Sumo Spiffy

I can't believe I suck total donkey ass at this game, then win in the basho where I miss the first day. Unbalanced mechanics obv

Yeah, you're right. For some reason I thought Koto only had two JYs when I was looking at Kakuryu's page, which I combined with Kakuryu's longer run at ozeki to make that statement. So, I guess the question is how much less than 14/14 could Kakuryu have done and still gotten the rope?

These are all reasons why I think a 12-3 JY isn't going to cut it for Koto. Likewise, I have my doubts about a 12-3 yusho for Hoshoryu. Kakuryu and Teru's non-yushos were still extremely dominant performances, and Kisenosato had JY'd literally 50% of his bashos for three and a half years (!!) before he finally took a yusho. If ever there was a case of "for the love of god just win a fking tournament so we can promote you", Kisenosato is it. And Kakuryu and Teru both had histories of dominance that Koto and Hoshoryu don't. If we end up with, say, a 13-2 Y from Hoshoryu and a 12-3 JY from Koto, maybe they both get it because it would be odd to promote one and not the other. But the mitigating factor here, obviously, is how badly they want to let Teru retire. How much are they willing to rely on hope rather than evidence in order to let Teru rest? Personally, I hope they don't pull the trigger too quickly. If they don't promote and the next tournament whoever they might have promoted only goes 10-5, then it looks like a smart call from a yokozuna expectation standpoint. And it's not like these guys, and Onosato, and maybe even certain others, don't look like they'll reach that level sooner or later. But if they do promote and the new yokozuna only goes 10-5, maybe the whole thing is a disaster. I'd rather see them run with, say, 14-12-12 or 13-12-13 with one yusho and two JYs, because then if the new yokozuna falls apart, at least they can say, look, how much longer did you expect us to wait?

OK, then please sign up Daiouika.

BTW, can I sign someone up for next time if they don't have an account on the forum? She'll do it if she needs to, but I don't think she'd have any other reason to join.

I didn't mean third favorite, I mean I do worse in every other one except two (Sekitori Oracle and Turn the Tide).

in in in in in This is something like my third-best fantasy game...

Right, and that's sort of the point. If they would be willing to consider it at all in a vacuum, I don't think there's a prayer of it happening when you consider he'll have to beat Onosato to hit 7-8. So that shows how locked into K I think Abi and Waka are.

The database is up and down as I'm trying to use it, but even with the Hokutofuji example, their willingness to expand the K/S ranks in the last couple years makes it really hard to believe Waka and Abi aren't already locked into komusubi slots. I don't know how to do a nice block setup, but: Terunofuji Y Kotozakura O Hoshoryu (yeah that's my prediction) O Onosato Daieisho S Wakamotoharu Abi K Wakatakakage K 7-8 Kirishima Frankly, I think it's more likely a 7-8 Kirishima gets kicked to M1e than Waka only getting +1 on 10-5 or Abi +2 on 11-4. I don't really think that'll happen to Kiri, just a relatively higher chance. Edit: I just did an ultra-rough draft on the assumption everyone who could lose and make things more complicated does lose (e.g. Oho and Ura). The only way I could see Waka only making M1e on 10-5 is if they would have to over-promote/under-demote guys too much to be comfortable with. But even making the whole situation as extreme as possible, you've still got Takanosho, Gonoyama, and Tobizaru moving up. Atami should join them if his brain doesn't fall out of his head again against Mitakeumi. Then figure Oho's a favorite against Nishikigi and it might destroy a random plane of existence if Ura loses to Chiyoshoma, and I think Waka's gotta be in.

Kotozakura Gonoyama Hokutofuji

Gonoyama Ura Takayasu

15. Kotoshoho

I thought about this, but it seemed less fair to drag Endo and Mitakeumi into sanyaku fights when they're still battling for KKs as opposed to the guys who were lined up to get hit with the battering ram already. That said, since they apparently decided to wait for the fights to end before deciding the schedule, every plan is fked. Hooray!

Alright, for funsies, here's what I ended up with: Kotozakura/Onosato Hoshoryu/Takanosho Kirishima/Oshoma (because if they're not putting him against Hoshoryu, there won't be anyone else in contention he hasn't fought yet) Daieisho/Kotoshoho or Gonoyama Wakamotoharu/Gonoyama or Kotoshoho Shodai/Churanoumi Hiradoumi/Nishikigi Oho/Endo Ura/Mitakeumi Basically, if they actually do everything listed with the sanyaku, Hiradoumi/Nishikigi is clearly next, and then I'm guessing they won't give a shit if the 4-8 guys get 6-6s vs. 5-7s. But anything from Endo to Midorifuji seems completely plausible. If it's Kotoshoho, I can't begin to guess what that sanyaku schedule looks like.

CARRY ME TO THE META TITLE BUNBUN