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Sakura

Break The Curse (The Nigate Game) Nagoya 2018

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Sakura    333

Standings after Day 13

Only 4 points separate the top 3...

Name Base Pts Bonus Pts Total
Tenshinhan 102 96 198
Unkonoyama 89 108 197
chishafuwaku 94 100 194
shimodahito 97 88 185
Jakusotsu 81 92 173
Achiyama 85 88 173
ChickyStarr 82 88 170
Sakura 90 76 166
Gaijingai 76 88 164
Gansekiiwa 74 84 158
RaeucherLax 78 78 156
kuroimori 71 84 155
wolfgangho 74 80 154
gernobono 66 80 146
Senkoho 62 78 140
WAKATAKE 65 64 129
Pandaazuma 10 12 22

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Sakura    333
Posted (edited)

Entries received Day 14

Jakusotsu Tamawashi Aoiyama Okinoumi
WAKATAKE Tamawashi Asanoyama Ishiura
Senkoho Tamawashi Kaisei Daishomaru
gernobono Tamawashi Daishomaru Takarafuji
shimodahito Tamawashi Ishiura Okinoumi
wolfgangho Tamawashi Daishomaru Chiyomaru
RaeucherLax Tamawashi Nishikigi Asanoyama
Sakura Shohozan Ishiura Nishikigi
ChickyStarr Tamawashi Kaisei Okinoumi
Gaijingai Tamawashi Nishikigi Okinoumi
Tenshinhan Tamawashi Nishikigi Okinoumi
chishafuwaku Shohozan Asanoyama Nishikigi
kuroimori Tamawashi - Ishiura
Achiyama Tamawashi Ishiura Nishikigi
Ganskeiiwa Tamawashi Nishikigi Ishiura
Unkonoyama Tamawashi Nishikigi Okinoumi

 

@Senkoho has once again offered very kindly to post the Day 15 entry form.

Edited by Sakura
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Sakura    333

Standings after Day 14

Name Base Pts Bonus Pts Total
Tenshinhan 104 100 204
Unkonoyama 91 112 203
chishafuwaku 96 104 200
shimodahito 99 92 191
Jakusotsu 84 100 184
ChickyStarr 84 92 176
Achiyama 85 88 173
Gaijingai 78 92 170
Sakura 90 76 166
RaeucherLax 80 82 162
wolfgangho 75 84 159
Gansekiiwa 74 84 158
kuroimori 71 84 155
gernobono 67 84 151
Senkoho 63 82 145
WAKATAKE 67 68 135
Pandaazuma 10 12 22

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Senkoho    532

Entries received Day 15

I'm sorry it's not a neat table but I'm on mobile and in a hurry:

Unkonoyama: Goeido, Shohozan, Sadanoumi 

Gaijingai: Goeido, Ikioi, Tamawashi 

Gansekiiwa: Shohozan, Ikioi, Okinoumi

chishafuwaku: Goeido, Ikioi, Okinoumi 

shimodahito: Tamawashi, Kotoeko, Chiyomaru 

Kuroimori: Tamawashi, Ikioi, Okinoumi 

Achiyama: Shohozan, Ikioi, Chiyotairyu 

RaeucherLax: Goeido, Ikioi, Chiyomaru 

Tenshinhan: Goeido, Shohozan, Tamawashi 

Sakura: Goeido, Shohozan, Tamawashi 

gernobono: Tamawashi, Ikioi, Chiyomaru 

WAKATAKE: Goeido, Takakeisho, Okinoumi 

ChickyStarr: Tamawashi, Shohozan, Sadanoumi 

Jakusotsu: Tamawashi, Ikioi, Takakeisho 

Senkoho: Goeido, Shohozan, Tamawashi 

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Sakura    333
Posted (edited)

Thanks again to @Senkoho for the Day 15 entry form and to everyone for playing. It has been my pleasure.

The Results

The Final Standings

Name Base Pts Bonus Pts Total W-L
Unkonoyama 101 120 221 15-0
Tenshinhan 113 104 217 13-2
chishafuwaku 106 110 216 11-4
shimodahito 99 92 191 9-6
Jakusotsu 85 104 189 8-7
Gaijingai 87 96 183 8-7
ChickyStarr 85 96 181 8-7
Sakura 99 80 179 8-7
RaeucherLax 89 86 175 8-7
Achiyama 85 88 173 8-7
Gansekiiwa 75 86 161 7-8
wolfgangho 75 84 159 7-8
kuroimori 72 86 158 7-8
Senkoho 72 86 158 7-8
WAKATAKE 78 78 156 7-8
gernobono 67 84 151 7-8
Pandaazuma 10 12 22 1-14

 

In the end it came down to M9+ pick. @Unkonoyama chose Sadanoumi (small point gain with something to fight for), whereas Tenshinhan chose Tamawashi (large point gain with nothing to fight for).

So, the Yusho goes to Unkonoyama. His/her first. Congratulations.

Tenshinhan misses out by a whisker and gets the Jun-Yusho.

SPECIAL PRIZES

The Kanto-sho (Highest Bonus pts) goes to Unkonoyama with 120.

The Shukun-sho (Highest Base pts) goes to Tenshinhan with 113.

The Gino-sho (Highest Base pt per winning rikishi) goes to Sakura with 4.95. This is much lower than the Gino score of 6.5+ we've had recently and indicative of the low scoring this time.

You'll notice that the W-L records have been skewed slightly due to Pandaazuma's early exit. I'll have to come up with a method of adjusting for that next time. In the mean time, those records above stand.

YOKOZUNA PERFORMANCE

Yokozuna Sakura scored an 8-7, which I'm sure would have been an 8-7 without the skewing. Not the best performance, but at least a K-K. It should be noted that Sakura has never had a M-K in this game.

OZEKI WATCH

Shokikogi was on an Ozeki run, but was KOSHO and will still be on the run next time.

Pandaazuma dropped out and has the Ozeki run come to an end.

Achiyama needed just an 8-7. As you can see, Achiyama was the last person to get an 8-7. In all honesty, I feel he was benefitted by Pandaazuma's withdrawal. I think that would have been a 7-8 without the skewing. However, since this is the method that I was using prior to the basho, this is what we have. Achiyama only needed an 8-7 to be promoted and Achiyama is BTC's 2nd ever Ozeki. Congratulations!

He certainly deserves it. Before this tournament he most recently had a Yusho and Jun-Yusho back to back.

Congratulations to all winners.

Edited by Sakura
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Jakusotsu    2,116
11 minutes ago, Sakura said:

You'll notice that the W-L records have been skewed slightly due to Pandaazuma's early exit. I'll have to come up with a method of adjusting for that next time. In the mean time, those records above stand.

Bad, bad Panda! (No,no,no...)

Many thanks for running the game! I has become one of my favourite.

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ChickyStarr    10

Thanks for another great month, Sakura.  This game works so well because you roll out the entry forms, picks sheets, and standings at a consistent time each and every day.

Also, thanks to all for keeping spoilers off these BTC threads.  I like to checks the pick distributions each morning before I watch the highlights, and I don't have to worry about stumbling across results.

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Jakusotsu    2,116
On 23.7.2018 at 08:17, Sakura said:

You'll notice that the W-L records have been skewed slightly due to Pandaazuma's early exit. I'll have to come up with a method of adjusting for that next time. In the mean time, those records above stand.

I tackled the problem by applying the same method we use for Tipspiel (aka DST): calculate the average score for each day independently using only those players who actually made a pick, and then add up these averages to determine a "KK-Line". (182.818 points for the current basho)

Then take the score of the winner (221 points) as benchmark for 15 wins and graduate the other players accordingly:
( 221 - 182.818) / 7 = 5.455 , so the number of wins for each player is their points-difference to the KK-Line in multiples of 5.455

This is how the results for this basho would look like using that method:

Unkonoyama      221   15-0
Tenshinhan      217   14-1
chishafuwaku    216   14-1
shimodahito     191    9-6
Jakusotsu       189    9-6
Gaijingai       183    8-7
KK-Line---------182.818 
ChickyStarr     181    7-8
Sakura          179    7-8
RaeucherLax     175    6-9
Achiyama        173    6-9
Gansekiiwa      161    4-11
wolfgangho      159    3-12
kuroimori       158    3-12
Senkoho         158    3-12
WAKATAKE        156    3-12
gernobono       151    2-13
Pandaazuma       22    0-15

You could add some fine-tuning by postulating required levels for achieving 15-0. For instance, in Tipspiel a leader with less than 160 points gets a 14-1 (and the divider in the formula above is reduced to 6), with less than 150 points a 13-2, and with less than 140 points a 12-3 result (changing the dividers accordingly).

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Sakura    333
20 hours ago, Jakusotsu said:

Mathematics

It's interesting. How many players does Tipspiel have? 

I like having results not so clustered around 8-7. However, I'm not sure about having 5 players above the KK line and 11 players below. I suppose one way to grade performance would be to calculate the maximum score available. There are some days where none of the possible picks manage to score points. It seems unfair to punish players when there are just no points to be had. 

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Jakusotsu    2,116
1 hour ago, Sakura said:

I suppose one way to grade performance would be to calculate the maximum score available.

I did that, too. And even if you accumulate the maximum score actually *achieved* on each day, the value is much too high to yield proper results (i.e. a distribution between 10-5 and 6-9).

(68 players currently in Tipspiel, split into three groups)

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Sakura    333
Posted (edited)

Finally the new banzuke

Sakura (Ye 8-7) Y  
  O Achiyama (Se 8-7)
Unkonoyama (M4w 15-0) S Tenshinhan (M2e 13-2)
Shokikogi (Ke KOSHO) K Gaijingai (Kw 8-7)
ChickyStarr (M1w 8-7) M1 chishafuwaku (M6w 11-4)
Jakusotsu (M2w 8-7) M2 Gansekiiwa (M1e 7-8)
RaeucherLax (M3w 8-7) M3 kuroimori (M3e 7-8)
shimodahito (M7e 9-6) M4 gernobono (M4e 7-8)
Suwihuto (M5e KOSHO) M5 Senkoho (M5w 7-8)
WAKATAKE (M6e 7-8) M6 wolfgangho (Mz 7-8)
Pandaazuma (Sw 1-14) M7  

 

Including our new Ozeki Achiyama. 

A new W-L method based on Jakusotu's idea will be employed for Aki.

Edited by Sakura
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Achiyama    512

Thanks Rijicho Sakura for promoting me to Ozeki.

I enjoy playing BTC game. It deserves more Gamers to try it.

I will try to play it hard in the future and maintain my high ranking.

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