe 27 30
5-1 Ms18e Keitenkai Onomatsu 28 35
3-3 Ms22e Nionoumi Yamahibiki 31 30
5-1 Ms22w Tenkaiho Onoe 33 13
2-4 Ms26e Yamaguchi Miyagino 29 3
 
4-2 Ms31e Fujiazuma Tamanoi 31 8
4-2 Ms38e Asahisho Tomozuna 28 7
4-2 Ms41e Chiyootori Kokonoe 25 4
2-4 Ms46w Sakigake Shibatayama 32 21
3-3 Ms47w Takaryu Kise 26 18
6-0 Ms49w Takayoshitoshi Takanohana 21 2
 
6-0 Sd11w Kagamio Kagamiyama 30 13
kyujo Sd13w Masunoyama Chiganoura 27 20
kyujo Sd30w Ura Kise 26 3
4-2 Sd32e Dairaido Takadagawa 38 71
5-1 Sd41e Hitenryu Tatsunami 34 41
4-2 Sd72e Yoshiazuma Tamanoi 41 23
3-3 Sd73e Kaonishiki Azumazeki 39 41

 

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1 hour ago, Asashosakari said:

Nobody is getting sent up from makushita to juryo for Day 13, but the published matches do confirm that Kiribayama and Akua will be appearing up there on either Day 14 or 15. Gokushindo and Jokoryu may be joining them, or alternatively play off for one kachikoshi and possible promotion against each other.

The database is down right this second, but I was wondering how you knew that Kiribayama was for sure going up into Juryo.  I'm guessing he can't face either of Gokushindo or Jokoryu and the next 3-3 down is definitely paired with someone below him, but just can't confirm that right now.

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1 hour ago, Asashosakari said:

Ex-sekitori through Day 12:

new KK: Toyonoshima
 

Record   Rank   Shikona Heya Age Out
3-3 Ms5e Jokoryu Kise 29 13
4-2 Ms7w Toyonoshima Tokitsukaze 35 11
5-1 Ms13e Daiseido Kise 25 4
5-1 Ms14w Toyohibiki Sakaigawa 33 3

 

Jokoryu must win to take advantage of the banzuke luck that could promote him back to Juryo.  This may be Toyonoshima's highest ranking KK since his demotion to Makushita -- can't verify since sumodb is down. Kudos to Daiseido, my "hometown" rikishi!  Toyohibiki rebounds from his recent slide down the banzuke and could be in the promotion queue next basho.

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3 minutes ago, Ack! said:

This may be Toyonoshima's highest ranking KK since his demotion to Makushita -- can't verify since sumodb is down.

I'm fairly sure Toyonoshima was at Ms2 after at least one basho in Makushita and then went kyujo again.

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There’s always Wikipedia when the database is down :-) Toyonoshima went 6-1 at Ms6w in January 2017 which took him up to Ms2e in March, when he was indeed injured and could only manage 1-5-1. 

Edited by ryafuji

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1 hour ago, Gurowake said:

The database is down right this second, but I was wondering how you knew that Kiribayama was for sure going up into Juryo.  I'm guessing he can't face either of Gokushindo or Jokoryu and the next 3-3 down is definitely paired with someone below him, but just can't confirm that right now.

Database is back up and confirms that Kiribayama indeed has already met those two rikishi and there are an even number of unscheduled 3-3s before 2 3-3s set against each other.  Thus his only reasonable opponents are in Juryo, as Asashosakari had determined.

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Day 13 (results, text-only results):

Yusho arasoi:

12-1 Sw Mitakeumi
11-2 ---
10-3 M9w Yutakayama, M13w Asanoyama


    3-3-7 Kakuryu       Y1   Hakuho       3-1-9
    kyujo Kisenosato    Y2
     9-4  Goeido        O1   Takayasu      9-4
                        O2   Tochinoshin  5-2-6

Already-KK Takayasu probably surprised a few people with his high degree of motivation today, including opponent Endo whom he easily dismissed from the dohyo, and watching it live I was already expecting this day to be "the ozeki strike back" - but Mitakeumi was having none of that, not even after Goeido tried some tachiai shenanigans to break his concentration. So, the sekiwake remains two wins clear for the yusho with two days to go, and has assured himself at minimum a playoff appearance. The list of contenders was reduced from four to two with Goeido's departure from the race, along with the outcome of the pursuers' meeting between Yutakayama and Tochiozan. Yutakayama continued his excellent basho and won their match decisively. Asanoyama is the second remaining chaser after defeating Myogiryu in a very spirited bout by both.

The duel for the second Aki basho sekiwake slot heated up courtesy of incumbent Ichinojo dropping to 6-7 against Chiyotairyu while komusubi Tamawashi secured his KK at Kaisei's expense. Ikioi lucked into a default win over elbow-injured Chiyonokuni, is kachikoshi now as well, and took over the lead in the sanyaku promotion race, as Takakeisho (against clever Takarafuji) joined Kaisei in the loss column today. Things remain wide open here, and the possibility of Ichinojo going 6-9 to drop straight to maegashira might get lower-ranked Endo and Chiyotairyu back into the mix, possibly even Yutakayama from way down.

     6-7  Ichinojo      S    Mitakeumi    12-1
     8-5  Tamawashi     K    Shohozan      3-10 (x)

                        M1
     8-5  Ikioi         M2   Chiyonokuni   6-7  (x)
                        M3   Takakeisho    8-5
     8-5  Kaisei        M4
                        M5
     8-5  Endo          M6   Chiyotairyu   8-5
                        M7
                        M8
(x)  8-5  Myogiryu      M9   Yutakayama   10-3

The Day 14 matches were set prior to today's action as usual, and perhaps they might regret their matching-up decisions a bit now: Mitakeumi's final maegashira opponent has been determined as Tochiozan (M13e 9-4) who is no longer in the race, while Asanoyama (M13w 10-3) goes against Endo and the other 10-3 Yutakayama faces ozeki Takayasu. That being said, Tochiozan is certainly by far the most experienced of the three so perhaps he's the right choice anyway.

Ichinojo's sekiwake survival will be at stake in the day's sanyaku matchup with Goeido, while Ikioi and Takakeisho are paired up among the komusubi hopefuls. If Ikioi wins he might well be securing his promotion right there.


Okinoumi and Chiyoshoma appeared overmatched against higher-ranked opponents Kagayaki and Shodai today, and both continue to require one more win for safety. Kotoeko lost for the 10th time and is now certain to be headed back to juryo, joining Meisei who continues to dress up his record a bit, now with 3 wins in his last 4 bouts.

Yoshikaze looked to be in somewhat better spirits than on most previous days, but it still wasn't to be and he dropped to 0-13 when Abi escorted him out of the ring. The day also saw a revitalized Arawashi who had no trouble with Chiyomaru, as well as Ishiura executing some smart sumo in beating Kyokutaisei. Ryuden was successful against Daieisho, coming back from the brink of defeat, and should be safe by the numbers now, however...

...he's currently still in position to end up as the third-worst maegashira if things go completely against him on the final two days, and we do have three credible promotion candidates in juryo now after Kotoyuki earned win #9 against Chiyonoumi today. So, question mark for Ryuden for now. Aminishiki maintained his own hopes for yet another return to the top division; he is kachikoshi now with a shiroboshi over bottom-ranked debutant Churanoumi.

Akiseyama, on the other hand, has fallen out of the race with makekoshi, ending his revival at 5 straight wins after the opening 0-7 series. Four rikishi remain in with a shout for possible lucky promotions if they can win their remaining two bouts, although it's now looking unlikely that enough spots will be opening up.

                        M5   Yoshikaze     0-13 (2)
                        ...
(1)  3-10 Chiyoshoma    M8
                        ...
                        M12  Arawashi      4-9  (2)
                        M13
(x)  3-10 Kotoeko       M14  Okinoumi      6-7  (1)
(1)  6-7  Ishiura       M15  Ryuden        7-6  (?)
                        M16  Meisei        5-8  (x)

                        J1   Akiseyama     5-8  (x)
(~)  6-7  Daiamami      J2   Takagenji     6-7  (~)
(o)  9-4  Kotoyuki      J3   Takanoiwa    12-1  (o)
(o) 11-2  Takanosho     J4   Aminishiki    8-5  (2)
(~)  7-6  Daishoho      J5   Hidenoumi     7-6  (~)

Okinoumi-Arawashi has been scheduled for tomorrow, which will either leave Okinoumi safe and Arawashi demotable, or both entering senshuraku on the bubble. Yoshikaze meets lowest-ranked Meisei.


Churanoumi's loss against Aminishiki means that his last remaining survival hopes are now toast. Kizenryu can perhaps still make some magic happen after today's hard-fought win over Daishoho. (It would only be appropriate if he enjoyed some banzuke luck in juryo for once, considering his very first basho ended in one of the very few unusually large demotions we've seen over the past 20 years.)

Not much action in high makushita as mentioned yesterday. Hakuyozan did secure the 7-0 yusho against recent sekitori Takayoshitoshi; he's the first one to win the title from the top rank since Oniarashi back in Hatsu 2013, and depending on how the banzuke shakes out he might find himself up at a single-digit rank for Aki, high enough to avoid major demotion headaches.

(x) kyujo Sokokurai     J10
                        J11
                        J12
(~)  4-9  Kizenryu      J13
(x)  3-10 Homarefuji    J14  Churanoumi    4-9  (x)

(o)  7-0  Hakuyozan     Ms1
     3-3  Gokushindo    Ms2  Enho          5-1  (o)
                        Ms3  Kiribayama    3-3
                        Ms4
     3-3  Jokoryu       Ms5  Akua          4-2
                        Ms6  Irodori       4-2
                        Ms7  Toyonoshima   4-2

Chiyonokuni's Day 13 withdrawal demonstrates why it's always required to "reserve" at least two makushita rikishi for weekend fill-in duty even if there's no projected need for them. We're now back to an odd number of active sekitori for Days 14 and 15 (barring another kyujo), so at least one visitor will be going up each day. For Day 14 it's Kiribayama - after facing J12e Wakatakakage in his most recent match, he's meeting J12w Chiyonoumi (7-6) this time, with the winner clinching his kachikoshi. Could have been easier for the talented Mongolian...

And again there's not much relevant makushita action for the day. Aside from Kiribayama, the schedule only includes Enho's final match (against ex-juryo Ms13e Daiseido), but that won't have any effect on the promotion race, of course.

Given the already plentiful number of demotable juryo rikishi, my guess is that Akua will be making up the juryo numbers on senshuraku, while Gokushindo and Jokoryu will have their KK/MK decider against each other in makushita. Can Gokushindo break out of his year-long 6-1 -> 3-4 alternating pattern?

Last not least, the final pairings for the two possible lucky contenders should be Irodori vs Ms9e Tamaki, and Toyonoshima vs Ms12w Shiba.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Juryo yusho race:

12-1 J3w Takanoiwa
11-2 J4e Takanosho
10-3 ---

Another day, another pair of wins for the two rikishi out in front. Kotoyuki did win to go to 9-4, but Takanoiwa had already eliminated him from the race at that point by getting his 12th straight victory (against the other pursuer Tobizaru). Takanosho for his part defeated Wakatakakage today.

With Takanoiwa and Takanosho having met on Day 1 already, this is now a yusho race by proxy and it'll be up to their last couple of opponents to influence who wins it all. Takanosho goes first on Day 14, facing Shimanoumi (J8e 6-7), then later it's Takanoiwa's turn on the dohyo against Mitoryu (J11w 7-6). Will the championship be decided early or do we move on to senshuraku with it still up for grabs?


Lower division yusho races (Day 13 results and links to video where available):

7-0 Ms1e Hakuyozan (Takadagawa)
6-1 Ms49w Takayoshitoshi (Takanohana)

7-0 Sd11w Kagamio (Kagamiyama)
6-1 Sd47e Kototebakari (Sadogatake)
7-0 Sd91e Sasakiyama (Kise)

6-1 Jd35w Sadanohikari (Sakaigawa)
6-1 Jd46e Kawamoto (Kasugano)
7-0 Jd81e Rao (Tatsunami)

7-0 Jk28e Tsushida (Tokitsukaze)
6-1 Jk29w Roman (Tatsunami)

Nice match of two young talents between 23-year-old Hakuyozan and 21-year-old Takayoshitoshi, in which the higher-ranked former sekitori prevailed. Congrats to Hakuyozan, hopefully it turns out that his rather disastrous juryo debut two months ago was just a blip. Takayoshitoshi will be returning to about Ms20 for Aki basho, so still low enough that even a successful yusho quest won't see him back in juryo before 2019.

The sandanme and jonidan deciders saw the veterans come out in force. Makushita-sandanme elevator guy Rao weathered the early storm of Kawamoto's pushing attack before he turned the tables and ended the match quickly afterwards. Former top high schooler and makushita regular Sasakiyama got past his opponent's defenses right from the tachiai and proceeded to muscle Sadanohikari past the tawara. And last not least, ex-maegashira Kagamio proved a little bit too...clever?...for top rookie Kototebakari. Rao has already taken the jonidan title with these results, while Kagamio and Sasakiyama will be contesting the sandanme championship in a Day 15 playoff now. They have fought twice before - once in 2011 prior to Kagamio becoming sekitori, and once more in 2016 after he had dropped back out of the paid ranks. Kagamio won both meetings.

Rao and Kawamoto will be moving to lower-mid sandanme, where they just might still be underranked enough to be yusho contenders again in two months' time. Sadanohikari, by contrast, goes back to his usual stomping grounds in the upper middle of the division. Kagamio returns to the extended makushita promotion zone immediately after missing the last one and a half tournaments, while Sasakiyama will find himself in low makushita, a year after his career was derailed by injury. Kototebakari has secured his debut in makushita despite missing out on the zensho record. (And might be meeting Sasakiyama there next time.) Fellow talents Naya and Hoshoryu may be joining him, they'll need to win their last bout (today and tomorrow respectively) to finish 6-1 as well.

And finally, victory in the lowest division went to Tsushida. He's known from high school sumo, but arguably wasn't a star there; our very own mikawa ranked him M10e (= #27 equivalent) on last year's high school circuit. He'll probably sail through high jonidan without too many problems next time, but I'm not sure he'll factor into the yusho race again. Roman, who's two years younger, showed some promise in this basho, but will probably be more of a long-term project. High-profile middle schooler Tanakayama, arguably the best-known name in this small May shindeshi class, lost to Tsushida on Day 3, but will probably be taking over the lead on the banzuke before too long. He's 5-1 right now, likely to finish 6-1.

(By the way, is it just me or does Tsushida look about 28 years old, rather than 19?)

Edited by Asashosakari
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On 7/19/2018 at 18:26, ryafuji said:

There’s always Wikipedia when the database is down :-) Toyonoshima went 6-1 at Ms6w in January 2017 which took him up to Ms2e in March, when he was indeed injured and could only manage 1-5-1. 

Well, I guess I'll have to settle for his best performance in the last year and a half.  I keep hoping for his return and am searching for any sign of it.

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Sanyaku race on senshuraku seems straightforward.  Takakeisho is definitely ahead of Kaisei, and should be ahead of Ikioi with one more win, and also should be ahead of Yutakayama even if it's possible they have the same by-the-numbers position since Takakeisho had (what passes for) a full joi schedule.  Thus, Takakaisho gets the open Komusubi spot with a win or Ikioi loss to Kaisei. 

Even easier for Sekiwake: Ichinojo keeps his spot with a win, otherwise it goes to Tamawashi.

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Since we've seen that they will not reorder Sekiwake with different records who both KK, I wonder if they will stick to that if Ichinojo wins his last match.  I mean, how can you not move the guy with the Yusho to the east side?  I hope Ichinojo loses just so I don't have to think about it.

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21 minutes ago, Gurowake said:

Since we've seen that they will not reorder Sekiwake with different records who both KK, I wonder if they will stick to that if Ichinojo wins his last match.  I mean, how can you not move the guy with the Yusho to the east side?  I hope Ichinojo loses just so I don't have to think about it.

A sekiwake is a sekiwake is a sekiwake.  Careerwise, a rikishi's position within the group makes no difference.  The angst of demoting a KK rikishi overcomes the desire to shuffle the members within the group based on win/loss records..

Edited by Asojima

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5 minutes ago, Asojima said:

A sekiwake is a sekiwake is a sekiwake.  Careerwise, a rikishi's position within the group makes no difference.  The angst of demoting a KK rikishi overcomes the desire to shuffle the members within the group based on win/loss records..

Maybe, but that's a pretty new mindset. Hasn't been that way for eons.

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1 hour ago, Asojima said:

A sekiwake is a sekiwake is a sekiwake.  Careerwise, a rikishi's position within the group makes no difference.  The angst of demoting a KK rikishi overcomes the desire to shuffle the members in the group based on win/loss records..

Willing to bet the farm and drive the stake that Mitakeumi will be Sekiwake East next basho, regardless of Ichinojou's KKing or not.

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