Asashosakari

Heisei Hopefuls - prospect watch

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And catching up again...

Tier 1:

Daieisho appears to have established himself in the makushita high ranks, although he didn't quite go all the way to KK this time. He'll be yielding the top spot to Isegahama hopeful Terutsuyoshi who went 5-2 and continues his steady improvement.

My #3 pick as the most noteworthy result of the basho is makushita rookie Onosho's 5-2. Looks like the 17-year-old middle school star has yet to find his wall, but I suspect the "heat" will be on soon now. His fellow divisional newcomer Hakuyozan also finished in KK territory with 4 wins (coming from 1-3), while Takakasuga has debuted with a 2-5.

In other news Mitoyutaka scored a final-bout kachikoshi at his career high rank, Tatsu continues to rebound with his third straight KK (after dropping through half the division with back-to-back-to-back 3-4's), Sasanoyama finally found his parachute after going 3-11 in July and September, and Kaidonami had a basho to forget and finished winless.

Heisei Hopefuls for Kyushu 2013 - Tier 1: Top Talents - current yardstick: Chiyootori (1992/10/11, debut 2008.05, shin-juryo 2012.03)

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.01

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

Daieisho Oitekaze 1993/11/10 (8) 2012.01 Ms8 Ms33e 2-5 Ms49e 3-4 Sd7w 7-0 Y Ms11w 3-4 Ms17w 5-2 Ms8w 3-4
Terutsuyoshi Isegahama 1995/01/17 (4) 2010.03 Ms19 Ms56w 4-3 Ms46e 6-1 Ms19w 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms35w 5-2 Ms19e 5-2
Goshi Arashio 1993/10/05 (9) 2011.11 Ms7 Sd19w 3-4 Sd34e 6-1 Ms45e 3-1-3 Ms55e 7-0 Y Ms7e 2-5 Ms19w 2-5
Mitoyutaka Nishikido 1993/04/08 (12) 2009.03 Ms21 Ms40e 4-3 Ms31e 3-3-1 Ms41w 4-3 Ms34w 4-3 Ms28e 4-3 Ms21e 4-3
Akinokawa Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (16) 2008.03 Ms26 Ms38w 3-4 Ms45w 3-4 Sd1w 3-4 Sd13e 5-2 Ms53e 6-1 Ms26w 2-5
Tatsu Takadagawa 1994/06/01 (6) 2010.03 Ms11 Ms16e 3-4 Ms21w 3-4 Ms33e 3-4 Ms44e 4-3 Ms38e 4-3 Ms29w 5-2
Kaidonami Tatsunami 1993/07/08 (10) 2009.03 Ms20 Sd20e 6-1 Ms43w 5-2 Ms25w 4-3 Ms20e 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms34e 0-7
Masunosho Chiganoura 1994/11/14 (5) 2010.03 Ms18 Ms44w 6-1 Ms18e 3-4 Ms28e 4-3 Ms23e 2-5 Ms40e 3-4 Ms46w 2-5
Sasanoyama Kise 1992/12/30 (15) 2011.05 Ms12 Ms58e 4-3 Ms50e 5-2 Ms29w 6-1 Ms12w 2-5 Ms24e 1-6 Ms50e 5-2
Onosho Onomatsu 1996/07/04 (1) 2013.01 Ms54 Mz 3-1 Jk7e 6-1 Jd17e 6-1 Sd55e 6-1 Sd3w 4-3 Ms54w 5-2
Hakuyozan Takadagawa 1995/04/13 (3) 2011.05 Ms56 Jd31e 6-1 Sd64w 5-2 Sd33w 5-2 Sd7e 3-4 Sd19e 5-2 Ms56e 4-3
Takakasuga Kasugayama 1993/03/06 (13) 2011.07 Ms60 Sd45e 2-5 Sd68e 4-3 Sd50e 4-3 Sd34w 5-2 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 2-5
Meisei Tatsunami 1995/07/24 (2) 2011.05 Ms51 Ms59w 4-3 Ms51e 3-4 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59w 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4
Kotodaigo Sadogatake 1993/01/14 (14) 2011.05 Ms27 Sd23e 3-4 Sd38w 4-3 Sd23e 3-4 Sd37w 3-4 Sd54e 6-1 Sd3w 3-4
Akinoyama Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (16) 2008.03 Ms47 Sd28e 6-1 Ms47e 3-4 Sd3e 4-3 Ms53w 0-2-5 Sd30w 5-2 Sd6e 3-4
Aonosho Dewanoumi 1993/06/03 (11) 2009.03 Ms50 Sd12w 5-2 Ms50w 2-5 Sd19w 4-3 Sd7w 2-5 Sd31w 5-2 Sd7e 4-3
Tsurubayashi Kise 1993/12/31 (7) 2009.03 Ms33 Ms42w 4-3 Ms33e 2-5 Ms60e 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd12e 6-1

Just like last basho we're going to be joined by three newbies:

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.01

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

Ohara Shikoroyama 1993/12/14 2009.03 Sd8 Sd59e 5-2 Sd31e 2-5 Sd62w 6-1 Sd8w 3-4 Sd21e 4-3 Sd9e 4-3
Shinohara Onomatsu 1993/08/21 2012.01 Sd10 Sd56w 4-3 Sd38e 2-5 Sd66w 3-4 Sd80w 6-1 Sd22w 4-3 Sd10e 4-3
Baraki Shikihide 1994/05/10 2013.01 Sd89 Mz 3-2 Jk10e 6-1 Jd24e 5-2 Sd89w 3-4 Jd10e 4-3 Sd90w 7-0 D

Hey, it's the undersized Irish guy and his improved cybernetic double New Ohara. Don't believe me? Shinohara leads their head-to-head 4-0. ;-) More seriously though: I'm sure most people watching the lower divisions have seen Ohara before, as he has a penchant for spectacular throws against much bigger opponents. Like many rikishi with that physique and technique profile he'll probably find makushita to be tough going, although so far his career has progressed pretty much according to plan for a mid-tier middle school prospect with about two and a half years taken until sandanme and another two and a half to makushita.

Shinohara also isn't exactly a heavyweight, but at about 180 cm in height he's got a much better frame to work with, so even though he's the same age as Ohara I suspect he's the significantly better prospect. A high school grad, he's only two years into his career and has gone kachikoshi 8 times in 11 tournaments so far. Kimarite-wise he's a very straight-forward rikishi, with about 40% oshi, 25% yori and the rest the usual assortment of basic throws and slapdowns. Nothing fancy, but very effective up to now.

Incoming number 3 is an even more recent addition to the Kyokai's ranks, but arguably already the most well-known of the trio: Baraki is even shorter than Ohara, but sports quite a massive build and consequently also prefers a much more offensive style of sumo. Well, it's hard to argue with the results. :-) His Kyushu 7-0 was of course a bit fluky as these results always tend to be, and makushita is probably coming at least half a year too early, but he's certainly a prospect very much worth following.

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Tier 2:

A potential breakout performance by former top high school performer Masunoumi, who saw his quest for a zensho-yusho only stopped by ex-maegashira Tosayutaka in the final round. Masunoumi has been a mainstay in the Ms10-Ms20 area for two full years now, but has struggled to post back-to-back KKs and break out of the pack; perhaps it's finally his time now.

Other notable results include the 6-1 by Tochimaru (another strong high schooler, one class year below Masunoumi), and lanky Onami's 4-3 near his career high. That's about it.

Heisei Hopefuls for Kyushu 2013 - Tier 2: Promising Youngsters - Age 21 and under

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.01

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

Masunoumi Chiganoura 1991/11/12 (28) 2010.01 Ms9 Ms12w 3-4 Ms16w 4-3 Ms11w 2-5 Ms28w 3-4 Ms37e 5-2 Ms21w 6-1
Kotoeko Sadogatake 1991/11/20 (27) 2007.03 Ms26 Sd2w 5-2 Ms40w 4-3 Ms31w 3-4 Ms42w 5-2 Ms26w 3-4 Ms33e 2-5
Onami Arashio 1991/12/29 (25) 2009.11 Ms31 Ms52e 2-5 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59w 2-5 Sd18e 5-2 Ms57e 5-2 Ms36w 4-3
Matsumoto Shikoroyama 1992/03/10 (23) 2007.03 Ms16 Ms31w 3-4 Ms38w 4-3 Ms28w 5-2 Ms16w 2-5 Ms30w 2-5 Ms47e 4-3
Aiyama Kitanoumi 1992/03/23 (22) 2007.03 Ms52 Sd36e 5-2 Sd8w 3-4 Sd24e 4-3 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 4-3 Ms52e 1-6
Tochimaru Kasugano 1992/08/26 (18) 2011.05 Ms36 Ms45w 4-3 Ms37w 3-4 Ms50e 4-3 Ms43e 4-3 Ms36w 2-5 Ms52w 6-1
Tomisakae Isegahama 1992/04/11 (21) 2008.03 Ms50 Sd45w 5-2 Sd17e 4-3 Sd7e 4-3 Ms56w 4-3 Ms50w 3-4 Sd4w 2-5
Kotofukuju Sadogatake 1991/12/14 (26) 2007.03 Ms17 Ms18w 2-5 Ms31w 3-4 Ms42e 3-4 Ms50e 0-0-7 Sd32w 5-2 Sd8w 4-3
Hakunishiki Kasugayama 1992/01/13 (24) 2007.03 Ms38 Sd7w 3-4 Sd20e 5-2 Ms56w 5-2 Ms39w 2-5 Sd2w 3-4 Sd13e 5-2
Wakayama Onomatsu 1992/04/26 (20) 2011.07 Ms56 Sd75w 5-2 Sd45w 2-5 Sd74w 5-2 Sd42e 6-1 Ms56w 1-6 Sd32e 4-3
Kinunonami Tatsunami 1992/08/13 (19) 2008.03 Ms31 Sd78w 0-0-7 Jd38w 6-1 Y Sd72w 5-2 Sd41e 5-2 Sd17e 2-5 Sd44e 0-0-7

With Masunoumi, Kotoeko, Onami and Kotofukuju this section is suffering another big transfer loss to the next tier.

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Tier 3:

It wasn't the 1-6 drubbing he received in his first attempt at the promotion zone, but heavy Kawanari missed out on the juryo debut again, this time in agonizing fashion by dropping to 3-4 in his final bout. The 1-6 spot was picked up by Dewanoumi talent Kairyu instead (himself a last-bout 3-4 victim in September) as he finished a very up-and-down year that also featured two 6-1's.

That left it to much-watched Ishiura to produce the star result of the basho; he finished off his first pro year with a 6-1 for an impressive 31-4 total and breaks into the top 15 ranks. The only other truly noteworthy performances were produced by Mankajo, Chiyosakae and Matsubayama who all went 4-3 at career-best positions.

Heisei Hopefuls for Kyushu 2013 - Tier 3: Still Worth Watching - Age 23 and under

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.01

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

Kawanari Oguruma 1991/07/07 (31) 2007.03 Ms1 Ms5e 4-3 Ms1w 1-6 Ms14w 5-2 Ms9e 4-3 Ms8e 5-2 Ms3e 3-4
Kairyu Dewanoumi 1990/03/01 (48) 2005.03 Ms3 Ms20e 6-1 Ms8e 2-5 Ms18e 4-3 Ms15e 6-1 Ms3w 3-4 Ms7e 1-6
Nishikigi Isenoumi 1990/08/25 (39) 2006.03 Ms3 Ms3e 3-4 Ms6e 2-5 Ms14e 5-2 Ms8w 3-4 Ms15e 4-3 Ms10e 3-4
Takatoshi Takanohana 1990/04/19 (44) 2009.01 Ms10 Ms26w 4-3 Ms19w 4-3 Ms13w 4-3 Ms10w 3-4 Ms17e 4-3 Ms13e 3-4
Mankajo Kasugayama 1990/02/10 (49) 2005.03 Ms15 Sd9w 6-1 Ms34w 4-3 Ms24w 4-3 Ms18e 3-4 Ms25e 5-2 Ms15e 4-3
Kotokobai Sadogatake 1991/03/31 (34) 2006.03 Ms17 Ms25e 3-4 Ms30w 3-4 Ms41e 5-2 Ms28e 4-3 Ms23e 4-3 Ms17w 2-5
Ishiura Miyagino 1990/01/10 (51) 2013.01 Ms25 Mz 3-0 Jk6w 7-0 Y Jd8w 7-0 Y Sd17w 6-1 Ms41e 5-2 Ms25w 6-1
Sasakiyama Kise 1991/06/12 (33) 2010.01 Ms19 Ms27w 3-4 Ms34e 2-5 Sd1e 6-1 Ms30e 5-2 Ms19w 3-4 Ms26e 4-3
Daishoryu Oitekaze 1989/12/29 (52) 2005.09 Ms29 Ms37e 1-6 Ms58w 5-2 Ms35e 2-5 Ms53e 5-2 Ms37w 4-3 Ms29e 3-4
Komanokuni Shibatayama 1990/06/29 (42) 2006.03 Ms30 Sd62w 4-3 Sd43w 6-1 Ms55e 5-2 Ms38e 3-4 Ms48e 5-2 Ms30e 3-4
Chiyosakae Kokonoe 1990/07/12 (41) 2009.01 Ms32 Ms37w 2-5 Ms56w 4-3 Ms46w 5-2 Ms32e 3-4 Ms42e 4-3 Ms32e 4-3
Nogami Oguruma 1990/08/15 (40) 2009.01 Ms15 Ms41e 4-3 Ms32e 4-3 Ms23e 5-2 Ms15w 1-6 Ms44w 4-3 Ms35w 4-3
Takageppo Takanohana 1990/04/19 (44) 2009.01 Ms14 Ms14w 2-5 Ms26w 4-3 Ms21e 2-5 Ms38w 4-3 Ms31e 3-2-2 Ms37w 4-3
Chiyoshoma Kokonoe 1991/07/20 (29) 2009.05 Ms25 Ms34w 3-4 Ms41e 4-3 Ms32e 4-3 Ms25e 3-4 Ms33w 3-4 Ms40e 5-2
Toyononami Tatsunami 1990/11/06 (36) 2010.11 Ms34 Sd3e 3-4 Sd12w 6-1 Ms34e 2-5 Ms51w 5-2 Ms34w 3-4 Ms41w 4-3
Takamisato Azumazeki 1990/03/30 (47) 2005.03 Ms43 Sd33w 4-3 Sd16w 5-2 Ms52e 3-4 Sd1w 4-3 Ms52w 4-3 Ms43w 3-4
Daishoiwa Oitekaze 1990/10/29 (37) 2006.03 Ms36 Sd8e 3-4 Sd20w 5-2 Ms57e 2-5 Sd16w 4-3 Sd6e 5-2 Ms44w 3-4
Matsubayama Kasugayama 1991/06/13 (32) 2007.03 Ms46 Sd30w 5-2 Sd4e 1-6 Sd41e 6-1 Ms54e 3-4 Sd7e 5-2 Ms46e 4-3
Sasayama Kise 1990/01/14 (50) 2008.03 Ms47 Ms60e 4-3 Ms52w 1-6 Sd30e 4-3 Sd17e 5-2 Ms55w 4-3 Ms47w 3-4
Tsurunoumi Takadagawa 1990/10/13 (38) 2006.03 Ms54 Sd49e 1-6 Sd78e 5-2 Sd45w 4-3 Sd29w 4-3 Sd17w 5-2 Ms54e 1-6
Amatsu Onomatsu 1990/04/03 (46) 2009.01 Ms27 Sd3w 5-2 Ms42w 3-4 Ms58w 6-1 Ms27e 2-5 Ms46e 3-4 Ms58e 3-4
Shibahara Kise 1989/11/28 (53) 2010.01 Ms46 Sd41w 3-4 Sd56w 4-3 Sd38e 4-3 Sd20w 6-1 Ms46w 3-4 Ms59e 5-2
Oazuma Tamanoi 1990/05/10 (43) 2006.05 Ms53 Sd6w 3-4 Sd18e 5-2 Ms53w 3-4 Sd3w 4-3 Ms54e 3-4 Sd8e 3-4
Kotokensei Sadogatake 1991/01/06 (35) 2006.03 Ms43 Sd58e 4-3 Sd40w 5-2 Sd13w 0-0-7 Sd73w 4-3 Sd55w 4-3 Sd37e 4-3
Daijo Takadagawa 1991/07/19 (30) 2007.03 Ms53 Ms53e 1-6 Sd19w 2-5 Sd47w 5-2 Sd21e 3-4 Sd37e 2-5 Sd64w 3-4

Daishoryu and Shibahara have turned 24 and have had to say goodbye. Daishoryu might be back briefly as a Tier 4 rikishi later (though he's unlikely to be a future sekitori), while Shibahara is probably done as a prospect. He does go out on a high note with a 5-2 that has secured him a new high rank for Hatsu.

One newcomer here in our traditionally largest section, and it's another rikishi with a collegiate history:

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.01

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

Koba Kise 1991/03/12 2013.03 Sd11 [/td2][td2]Mz 2-0 Jk6e 6-1 Jd26w 6-1 Sd64w 6-1 Sd11w 6-1

Koba's alma mater Kyushu Joho has turned into a pretty successful sumo program over the last five years or so, and he was one of their top rikishi while he was there (co-captain, I think), although he didn't attain any really major heights in individual competition. So far he's done just about what one should expect from a good second-tier college guy, the hard part will start now.

His sumo does look fairly well-rounded and competent from what I've seen, but I'm a bit skeptical about his upside, especially as Kise-beya hasn't exactly excelled in taking their many college rikishi to the next level. His four losses have come against Mongolian high school talent Daishoho (twice), 36-year-old makushita veteran Tenichi and freshly retired ex-makuuchi Hochiyama. These four are probably all at least lower makushita in quality, and looking at the rest of his torikumi of the last couple of tournaments I'd say he has faced about three or four more opponents of that level, so let's say he's been about 50/50 against mid-low makushita in limited opportunities. My guess is that mid-makushita in the upcoming Hatsu basho will already be pretty wallish for him.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Tier 4:

Another promotion zone 3-4 here, but Irie was already makekoshi after Day 9 so he did well to avoid tumbling down the rankings with 5 or 6 losses. Some pretty good news came from other rikishi, as Kansei (arguably the most improved rikishi of the year!) and Fukugoriki both scored 5-2 records at their career highs and will enter the promotion zone for the first time.

Tier 4 newcomer (and prospect returnee after a brief absence) Iwasaki also finished kachikoshi at his best rank with 4 wins, while Kyokutaisei who came directly from Tier 3 scored a 3-4.

Heisei Hopefuls for Kyushu 2013 - Tier 4: Last Chance Saloon - Ms15+ Age 25 and under

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.01

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

Irie Tamanoi 1988/07/15 (65) 2011.05 Ms3 Ms39w 5-2 Ms25w 4-3 Ms18w 5-2 Ms12e 5-2 Ms6e 4-3 Ms3w 3-4
Kansei Sakaigawa 1989/08/25 (55) 2008.03 Ms9 Sd6e 5-2 Ms45e 5-2 Ms27w 4-3 Ms22w 5-2 Ms14w 4-3 Ms9e 5-2
Fukugoriki Arashio 1988/03/02 (66) 2005.11 Ms10 Ms11e 3-4 Ms15e 4-3 Ms10e 1-6 Ms33w 5-2 Ms21w 5-2 Ms10w 5-2
Dewahayate Dewanoumi 1989/01/31 (62) 2004.03 Ms5 Ms48w 6-1 Ms20e 5-2 Ms9w 4-3 Ms7w 4-3 Ms5e 2-5 Ms14w 4-3
Iwasaki Kise 1989/06/11 (61) 2012.05 Ms15 Ms36e 4-3 Ms28w 3-4 Ms39w 5-2 Ms26e 4-3 Ms20w 4-3 Ms15w 4-3
Kyokutaisei Tomozuna 1989/10/18 (54) 2008.01 Ms11 Ms39e 5-2 Ms23w 4-3 Ms15e 3-4 Ms24e 6-1 Ms11w 3-4 Ms16w 3-4
Higoarashi Kise 1989/08/20 (56) 2006.05 Ms5 Ms21w 4-3 Ms17e 5-2 Ms7w 4-3 Ms5w 2-5 Ms18e 3-4 Ms24e 4-3
Tochinosato Kasugano 1989/07/07 (59) 2008.03 Ms4 Ms47e 0-0-7 Sd27w 4-3 Sd16e 4-3 Sd5w 6-1 Ms32e 4-3 Ms25e 4-3
Hokaho Miyagino 1989/06/21 (60) 2007.03 Ms11 Ms30e 6-1 Ms11w 3-4 Ms16e 2-5 Ms32w 4-3 Ms26e 3-4 Ms32w 2-5
Byakko Azumazeki 1989/07/11 (57) 2005.03 Ms13 Ms21e 4-3 Ms16e 2-5 Ms35w 5-2 Ms23w 4-3 Ms18w 1-6 Ms41e 3-4
Hamaguchi Kise 1989/07/11 (57) 2012.05 Ms4 Sd7e 7-0 Y Ms12e 4-3 Ms8e 5-2 Ms4w 2-3-2 Ms16w 0-0-7 Ms56w 0-0-7
Karatsuumi Tamanoi 1988/08/03 (64) 2004.03 Ms12 Ms24e 1-6 Ms47w 4-3 Ms37e 2-5 Ms55w 1-6 Sd28w 1-6 Sd65w 6-1
Takamai Takanohana 1988/09/29 (63) 2011.05 Ms7 Ms43e 0-7 Sd18w 2-5 Sd46w 4-3 Sd32w 4-3 Sd18w 0-4-3 Sd69e 0-0-7
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New lineups...

Hatsu 2014, Tier 1:

Terutsuyoshi leads for the first time since May. A special mention, however, shall go to Mitoyutaka who has KK'd in 9 of his last 10 tournaments, with the sole other result being a 3-3-1. Beyond these two, Onosho and Baraki probably merit the most attention this basho.

Heisei Hopefuls for Hatsu 2014 - Tier 1: Top Talents - current yardstick: Chiyootori (1992/10/11, debut 2008.05, shin-juryo 2012.03)

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

1 Terutsuyoshi Isegahama 1995/01/17 (4) 2010.03 Ms11 Ms46e 6-1 Ms19w 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms35w 5-2 Ms19e 5-2 Ms11e
1 Daieisho Oitekaze 1993/11/10 (10) 2012.01 Ms8 Ms49e 3-4 Sd7w 7-0 Y Ms11w 3-4 Ms17w 5-2 Ms8w 3-4 Ms13w
1 Mitoyutaka Nishikido 1993/04/08 (15) 2009.03 Ms16 Ms31e 3-3-1 Ms41w 4-3 Ms34w 4-3 Ms28e 4-3 Ms21e 4-3 Ms16w
2 Tatsu Takadagawa 1994/06/01 (6) 2010.03 Ms11 Ms21w 3-4 Ms33e 3-4 Ms44e 4-3 Ms38e 4-3 Ms29w 5-2 Ms19e
4 Sasanoyama Kise 1992/12/30 (18) 2011.05 Ms12 Ms50e 5-2 Ms29w 6-1 Ms12w 2-5 Ms24e 1-6 Ms50e 5-2 Ms29w
13 Tsurubayashi Kise 1993/12/31 (8) 2009.03 Ms32 Ms33e 2-5 Ms60e 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd12e 6-1 Ms32e
3 Onosho Onomatsu 1996/07/04 (1) 2013.01 Ms34 Jk7e 6-1 Jd17e 6-1 Sd55e 6-1 Sd3w 4-3 Ms54w 5-2 Ms34e
5 Goshi Arashio 1993/10/05 (11) 2011.11 Ms7 Sd34e 6-1 Ms45e 3-1-3 Ms55e 7-0 Y Ms7e 2-5 Ms19w 2-5 Ms36w
4 Akinokawa Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (19) 2008.03 Ms26 Ms45w 3-4 Sd1w 3-4 Sd13e 5-2 Ms53e 6-1 Ms26w 2-5 Ms42w
1 Hakuyozan Takadagawa 1995/04/13 (3) 2011.05 Ms47 Sd64w 5-2 Sd33w 5-2 Sd7e 3-4 Sd19e 5-2 Ms56e 4-3 Ms47e
5 Aonosho Dewanoumi 1993/06/03 (14) 2009.03 Ms50 Ms50w 2-5 Sd19w 4-3 Sd7w 2-5 Sd31w 5-2 Sd7e 4-3 Ms56w
New Baraki Shikihide 1994/05/10 (7) 2013.01 Ms58 Jk10e 6-1 Jd24e 5-2 Sd89w 3-4 Jd10e 4-3 Sd90w 7-0 D Ms58e
New Ohara Shikoroyama 1993/12/14 (9) 2009.03 Ms59 Sd31e 2-5 Sd62w 6-1 Sd8w 3-4 Sd21e 4-3 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59e
New Shinohara Onomatsu 1993/08/21 (12) 2012.01 Ms59 Sd38e 2-5 Sd66w 3-4 Sd80w 6-1 Sd22w 4-3 Sd10e 4-3 Ms59w
7 Masunosho Chiganoura 1994/11/14 (5) 2010.03 Ms18 Ms18e 3-4 Ms28e 4-3 Ms23e 2-5 Ms40e 3-4 Ms46w 2-5 Sd1e
3 Meisei Tatsunami 1995/07/24 (2) 2011.05 Ms51 Ms51e 3-4 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59w 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd8e
10 Kaidonami Tatsunami 1993/07/08 (13) 2009.03 Ms20 Ms43w 5-2 Ms25w 4-3 Ms20e 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms34e 0-7 Sd9w
4 Kotodaigo Sadogatake 1993/01/14 (17) 2011.05 Ms27 Sd38w 4-3 Sd23e 3-4 Sd37w 3-4 Sd54e 6-1 Sd3w 3-4 Sd13w
4 Akinoyama Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (19) 2008.03 Ms47 Ms47e 3-4 Sd3e 4-3 Ms53w 0-2-5 Sd30w 5-2 Sd6e 3-4 Sd18w
8 Takakasuga Kasugayama 1993/03/06 (16) 2011.07 Ms60 Sd68e 4-3 Sd50e 4-3 Sd34w 5-2 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 2-5 Sd20e

Hatsu 2014, Tier 2 has dwindled so far now that it no longer deserves its own separate post:

And there's not much of interest here anyway, to be honest.

Heisei Hopefuls for Hatsu 2014 - Tier 2: Promising Youngsters - Age 21 and under

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2 Tochimaru Kasugano 1992/08/26 (21) 2011.05 Ms23 Ms37w 3-4 Ms50e 4-3 Ms43e 4-3 Ms36w 2-5 Ms52w 6-1 Ms23w
1 Matsumoto Shikoroyama 1992/03/10 (26) 2007.03 Ms16 Ms38w 4-3 Ms28w 5-2 Ms16w 2-5 Ms30w 2-5 Ms47e 4-3 Ms40w
2 Hakunishiki Kasugayama 1992/01/13 (27) 2007.03 Ms38 Sd20e 5-2 Ms56w 5-2 Ms39w 2-5 Sd2w 3-4 Sd13e 5-2 Ms50e
2 Aiyama Kitanoumi 1992/03/23 (25) 2007.03 Ms52 Sd8w 3-4 Sd24e 4-3 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 4-3 Ms52e 1-6 Sd16w
1 Wakayama Onomatsu 1992/04/26 (23) 2011.07 Ms56 Sd45w 2-5 Sd74w 5-2 Sd42e 6-1 Ms56w 1-6 Sd32e 4-3 Sd23e
2 Tomisakae Isegahama 1992/04/11 (24) 2008.03 Ms50 Sd17e 4-3 Sd7e 4-3 Ms56w 4-3 Ms50w 3-4 Sd4w 2-5 Sd25w
0 Kinunonami Tatsunami 1992/08/13 (22) 2008.03 Ms31 Jd38w 6-1 Y Sd72w 5-2 Sd41e 5-2 Sd17e 2-5 Sd44e 0-0-7 Jd5e

Hakunishiki turns 22 in a few days and will drop down.

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Hatsu 2014, Tier 3:

No immediate promotion hopefuls, though I for one am keeping an eye on Masunoumi whose Kyushu exploits looked at though things may finally have clicked for the former high school star.

Heisei Hopefuls for Hatsu 2014 - Tier 3: Still Worth Watching - Age 23 and under

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

0 Kawanari Oguruma 1991/07/07 (34) 2007.03 Ms1 Ms1w 1-6 Ms14w 5-2 Ms9e 4-3 Ms8e 5-2 Ms3e 3-4 Ms6e
5 Masunoumi Chiganoura 1991/11/12 (31) 2010.01 Ms9 Ms16w 4-3 Ms11w 2-5 Ms28w 3-4 Ms37e 5-2 Ms21w 6-1 Ms9e
5 Ishiura Miyagino 1990/01/10 (55) 2013.01 Ms11 Jk6w 7-0 Y Jd8w 7-0 Y Sd17w 6-1 Ms41e 5-2 Ms25w 6-1 Ms11w
1 Mankajo Kasugayama 1990/02/10 (53) 2005.03 Ms12 Ms34w 4-3 Ms24w 4-3 Ms18e 3-4 Ms25e 5-2 Ms15e 4-3 Ms12e
2 Nishikigi Isenoumi 1990/08/25 (43) 2006.03 Ms3 Ms6e 2-5 Ms14e 5-2 Ms8w 3-4 Ms15e 4-3 Ms10e 3-4 Ms16e
2 Takatoshi Takanohana 1990/04/19 (48) 2009.01 Ms10 Ms19w 4-3 Ms13w 4-3 Ms10w 3-4 Ms17e 4-3 Ms13e 3-4 Ms20e
2 Sasakiyama Kise 1991/06/12 (36) 2010.01 Ms19 Ms34e 2-5 Sd1e 6-1 Ms30e 5-2 Ms19w 3-4 Ms26e 4-3 Ms22w
3 Chiyosakae Kokonoe 1990/07/12 (45) 2009.01 Ms24 Ms56w 4-3 Ms46w 5-2 Ms32e 3-4 Ms42e 4-3 Ms32e 4-3 Ms24w
7 Chiyoshoma Kokonoe 1991/07/20 (32) 2009.05 Ms25 Ms41e 4-3 Ms32e 4-3 Ms25e 3-4 Ms33w 3-4 Ms40e 5-2 Ms25e
8 Kairyu Dewanoumi 1990/03/01 (52) 2005.03 Ms3 Ms8e 2-5 Ms18e 4-3 Ms15e 6-1 Ms3w 3-4 Ms7e 1-6 Ms26e
2 Nogami Oguruma 1990/08/15 (44) 2009.01 Ms15 Ms32e 4-3 Ms23e 5-2 Ms15w 1-6 Ms44w 4-3 Ms35w 4-3 Ms27e
2 Onami Arashio 1991/12/29 (28) 2009.11 Ms28 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59w 2-5 Sd18e 5-2 Ms57e 5-2 Ms36w 4-3 Ms28e
2 Takageppo Takanohana 1990/04/19 (48) 2009.01 Ms14 Ms26w 4-3 Ms21e 2-5 Ms38w 4-3 Ms31e 3-2-2 Ms37w 4-3 Ms29e
New Koba Kise 1991/03/12 (38) 2013.03 Ms31 Mz 2-0 Jk6e 6-1 Jd26w 6-1 Sd64w 6-1 Sd11w 6-1 Ms31e
9 Kotokobai Sadogatake 1991/03/31 (37) 2006.03 Ms17 Ms30w 3-4 Ms41e 5-2 Ms28e 4-3 Ms23e 4-3 Ms17w 2-5 Ms33w
1 Toyononami Tatsunami 1990/11/06 (40) 2010.11 Ms34 Sd12w 6-1 Ms34e 2-5 Ms51w 5-2 Ms34w 3-4 Ms41w 4-3 Ms34w
3 Matsubayama Kasugayama 1991/06/13 (35) 2007.03 Ms40 Sd4e 1-6 Sd41e 6-1 Ms54e 3-4 Sd7e 5-2 Ms46e 4-3 Ms40e
8 Komanokuni Shibatayama 1990/06/29 (46) 2006.03 Ms30 Sd43w 6-1 Ms55e 5-2 Ms38e 3-4 Ms48e 5-2 Ms30e 3-4 Ms41e
7 Kotoeko Sadogatake 1991/11/20 (30) 2007.03 Ms26 Ms40w 4-3 Ms31w 3-4 Ms42w 5-2 Ms26w 3-4 Ms33e 2-5 Ms46w
2 Takamisato Azumazeki 1990/03/30 (51) 2005.03 Ms43 Sd16w 5-2 Ms52e 3-4 Sd1w 4-3 Ms52w 4-3 Ms43w 3-4 Ms50w
2 Daishoiwa Oitekaze 1990/10/29 (41) 2006.03 Ms36 Sd20w 5-2 Ms57e 2-5 Sd16w 4-3 Sd6e 5-2 Ms44w 3-4 Ms51e
1 Sasayama Kise 1990/01/14 (54) 2008.03 Ms47 Ms52w 1-6 Sd30e 4-3 Sd17e 5-2 Ms55w 4-3 Ms47w 3-4 Ms54e
2 Kotofukuju Sadogatake 1991/12/14 (29) 2007.03 Ms17 Ms31w 3-4 Ms42e 3-4 Ms50e 0-0-7 Sd32w 5-2 Sd8w 4-3 Ms58w
1 Amatsu Onomatsu 1990/04/03 (50) 2009.01 Ms27 Ms42w 3-4 Ms58w 6-1 Ms27e 2-5 Ms46e 3-4 Ms58e 3-4 Sd3w
3 Tsurunoumi Takadagawa 1990/10/13 (42) 2006.03 Ms54 Sd78e 5-2 Sd45w 4-3 Sd29w 4-3 Sd17w 5-2 Ms54e 1-6 Sd20w
2 Oazuma Tamanoi 1990/05/10 (47) 2006.05 Ms53 Sd18e 5-2 Ms53w 3-4 Sd3w 4-3 Ms54e 3-4 Sd8e 3-4 Sd21e
0 Kotokensei Sadogatake 1991/01/06 (39) 2006.03 Ms43 Sd40w 5-2 Sd13w 0-0-7 Sd73w 4-3 Sd55w 4-3 Sd37e 4-3 Sd27e
0 Daijo Takadagawa 1991/07/19 (33) 2007.03 Ms53 Sd19w 2-5 Sd47w 5-2 Sd21e 3-4 Sd37e 2-5 Sd64w 3-4 Sd83e

Last call for Sasayama, while Ishiura and Mankajo have earned themselves two more years in Tier 4.

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Hatsu 2014, Tier 4:

I'm rooting for both guys in the promotion zone here.

Heisei Hopefuls for Hatsu 2014 - Tier 4: Last Chance Saloon - Ms15+ Age 25 and under

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

1 Kansei Sakaigawa 1989/08/25 (57) 2008.03 Ms3 Ms45e 5-2 Ms27w 4-3 Ms22w 5-2 Ms14w 4-3 Ms9e 5-2 Ms3e
1 Fukugoriki Arashio 1988/03/02 (68) 2005.11 Ms5 Ms15e 4-3 Ms10e 1-6 Ms33w 5-2 Ms21w 5-2 Ms10w 5-2 Ms5e
2 Irie Tamanoi 1988/07/15 (67) 2011.05 Ms3 Ms25w 4-3 Ms18w 5-2 Ms12e 5-2 Ms6e 4-3 Ms3w 3-4 Ms6w
0 Dewahayate Dewanoumi 1989/01/31 (64) 2004.03 Ms5 Ms20e 5-2 Ms9w 4-3 Ms7w 4-3 Ms5e 2-5 Ms14w 4-3 Ms10w
0 Iwasaki Kise 1989/06/11 (63) 2012.05 Ms12 Ms28w 3-4 Ms39w 5-2 Ms26e 4-3 Ms20w 4-3 Ms15w 4-3 Ms12w
1 Higoarashi Kise 1989/08/20 (58) 2006.05 Ms5 Ms17e 5-2 Ms7w 4-3 Ms5w 2-5 Ms18e 3-4 Ms24e 4-3 Ms21e
1 Tochinosato Kasugano 1989/07/07 (61) 2008.03 Ms4 Sd27w 4-3 Sd16e 4-3 Sd5w 6-1 Ms32e 4-3 Ms25e 4-3 Ms21w
2 Kyokutaisei Tomozuna 1989/10/18 (56) 2008.01 Ms11 Ms23w 4-3 Ms15e 3-4 Ms24e 6-1 Ms11w 3-4 Ms16w 3-4 Ms23e
0 Hokaho Miyagino 1989/06/21 (62) 2007.03 Ms11 Ms11w 3-4 Ms16e 2-5 Ms32w 4-3 Ms26e 3-4 Ms32w 2-5 Ms46e
0 Byakko Azumazeki 1989/07/11 (59) 2005.03 Ms13 Ms16e 2-5 Ms35w 5-2 Ms23w 4-3 Ms18w 1-6 Ms41e 3-4 Ms48w
1 Karatsuumi Tamanoi 1988/08/03 (66) 2004.03 Ms12 Ms47w 4-3 Ms37e 2-5 Ms55w 1-6 Sd28w 1-6 Sd65w 6-1 Sd10e
1 Hamaguchi Kise 1989/07/11 (59) 2012.05 Ms4 Ms12e 4-3 Ms8e 5-2 Ms4w 2-3-2 Ms16w 0-0-7 Ms56w 0-0-7 Sd37e
0 Takamai Takanohana 1988/09/29 (65) 2011.05 Ms7 Sd18w 2-5 Sd46w 4-3 Sd32w 4-3 Sd18w 0-4-3 Sd69e 0-0-7 Jd30e
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Surely, you left out Ichinojo because he will go straight to Juryo.

Anyway, the top Heisei Sekitori took a big hit in the last Basho, and they are crowded in bottom Maegashira and top Juryo. Peculiarly, the top Makuuchi and the bottom Juryo division is cleared of Heisei born Rikishi.

Takayasu barely remains to be the top Heisei at M9 after an abysmal last basho. I can only agree with Kinta that something is seriously wrong with him, although it is not obvious what. Possibly an injury, and it shows already in this basho.

Endo struggled through his light injury and landed at M10, missing his chances for his top position. He looks strong so far and is likely to be the top Heisei born in the next Banzuke.

Injury-prone Chiyootori arrived at carreer-high M12, we can only hope he can stay healthy this time.

Another one with shaky health is just below at M14, Masunoyama, we'll see if he recovered from last basho's kyujo.

Hard-fighting Takanoiwa finally arrived in Makuuchi at M15. With his thin legs he will have a hard time to stand in the division. But his enormous spirit might save him.

Osunaarashi in bandage did not fight as he was injured, it looked like the usual trouble when arriving at the door for the big guys. A further rise from M16 may be possible.

Poor Kotoyuki at M17 suffered a serious injury. He'll have to restart at least from bottom Juryo, probably even much lower.

Tiny Asahisho just missed promotion at J1, and that may be good for him - he never really throw anything substantial in the top divison, except for the salt of course.

Mighty Terunofuji takes a basho's breath after a steep rise at J1. He has the potential to stir things up in the highest division.

Chiyoo at J2 finally managed Juryo in the second attempt. I see him remaining there for a while, the same as Chiyomaru at J6 which also does not look like a Meagashira soon.

Another highly talented but injury-prone one is Chiyonokuni at J5, this basho's bout at day 3 looked like trouble again.

Daikiho at J7 does not look as promising as he look when first entered the division. But he should be able to stay level here.

And that was already the bottom Heisei Sekitori!

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Surely, you left out Ichinojo because he will go straight to Juryo.

No, just plain forgetfulness on my part. Thanks for the reminder, I'll add him into the tables for the basho round-up. :-)

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Tier 1:

It certainly does look like fresh arrival Ichinojo will be the one to finally provide us with our new youngest sekitori. In his banzuke debut he has stormed to a 6-1 and will immediately become the highest-ranking rikishi here among the top talents. And while my banzuke guess shouldn't be taken as gospel, I do think it's inevitable that he'll be placed in the top 5 ranks for Haru basho, potentially just a 5-2 away from promotion.

In any case, we did have more good news in the extended promotion zone with Daieisho's 5-2, and if it wasn't for Ichinojo he'd continue to be my pick for the next promotion out of this tier. Terutsuyoshi however got a rude awakening in his first go at the top 15 ranks and will have to regroup a bit further down.

Notable results in the middle of the division include Tsurubayashi's 5-2 at his career high rank (an area in which he still went 2-5 ten months ago) and the 6th straight KK from debut by our youngest talent Onosho. He's still got some way to go to become a serious kesho-wearer candidate, but a kachikoshi in mid-makushita as a 17-year-old is certainly an exclamation mark.

Further down, a pair of strong 5-2 records were produced by Aonosho in his third attempt at cracking makushita (previously 3-4 and 2-5, ten and five basho ago), and by Shinohara in his division debut. Fellow debutant Baraki had the expected rough ride, however, and clocked out with a zenpai record. The third rookie Ohara went 2-5, also not a particularly big surprise.

Lastly, two of our tracked rikishi who've temporarily fallen back to sandanme have provided us with signs of life as Akinoyama and Kotodaigo both scored 6 wins this basho, the latter even being part of a yusho decider on Day 13. Kaidonami on the other hand has been falling off the cliff of late, picking up his 4th straight MK and totalling an 8-20 record in that span.

Heisei Hopefuls for Hatsu 2014 - Tier 1: Top Talents - current yardstick: Chiyootori (1992/10/11, debut 2008.05, shin-juryo 2012.03)

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

Terutsuyoshi Isegahama 1995/01/17 (4) 2010.03 Ms11 Ms46e 6-1 Ms19w 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms35w 5-2 Ms19e 5-2 Ms11e 2-5
Daieisho Oitekaze 1993/11/10 (10) 2012.01 Ms8 Ms49e 3-4 Sd7w 7-0 Y Ms11w 3-4 Ms17w 5-2 Ms8w 3-4 Ms13w 5-2
Ichinojo Minato 1993/04/07 (16) 2014.01 Ms15 [/td2] Ms15Td 6-1
Mitoyutaka Nishikido 1993/04/08 (15) 2009.03 Ms16 Ms31e 3-3-1 Ms41w 4-3 Ms34w 4-3 Ms28e 4-3 Ms21e 4-3 Ms16w 3-4
Tatsu Takadagawa 1994/06/01 (6) 2010.03 Ms11 Ms21w 3-4 Ms33e 3-4 Ms44e 4-3 Ms38e 4-3 Ms29w 5-2 Ms19e 4-3
Sasanoyama Kise 1992/12/30 (19) 2011.05 Ms12 Ms50e 5-2 Ms29w 6-1 Ms12w 2-5 Ms24e 1-6 Ms50e 5-2 Ms29w 4-3
Tsurubayashi Kise 1993/12/31 (8) 2009.03 Ms32 Ms33e 2-5 Ms60e 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd12e 6-1 Ms32e 5-2
Onosho Onomatsu 1996/07/04 (1) 2013.01 Ms34 Jk7e 6-1 Jd17e 6-1 Sd55e 6-1 Sd3w 4-3 Ms54w 5-2 Ms34e 4-3
Goshi Arashio 1993/10/05 (11) 2011.11 Ms7 Sd34e 6-1 Ms45e 3-1-3 Ms55e 7-0 Y Ms7e 2-5 Ms19w 2-5 Ms36w 3-4
Akinokawa Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (20) 2008.03 Ms26 Ms45w 3-4 Sd1w 3-4 Sd13e 5-2 Ms53e 6-1 Ms26w 2-5 Ms42w 3-4
Hakuyozan Takadagawa 1995/04/13 (3) 2011.05 Ms47 Sd64w 5-2 Sd33w 5-2 Sd7e 3-4 Sd19e 5-2 Ms56e 4-3 Ms47e 3-4
Aonosho Dewanoumi 1993/06/03 (14) 2009.03 Ms50 Ms50w 2-5 Sd19w 4-3 Sd7w 2-5 Sd31w 5-2 Sd7e 4-3 Ms56w 5-2
Baraki Shikihide 1994/05/10 (7) 2013.01 Ms58 Jk10e 6-1 Jd24e 5-2 Sd89w 3-4 Jd10e 4-3 Sd90w 7-0 D Ms58e 0-7
Ohara Shikoroyama 1993/12/14 (9) 2009.03 Ms59 Sd31e 2-5 Sd62w 6-1 Sd8w 3-4 Sd21e 4-3 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59e 2-5
Shinohara Onomatsu 1993/08/21 (12) 2012.01 Ms59 Sd38e 2-5 Sd66w 3-4 Sd80w 6-1 Sd22w 4-3 Sd10e 4-3 Ms59w 5-2
Masunosho Chiganoura 1994/11/14 (5) 2010.03 Ms18 Ms18e 3-4 Ms28e 4-3 Ms23e 2-5 Ms40e 3-4 Ms46w 2-5 Sd1e 4-3
Meisei Tatsunami 1995/07/24 (2) 2011.05 Ms51 Ms51e 3-4 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59w 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd8e 4-3
Kaidonami Tatsunami 1993/07/08 (13) 2009.03 Ms20 Ms43w 5-2 Ms25w 4-3 Ms20e 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms34e 0-7 Sd9w 2-5
Kotodaigo Sadogatake 1993/01/14 (18) 2011.05 Ms27 Sd38w 4-3 Sd23e 3-4 Sd37w 3-4 Sd54e 6-1 Sd3w 3-4 Sd13w 6-1
Akinoyama Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (20) 2008.03 Ms47 Ms47e 3-4 Sd3e 4-3 Ms53w 0-2-5 Sd30w 5-2 Sd6e 3-4 Sd18w 6-1
Takakasuga Kasugayama 1993/03/06 (17) 2011.07 Ms60 Sd68e 4-3 Sd50e 4-3 Sd34w 5-2 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 2-5 Sd20e 2-5

And as if that wasn't enough excitement yet, we're even getting another three newcomers for the third basho running:

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

Daishoho Oitekaze 1994/08/28 2013.03 Sd5 Mz 2-0 Jk5w 6-1 Jd26e 7-0 Y Sd33w 2-5 Sd58e 6-1 Sd5e 5-2
Horikiri Shikoroyama 1994/05/04 2013.05 Sd23 Jk19e 6-1 Jd33w 7-0 Y Sd34e 4-3 Sd23w 7-0 Y
Chiyokiryu Kokonoe 1993/12/27 2012.03 Sd16 Sd65e 4-3 Sd46e 3-4 Sd61w 4-3 Sd44e 5-2 Sd16e 3-4 Sd30w 6-1

Daishoho is "the other" talented Mongolian high school rikishi of recent provenance, though he was able to take the more straight-forward path into Ozumo, turning pro right after graduation. He's looked a bit rough around the edges from what I recall seeing (wouldn't it be nice to have a convenient video archive right about now...) and I suspect he'll be found out for a bit in mid-makushita, but if he can keep building on what he already has he's almost certainly steady sekitori material. Technique-wise he profiles as a "typical" Mongolian rikishi, with an average build and a relatively aggressive brand of sumo that's based mainly on yori and supplemented with the occasional throw.

Much the same as the preceding paragraph can also be written about our next incoming contender, except that Horikiri hails from Japan. I tend to be nearly as skeptical of polished high schoolers as I am of polished university products (for evidence, see Sasakiyama, Nogami and Masunoumi among others), but I really do think that Horikiri has got "it", and that's an impression I already had prior to his 7-0 stunner this basho. While he'll probably need to build on his current 185 cm / 121 kg frame to survive at juryo and above, I suspect his hyper-aggressive tsuki-oshi sumo may well be good enough to play in upper makushita already. (Don't be deterred by his currently nearly 50% rate of slapdown wins - they're the good, forward-moving kind of slapdowns, and they'll almost certainly turn into more tsuki/oshidashi-type wins as his quality of opposition improves.)

And behind door number three we have somewhat of a surprise entrant, the latest product off the Kokonoe assembly line. Chiyokiryu is another high school grad, in his case from out in Okinawa, and despite quite good results he has arguably flown a bit under the radar so far. He had an excellent start for a high schooler who didn't come in with a huge track record of amateur success, going 21-7 in his first four tournaments to storm right into upper-mid sandanme. That was clearly his personal wall for the time being, with his next six basho combining for 20-22 without any further advancement. From that he has now broken out with his strong 6-1 record, winning six in a row after starting off with a loss. It remains to be seen if he has indeed taken the next step now, or if it's a bit of a fluke and he'll need more seasoning to be competitive at makushita heights. (Without video, I don't dare make the call.) He's got quite an interesting kimarite profile so far, with about half his wins coming by yorikiri/taoshi, and the other half split equally between oshidashi, uwatenage and [everything else combined]. Kagamio comes to mind as a current sekitori with the most similar profile, although his throwing is more varied than Chiyokiryu's.

---

Tier 2:

Not much to say here - kachikoshi for nearly everybody, which is nice to see (although none of them were particularly close to their career highs), the one exception being highest-placed Tochimaru who had a basho to forget and went 1-6. Probably not a huge shock though after he went 6-1 in September and jumped right past his previous comfort zone around Ms40.

Heisei Hopefuls for Hatsu 2014 - Tier 2: Promising Youngsters - Age 21 and under

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

Tochimaru Kasugano 1992/08/26 (22) 2011.05 Ms23 Ms37w 3-4 Ms50e 4-3 Ms43e 4-3 Ms36w 2-5 Ms52w 6-1 Ms23w 1-6
Matsumoto Shikoroyama 1992/03/10 (27) 2007.03 Ms16 Ms38w 4-3 Ms28w 5-2 Ms16w 2-5 Ms30w 2-5 Ms47e 4-3 Ms40w 5-2
Hakunishiki Kasugayama 1992/01/13 (28) 2007.03 Ms38 Sd20e 5-2 Ms56w 5-2 Ms39w 2-5 Sd2w 3-4 Sd13e 5-2 Ms50e 4-3
Aiyama Kitanoumi 1992/03/23 (26) 2007.03 Ms52 Sd8w 3-4 Sd24e 4-3 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 4-3 Ms52e 1-6 Sd16w 5-2
Wakayama Onomatsu 1992/04/26 (24) 2011.07 Ms56 Sd45w 2-5 Sd74w 5-2 Sd42e 6-1 Ms56w 1-6 Sd32e 4-3 Sd23e 4-3
Tomisakae Isegahama 1992/04/11 (25) 2008.03 Ms50 Sd17e 4-3 Sd7e 4-3 Ms56w 4-3 Ms50w 3-4 Sd4w 2-5 Sd25w 4-3
Kinunonami Tatsunami 1992/08/13 (23) 2008.03 Ms31 Jd38w 6-1 Y Sd72w 5-2 Sd41e 5-2 Sd17e 2-5 Sd44e 0-0-7 Jd5e 5-2

The exodus continues with Hakunishiki moving to Tier 3 and Kinunonami deciding to call it quits altogether. No newcomers either, so we're down to just 5 rikishi here for Haru. (And even an Ichinojo promotion would only add 5 more for May.)

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Oh hey, I actually got two tiers covered before my notebook fell apart last month...time to get this back on track, with

Tier 3:

Tough break for top-ranked Kawanari to have to miss a tournament while he's this close to juryo; it'll probably be three or four tournaments until we see him at these heights again, assuming it's not an injury with permanent effects. Masunoumi returned to the promotion zone for the first time in a little while, only to pick up his customary result again - in 6 tournaments at Ms15 and above he's now gone makekoshi 6 times.

Ishiura and Mankajo (polar opposites in body and fighting style) competed admirably towards 5-2 records and would be filling the void at the top for the March tournament, but they have both turned 23 now and will have to keep going in Tier 4. Further down the table it was time for the good version of Kairyu to turn up again - in his last 12 basho he has now scored a 7-0 and three 6-1's, all in the upper half of makushita. One of these days he'll have to have his break-through into juryo, won't he?

In the same area of the rankings the Kokonoe pair of Chiyosakae and Chiyoshoma went 4-3 at their career highs to continue their steady advancement. Slightly further down Koba and Toyononami did the same, also with 4-3's.

Heisei Hopefuls for Hatsu 2014 - Tier 3: Still Worth Watching - Age 23 and under

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

Kawanari Oguruma 1991/07/07 (35) 2007.03 Ms1 Ms1w 1-6 Ms14w 5-2 Ms9e 4-3 Ms8e 5-2 Ms3e 3-4 Ms6e 0-0-7
Masunoumi Chiganoura 1991/11/12 (32) 2010.01 Ms9 Ms16w 4-3 Ms11w 2-5 Ms28w 3-4 Ms37e 5-2 Ms21w 6-1 Ms9e 2-5
Ishiura Miyagino 1990/01/10 (56) 2013.01 Ms11 Jk6w 7-0 Y Jd8w 7-0 Y Sd17w 6-1 Ms41e 5-2 Ms25w 6-1 Ms11w 5-2
Mankajo Kasugayama 1990/02/10 (54) 2005.03 Ms12 Ms34w 4-3 Ms24w 4-3 Ms18e 3-4 Ms25e 5-2 Ms15e 4-3 Ms12e 5-2
Nishikigi Isenoumi 1990/08/25 (44) 2006.03 Ms3 Ms6e 2-5 Ms14e 5-2 Ms8w 3-4 Ms15e 4-3 Ms10e 3-4 Ms16e 4-3
Takatoshi Takanohana 1990/04/19 (49) 2009.01 Ms10 Ms19w 4-3 Ms13w 4-3 Ms10w 3-4 Ms17e 4-3 Ms13e 3-4 Ms20e 3-4
Sasakiyama Kise 1991/06/12 (37) 2010.01 Ms19 Ms34e 2-5 Sd1e 6-1 Ms30e 5-2 Ms19w 3-4 Ms26e 4-3 Ms22w 3-4
Chiyosakae Kokonoe 1990/07/12 (46) 2009.01 Ms24 Ms56w 4-3 Ms46w 5-2 Ms32e 3-4 Ms42e 4-3 Ms32e 4-3 Ms24w 4-3
Chiyoshoma Kokonoe 1991/07/20 (33) 2009.05 Ms25 Ms41e 4-3 Ms32e 4-3 Ms25e 3-4 Ms33w 3-4 Ms40e 5-2 Ms25e 4-3
Kairyu Dewanoumi 1990/03/01 (53) 2005.03 Ms3 Ms8e 2-5 Ms18e 4-3 Ms15e 6-1 Ms3w 3-4 Ms7e 1-6 Ms26e 6-1
Nogami Oguruma 1990/08/15 (45) 2009.01 Ms15 Ms32e 4-3 Ms23e 5-2 Ms15w 1-6 Ms44w 4-3 Ms35w 4-3 Ms27e 3-4
Onami Arashio 1991/12/29 (29) 2009.11 Ms28 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59w 2-5 Sd18e 5-2 Ms57e 5-2 Ms36w 4-3 Ms28e 3-4
Takageppo Takanohana 1990/04/19 (49) 2009.01 Ms14 Ms26w 4-3 Ms21e 2-5 Ms38w 4-3 Ms31e 3-2-2 Ms37w 4-3 Ms29e 1-6
Koba Kise 1991/03/12 (39) 2013.03 Ms31 Mz 2-0 Jk6e 6-1 Jd26w 6-1 Sd64w 6-1 Sd11w 6-1 Ms31e 4-3
Kotokobai Sadogatake 1991/03/31 (38) 2006.03 Ms17 Ms30w 3-4 Ms41e 5-2 Ms28e 4-3 Ms23e 4-3 Ms17w 2-5 Ms33w 5-2
Toyononami Tatsunami 1990/11/06 (41) 2010.11 Ms34 Sd12w 6-1 Ms34e 2-5 Ms51w 5-2 Ms34w 3-4 Ms41w 4-3 Ms34w 4-3
Matsubayama Kasugayama 1991/06/13 (36) 2007.03 Ms40 Sd4e 1-6 Sd41e 6-1 Ms54e 3-4 Sd7e 5-2 Ms46e 4-3 Ms40e 2-5
Komanokuni Shibatayama 1990/06/29 (47) 2006.03 Ms30 Sd43w 6-1 Ms55e 5-2 Ms38e 3-4 Ms48e 5-2 Ms30e 3-4 Ms41e 5-2
Kotoeko Sadogatake 1991/11/20 (31) 2007.03 Ms26 Ms40w 4-3 Ms31w 3-4 Ms42w 5-2 Ms26w 3-4 Ms33e 2-5 Ms46w 6-1
Takamisato Azumazeki 1990/03/30 (52) 2005.03 Ms43 Sd16w 5-2 Ms52e 3-4 Sd1w 4-3 Ms52w 4-3 Ms43w 3-4 Ms50w 5-2
Daishoiwa Oitekaze 1990/10/29 (42) 2006.03 Ms36 Sd20w 5-2 Ms57e 2-5 Sd16w 4-3 Sd6e 5-2 Ms44w 3-4 Ms51e 3-4
Sasayama Kise 1990/01/14 (55) 2008.03 Ms47 Ms52w 1-6 Sd30e 4-3 Sd17e 5-2 Ms55w 4-3 Ms47w 3-4 Ms54e 4-3
Kotofukuju Sadogatake 1991/12/14 (30) 2007.03 Ms17 Ms31w 3-4 Ms42e 3-4 Ms50e 0-0-7 Sd32w 5-2 Sd8w 4-3 Ms58w 3-4
Amatsu Onomatsu 1990/04/03 (51) 2009.01 Ms27 Ms42w 3-4 Ms58w 6-1 Ms27e 2-5 Ms46e 3-4 Ms58e 3-4 Sd3w 4-2-1
Tsurunoumi Takadagawa 1990/10/13 (43) 2006.03 Ms54 Sd78e 5-2 Sd45w 4-3 Sd29w 4-3 Sd17w 5-2 Ms54e 1-6 Sd20w 3-4
Oazuma Tamanoi 1990/05/10 (48) 2006.05 Ms53 Sd18e 5-2 Ms53w 3-4 Sd3w 4-3 Ms54e 3-4 Sd8e 3-4 Sd21e 3-4
Kotokensei Sadogatake 1991/01/06 (40) 2006.03 Ms43 Sd40w 5-2 Sd13w 0-0-7 Sd73w 4-3 Sd55w 4-3 Sd37e 4-3 Sd27e 5-2
Daijo Takadagawa 1991/07/19 (34) 2007.03 Ms53 Sd19w 2-5 Sd47w 5-2 Sd21e 3-4 Sd37e 2-5 Sd64w 3-4 Sd83e 4-3

Besides Ishiura and Mankajo it's also time for Sasayama to say goodbye to this section, and as he's nowhere near the top 15 ranks he'll be leaving us altogether.

In turn we do have one arrival as well:

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

Daishonada Oitekaze 1991/12/08 2010.03 Sd35 Sd35e 3-4 Sd56w 3-4 Sd71e 5-2 Sd45w 3-4 Sd60w 4-3 Sd48e 6-1

As you can probably tell from the career data and his recent history, this makushita debut is rather out of left field. A high school graduate, Daishonada hasn't exactly taken the banzuke by storm, needing just about two years to establish himself in sandanme. After another two years meandering around the middle of the division he has now taken the next step. At 22 years of age he's certainly only a long shot for a future sekitori career.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Tier 4:

Hey, it's the surprise Hatsu basho yusho winner. I believe I already said during the basho that I've never found Higoarashi all that impressive, but there's no arguing with a 7-0 that includes wins over opponents such as Kairyu, Amuru and Tosayutaka. It remains to be seen if this was a bit of a fluke or if he's really a top makushita quality rikishi now.

There wasn't much of note elsewhere in this section, so let's just highlight Iwasaki's career-high 4-3 for his 5th straight kachikoshi and Kyokutaisei's 5-2 which will get him back near his career-best ranking. Kansei had the most unfortunate performance of the tournament, falling to 3-4 on Day 14 in a juryo matchup to spoil his juryo debut opportunity.

Heisei Hopefuls for Hatsu 2014 - Tier 4: Last Chance Saloon - Ms15+ Age 25 and under

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.03

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

Kansei Sakaigawa 1989/08/25 (58) 2008.03 Ms3 Ms45e 5-2 Ms27w 4-3 Ms22w 5-2 Ms14w 4-3 Ms9e 5-2 Ms3e 3-4
Fukugoriki Arashio 1988/03/02 (69) 2005.11 Ms5 Ms15e 4-3 Ms10e 1-6 Ms33w 5-2 Ms21w 5-2 Ms10w 5-2 Ms5e 2-5
Irie Tamanoi 1988/07/15 (68) 2011.05 Ms3 Ms25w 4-3 Ms18w 5-2 Ms12e 5-2 Ms6e 4-3 Ms3w 3-4 Ms6w 2-5
Dewahayate Dewanoumi 1989/01/31 (65) 2004.03 Ms5 Ms20e 5-2 Ms9w 4-3 Ms7w 4-3 Ms5e 2-5 Ms14w 4-3 Ms10w 3-4
Iwasaki Kise 1989/06/11 (64) 2012.05 Ms12 Ms28w 3-4 Ms39w 5-2 Ms26e 4-3 Ms20w 4-3 Ms15w 4-3 Ms12w 4-3
Higoarashi Kise 1989/08/20 (59) 2006.05 Ms5 Ms17e 5-2 Ms7w 4-3 Ms5w 2-5 Ms18e 3-4 Ms24e 4-3 Ms21e 7-0 Y
Tochinosato Kasugano 1989/07/07 (62) 2008.03 Ms4 Sd27w 4-3 Sd16e 4-3 Sd5w 6-1 Ms32e 4-3 Ms25e 4-3 Ms21w 4-3
Kyokutaisei Tomozuna 1989/10/18 (57) 2008.01 Ms11 Ms23w 4-3 Ms15e 3-4 Ms24e 6-1 Ms11w 3-4 Ms16w 3-4 Ms23e 5-2
Hokaho Miyagino 1989/06/21 (63) 2007.03 Ms11 Ms11w 3-4 Ms16e 2-5 Ms32w 4-3 Ms26e 3-4 Ms32w 2-5 Ms46e 5-2
Byakko Azumazeki 1989/07/11 (60) 2005.03 Ms13 Ms16e 2-5 Ms35w 5-2 Ms23w 4-3 Ms18w 1-6 Ms41e 3-4 Ms48w 4-3
Karatsuumi Tamanoi 1988/08/03 (67) 2004.03 Ms12 Ms47w 4-3 Ms37e 2-5 Ms55w 1-6 Sd28w 1-6 Sd65w 6-1 Sd10e 1-6
Hamaguchi Kise 1989/07/11 (60) 2012.05 Ms4 Ms12e 4-3 Ms8e 5-2 Ms4w 2-3-2 Ms16w 0-0-7 Ms56w 0-0-7 Sd37e 0-0-7
Takamai Takanohana 1988/09/29 (66) 2011.05 Ms7 Sd18w 2-5 Sd46w 4-3 Sd32w 4-3 Sd18w 0-4-3 Sd69e 0-0-7 Jd30e 3-4

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Haru 2014, Tier 1:

Will Ichinojo keep up his pace? Also of interest here: Horikiri's performance after being rocketed into upper makushita.

Heisei Hopefuls for Haru 2014 - Tier 1: Top Talents - current yardstick: Chiyootori (1992/10/11, debut 2008.05, shin-juryo 2012.03)

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

2 Ichinojo Minato 1993/04/07 (19) 2014.01 Ms3 [/td2] Ms15Td 6-1 Ms3w
0 Daieisho Oitekaze 1993/11/10 (13) 2012.01 Ms7 Sd7w 7-0 Y Ms11w 3-4 Ms17w 5-2 Ms8w 3-4 Ms13w 5-2 Ms7w
2 Tatsu Takadagawa 1994/06/01 (7) 2010.03 Ms11 Ms33e 3-4 Ms44e 4-3 Ms38e 4-3 Ms29w 5-2 Ms19e 4-3 Ms13e
New Horikiri Shikoroyama 1994/05/04 (9) 2013.05 Ms13 Mz 3-1 Jk19e 6-1 Jd33w 7-0 Y Sd34e 4-3 Sd23w 7-0 Y Ms13w
2 Tsurubayashi Kise 1993/12/31 (10) 2009.03 Ms17 Ms60e 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd12e 6-1 Ms32e 5-2 Ms17e
2 Mitoyutaka Nishikido 1993/04/08 (18) 2009.03 Ms16 Ms41w 4-3 Ms34w 4-3 Ms28e 4-3 Ms21e 4-3 Ms16w 3-4 Ms23e
1 Sasanoyama Kise 1992/12/30 (22) 2011.05 Ms12 Ms29w 6-1 Ms12w 2-5 Ms24e 1-6 Ms50e 5-2 Ms29w 4-3 Ms23w
7 Terutsuyoshi Isegahama 1995/01/17 (4) 2010.03 Ms11 Ms19w 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms35w 5-2 Ms19e 5-2 Ms11e 2-5 Ms24e
1 Onosho Onomatsu 1996/07/04 (1) 2013.01 Ms28 Jd17e 6-1 Sd55e 6-1 Sd3w 4-3 Ms54w 5-2 Ms34e 4-3 Ms28e
10 Kotodaigo Sadogatake 1993/01/14 (21) 2011.05 Ms27 Sd23e 3-4 Sd37w 3-4 Sd54e 6-1 Sd3w 3-4 Sd13w 6-1 Ms36w
1 Aonosho Dewanoumi 1993/06/03 (17) 2009.03 Ms38 Sd19w 4-3 Sd7w 2-5 Sd31w 5-2 Sd7e 4-3 Ms56w 5-2 Ms38e
9 Akinoyama Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (23) 2008.03 Ms39 Sd3e 4-3 Ms53w 0-2-5 Sd30w 5-2 Sd6e 3-4 Sd18w 6-1 Ms39e
2 Shinohara Onomatsu 1993/08/21 (15) 2012.01 Ms41 Sd66w 3-4 Sd80w 6-1 Sd22w 4-3 Sd10e 4-3 Ms59w 5-2 Ms41e
5 Goshi Arashio 1993/10/05 (14) 2011.11 Ms7 Ms45e 3-1-3 Ms55e 7-0 Y Ms7e 2-5 Ms19w 2-5 Ms36w 3-4 Ms43w
New Daishoho Oitekaze 1994/08/28 (6) 2013.03 Ms44 Jk5w 6-1 Jd26e 7-0 Y Sd33w 2-5 Sd58e 6-1 Sd5e 5-2 Ms44w
6 Akinokawa Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (23) 2008.03 Ms26 Sd1w 3-4 Sd13e 5-2 Ms53e 6-1 Ms26w 2-5 Ms42w 3-4 Ms50e
New Chiyokiryu Kokonoe 1993/12/27 (11) 2012.03 Ms50 Sd46e 3-4 Sd61w 4-3 Sd44e 5-2 Sd16e 3-4 Sd30w 6-1 Ms50w
2 Masunosho Chiganoura 1994/11/14 (5) 2010.03 Ms18 Ms28e 4-3 Ms23e 2-5 Ms40e 3-4 Ms46w 2-5 Sd1e 4-3 Ms53e
8 Hakuyozan Takadagawa 1995/04/13 (3) 2011.05 Ms47 Sd33w 5-2 Sd7e 3-4 Sd19e 5-2 Ms56e 4-3 Ms47e 3-4 Ms57e
2 Meisei Tatsunami 1995/07/24 (2) 2011.05 Ms51 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59w 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd8e 4-3 Ms58w
7 Ohara Shikoroyama 1993/12/14 (12) 2009.03 Ms59 Sd62w 6-1 Sd8w 3-4 Sd21e 4-3 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59e 2-5 Sd21w
3 Kaidonami Tatsunami 1993/07/08 (16) 2009.03 Ms20 Ms25w 4-3 Ms20e 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms34e 0-7 Sd9w 2-5 Sd31w
10 Baraki Shikihide 1994/05/10 (8) 2013.01 Ms58 Jd24e 5-2 Sd89w 3-4 Jd10e 4-3 Sd90w 7-0 D Ms58e 0-7 Sd34e
2 Takakasuga Kasugayama 1993/03/06 (20) 2011.07 Ms60 Sd50e 4-3 Sd34w 5-2 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 2-5 Sd20e 2-5 Sd42w

---

Haru 2014, Tier 2:

You're seeing correctly - if nobody makes it to juryo from Tier 1 this basho, Tochimaru will be the only remaining rikishi here in Tier 2.

Heisei Hopefuls for Haru 2014 - Tier 2: Promising Youngsters - Age 21 and under

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

1 Matsumoto Shikoroyama 1992/03/10 (29) 2007.03 Ms16 Ms28w 5-2 Ms16w 2-5 Ms30w 2-5 Ms47e 4-3 Ms40w 5-2 Ms25w
1 Tochimaru Kasugano 1992/08/26 (25) 2011.05 Ms23 Ms50e 4-3 Ms43e 4-3 Ms36w 2-5 Ms52w 6-1 Ms23w 1-6 Ms48w
0 Aiyama Kitanoumi 1992/03/23 (28) 2007.03 Ms52 Sd24e 4-3 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 4-3 Ms52e 1-6 Sd16w 5-2 Ms56w
0 Wakayama Onomatsu 1992/04/26 (26) 2011.07 Ms56 Sd74w 5-2 Sd42e 6-1 Ms56w 1-6 Sd32e 4-3 Sd23e 4-3 Sd10w
0 Tomisakae Isegahama 1992/04/11 (27) 2008.03 Ms50 Sd7e 4-3 Ms56w 4-3 Ms50w 3-4 Sd4w 2-5 Sd25w 4-3 Sd13e
Edited by Asashosakari
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Haru 2014, Tier 3:

I remembered to include the new tsukedashi this time. ;-) No immediate promotion contenders again, so Kawabata will probably be the most watched rikishi in this section, too.

This tier will see some big changes after Haru basho, with four rikishi coming in from Tier 2, three moving to Tier 4 (Kairyu and the Taka twins), and two probably dropping out altogether (Takamisato and Amatsu).

Heisei Hopefuls for Haru 2014 - Tier 3: Still Worth Watching - Age 23 and under

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

8 Kairyu Dewanoumi 1990/03/01 (57) 2005.03 Ms3 Ms18e 4-3 Ms15e 6-1 Ms3w 3-4 Ms7e 1-6 Ms26e 6-1 Ms8e
2 Nishikigi Isenoumi 1990/08/25 (48) 2006.03 Ms3 Ms14e 5-2 Ms8w 3-4 Ms15e 4-3 Ms10e 3-4 Ms16e 4-3 Ms10w
New Kawabata Oitekaze 1991/07/10 (38) 2014.03 Ms15 [/td2]
Ms15Td 10KotokobaiSadogatake1991/03/31 (42)2006.03Ms17Ms41e 5-2Ms28e 4-3Ms23e 4-3Ms17w 2-5Ms33w 5-2Ms17w 2ChiyosakaeKokonoe1990/07/12 (50)2009.01Ms18Ms46w 5-2Ms32e 3-4Ms42e 4-3Ms32e 4-3Ms24w 4-3Ms18e 2ChiyoshomaKokonoe1991/07/20 (36)2009.05Ms18Ms32e 4-3Ms25e 3-4Ms33w 3-4Ms40e 5-2Ms25e 4-3Ms18w 11KotoekoSadogatake1991/11/20 (34)2007.03Ms19Ms31w 3-4Ms42w 5-2Ms26w 3-4Ms33e 2-5Ms46w 6-1Ms19w 6MasunoumiChiganoura1991/11/12 (35)2010.01Ms9Ms11w 2-5Ms28w 3-4Ms37e 5-2Ms21w 6-1Ms9e 2-5Ms21e 4KobaKise1991/03/12 (43)2013.03Ms25Jk6e 6-1Jd26w 6-1Sd64w 6-1Sd11w 6-1Ms31e 4-3Ms25e 7KomanokuniShibatayama1990/06/29 (51)2006.03Ms26Ms55e 5-2Ms38e 3-4Ms48e 5-2Ms30e 3-4Ms41e 5-2Ms26e 6TakatoshiTakanohana1990/04/19 (53)2009.01Ms10Ms13w 4-3Ms10w 3-4Ms17e 4-3Ms13e 3-4Ms20e 3-4Ms27w 3AkuaTatsunami1990/11/06 (45)2010.11Ms28Ms34e 2-5Ms51w 5-2Ms34w 3-4Ms41w 4-3Ms34w 4-3Ms28w 7SasakiyamaKise1991/06/12 (41)2010.01Ms19Sd1e 6-1Ms30e 5-2Ms19w 3-4Ms26e 4-3Ms22w 3-4Ms30e 6TakamisatoAzumazeki1990/03/30 (56)2005.03Ms33Ms52e 3-4Sd1w 4-3Ms52w 4-3Ms43w 3-4Ms50w 5-2Ms33e 5NogamiOguruma1990/08/15 (49)2009.01Ms15Ms23e 5-2Ms15w 1-6Ms44w 4-3Ms35w 4-3Ms27e 3-4Ms35w 5OnamiArashio1991/12/29 (31)2009.11Ms28Ms59w 2-5Sd18e 5-2Ms57e 5-2Ms36w 4-3Ms28e 3-4Ms37w 2HakunishikiKasugayama1992/01/13 (30)2007.03Ms38Ms56w 5-2Ms39w 2-5Sd2w 3-4Sd13e 5-2Ms50e 4-3Ms42w 17KawanariOguruma1991/07/07 (39)2007.03Ms1Ms14w 5-2Ms9e 4-3Ms8e 5-2Ms3e 3-4Ms6e 0-0-7Ms46w 4AmatsuOnomatsu1990/04/03 (55)2009.01Ms27Ms58w 6-1Ms27e 2-5Ms46e 3-4Ms58e 3-4Sd3w 4-2-1Ms55e 8TakageppoTakanohana1990/04/19 (53)2009.01Ms14Ms21e 2-5Ms38w 4-3Ms31e 3-2-2Ms37w 4-3Ms29e 1-6Ms56eNewDaishonadaOitekaze1991/12/08 (33)2010.03Ms60Sd56w 3-4Sd71e 5-2Sd45w 3-4Sd60w 4-3Sd48e 6-1Ms60w 6MatsubayamaKasugayama1991/06/13 (40)2007.03Ms40Sd41e 6-1Ms54e 3-4Sd7e 5-2Ms46e 4-3Ms40e 2-5Sd1e 2DaishoiwaOitekaze1990/10/29 (46)2006.03Ms36Ms57e 2-5Sd16w 4-3Sd6e 5-2Ms44w 3-4Ms51e 3-4Sd2e 2KotokenseiSadogatake1991/01/06 (44)2006.03Ms43Sd13w 0-0-7Sd73w 4-3Sd55w 4-3Sd37e 4-3Sd27e 5-2Sd4e 3KotofukujuSadogatake1991/12/14 (32)2007.03Ms17Ms42e 3-4Ms50e 0-0-7Sd32w 5-2Sd8w 4-3Ms58w 3-4Sd13w 2TsurunoumiTakadagawa1990/10/13 (47)2006.03Ms54Sd45w 4-3Sd29w 4-3Sd17w 5-2Ms54e 1-6Sd20w 3-4Sd33e 2OazumaTamanoi1990/05/10 (52)2006.05Ms53Ms53w 3-4Sd3w 4-3Ms54e 3-4Sd8e 3-4Sd21e 3-4Sd34w 0DaijoTakadagawa1991/07/19 (37)2007.03Ms53Sd47w 5-2Sd21e 3-4Sd37e 2-5Sd64w 3-4Sd83e 4-3Sd63w

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Haru 2014, Tier 4:

Ishiura gets his first shot at making it to juryo, and Higoarashi will want to capitalize on last basho's success. Fukugoriki has his last call as a prospect.

Heisei Hopefuls for Haru 2014 - Tier 4: Last Chance Saloon - Ms15+ Age 25 and under

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

7 Higoarashi Kise 1989/08/20 (62) 2006.05 Ms2 Ms7w 4-3 Ms5w 2-5 Ms18e 3-4 Ms24e 4-3 Ms21e 7-0 Y Ms2e
3 Ishiura Miyagino 1990/01/10 (59) 2013.01 Ms5 Jd8w 7-0 Y Sd17w 6-1 Ms41e 5-2 Ms25w 6-1 Ms11w 5-2 Ms5e
3 Mankajo Kasugayama 1990/02/10 (58) 2005.03 Ms6 Ms24w 4-3 Ms18e 3-4 Ms25e 5-2 Ms15e 4-3 Ms12e 5-2 Ms6e
3 Kansei Sakaigawa 1989/08/25 (61) 2008.03 Ms3 Ms27w 4-3 Ms22w 5-2 Ms14w 4-3 Ms9e 5-2 Ms3e 3-4 Ms6w
2 Iwasaki Kise 1989/06/11 (67) 2012.05 Ms8 Ms39w 5-2 Ms26e 4-3 Ms20w 4-3 Ms15w 4-3 Ms12w 4-3 Ms8w
4 Kyokutaisei Tomozuna 1989/10/18 (60) 2008.01 Ms11 Ms15e 3-4 Ms24e 6-1 Ms11w 3-4 Ms16w 3-4 Ms23e 5-2 Ms11e
5 Fukugoriki Arashio 1988/03/02 (72) 2005.11 Ms5 Ms10e 1-6 Ms33w 5-2 Ms21w 5-2 Ms10w 5-2 Ms5e 2-5 Ms14w
4 Dewahayate Dewanoumi 1989/01/31 (68) 2004.03 Ms5 Ms9w 4-3 Ms7w 4-3 Ms5e 2-5 Ms14w 4-3 Ms10w 3-4 Ms15w
0 Tochinosato Kasugano 1989/07/07 (65) 2008.03 Ms4 Sd16e 4-3 Sd5w 6-1 Ms32e 4-3 Ms25e 4-3 Ms21w 4-3 Ms16e
7 Irie Tamanoi 1988/07/15 (71) 2011.05 Ms3 Ms18w 5-2 Ms12e 5-2 Ms6e 4-3 Ms3w 3-4 Ms6w 2-5 Ms16w
0 Hokaho Miyagino 1989/06/21 (66) 2007.03 Ms11 Ms16e 2-5 Ms32w 4-3 Ms26e 3-4 Ms32w 2-5 Ms46e 5-2 Ms29e
0 Byakko Azumazeki 1989/07/11 (63) 2005.03 Ms13 Ms35w 5-2 Ms23w 4-3 Ms18w 1-6 Ms41e 3-4 Ms48w 4-3 Ms40w
0 Karatsuumi Tamanoi 1988/08/03 (70) 2004.03 Ms12 Ms37e 2-5 Ms55w 1-6 Sd28w 1-6 Sd65w 6-1 Sd10e 1-6 Sd45e
0 Hamaguchi Kise 1989/07/11 (63) 2012.05 Ms4 Ms8e 5-2 Ms4w 2-3-2 Ms16w 0-0-7 Ms56w 0-0-7 Sd37e 0-0-7 Sd98e
0 Takamai Takanohana 1988/09/29 (69) 2011.05 Ms7 Sd46w 4-3 Sd32w 4-3 Sd18w 0-4-3 Sd69e 0-0-7 Jd30e 3-4 Jd51w

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I have to say Horikiri seems impressively unfazed after moving up a whole banzuke division.

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Haru round-up:

Tier 1:

At last! Coming in as makushita tsukedashi Ichinojo has leapfrogged the entire field with back-to-back 6-1's to secure his juryo promotion and become our new yardstick rikishi for Natsu basho. He's one of the older candidates, however, and resets the yardstick age by only 6 months. Five rikishi have now lost their own shot at becoming the youngest active sekitori and will have to continue as Tier 2 rikishi.

It may not be long until we get another reset though, as Daieisho scored 5 wins with strong sumo and should have a realistic KK shot in the promotion zone next time. Tatsu is set to join him in the single-digit ranks with his 4-3, and Tsurubayashi will be making his debut in the top 15 ranks thanks to the same record.

Last basho's sandanme winner Horikiri just missed out on his kachikoshi, falling from 3-0 to 3-4. As usual the real litmus test will be his second makushita appearance in May - many rikishi who jumped straight into the high ranks have delivered a strong performance there and just narrowly missed the debut KK, only to be unable to follow up, eventually picking up several more MKs until they finally find their floor again somewhere much lower in the division. Here's hoping Horikiri avoids that fate.

On the other hand, a bit further down our youngest - and after Ichinojo and Daieisho quite possibly most promising - prospect achieved his 7th straight KK since turning pro and will also be close to (or possibly just inside) the top 15 zone - rather impressive considering he's still only 17 years old. Daishoho is another recent entrant to score a 5-2 at his career high, continuing his quick rise as well.

All in all it was a very successful basho for our top talents with only one rikishi among these 24 scoring fewer than 3 wins in the tournament. Lanky Mongolian Takakasuga topped the table in the win column with his 7-0 runner-up score, albeit in sandanme.

Heisei Hopefuls for Haru 2014 - Tier 1: Top Talents - current yardstick: Chiyootori (1992/10/11, debut 2008.05, shin-juryo 2012.03)

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

Ichinojo Minato 1993/04/07 (19) 2014.01 Ms3 [/td2] Ms15Td 6-1 Ms3w 6-1
Daieisho Oitekaze 1993/11/10 (13) 2012.01 Ms7 Sd7w 7-0 Y Ms11w 3-4 Ms17w 5-2 Ms8w 3-4 Ms13w 5-2 Ms7w 5-2
Tatsu Takadagawa 1994/06/01 (7) 2010.03 Ms11 Ms33e 3-4 Ms44e 4-3 Ms38e 4-3 Ms29w 5-2 Ms19e 4-3 Ms13e 4-3
Horikiri Shikoroyama 1994/05/04 (9) 2013.05 Ms13 Mz 3-1 Jk19e 6-1 Jd33w 7-0 Y Sd34e 4-3 Sd23w 7-0 Y Ms13w 3-4
Tsurubayashi Kise 1993/12/31 (10) 2009.03 Ms17 Ms60e 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd12e 6-1 Ms32e 5-2 Ms17e 4-3
Mitoyutaka Nishikido 1993/04/08 (18) 2009.03 Ms16 Ms41w 4-3 Ms34w 4-3 Ms28e 4-3 Ms21e 4-3 Ms16w 3-4 Ms23e 4-3
Sasanoyama Kise 1992/12/30 (22) 2011.05 Ms12 Ms29w 6-1 Ms12w 2-5 Ms24e 1-6 Ms50e 5-2 Ms29w 4-3 Ms23w 4-3
Terutsuyoshi Isegahama 1995/01/17 (4) 2010.03 Ms11 Ms19w 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms35w 5-2 Ms19e 5-2 Ms11e 2-5 Ms24e 3-4
Onosho Onomatsu 1996/07/04 (1) 2013.01 Ms28 Jd17e 6-1 Sd55e 6-1 Sd3w 4-3 Ms54w 5-2 Ms34e 4-3 Ms28e 5-2
Kotodaigo Sadogatake 1993/01/14 (21) 2011.05 Ms27 Sd23e 3-4 Sd37w 3-4 Sd54e 6-1 Sd3w 3-4 Sd13w 6-1 Ms36w 4-3
Aonosho Dewanoumi 1993/06/03 (17) 2009.03 Ms38 Sd19w 4-3 Sd7w 2-5 Sd31w 5-2 Sd7e 4-3 Ms56w 5-2 Ms38e 2-5
Akinoyama Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (23) 2008.03 Ms39 Sd3e 4-3 Ms53w 0-2-5 Sd30w 5-2 Sd6e 3-4 Sd18w 6-1 Ms39e 4-3
Shinohara Onomatsu 1993/08/21 (15) 2012.01 Ms41 Sd66w 3-4 Sd80w 6-1 Sd22w 4-3 Sd10e 4-3 Ms59w 5-2 Ms41e 3-4
Goshi Arashio 1993/10/05 (14) 2011.11 Ms7 Ms45e 3-1-3 Ms55e 7-0 Y Ms7e 2-5 Ms19w 2-5 Ms36w 3-4 Ms43w 4-3
Daishoho Oitekaze 1994/08/28 (6) 2013.03 Ms44 Jk5w 6-1 Jd26e 7-0 Y Sd33w 2-5 Sd58e 6-1 Sd5e 5-2 Ms44w 5-2
Akinokawa Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (23) 2008.03 Ms26 Sd1w 3-4 Sd13e 5-2 Ms53e 6-1 Ms26w 2-5 Ms42w 3-4 Ms50e 4-3
Chiyokiryu Kokonoe 1993/12/27 (11) 2012.03 Ms50 Sd46e 3-4 Sd61w 4-3 Sd44e 5-2 Sd16e 3-4 Sd30w 6-1 Ms50w 3-4
Masunosho Chiganoura 1994/11/14 (5) 2010.03 Ms18 Ms28e 4-3 Ms23e 2-5 Ms40e 3-4 Ms46w 2-5 Sd1e 4-3 Ms53e 4-3
Hakuyozan Takadagawa 1995/04/13 (3) 2011.05 Ms47 Sd33w 5-2 Sd7e 3-4 Sd19e 5-2 Ms56e 4-3 Ms47e 3-4 Ms57e 5-2
Meisei Tatsunami 1995/07/24 (2) 2011.05 Ms51 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59w 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd8e 4-3 Ms58w 3-4
Ohara Shikoroyama 1993/12/14 (12) 2009.03 Ms59 Sd62w 6-1 Sd8w 3-4 Sd21e 4-3 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59e 2-5 Sd21w 6-1
Kaidonami Tatsunami 1993/07/08 (16) 2009.03 Ms20 Ms25w 4-3 Ms20e 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms34e 0-7 Sd9w 2-5 Sd31w 4-3
Baraki Shikihide 1994/05/10 (8) 2013.01 Ms58 Jd24e 5-2 Sd89w 3-4 Jd10e 4-3 Sd90w 7-0 D Ms58e 0-7 Sd34e 3-4
Takakasuga Kasugayama 1993/03/06 (20) 2011.07 Ms60 Sd50e 4-3 Sd34w 5-2 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 2-5 Sd20e 2-5 Sd42w 7-0 D

Sasanoyama, Kotodaigo and the Aki twins all finish the Tier 1 part of their careers with a 4-3 kachikoshi and will continue in Tier 2, as will zensho Takakasuga.

And reinforcements are already on the way:

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

Ikeru Onomatsu 1992/11/26 2010.11 Sd12 Mz 3-1 Jk19w 7-0 Y Jd14w 5-2 Sd80e 6-1 Sd24w 4-3 Sd12e 5-2
Kaito Asakayama 1996/06/19 2012.05 Sd11 Sd81w 6-1 Sd23w 1-6 Sd64e 6-1 Sd11e 2-5 Sd34e 4-3 Sd21e 5-2
Daichi Shikoroyama 1994/07/15 2010.03 Sd22 Sd34e 3-4 Sd48e 3-4 Sd67e 4-3 Sd48e 5-2 Sd22w 2-5 Sd44w 6-1

Ikeru qualifies under the old Chiyootori yardstick but only makes a virtual entrance to the top tier as he's older than Ichinojo and will have his actual prospect debut at level two. Most people reading this thread are probably aware of his exploits to date - he's a small but aggressive technician who's already had his career rebooted twice by major injuries. 20 tournaments into his career he's only completed 10 of them while banzuke-ranked, but those were all kachikoshi; the latest string has brought him straight from maezumo to makushita. It remains to be seen if he's able to avoid physical problems now, but even if he does he'll have his work cut out to become a sekitori.

Coming into the top prospect ranks is another major talent who's set to become the second-youngest makushita rikishi after Onosho. Kaito is the undoubted crown jewel of ex-Kaio's thus far modest recruitment results. His style is currently fairly focussed on oshi-zumo, but he looks quite raw to me (an area in which he differs markedly from Onosho) so it's possible his sumo will still go through some changes on the way up. Kaito did hit the wall quite hard in upper sandanme last year and I don't think it's assured that he's already competitive in makushita.

Joining him is Shikoroyama-beya's Daichi, a rikishi I've been keeping track of in a loose fashion ever since he debuted four years ago. He's another member of the (increasing, it seems) breed of hyper-aggressive tsuki-oshi practitioners, though unlike most others he's fairly tall at over 180 cm. Quite like most of the others his sumo style is susceptible to losses from advantageous positions though (the dreaded "snatching defeat from the jaws of victory" syndrome). He looked like a pretty big prospect when he reached sandanme as a 17-year-old, but has seemed to find the fourth division a tough nut to crack, with Sd44w for his 6-1 in the just-concluded basho the highest rank he's ever KK'd on, and this after more than 2 years. Physically he does look about ready for makushita, so perhaps this was a breakout performance, not just a fluke.

---

And a quick look at what was left of Tier 2:

Meh. Do I really need to write anything here? ;-) Mediocre results all around, and I must admit I'm not too sad to see nearly all of them - except Tochimaru - drop down to Tier 3. Let's not forget, this level is supposed to be fairly star-studded, containing rikishi who are just a little bit too old to become a new youngest sekitori, but after Osunaarashi and Terunofuji reached juryo last year and Kawanari turned 22 it became slim pickings here. (Incidentally, not just among those who had already reached makushita - the rikishi in this age bracket with a high rank in sandanme weren't anything to write home about in the last few tournaments either, hence no "native" newcomers since last July.)

Heisei Hopefuls for Haru 2014 - Tier 2: Promising Youngsters - Age 21 and under

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

Matsumoto Shikoroyama 1992/03/10 (29) 2007.03 Ms16 Ms28w 5-2 Ms16w 2-5 Ms30w 2-5 Ms47e 4-3 Ms40w 5-2 Ms25w 3-4
Tochimaru Kasugano 1992/08/26 (25) 2011.05 Ms23 Ms50e 4-3 Ms43e 4-3 Ms36w 2-5 Ms52w 6-1 Ms23w 1-6 Ms48w 3-4
Aiyama Kitanoumi 1992/03/23 (28) 2007.03 Ms52 Sd24e 4-3 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 4-3 Ms52e 1-6 Sd16w 5-2 Ms56w 3-4
Wakayama Onomatsu 1992/04/26 (26) 2011.07 Ms56 Sd74w 5-2 Sd42e 6-1 Ms56w 1-6 Sd32e 4-3 Sd23e 4-3 Sd10w 3-4
Tomisakae Isegahama 1992/04/11 (27) 2008.03 Ms50 Sd7e 4-3 Ms56w 4-3 Ms50w 3-4 Sd4w 2-5 Sd25w 4-3 Sd13e 4-3

So, for the next basho this section will consist of Tochimaru and the 6 talents coming in from Tier 1. Still won't feature anybody who looks like a short-term threat towards juryo, but at least it won't be dominated by rikishi who are fighting to remain makushita-ranked.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Time to add the other half of the Haru summaries...

Tier 3:

Nothing new with Kairyu (does that rhyme? Oww...), yet another appearance in the single-digit ranks ended with a big makekoshi. Tier #2 Nishikigi hasn't quite established himself in the top ranks, and he won't for now as he also scored a 2-5. Both will make way in the top ten ranks for a quartet of strong Haru performers - Kotokobai stormed to a 5-0 start and finished with 6 wins for the first time in makushita, his stablemate Kotoeko surprised with his second successive 6-1 record, tsukedashi rookie Kawabata had a credible 5-2 debut, and future yokozuna ;-) Chiyoshoma also posted 5 wins. All four of them did it at career-high ranks, too.

Not a lot of especially notable results in the lower ranks, but worthy of a spotlight are Onami's strong 5 wins in the middle of the division. Kawanari scored a 6-1 in his return from a one-basho absence, and if it hadn't been for Tochinoshin timing his return for the same tournament he might well have gone zensho. Lastly, prospect newcomer Daishonada had a 4-3 in his makushita debut.

Heisei Hopefuls for Haru 2014 - Tier 3: Still Worth Watching - Age 23 and under

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

Kairyu Dewanoumi 1990/03/01 (57) 2005.03 Ms3 Ms18e 4-3 Ms15e 6-1 Ms3w 3-4 Ms7e 1-6 Ms26e 6-1 Ms8e 2-5
Nishikigi Isenoumi 1990/08/25 (48) 2006.03 Ms3 Ms14e 5-2 Ms8w 3-4 Ms15e 4-3 Ms10e 3-4 Ms16e 4-3 Ms10w 2-5
Kawabata Oitekaze 1991/07/10 (38) 2014.03 Ms15 [/td2]
Ms15Td 5-2KotokobaiSadogatake1991/03/31 (42)2006.03Ms17Ms41e 5-2Ms28e 4-3Ms23e 4-3Ms17w 2-5Ms33w 5-2Ms17w 6-1ChiyosakaeKokonoe1990/07/12 (50)2009.01Ms18Ms46w 5-2Ms32e 3-4Ms42e 4-3Ms32e 4-3Ms24w 4-3Ms18e 3-4ChiyoshomaKokonoe1991/07/20 (36)2009.05Ms18Ms32e 4-3Ms25e 3-4Ms33w 3-4Ms40e 5-2Ms25e 4-3Ms18w 5-2KotoekoSadogatake1991/11/20 (34)2007.03Ms19Ms31w 3-4Ms42w 5-2Ms26w 3-4Ms33e 2-5Ms46w 6-1Ms19w 6-1MasunoumiChiganoura1991/11/12 (35)2010.01Ms9Ms11w 2-5Ms28w 3-4Ms37e 5-2Ms21w 6-1Ms9e 2-5Ms21e 4-3KobaKise1991/03/12 (43)2013.03Ms25Jk6e 6-1Jd26w 6-1Sd64w 6-1Sd11w 6-1Ms31e 4-3Ms25e 3-4KomanokuniShibatayama1990/06/29 (51)2006.03Ms26Ms55e 5-2Ms38e 3-4Ms48e 5-2Ms30e 3-4Ms41e 5-2Ms26e 3-4TakatoshiTakanohana1990/04/19 (53)2009.01Ms10Ms13w 4-3Ms10w 3-4Ms17e 4-3Ms13e 3-4Ms20e 3-4Ms27w 5-2AkuaTatsunami1990/11/06 (45)2010.11Ms28Ms34e 2-5Ms51w 5-2Ms34w 3-4Ms41w 4-3Ms34w 4-3Ms28w 2-5SasakiyamaKise1991/06/12 (41)2010.01Ms19Sd1e 6-1Ms30e 5-2Ms19w 3-4Ms26e 4-3Ms22w 3-4Ms30e 4-3TakamisatoAzumazeki1990/03/30 (56)2005.03Ms33Ms52e 3-4Sd1w 4-3Ms52w 4-3Ms43w 3-4Ms50w 5-2Ms33e 2-5NogamiOguruma1990/08/15 (49)2009.01Ms15Ms23e 5-2Ms15w 1-6Ms44w 4-3Ms35w 4-3Ms27e 3-4Ms35w 2-5OnamiArashio1991/12/29 (31)2009.11Ms28Ms59w 2-5Sd18e 5-2Ms57e 5-2Ms36w 4-3Ms28e 3-4Ms37w 5-2HakunishikiKasugayama1992/01/13 (30)2007.03Ms38Ms56w 5-2Ms39w 2-5Sd2w 3-4Sd13e 5-2Ms50e 4-3Ms42w 4-3KawanariOguruma1991/07/07 (39)2007.03Ms1Ms14w 5-2Ms9e 4-3Ms8e 5-2Ms3e 3-4Ms6e 0-0-7Ms46w 6-1AmatsuOnomatsu1990/04/03 (55)2009.01Ms27Ms58w 6-1Ms27e 2-5Ms46e 3-4Ms58e 3-4Sd3w 4-2-1Ms55e 4-3TakageppoTakanohana1990/04/19 (53)2009.01Ms14Ms21e 2-5Ms38w 4-3Ms31e 3-2-2Ms37w 4-3Ms29e 1-6Ms56e 1-6DaishonadaOitekaze1991/12/08 (33)2010.03Ms60Sd56w 3-4Sd71e 5-2Sd45w 3-4Sd60w 4-3Sd48e 6-1Ms60w 4-3MatsubayamaKasugayama1991/06/13 (40)2007.03Ms40Sd41e 6-1Ms54e 3-4Sd7e 5-2Ms46e 4-3Ms40e 2-5Sd1e 5-2DaishoiwaOitekaze1990/10/29 (46)2006.03Ms36Ms57e 2-5Sd16w 4-3Sd6e 5-2Ms44w 3-4Ms51e 3-4Sd2e 3-4KotokenseiSadogatake1991/01/06 (44)2006.03Ms43Sd13w 0-0-7Sd73w 4-3Sd55w 4-3Sd37e 4-3Sd27e 5-2Sd4e 5-2KotofukujuSadogatake1991/12/14 (32)2007.03Ms17Ms42e 3-4Ms50e 0-0-7Sd32w 5-2Sd8w 4-3Ms58w 3-4Sd13w 5-2TsurunoumiTakadagawa1990/10/13 (47)2006.03Ms54Sd45w 4-3Sd29w 4-3Sd17w 5-2Ms54e 1-6Sd20w 3-4Sd33e 4-3OazumaTamanoi1990/05/10 (52)2006.05Ms53Ms53w 3-4Sd3w 4-3Ms54e 3-4Sd8e 3-4Sd21e 3-4Sd34w 5-2DaijoTakadagawa1991/07/19 (37)2007.03Ms53Sd47w 5-2Sd21e 3-4Sd37e 2-5Sd64w 3-4Sd83e 4-3Sd63w 4-3

And here comes what looks like the fluke of the year as our newest prospect:

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

Yoshifuji Isegahama 1991/12/25 2010.01 Sd37 Sd48w 2-5 Sd74e 4-3 Sd57w 3-4 Sd72w 4-3 Sd55w 4-3 Sd37e 6-1

That was Yoshifuji's very first KK in the upper half of sandanme, coming after three years in the division. Although he's still just 22, that was a bit long as a development phase - if he wants to make something of himself he really needs to become a makushita regular right away now.

As mentioned earlier, it's off to Tier 4 for Kairyu and the twins Takatoshi and Takageppo, while Amatsu and Takamisato are leaving us.

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Tier 4:

Higoarashi finished off his promotion opportunity with a respectable 3-4 score, but with a makekoshi already after five bouts he didn't get all that close to sekitori status. We're still not much closer to knowing if he's really a top makushita/low juryo caliber rikishi now or just fluked that zensho in January. The next pair of well-aged prospects who'll get a shot are Ishiura (still riding his debut KK streak) and Kyokutaisei who stunned with 6 wins at his career high position.

Heisei Hopefuls for Haru 2014 - Tier 4: Last Chance Saloon - Ms15+ Age 25 and under

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.05

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

Higoarashi Kise 1989/08/20 (62) 2006.05 Ms2 Ms7w 4-3 Ms5w 2-5 Ms18e 3-4 Ms24e 4-3 Ms21e 7-0 Y Ms2e 3-4
Ishiura Miyagino 1990/01/10 (59) 2013.01 Ms5 Jd8w 7-0 Y Sd17w 6-1 Ms41e 5-2 Ms25w 6-1 Ms11w 5-2 Ms5e 4-3
Mankajo Kasugayama 1990/02/10 (58) 2005.03 Ms6 Ms24w 4-3 Ms18e 3-4 Ms25e 5-2 Ms15e 4-3 Ms12e 5-2 Ms6e 2-5
Kansei Sakaigawa 1989/08/25 (61) 2008.03 Ms3 Ms27w 4-3 Ms22w 5-2 Ms14w 4-3 Ms9e 5-2 Ms3e 3-4 Ms6w 0-3-4
Iwasaki Kise 1989/06/11 (67) 2012.05 Ms8 Ms39w 5-2 Ms26e 4-3 Ms20w 4-3 Ms15w 4-3 Ms12w 4-3 Ms8w 4-3
Kyokutaisei Tomozuna 1989/10/18 (60) 2008.01 Ms11 Ms15e 3-4 Ms24e 6-1 Ms11w 3-4 Ms16w 3-4 Ms23e 5-2 Ms11e 6-1
Fukugoriki Arashio 1988/03/02 (72) 2005.11 Ms5 Ms10e 1-6 Ms33w 5-2 Ms21w 5-2 Ms10w 5-2 Ms5e 2-5 Ms14w 3-4
Dewahayate Dewanoumi 1989/01/31 (68) 2004.03 Ms5 Ms9w 4-3 Ms7w 4-3 Ms5e 2-5 Ms14w 4-3 Ms10w 3-4 Ms15w 4-3
Tochinosato Kasugano 1989/07/07 (65) 2008.03 Ms4 Sd16e 4-3 Sd5w 6-1 Ms32e 4-3 Ms25e 4-3 Ms21w 4-3 Ms16e 3-4
Irie Tamanoi 1988/07/15 (71) 2011.05 Ms3 Ms18w 5-2 Ms12e 5-2 Ms6e 4-3 Ms3w 3-4 Ms6w 2-5 Ms16w 2-5
Hokaho Miyagino 1989/06/21 (66) 2007.03 Ms11 Ms16e 2-5 Ms32w 4-3 Ms26e 3-4 Ms32w 2-5 Ms46e 5-2 Ms29e 3-4
Byakko Azumazeki 1989/07/11 (63) 2005.03 Ms13 Ms35w 5-2 Ms23w 4-3 Ms18w 1-6 Ms41e 3-4 Ms48w 4-3 Ms40w 2-5
Karatsuumi Tamanoi 1988/08/03 (70) 2004.03 Ms12 Ms37e 2-5 Ms55w 1-6 Sd28w 1-6 Sd65w 6-1 Sd10e 1-6 Sd45e 5-2
Hamaguchi Kise 1989/07/11 (63) 2012.05 Ms4 Ms8e 5-2 Ms4w 2-3-2 Ms16w 0-0-7 Ms56w 0-0-7 Sd37e 0-0-7 Sd98e 0-0-7
Takamai Takanohana 1988/09/29 (69) 2011.05 Ms7 Sd46w 4-3 Sd32w 4-3 Sd18w 0-4-3 Sd69e 0-0-7 Jd30e 3-4 Jd51w 4-3

I'm still hopeful to see Fukugoriki in juryo one day, but having turned 26 he has exhausted his prospect eligibility now so it's goodbyes for him.

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New lineups...

Natsu 2014, Tier 1:

Even with Ichinojo as the new yardstick rikishi there's still no shortage of nominal top talents. Daieisho has a good chance to cause the next reset, likely needing just 4 wins to get promoted from his position. Tatsu has made it into the single-digit ranks for the first time, on the back of 5 straight KKs, while Onosho ended up just outside the extended promotion zone after all.

Tatsunami-beya's Kaidonami has changed his shikona to Haguroho.

Heisei Hopefuls for Natsu 2014 - Tier 1: Top Talents - current yardstick: Ichinojo (1993/04/07, debut 2014.01, shin-juryo 2014.05)

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

2014.05

0 Daieisho Oitekaze 1993/11/10 (15) 2012.01 Ms2 Ms11w 3-4 Ms17w 5-2 Ms8w 3-4 Ms13w 5-2 Ms7w 5-2 Ms2e
0 Tatsu Takadagawa 1994/06/01 (9) 2010.03 Ms9 Ms44e 4-3 Ms38e 4-3 Ms29w 5-2 Ms19e 4-3 Ms13e 4-3 Ms9w
1 Tsurubayashi Kise 1993/12/31 (12) 2009.03 Ms12 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd12e 6-1 Ms32e 5-2 Ms17e 4-3 Ms12w
3 Onosho Onomatsu 1996/07/04 (1) 2013.01 Ms16 Sd55e 6-1 Sd3w 4-3 Ms54w 5-2 Ms34e 4-3 Ms28e 5-2 Ms16e
0 Mitoyutaka Nishikido 1993/04/08 (20) 2009.03 Ms16 Ms34w 4-3 Ms28e 4-3 Ms21e 4-3 Ms16w 3-4 Ms23e 4-3 Ms17e
3 Horikiri Shikoroyama 1994/05/04 (11) 2013.05 Ms13 Jk19e 6-1 Jd33w 7-0 Y Sd34e 4-3 Sd23w 7-0 Y Ms13w 3-4 Ms18e
4 Daishoho Oitekaze 1994/08/28 (7) 2013.03 Ms31 Jd26e 7-0 Y Sd33w 2-5 Sd58e 6-1 Sd5e 5-2 Ms44w 5-2 Ms31w
2 Terutsuyoshi Isegahama 1995/01/17 (5) 2010.03 Ms11 Ms27w 3-4 Ms35w 5-2 Ms19e 5-2 Ms11e 2-5 Ms24e 3-4 Ms32e
1 Goshi Arashio 1993/10/05 (16) 2011.11 Ms7 Ms55e 7-0 Y Ms7e 2-5 Ms19w 2-5 Ms36w 3-4 Ms43w 4-3 Ms37e
7 Ohara Shikoroyama 1993/12/14 (14) 2009.03 Ms41 Sd8w 3-4 Sd21e 4-3 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59e 2-5 Sd21w 6-1 Ms41e
3 Hakuyozan Takadagawa 1995/04/13 (4) 2011.05 Ms43 Sd7e 3-4 Sd19e 5-2 Ms56e 4-3 Ms47e 3-4 Ms57e 5-2 Ms43e
1 Masunosho Chiganoura 1994/11/14 (6) 2010.03 Ms18 Ms23e 2-5 Ms40e 3-4 Ms46w 2-5 Sd1e 4-3 Ms53e 4-3 Ms46e
4 Shinohara Onomatsu 1993/08/21 (17) 2012.01 Ms41 Sd80w 6-1 Sd22w 4-3 Sd10e 4-3 Ms59w 5-2 Ms41e 3-4 Ms49e
New Daichi Shikoroyama 1994/07/15 (8) 2010.03 Ms57 Sd48e 3-4 Sd67e 4-3 Sd48e 5-2 Sd22w 2-5 Sd44w 6-1 Ms57e
New Kaito Asakayama 1996/06/19 (2) 2012.05 Ms59 Sd23w 1-6 Sd64e 6-1 Sd11e 2-5 Sd34e 4-3 Sd21e 5-2 Ms59e
8 Aonosho Dewanoumi 1993/06/03 (19) 2009.03 Ms38 Sd7w 2-5 Sd31w 5-2 Sd7e 4-3 Ms56w 5-2 Ms38e 2-5 Sd1e
5 Chiyokiryu Kokonoe 1993/12/27 (13) 2012.03 Ms50 Sd61w 4-3 Sd44e 5-2 Sd16e 3-4 Sd30w 6-1 Ms50w 3-4 Sd4e
3 Meisei Tatsunami 1995/07/24 (3) 2011.05 Ms51 Ms59w 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd8e 4-3 Ms58w 3-4 Sd14e
1 Haguroho Tatsunami 1993/07/08 (18) 2009.03 Ms20 Ms20e 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms34e 0-7 Sd9w 2-5 Sd31w 4-3 Sd17w
1 Baraki Shikihide 1994/05/10 (10) 2013.01 Ms58 Sd89w 3-4 Jd10e 4-3 Sd90w 7-0 D Ms58e 0-7 Sd34e 3-4 Sd51w

Natsu 2014, Tier 2:

Ichinojo's promotion narrowly saved this section from extinction. Sasanoyama is back in the Ms10's for the third time - his first foray into this area was interrupted by a missed tournament, his second attempt resulted in a 2-5, 1-6 crash. Let's hope the third time's the charm for him. Takakasuya has made taken the big 7-0 jump and will likely have his hands full in mid-makushita.

Heisei Hopefuls for Natsu 2014 - Tier 2: Promising Youngsters - Age 21 and under

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

2014.05

0 Sasanoyama Kise 1992/12/30 (23) 2011.05 Ms12 Ms12w 2-5 Ms24e 1-6 Ms50e 5-2 Ms29w 4-3 Ms23w 4-3 Ms17w
5 Takakasuga Kasugayama 1993/03/06 (21) 2011.07 Ms30 Sd34w 5-2 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 2-5 Sd20e 2-5 Sd42w 7-0 D Ms30e
1 Kotodaigo Sadogatake 1993/01/14 (22) 2011.05 Ms27 Sd37w 3-4 Sd54e 6-1 Sd3w 3-4 Sd13w 6-1 Ms36w 4-3 Ms31e
1 Akinoyama Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (24) 2008.03 Ms33 Ms53w 0-2-5 Sd30w 5-2 Sd6e 3-4 Sd18w 6-1 Ms39e 4-3 Ms33w
0 Akinokawa Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (24) 2008.03 Ms26 Sd13e 5-2 Ms53e 6-1 Ms26w 2-5 Ms42w 3-4 Ms50e 4-3 Ms42e
New Ikeru Onomatsu 1992/11/26 (26) 2010.11 Ms53 Jk19w 7-0 Y Jd14w 5-2 Sd80e 6-1 Sd24w 4-3 Sd12e 5-2 Ms53e
3 Tochimaru Kasugano 1992/08/26 (27) 2011.05 Ms23 Ms43e 4-3 Ms36w 2-5 Ms52w 6-1 Ms23w 1-6 Ms48w 3-4 Sd3e
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Natsu 2014, Tier 3:

Nobody in the promotion range, but it should be interesting to see how the top 4 can follow up on their strong Haru performances. Kawanari's the other one who may be one to watch as he's still quite a bit off his pre-injury position.

Heisei Hopefuls for Natsu 2014 - Tier 3: Still Worth Watching - Age 23 and under

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

2014.05

2 Kotokobai Sadogatake 1991/03/31 (45) 2006.03 Ms7 Ms28e 4-3 Ms23e 4-3 Ms17w 2-5 Ms33w 5-2 Ms17w 6-1 Ms7e
4 Kotoeko Sadogatake 1991/11/20 (37) 2007.03 Ms8 Ms42w 5-2 Ms26w 3-4 Ms33e 2-5 Ms46w 6-1 Ms19w 6-1 Ms8e
1 Kawabata Oitekaze 1991/07/10 (41) 2014.03 Ms8 [/td2] Ms15Td 5-2 Ms8w
1 Chiyoshoma Kokonoe 1991/07/20 (39) 2009.05 Ms10 Ms25e 3-4 Ms33w 3-4 Ms40e 5-2 Ms25e 4-3 Ms18w 5-2 Ms10e
2 Masunoumi Chiganoura 1991/11/12 (38) 2010.01 Ms9 Ms28w 3-4 Ms37e 5-2 Ms21w 6-1 Ms9e 2-5 Ms21e 4-3 Ms14w
10 Kawanari Oguruma 1991/07/07 (42) 2007.03 Ms1 Ms9e 4-3 Ms8e 5-2 Ms3e 3-4 Ms6e 0-0-7 Ms46w 6-1 Ms20w
6 Nishikigi Isenoumi 1990/08/25 (51) 2006.03 Ms3 Ms8w 3-4 Ms15e 4-3 Ms10e 3-4 Ms16e 4-3 Ms10w 2-5 Ms22w
6 Onami Arashio 1991/12/29 (33) 2009.11 Ms23 Sd18e 5-2 Ms57e 5-2 Ms36w 4-3 Ms28e 3-4 Ms37w 5-2 Ms23w
5 Chiyosakae Kokonoe 1990/07/12 (53) 2009.01 Ms18 Ms32e 3-4 Ms42e 4-3 Ms32e 4-3 Ms24w 4-3 Ms18e 3-4 Ms26e
2 Sasakiyama Kise 1991/06/12 (44) 2010.01 Ms19 Ms30e 5-2 Ms19w 3-4 Ms26e 4-3 Ms22w 3-4 Ms30e 4-3 Ms26w
3 Koba Kise 1991/03/12 (46) 2013.03 Ms25 Jd26w 6-1 Sd64w 6-1 Sd11w 6-1 Ms31e 4-3 Ms25e 3-4 Ms33e
3 Matsumoto Shikoroyama 1992/03/10 (31) 2007.03 Ms16 Ms16w 2-5 Ms30w 2-5 Ms47e 4-3 Ms40w 5-2 Ms25w 3-4 Ms34e
3 Komanokuni Shibatayama 1990/06/29 (54) 2006.03 Ms26 Ms38e 3-4 Ms48e 5-2 Ms30e 3-4 Ms41e 5-2 Ms26e 3-4 Ms35e
1 Hakunishiki Kasugayama 1992/01/13 (32) 2007.03 Ms35 Ms39w 2-5 Sd2w 3-4 Sd13e 5-2 Ms50e 4-3 Ms42w 4-3 Ms35w
4 Matsubayama Kasugayama 1991/06/13 (43) 2007.03 Ms40 Ms54e 3-4 Sd7e 5-2 Ms46e 4-3 Ms40e 2-5 Sd1e 5-2 Ms45w
5 Kotokensei Sadogatake 1991/01/06 (47) 2006.03 Ms43 Sd73w 4-3 Sd55w 4-3 Sd37e 4-3 Sd27e 5-2 Sd4e 5-2 Ms47w
6 Akua Tatsunami 1990/11/06 (48) 2010.11 Ms28 Ms51w 5-2 Ms34w 3-4 Ms41w 4-3 Ms34w 4-3 Ms28w 2-5 Ms48e
New Yoshifuji Isegahama 1991/12/25 (34) 2010.01 Ms52 Sd74e 4-3 Sd57w 3-4 Sd72w 4-3 Sd55w 4-3 Sd37e 6-1 Ms52w
1 Daishonada Oitekaze 1991/12/08 (36) 2010.03 Ms53 Sd71e 5-2 Sd45w 3-4 Sd60w 4-3 Sd48e 6-1 Ms60w 4-3 Ms53w
4 Kotofukuju Sadogatake 1991/12/14 (35) 2007.03 Ms17 Ms50e 0-0-7 Sd32w 5-2 Sd8w 4-3 Ms58w 3-4 Sd13w 5-2 Ms54w
8 Nogami Oguruma 1990/08/15 (52) 2009.01 Ms15 Ms15w 1-6 Ms44w 4-3 Ms35w 4-3 Ms27e 3-4 Ms35w 2-5 Ms55e
1 Tomisakae Isegahama 1992/04/11 (29) 2008.03 Ms50 Ms56w 4-3 Ms50w 3-4 Sd4w 2-5 Sd25w 4-3 Sd13e 4-3 Sd3w
3 Oazuma Tamanoi 1990/05/10 (55) 2006.05 Ms53 Sd3w 4-3 Ms54e 3-4 Sd8e 3-4 Sd21e 3-4 Sd34w 5-2 Sd9e
7 Aiyama Kitanoumi 1992/03/23 (30) 2007.03 Ms52 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 4-3 Ms52e 1-6 Sd16w 5-2 Ms56w 3-4 Sd11w
5 Daishoiwa Oitekaze 1990/10/29 (49) 2006.03 Ms36 Sd16w 4-3 Sd6e 5-2 Ms44w 3-4 Ms51e 3-4 Sd2e 3-4 Sd20e
1 Tsurunoumi Takadagawa 1990/10/13 (50) 2006.03 Ms54 Sd29w 4-3 Sd17w 5-2 Ms54e 1-6 Sd20w 3-4 Sd33e 4-3 Sd23e
5 Wakayama Onomatsu 1992/04/26 (28) 2011.07 Ms56 Sd42e 6-1 Ms56w 1-6 Sd32e 4-3 Sd23e 4-3 Sd10w 3-4 Sd28e
0 Daijo Takadagawa 1991/07/19 (40) 2007.03 Ms53 Sd21e 3-4 Sd37e 2-5 Sd64w 3-4 Sd83e 4-3 Sd63w 4-3 Sd51e

Komanokuni and Oazuma are turning 24 and as they're quite unlikely to reach the top 15 makushita ranks by next basho they'll have to leave us.

Edited by Asashosakari

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Natsu 2014, Tier 4:

No less than 4 promotion candidates here, although the Kise-beya pair are likely to need 6 wins from their ranks.

Heisei Hopefuls for Natsu 2014 - Tier 4: Last Chance Saloon - Ms15+ Age 25 and under

+/-

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

2014.05

1 Ishiura Miyagino 1990/01/10 (60) 2013.01 Ms2 Sd17w 6-1 Ms41e 5-2 Ms25w 6-1 Ms11w 5-2 Ms5e 4-3 Ms2w
5 Kyokutaisei Tomozuna 1989/10/18 (61) 2008.01 Ms3 Ms24e 6-1 Ms11w 3-4 Ms16w 3-4 Ms23e 5-2 Ms11e 6-1 Ms3w
3 Iwasaki Kise 1989/06/11 (68) 2012.05 Ms5 Ms26e 4-3 Ms20w 4-3 Ms15w 4-3 Ms12w 4-3 Ms8w 4-3 Ms5e
3 Higoarashi Kise 1989/08/20 (63) 2006.05 Ms2 Ms5w 2-5 Ms18e 3-4 Ms24e 4-3 Ms21e 7-0 Y Ms2e 3-4 Ms5w
3 Dewahayate Dewanoumi 1989/01/31 (69) 2004.03 Ms5 Ms7w 4-3 Ms5e 2-5 Ms14w 4-3 Ms10w 3-4 Ms15w 4-3 Ms11w
5 Takatoshi Takanohana 1990/04/19 (56) 2009.01 Ms10 Ms10w 3-4 Ms17e 4-3 Ms13e 3-4 Ms20e 3-4 Ms27w 5-2 Ms15e
4 Mankajo Kasugayama 1990/02/10 (59) 2005.03 Ms6 Ms18e 3-4 Ms25e 5-2 Ms15e 4-3 Ms12e 5-2 Ms6e 2-5 Ms16w
3 Kairyu Dewanoumi 1990/03/01 (58) 2005.03 Ms3 Ms15e 6-1 Ms3w 3-4 Ms7e 1-6 Ms26e 6-1 Ms8e 2-5 Ms19w
0 Tochinosato Kasugano 1989/07/07 (66) 2008.03 Ms4 Sd5w 6-1 Ms32e 4-3 Ms25e 4-3 Ms21w 4-3 Ms16e 3-4 Ms23e
0 Irie Tamanoi 1988/07/15 (72) 2011.05 Ms3 Ms12e 5-2 Ms6e 4-3 Ms3w 3-4 Ms6w 2-5 Ms16w 2-5 Ms30w
1 Hokaho Miyagino 1989/06/21 (67) 2007.03 Ms11 Ms32w 4-3 Ms26e 3-4 Ms32w 2-5 Ms46e 5-2 Ms29e 3-4 Ms38e
8 Kansei Sakaigawa 1989/08/25 (62) 2008.03 Ms3 Ms22w 5-2 Ms14w 4-3 Ms9e 5-2 Ms3e 3-4 Ms6w 0-3-4 Ms41w
0 Byakko Azumazeki 1989/07/11 (64) 2005.03 Ms13 Ms23w 4-3 Ms18w 1-6 Ms41e 3-4 Ms48w 4-3 Ms40w 2-5 Sd4w
1 Karatsuumi Tamanoi 1988/08/03 (71) 2004.03 Ms12 Ms55w 1-6 Sd28w 1-6 Sd65w 6-1 Sd10e 1-6 Sd45e 5-2 Sd19e
1 Takageppo Takanohana 1990/04/19 (56) 2009.01 Ms14 Ms38w 4-3 Ms31e 3-2-2 Ms37w 4-3 Ms29e 1-6 Ms56e 1-6 Sd33e
1 Takamai Takanohana 1988/09/29 (70) 2011.05 Ms7 Sd32w 4-3 Sd18w 0-4-3 Sd69e 0-0-7 Jd30e 3-4 Jd51w 4-3 Jd26w
1 Hamaguchi Kise 1989/07/11 (64) 2012.05 Ms4 Ms4w 2-3-2 Ms16w 0-0-7 Ms56w 0-0-7 Sd37e 0-0-7 Sd98e 0-0-7 Jd58w

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Natsu summeries summaries, with the first prospect double-promotion since Wakamisho/Chiyomaru five tournaments ago...

Tier 1:

Ichinojo's reign as the youngest sekitori will be coming to a quick end as Daieisho pulverized most of the competition this basho, his only loss having come in a quick pulldown by fellow promotee Kyokutaisei. Unlike several other recent high-school entrants with similar pedigrees, the 20-year-old Saitama Sakae grad and former National Inter-High semifinalist has avoided getting stuck in upper-mid makushita, only suffering a temporary two-MK setback upon his makushita debut a little over a year ago. His preferred fighting style hasn't had to change much since that debut, which is a good sign - it's still the same aggressive tsuki-oshi with a sprinkling of pulldowns where useful as a follow-up. Overall he reminds me a bit of Shohozan, though with added physical and a lot more age upside. One thing he seems especially adept at - at least against the level of competition he's faced so far - is keeping his opponent right in front of him for his pushing attack; he's rarely been caught out by bad footwork. Needless to say, if he manages to avoid injury, we're looking at a very likely future joi-jin regular at a minimum here.

It's a pretty exciting time for high-level prospect watching even with Daieisho reaching the sekitori ranks: Onosho (three years younger than Daieisho, I remind you) continues to be unstoppable, posting 5 wins for his 8th straight KK since debut, Horikiri avoided the post-yusho sophomore jinx and also went 5-2 to firmly establish himself in high makushita, and even Tatsu posted another kachikoshi, although he still has to fight hard for every win at this level and still tends to look pretty bad in his losses. All three should be in the top 10 ranks next time.

Further down the list we find more talents who had a good basho, namely Daishoho and Hakuyozan with a 4-3 KK at their career-best positions, Terutsuyoshi with a 5-2 (albeit at a level at which he should be doing well), and Kaito - the second-youngest prospect after Onosho - stunning with 6 wins in his makushita debut. Fellow debutant Daichi wasn't quite that good, but posted a respectable 3-4 after jumping up from mid-sandanme.

Last not least, a couple of noteworthy results in sandanme: Meisei finished with a 6-1 record, ending a string of 11 consecutive basho in which he was either 4-3 or 3-4, and Baraki continued his unsuccessful search for his banzuke footing - his 1-6 score will now send him down to approximately the ranking from which he zensho'ed six months ago.

Heisei Hopefuls for Natsu 2014 - Tier 1: Top Talents - current yardstick: Ichinojo (1993/04/07, debut 2014.01, shin-juryo 2014.05)

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

2014.05

Daieisho Oitekaze 1993/11/10 (15) 2012.01 Ms2 Ms11w 3-4 Ms17w 5-2 Ms8w 3-4 Ms13w 5-2 Ms7w 5-2 Ms2e 6-1
Tatsu Takadagawa 1994/06/01 (9) 2010.03 Ms9 Ms44e 4-3 Ms38e 4-3 Ms29w 5-2 Ms19e 4-3 Ms13e 4-3 Ms9w 4-3
Tsurubayashi Kise 1993/12/31 (12) 2009.03 Ms12 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd12e 6-1 Ms32e 5-2 Ms17e 4-3 Ms12w 2-5
Onosho Onomatsu 1996/07/04 (1) 2013.01 Ms16 Sd55e 6-1 Sd3w 4-3 Ms54w 5-2 Ms34e 4-3 Ms28e 5-2 Ms16e 5-2
Mitoyutaka Nishikido 1993/04/08 (20) 2009.03 Ms16 Ms34w 4-3 Ms28e 4-3 Ms21e 4-3 Ms16w 3-4 Ms23e 4-3 Ms17e 2-5
Horikiri Shikoroyama 1994/05/04 (11) 2013.05 Ms13 Jk19e 6-1 Jd33w 7-0 Y Sd34e 4-3 Sd23w 7-0 Y Ms13w 3-4 Ms18e 5-2
Daishoho Oitekaze 1994/08/28 (7) 2013.03 Ms31 Jd26e 7-0 Y Sd33w 2-5 Sd58e 6-1 Sd5e 5-2 Ms44w 5-2 Ms31w 4-3
Terutsuyoshi Isegahama 1995/01/17 (5) 2010.03 Ms11 Ms27w 3-4 Ms35w 5-2 Ms19e 5-2 Ms11e 2-5 Ms24e 3-4 Ms32e 5-2
Goshi Arashio 1993/10/05 (16) 2011.11 Ms7 Ms55e 7-0 Y Ms7e 2-5 Ms19w 2-5 Ms36w 3-4 Ms43w 4-3 Ms37e 4-3
Ohara Shikoroyama 1993/12/14 (14) 2009.03 Ms41 Sd8w 3-4 Sd21e 4-3 Sd9e 4-3 Ms59e 2-5 Sd21w 6-1 Ms41e 3-4
Hakuyozan Takadagawa 1995/04/13 (4) 2011.05 Ms43 Sd7e 3-4 Sd19e 5-2 Ms56e 4-3 Ms47e 3-4 Ms57e 5-2 Ms43e 4-3
Masunosho Chiganoura 1994/11/14 (6) 2010.03 Ms18 Ms23e 2-5 Ms40e 3-4 Ms46w 2-5 Sd1e 4-3 Ms53e 4-3 Ms46e 4-3
Shinohara Onomatsu 1993/08/21 (17) 2012.01 Ms41 Sd80w 6-1 Sd22w 4-3 Sd10e 4-3 Ms59w 5-2 Ms41e 3-4 Ms49e 3-4
Daichi Shikoroyama 1994/07/15 (8) 2010.03 Ms57 Sd48e 3-4 Sd67e 4-3 Sd48e 5-2 Sd22w 2-5 Sd44w 6-1 Ms57e 3-4
Kaito Asakayama 1996/06/19 (2) 2012.05 Ms59 Sd23w 1-6 Sd64e 6-1 Sd11e 2-5 Sd34e 4-3 Sd21e 5-2 Ms59e 6-1
Aonosho Dewanoumi 1993/06/03 (19) 2009.03 Ms38 Sd7w 2-5 Sd31w 5-2 Sd7e 4-3 Ms56w 5-2 Ms38e 2-5 Sd1e 2-5
Chiyokiryu Kokonoe 1993/12/27 (13) 2012.03 Ms50 Sd61w 4-3 Sd44e 5-2 Sd16e 3-4 Sd30w 6-1 Ms50w 3-4 Sd4e 1-6
Meisei Tatsunami 1995/07/24 (3) 2011.05 Ms51 Ms59w 3-4 Sd11w 4-3 Ms60w 3-4 Sd8e 4-3 Ms58w 3-4 Sd14e 6-1
Haguroho Tatsunami 1993/07/08 (18) 2009.03 Ms20 Ms20e 3-4 Ms27w 3-4 Ms34e 0-7 Sd9w 2-5 Sd31w 4-3 Sd17w 5-2
Baraki Shikihide 1994/05/10 (10) 2013.01 Ms58 Sd89w 3-4 Jd10e 4-3 Sd90w 7-0 D Ms58e 0-7 Sd34e 3-4 Sd51w 1-6

5 prospects will be sent down to Tier 2 by Daieisho's yardstick reset, namely Mitoyutaka, Goshi, Shinohara, Aonosho and Haguroho. Meanwhile, two others have achieved their qualification:

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

2014.05

Nishiyama Onoe 1994/04/27 2010.03 Sd10 Sd27w 4-3 Sd16w 3-4 Sd31e 4-3 Sd21w 3-3-1 Sd35e 5-2 Sd10e 4-3
Rikishin Tatsunami 1995/10/07 2011.05 Sd8 Sd63w 6-1 Sd8e 0-0-7 Sd68w 4-3 Sd52e 3-4 Sd65w 6-1 Sd11e 5-2

Onoe-beya looked a bit moribund for a while, but they do have a trio of interesting youngsters who will probably play a mid-level prospect role in the near future; with Nishiyama the first one of them has now reached the makushita division. (The others are Fukamiyama and Miyauchi.) Nishiyama is a fairly average-sized yotsu-based rikishi, although looking at his last couple of basho his positioning seems quite suspect to me, with even several of his wins looking rather awkward, let alone his losses. That tendency may also be the reason for his odd kimarite profile - without looking particularly proficient in the technique department he has already amassed two utchari, an ashitori, a kakenage, a kawazugake and a kubihineri among his 90 wins. All in all, I suspect that low makushita will prove quite a challenge for the 20-year-old for now, but he's probably good enough to establish himself before too long. I do doubt his viability as a true future sekitori contender, however.

The other debuting prospect, Tatsunami-beya's Rikishin, is at least a cut above. He's been on my personal watchlist ever since he debuted in the infamous "I Can't Believe It's Not A Honbasho" (Natsu 2011), and while he didn't quite match the fast rise of stablemate Meisei (who's three months older and debuted in the same tournament), he did move up steadily over the last three years, a very respectable pace towards makushita for a middle school grad. Fairly tall but not very large yet, he'd probably qualify as an "all-rounder" in Randomitsuki's old nomenclature; his kimarite stats are pretty close to the overall Ozumo averages in the yori, oshi, nage and pulling categories, although he does seem to favour pushing techniques somewhat. I suspect he's still very much an unfinished product and figuring out a winning style will be his major task (besides putting on more weight) for the next few years. Still, there's something to be said for being raw but already good enough to reach makushita at just 18 years of age. He'll be the third-youngest makushita rikishi after top talents Onosho and Kaito, but I don't expect him to have the same immediate success in the third division.

Write-ups of the other three sections will be coming over the next few days.

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Tier 2:

Narrowly saved from extinction this tier performed pretty well in Natsu basho. Leading prospect Sasanoyama was back near his career high ranking achieved a 4-3 kachikoshi, with two of the losses coming to highly-regarded Onosho and Horikiri. Akinoyama and Ikioi Ikeru were at career-highs and also scored 4 wins, the latter doing so in his makushita debut. And Akinoyama's smaller-sized twin brother Akinokawa also got in on the act with a 6-1 record that will send him to a new high rank next time. Takakasuga found mid-makushita difficult as expected after coming in with a mid-sandanme zensho and had to settle for 2 wins; his goal will have to be to stick in makushita now and avoid dropping back into the lower division.

Heisei Hopefuls for Natsu 2014 - Tier 2: Promising Youngsters - Age 21 and under

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

2014.05

Sasanoyama Kise 1992/12/30 (23) 2011.05 Ms12 Ms12w 2-5 Ms24e 1-6 Ms50e 5-2 Ms29w 4-3 Ms23w 4-3 Ms17w 4-3
Takakasuga Kasugayama 1993/03/06 (21) 2011.07 Ms30 Sd34w 5-2 Sd11e 4-3 Ms60e 2-5 Sd20e 2-5 Sd42w 7-0 D Ms30e 2-5
Kotodaigo Sadogatake 1993/01/14 (22) 2011.05 Ms27 Sd37w 3-4 Sd54e 6-1 Sd3w 3-4 Sd13w 6-1 Ms36w 4-3 Ms31e 3-4
Akinoyama Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (24) 2008.03 Ms33 Ms53w 0-2-5 Sd30w 5-2 Sd6e 3-4 Sd18w 6-1 Ms39e 4-3 Ms33w 4-3
Akinokawa Takadagawa 1992/11/30 (24) 2008.03 Ms26 Sd13e 5-2 Ms53e 6-1 Ms26w 2-5 Ms42w 3-4 Ms50e 4-3 Ms42e 6-1
Ikeru Onomatsu 1992/11/26 (26) 2010.11 Ms53 Jk19w 7-0 Y Jd14w 5-2 Sd80e 6-1 Sd24w 4-3 Sd12e 5-2 Ms53e 4-3
Tochimaru Kasugano 1992/08/26 (27) 2011.05 Ms23 Ms43e 4-3 Ms36w 2-5 Ms52w 6-1 Ms23w 1-6 Ms48w 3-4 Sd3e 4-2-1

As mentioned yesterday this tier will see another bunch of reinforcements for July, although it'll continue to be without any major near-term sekitori candidates.

One sandanme rikishi scored well enough to earn a quasi-debut:

Rikishi

Heya

DOB

Debut

HiRk

2013.07

2013.09

2013.11

2014.01

2014.03

2014.05

Hokutowaka Hakkaku 1992/06/20 2008.03 Sd13 Sd31w 3-4 Sd48e 2-5 Sd77w 4-3 Sd59w 4-3 Sd40w 5-2 Sd13w 5-2

Hokutowaka will turn 22 before Nagoya basho so his actual entrance to this thread will be taking place in Tier 3, but for now he's still eligible for this section. Anyway, Hokutowaka is Hakkaku-beya's highest-ranked rikishi under the age of 26, which doesn't do much to recommend this stable as a future powerhouse despite its large roster comprising nearly 30 deshi. After missing some time in the first half of his 6-year career Hokutowaka has been a reliable presence in the middle of the sandanme division since the beginning of 2012. Suffering back-to-back MKs a year ago seems to have spurred him on as he proceeded to not just get back to his previous comfort zone, but added another two 5-2's to earn his makushita debut now. Looking at his kimarite profile he appears to have undergone somewhat of a technique makeover - highly focussed on yori and nage techniques in his early career, his results show an increasing prevalence of oshidashi over the last couple of years. All in all, you probably know my opinion by now - making makushita at nearly 22 places him as only an outside bet for a future sekitori career.

Edited by Asashosakari
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Tier 2:

Narrowly saved from extinction this tier performed pretty well in Natsu basho. Leading prospect Sasanoyama was back near his career high ranking achieved a 4-3 kachikoshi, with two of the losses coming to highly-regarded Onosho and Horikiri. Akinoyama and Ikioi were at career-highs and also scored 4 wins, the latter doing so in his makushita debut. And Akinoyama's smaller-sized twin brother Akinokawa also got in on the act with a 6-1 record that will send him to a new high rank next time. Takakasuga found mid-makushita difficult as expected after coming in with a mid-sandanme zensho and had to settle for 2 wins; his goal will have to be to stick in makushita now and avoid dropping back into the lower division.

Poor Ikioi.... OK, maybe he lucked out at making it to Komusubi, but that was no reason to send him back to makushita ;-) . Kintamayama will be furious.

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