Randomitsuki 2,900 Posted November 7, 2008 (edited) ms45w Nakanokuni Edited November 7, 2008 by Randomitsuki Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Kaiowaka 10 Posted November 7, 2008 For me : Kurosawa (Ms51e) Many thanks. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Itachi 396 Posted November 8, 2008 And also for this wave, I'll go with Kamei (Ms37w). My three surfers are already close on the banzuke. Now they'll form a team and ride the same board. Unfortunately, my 4th surfer is a bit too far back to catch the Kamei wave ... Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
GONZABUROW 0 Posted November 8, 2008 Daishoma sd61w GONZABUROW Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Terarno 47 Posted November 8, 2008 Hi. I pick E-Jonidan 38 Teraoumi, please. Thanks. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Tamanaogijima 777 Posted November 8, 2008 sd24w Ryusei Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Imumaru 0 Posted November 8, 2008 Sd19e Keno Thanks, Imumaru Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hironoumi 0 Posted November 8, 2008 Jd28e Aratoshi,please Hironoumi Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Hidariashiyama 0 Posted November 8, 2008 jd28e Aratoshi Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Oshirokita 198 Posted November 8, 2008 ms28w Ri * ms37w Kamei Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Manekineko 200 Posted November 8, 2008 Sd35w Hokutofuji is now kyujo, so I change my pick: Sd35e Higoarashi Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Vikanohara 171 Posted November 8, 2008 (edited) Ms36e Fukao Edited November 8, 2008 by Vikanohara Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Asashosakari 20,265 Posted November 8, 2008 Ms28w Ri, please. :-) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Doitsuyama 1,259 Posted November 8, 2008 sd13w Yashiki Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Randomitsuki 2,900 Posted November 9, 2008 Scoreboard for Kyushu Basho: Rank Shikona Surfs Position Standing 1. Fatakiyama Ryuo J10w 0-0 2. sekihiryu*** DNP (1st) Ms27w N/A 3. Asashosakari* Ri Ms28w 0-0 4. Oshirokita Ri/Kamei Ms28w/Ms37w 0-0/0-0 5. Andoreasu*** Shimoda Ms32e 0-0 6. Azumaryu** Homarefuji Ms33e 0-0 7. Profomisakari* Homarefuji Ms33e 0-0 8. ragerkawa** Fukao Ms36e 0-0 9. Golynohana Fukao Ms36e 0-0 10. Mmikasazuma*** Kamei Ms37w 0-0 11. Ganzohnesushi** Kamei Ms37w 0-0 12. Itachi** Kamei Ms37w 0-0 13. Vikanohara** Kamei Ms37w 0-0 14. charliki* Kamei Ms37w 0-0 15. Jejima Kamei Ms37w 0-0 16. Zenjimoto Kamei Ms37w 0-0 17. Asafan* Kagamio Ms40w 0-0 18. Fujisan** Sensho Ms42e 0-0 19. Susanoo*** Ryuden Ms42w 0-0 20. Randomitsuki* Nakanokuni Ms45w 0-0 21. Exil* Miyamaru Ms46w 0-0 22. yamaneko** Kaisei/Yamashita Ms50e/Ms53e 0-0/0-0 23. Kaiowaka*** Kurosawa Ms51e 0-0 24. Kachitakai*** Terusegawa Ms52e 0-0 25. Takanorappa*** Akai Ms60e 0-0 26. Fay*** Dewahayate Sd8e 0-0 27. Doitsuyama*** Yashiki Sd13w 0-0 28. Imumaru** Keno Sd19e 0-0 29. Tamanaogijima** Ryusei Sd24w 0-0 30. Holleshoryu Satsumanishiki Sd27w 0-0 31. Manekineko** Higoarashi Sd35e 0-0 32. Fukurou*** Wakaryusei Sd45e 0-0 33. GONZABUROW*** Daishoma Sd61w 0-0 34. Bealzbob*** Isanokuni Sd78w 0-0 35. Harry* Isanokuni/Arajishi Sd78w/Sd79e 0-0/0-0 36. Jakusotsu*** Nishiyama Jd16e 0-0 37. Hironoumi*** Aratoshi Jd28e 0-0 38. Hidariashiyama*** Aratoshi Jd28e 0-0 39. Terarno Teraoumi Jd38e 0-0 40. Mattjila*** Kyokushino Jk17e 0-0 41. Charlemagne*** Akita Jk19e 0-0 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Vikanohara 171 Posted November 9, 2008 I had first picked Kamei, but decided to change into Fukao about 10 minutes later. Sorry for editing instead of posting a new message. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Randomitsuki 2,900 Posted November 14, 2008 Standings after day 6: The curse of Juryo still seems to exist. To those not knowing what that means: in both 1st and 2nd Wave we had players who made it to Juryo fairly quickly, but until very recently nobody was able to hold his or her ground in that division. Maybe the same thing is happening again with 3rd Wave where Fatakiyama is in a less than comfortable position right now. Still, he leads by quite a margin. But who is in second place? It's a little murky, but I'd guess that a 5-2 from Ms36 (that's the projection for Fukao) beats a 4-3 from Ms28 (that's the projection for Ri). If that were the case, then ragerkawa moves into second place, and Vikanohara is in third place as of now. Rank Shikona Surfs Position Standing 1. Fatakiyama Ryuo J10w 1-5 2. Asashosakari* Ri Ms28w 2-1 3. Oshirokita Ri/Kamei Ms28w/Ms37w 2-1/2-1 4. Andoreasu*** Shimoda Ms32e 1-2 5. Azumaryu** Homarefuji Ms33e 2-1 6. Profomisakari* Homarefuji Ms33e 2-1 7. ragerkawa** Fukao Ms36e 3-0 8. Vikanohara** Fukao Ms36e 3-0 9. Golynohana Fukao Ms36e 3-0 10. Mmikasazuma*** Kamei Ms37w 2-1 11. sekihiryu*** Kamei Ms37w 2-1 12. Ganzohnesushi** Kamei Ms37w 2-1 13. Itachi** Kamei Ms37w 2-1 14. charliki* Kamei Ms37w 2-1 15. Jejima Kamei Ms37w 2-1 16. Zenjimoto Kamei Ms37w 2-1 17. Asafan* Kagamio Ms40w 0-3 18. Fujisan** Sensho Ms42e 3-0 19. Susanoo*** Ryuden Ms42w 2-1 20. Randomitsuki* Nakanokuni Ms45w 2-1 21. Exil* Miyamaru Ms46w 0-3 22. yamaneko** Kaisei/Yamashita Ms50e/Ms53e 1-2/2-1 23. Kaiowaka*** Kurosawa Ms51e 1-2 24. Kachitakai*** Terusegawa Ms52e 1-2 25. Takanorappa*** Akai Ms60e 0-1-2 26. Fay*** Dewahayate Sd8e 2-1 28. Imumaru** Keno Sd19e 3-0 29. Tamanaogijima** Ryusei Sd24w 1-2 27. Doitsuyama*** Yashiki Sd26e 3-0 30. Holleshoryu Satsumanishiki Sd27w 1-2 31. Manekineko** Higoarashi Sd35e 3-0 32. Fukurou*** Wakaryusei Sd45e 3-0 33. GONZABUROW*** Daishoma Sd61w 3-0 34. Bealzbob*** Isanokuni Sd78w 2-1 35. Harry* Isanokuni/Arajishi Sd78w/Sd79e 2-1/1-2 36. Jakusotsu*** Nishiyama Jd16e 3-0 37. Hironoumi*** Aratoshi Jd28e 1-2 38. Hidariashiyama*** Aratoshi Jd28e 1-2 39. Terarno Teraoumi Jd38e 0-3 40. Mattjila*** Kyokushino Jk17e 0-0-3 41. Charlemagne*** Akita Jk19e 1-2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Asashosakari 20,265 Posted November 14, 2008 But who is in second place? It's a little murky, but I'd guess that a 5-2 from Ms36 (that's the projection for Fukao) beats a 4-3 from Ms28 (that's the projection for Ri). Last basho it did, but normally not. (In a state of confusion...) 2000.07: Ms28e Shigezakura 4-3 -> Ms21e Ms28w Kimenryu 4-3 -> Ms22w Ms36w Daimanazuru 5-2 -> Ms23w 2001.05: Ms28w Tochifudo 4-3 -> Ms19w Ms36w Gokenzan 5-2 -> Ms21e 2007.01: Ms28w Shoketsu 4-3 -> Ms21w Ms36e Kasugakuni 5-2 -> Ms24e 2007.09: Ms28w Minaminoshima 4-3 -> Ms21e Ms36w Surugatsukasa 5-2 -> Ms22e 2008.03: Ms28w Asahisakari 4-3 -> Ms20e Ms36w Towanoyama 5-2 -> Ms21e 2008.09: Ms28e Hakiai 4-3 -> Ms20w Ms36w Aoba 5-2 -> Ms19w Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Randomitsuki 2,900 Posted November 19, 2008 Standings after day 10: Fatakiyama will probably fall victim to the Juryo curse, and is threatened by imminent demotion to Makushita. The battle for second place does not only rage between the Ri crew (Asashosakari, Oshirokita) and the Fukao gang (ragerkawa, Vikanohara, Golynohana), but all of sudden Fujisan and his splendid Sensho pick have joined the fray, so to speak. My awful projections see Fujisan as overtaking the other contestants, but this prediction will probably be questioned by Asashosakari any time soon ;-) Rank Shikona Surfs Position Standing 1. Fatakiyama Ryuo J10w 2-8 2. Asashosakari* Ri Ms28w 3-2 3. Oshirokita Ri/Kamei Ms28w/Ms37w 3-2/3-2 4. Andoreasu*** Shimoda Ms32e 2-3 5. Azumaryu** Homarefuji Ms33e 3-2 6. Profomisakari* Homarefuji Ms33e 3-2 7. ragerkawa** Fukao Ms36e 4-1 8. Vikanohara** Fukao Ms36e 4-1 9. Golynohana Fukao Ms36e 4-1 10. Mmikasazuma*** Kamei Ms37w 3-2 11. sekihiryu*** Kamei Ms37w 3-2 12. Ganzohnesushi** Kamei Ms37w 3-2 13. Itachi** Kamei Ms37w 3-2 14. charliki* Kamei Ms37w 3-2 15. Jejima Kamei Ms37w 3-2 16. Zenjimoto Kamei Ms37w 3-2 17. Asafan* Kagamio Ms40w 1-4 18. Fujisan** Sensho Ms42e 5-0 19. Susanoo*** Ryuden Ms42w 2-3 20. Randomitsuki* Nakanokuni Ms45w 4-1 21. Exil* Miyamaru Ms46w 0-5 22. yamaneko** Kaisei/Yamashita Ms50e/Ms53e 3-2/2-3 23. Kaiowaka*** Kurosawa Ms51e 2-3 24. Kachitakai*** Terusegawa Ms52e 3-2 25. Takanorappa*** Akai Ms60e 0-1-4 26. Fay*** Dewahayate Sd8e 3-2 28. Imumaru** Keno Sd19e 5-0 29. Tamanaogijima** Ryusei Sd24w 3-2 27. Doitsuyama*** Yashiki Sd26e 4-1 30. Holleshoryu Satsumanishiki Sd27w 2-3 31. Manekineko** Higoarashi Sd35e 5-0 32. Fukurou*** Wakaryusei Sd45e 4-1 33. GONZABUROW*** Daishoma Sd61w 5-0 34. Bealzbob*** Isanokuni Sd78w 3-2 35. Harry* Isanokuni/Arajishi Sd78w/Sd79e 3-2/2-3 36. Jakusotsu*** Nishiyama Jd16e 4-1 37. Hironoumi*** Aratoshi Jd28e 2-3 38. Hidariashiyama*** Aratoshi Jd28e 2-3 39. Terarno Teraoumi Jd38e 1-4 40. Mattjila*** Kyokushino Jk17e 0-0-5 41. Charlemagne*** Akita Jk19e 3-2 Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Asashosakari 20,265 Posted November 19, 2008 My awful projections see Fujisan as overtaking the other contestants, but this prediction will probably be questioned by Asashosakari any time soon (Zabuton flying...) Did I ever get around to mentioning that the promotions for 6-1 in makushita (for the current decade anyway) can be predicted with surprising accuracy with a simple rule of thumb? It's (old rank minus 6) divided by 2...that gets you to within +/- 1 rank in 80+% of all cases, and within +/- 2 in 95+%. Doesn't matter if it's a 6-1 at Ms10 or Ms60, it works everywhere. It's so uncannily accurate that I'm pretty convinced the banzuke makers do it the same (or at least in a strongly related) way. Anyway, that would mean Ms18 for Sensho if he finishes with 6 wins. :-) Probably enough to stay ahead of both Ri 4-3 and Fukao 5-2, unless there are a lot of free spots. Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Fujisan 535 Posted November 19, 2008 The battle for second place does not only rage between the Ri crew (Asashosakari, Oshirokita) and the Fukao gang (ragerkawa, Vikanohara, Golynohana), but all of sudden Fujisan and his splendid Sensho pick have joined the fray, so to speak. My awful projections see Fujisan as overtaking the other contestants, but this prediction will probably be questioned by Asashosakari any time soon :-) Thanks... I dont care,I'm just pleased to be moving up this time after what seems a never ending downward spiral. (Zabuton flying...) Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
Randomitsuki 2,900 Posted November 24, 2008 Final Standings and estimated ranks for Hatsu: Didn't I name this wave the Fatakiyama wave because the upcoming French gaming star was leading by half a division? Well, I am not even sure if he will still be in the lead for the Hatsu Banzuke, as Fujisan's Sensho pick might put him into the same banzuke region as Fatakiyama's Ryuo. Imumaru made a huge jump onto 3rd place. Rank Shikona Surfs Position Standing Rank Estimate 1. Fujisan** Sensho Ms42e 7-0 Ms3e 2. Fatakiyama Ryuo J10w 4-11 Ms3w 3. Imumaru** Keno Sd19e 7-0 Ms14e 4. Randomitsuki* Nakanokuni Ms45w 6-1 Ms18w 5. Asashosakari* Ri Ms28w 4-3 Ms22w 6. Oshirokita Ri/Kamei Ms28w/Ms37w 4-3/4-3 Ms22w 7. ragerkawa** Fukao Ms36e 4-3 Ms30e 8. Vikanohara** Fukao Ms36e 4-3 Ms30e 9. Golynohana Fukao Ms36e 4-3 Ms30e 10. Mmikasazuma*** Kamei Ms37w 4-3 Ms31w 11. sekihiryu*** Kamei Ms37w 4-3 Ms31w 12. Ganzohnesushi** Kamei Ms37w 4-3 Ms31w 13. Itachi** Kamei Ms37w 4-3 Ms31w 14. charliki* Kamei Ms37w 4-3 Ms31w 15. Jejima Kamei Ms37w 4-3 Ms31w 16. Zenjimoto Kamei Ms37w 4-3 Ms31w 17. Kaiowaka*** Kurosawa Ms51e 4-3 Ms42e 18. Azumaryu** Homarefuji Ms33e 3-4 Ms42e 19. Profomisakari* Homarefuji Ms33e 3-4 Ms42e 20. Fay*** Dewahayate Sd8e 5-2 Ms50e 21. Andoreasu*** Shimoda Ms32e 2-5 Ms50e 22. Manekineko** Higoarashi Sd35e 6-1 Ms51e 23. Susanoo*** Ryuden Ms42w 3-4 Ms51w 24. Fukurou*** Wakaryusei Sd45e 6-1 Ms57e 25. Asafan* Kagamio Ms40w 2-5 Ms58w 26. Doitsuyama*** Yashiki Sd26e 5-2 Sd1e 27. yamaneko** Kaisei/Yamashita Ms50e/Ms53e 3-4/3-4 Sd1e 28. Kachitakai*** Terusegawa Ms52e 3-4 Sd2e 29. Holleshoryu Satsumanishiki Sd27w 4-3 Sd12w 30. Exil* Miyamaru Ms46w 1-6 Sd16w 31. GONZABUROW*** Daishoma Sd61w 5-2 Sd31w 32. Takanorappa*** Akai Ms60e 0-1-6 Sd35e 33. Tamanaogijima** Ryusei Sd24w 3-4 Sd39w 34. Bealzbob*** Isanokuni Sd78w 5-2 Sd48w 35. Harry* Isanokuni/Arajishi Sd78w/Sd79e 5-2/2-5 Sd48w 36. Jakusotsu*** Nishiyama Jd16e 6-1 Sd56e 37. Hironoumi*** Aratoshi Jd28e 4-3 Jd3e 38. Hidariashiyama*** Aratoshi Jd28e 4-3 Jd3e 39. Terarno Teraoumi Jd38e 3-4 Jd58e 40. Charlemagne*** Akita Jk19e 5-2 Jd89e 41. Mattjila*** Kyokushino Jk17e 0-0-7 off 42. Mattjila*** DNP (1st) jk20e N/A jk20e Share this post Link to post Share on other sites
