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Doitsuyama

Day 12 results and day 13 pairings

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Tochiazuma stopped Homasho's streak of consecutive wins at 10 with a sukuinage. Asashoryu beat ozeki Kaio to seize a two win lead in the yusho arasoi. Chiyotaikai and Tamakasuga won to catch up with Kaio while Kotooshu lost to Miyabiyama.

Baruto lost to Aminishiki and is stuck at eight wins. Kyokutenho also has eight wins, but has the momentum of winning his last six bouts. Dejima, Asasekiryu and Tochinohana also achieved kachi-koshi today.

Todanoumi started well with 4-3, but now he is already make-koshi at 4-8 with a loss to Yoshikaze from juryo and must watch his step to stay in makuuchi as he needs two more wins. The two bottom maegashira Katayama and Otsukasa need two wins as well as both are 6-6. Hakurozan is 4-8 after the 0-8 start and kept his slim chance of staying. Asofuji at 5-7 is in big danger too, but one win might be enough for the M13e shin-makuuchi as a probable shrinkage of sanyaku opens up the M16 rank again. Ushiomaru also is 5-7, but one rank higher, so one more win definitely is enough for him. Kitazakura even got promoted to M11, but with 3-9 he still is in big demotion danger as well and like Asofuji he would welcome a new M16 rank if he finished 5-10. His brother Toyozakura got promoted much higher to M8 but even he isn't safe yet as he also is 3-9 and needs one more win.

With all those low maegashira rikishi still in demotion danger, and additionally Kyokshuzan retiring and Hokutoriki and Tamanoshima already freeing places in makuuchi, again many promotions to makuuchi are possible, but only Jumonji is sure of promotion yet, and the juryo leader even improved to 10-2 with a win against Masatsukasa. Other candidates are Yoshikaze, Shimotori (who needs three wins), Kasuganishiki, Tokitsuumi and Satoyama which might not be enough, so fewer wins than usual could be enough for promotion.

Wakanosato stays one win behind Jumonji with Satoyama and Kyokunankai getting kachi-koshi today at two wins behind the leader.

--

Doitsuyama

Day 12

Juryo

Ms3w   Kadomoto (4-3)	  yorikiri	   J14e   Mokonami (5-7)
J13w   Hokutoiwa (5-7)	 hatakikomi	 Ms3e   Koryu (4-3)
J11e   Wakanosato (9-3)	yoritaoshi	 J14w   Tamaasuka (6-6)
J11w   Goeido (5-7)		uwatedashinage J13e   Sumanofuji (6-6)
J12w   Kyokunankai (8-4)   okuritaoshi	J10w   Shunketsu (7-5)
J8e	Wakatoba (5-7)	  sukuinage	  J9e	Kobo (5-7)
J9w	Kaiho (7-5)		 oshidashi	  J6e	Oga (5-7)
J6w	Ryuo (6-6)		  oshidashi	  J12e   Kanbayashi (2-10)
J5w	Satoyama (8-4)	  tottari		J4e	Tokitsuumi (7-5)
J4w	Tamarikido (5-7)	yorikiri	   J8w	Daimanazuru (3-9)
J3e	Kasuganishiki (7-5) oshitaoshi	 J5e	Ryuho (6-6)
J7e	Tochisakae (5-7)	tsukiotoshi	J3w	Hochiyama (5-7)
J2w	Jumonji (10-2)	  yorikiri	   J10e   Masatsukasa (7-5)
J7w	Tochiozan (7-5)	 yorikiri	   J1w	Shimotori (5-7)

Makuuchi

M13e   Asofuji (5-7)	   yorikiri	   J2e	Takanowaka (5-7)
M13w   Tochinohana (8-4)   hatakikomi	 M15w   Katayama (6-6)
J1e	Yoshikaze (6-6)	 oshidashi	  M12w   Tosanoumi (4-8)
M9w	Asasekiryu (8-4)	hatakikomi	 M12e   Ushiomaru (5-7)
M14w   Hakurozan (4-8)	 hikiotoshi	 M8e	Toyozakura (3-9)
M14e   Tamakasuga (9-3)	oshidashi	  M8w	Kakuryu (6-6)
M15e   Otsukasa (6-6)	  tsukiotoshi	M7w	Kasugao (6-6)
M6e	Kyokutenho (8-4)	uwatenage	  M10w   Toyonoshima (7-5)
M4e	Takekaze (5-7)	  tsukiotoshi	M11w   Kitazakura (3-9)
M5w	Tochinonada (5-7)   hatakikomi	 M4w	Kakizoe (6-6)

M3w	Dejima (8-4)		yorikiri	   M9e	Takamisakari (8-4)
M1e	Ama (3-9)		   oshitaoshi	 M1w	Iwakiyama (0-12)
K2e	Aminishiki (5-7)	okuridashi	 M6w	Baruto (8-4)
M3e	Tokitenku (6-6)	 oshidashi	  K1w	Kokkai (2-10)
K1e	Kisenosato (6-6)	yorikiri	   M2w	Futeno (4-8)
M2e	Kotoshogiku (7-5)   yorikiri	   K2w	Roho (6-6)
O2e	Tochiazuma (9-3)	sukuinage	  M11e   Homasho (10-2)
S1e	Miyabiyama (6-6)	oshidashi	  O1w	Kotooshu (8-4)
O1e	Chiyotaikai (9-3)   hikiotoshi	 S1w	Kotomitsuki (8-4)
Y1e	Asashoryu (12-0)	yorikiri	   O3w	Kaio (9-3)

Day 13

Juryo

J11e   Wakanosato (9-3)				   J14e   Mokonami (5-7)
J13e   Sumanofuji (6-6)				   J8w	Daimanazuru (3-9)
J13w   Hokutoiwa (5-7)					J7w	Tochiozan (7-5)
J7e	Tochisakae (5-7)				   J14w   Tamaasuka (6-6)
J6e	Oga (5-7)						  J12e   Kanbayashi (2-10)
J11w   Goeido (5-7)					   J5w	Satoyama (8-4)
J5e	Ryuho (6-6)						J8e	Wakatoba (5-7)
J10w   Shunketsu (7-5)					J4w	Tamarikido (5-7)
J4e	Tokitsuumi (7-5)				   J6w	Ryuo (6-6)
J9e	Kobo (5-7)						 J3w	Hochiyama (5-7)
J3e	Kasuganishiki (7-5)				J10e   Masatsukasa (7-5)
J12w   Kyokunankai (8-4)				  J2w	Jumonji (10-2)
J1e	Yoshikaze (6-6)					J9w	Kaiho (7-5)

Makuuchi

J2e	Takanowaka (5-7)				   M14w   Hakurozan (4-8)
J1w	Shimotori (5-7)					M12w   Tosanoumi (4-8)
M12e   Ushiomaru (5-7)					M15e   Otsukasa (6-6)
M9e	Takamisakari (8-4)				 M13w   Tochinohana (8-4)
M13e   Asofuji (5-7)					  M8w	Kakuryu (6-6)
M15w   Katayama (6-6)					 M7w	Kasugao (6-6)
M14e   Tamakasuga (9-3)				   M6w	Baruto (8-4)
M6e	Kyokutenho (8-4)				   M11e   Homasho (10-2)
M11w   Kitazakura (3-9)				   M5w	Tochinonada (5-7)
M10w   Toyonoshima (7-5)				  M4w	Kakizoe (6-6)

M9w	Asasekiryu (8-4)				   M3w	Dejima (8-4)
M8e	Toyozakura (3-9)				   M1w	Iwakiyama (0-12)
M1e	Ama (3-9)						  M4e	Takekaze (5-7)
K2e	Aminishiki (5-7)				   M2w	Futeno (4-8)
K2w	Roho (6-6)						 K1w	Kokkai (2-10)
K1e	Kisenosato (6-6)				   M2e	Kotoshogiku (7-5)
S1e	Miyabiyama (6-6)				   M3e	Tokitenku (6-6)
S1w	Kotomitsuki (8-4)				  O3w	Kaio (9-3)
O1e	Chiyotaikai (9-3)				  O1w	Kotooshu (8-4)
Y1e	Asashoryu (12-0)				   O2e	Tochiazuma (9-3)

Edited by Doitsuyama

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Tochiazuma stopped Homasho's streak of consecutive wins at 12 with a sukuinage.

Ummm, didn't Houmashou lose on day 1 to Toyonoshima? That would be 10 straight wins then, or?

Oh, the joy of correcting you, and on your birthday too..

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Yoshikaze-Tosanoumi: now THAT was an entertaining bout !!!!

did Tochiazuma jump the gun in his match vs Homer or was the youngster so slow off the shikiri line ? (Lack of replays may be irritating for time to time ...)

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With all those low maegashira rikishi still in demotion danger, and additionally Kyokshuzan retiring and Hokutoriki and Tamanoshima already freeing places in makuuchi, again many promotions to makuuchi are possible, but only Jumonji is sure of promotion yet, and the juryo leader even improved to 10-2 with a win against Masatsukasa. Other candidates are Yoshikaze, Shimotori (who needs three wins), Kasuganishiki, Tokitsuumi and Satoyama which might not be enough, so fewer wins than usual could be enough for promotion.

What makes you so sure about Tamanoshima's demotion? A quick hakke-yoi query left my with a rather inconclusive result. Assuming that there will be a M16-rank next basho, he can afford to drop by 9 full ranks, and the expected drop seems to be somewhere between 8 and 11. To me this looks like a bit of a toss-up...

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What makes you so sure about Tamanoshima's demotion?

I can't speak for what Doitsuyama meant (obviously), but there's a difference between saying "he's freeing up a place" and "he's going to be demoted". Let's put it this way - 2-13 from his rank is not really a "borderline" record (3-12 would be), so he's completely at the mercy of what everybody else does now. If there's a Juryo rikishi who needs his spot, then Tamanoshima is toast. If they run out of even semi-credible promotable candidates before they get to Tama's spot, he'll get lucky, but only then.

I do think the chance that he'll get lucky is quite high this basho...we have Hokutoriki being in an even worse position, Shuzan's intai, a large number of lower Maegashira struggling mightily, at least one half of M16 probably reappearing, and upper Juryo is not exactly brimming with strong promotion choices, at least at the moment.

Edited by Asashosakari

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I can't speak for what Doitsuyama meant (obviously), but there's a difference between saying "he's freeing up a place" and "he's going to be demoted". Let's put it this way - 2-13 from his rank is not really a "borderline" record (3-12 would be), so he's completely at the mercy of what everybody else does now. If there's a Juryo rikishi who needs his spot, then Tamanoshima is toast. If they run out of even semi-credible promotable candidates before they get to Tama's spot, he'll get lucky, but only then.

I completely agree with that. I indeed interpreted it as "he's going to be demoted", which does not seem certain at all. Hence the confusion.

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I meant he is certain to be demoted - under the condition that enough promotions are available. That's the standard caveat which applies with my frequent calculations how many wins rikishi need to avoid demotion as well. I'm certain Tamanoshima needs such banzuke luck to survive with 2 wins from M7.

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I meant he is certain to be demoted - under the condition that enough promotions are available. That's the standard caveat which applies with my frequent calculations how many wins rikishi need to avoid demotion as well. I'm certain Tamanoshima needs such banzuke luck to survive with 2 wins from M7.

Yeah, seems clear now what you meant -- and it makes sense. I'll keep this mind and interpret things accordingly from now on.

what about iwakiyama, if he goes o fer?

He's safe. 0-15 does certainly not equal 15 ranks.

Edited by Oimeru

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one thing i was surprised out with the banzuke was i think i read a graphic on NHK or maybe it was here that said takamisakari had 5 out of 6 7-8, and then one 8-7, yet still this basho was at the rank he was before his first 7-8.

Edited by yamaneko

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one thing i was surprised out with the banzuke was i think i read a graphic on NHK or maybe it was here that said takamisakari had 5 out of 6 7-8, and then one 8-7, yet still this basho was at the rank he was before his first 7-8.

Yes, I wrote that a few days ago. Six basho ago he was at the same rank as he is now, with five 7-8 and one 8-7. Good banzuke luck indeed.

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Early candidates for juryo-makushita demotion?

Im thinking:

J14e Mokonami (5-7) one more loss might do it, 2 clinches?

J14w Tamaasuka (6-6) two more losses would do it?

J13e Sumanofuji (6-6) three losses?

J13w Hokutoiwa (5-7) two or three losses?

J12e Kanbayashi (2-10) Already has demotion locked up

J11w Goeido (5-7) Would need to lose them all to get demoted, or still not even?

J8w Daimanazuru (3-9) Demoted if he loses the last three days?

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