Reonito

Regular Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Content Count

    3,210

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    8

Posts posted by Reonito

  1. Posted

    7 minutes ago, Kamitsuumi said:

    Has this rule been written down somewhere or actually been tested in modern times? Sure there have been yokozuna-ozeki, but I'm not aware of any promotions that were due to an immediate lack of ozeki (rather than speculated to be due to imminent lack of ozeki).

    It hasn't been tested, at least not since 1958. The only time the Y/O numbers dropped as low as 2 was Hatsu 1993, and Takanohana was (uncontroversially) promoted after that basho.

  11. Posted · Edited by Reonito

    Day 11

    San'yaku: K1w Daieisho (3-8) has opened up the first slot. K1e Meisei (4-7) is within one loss of opening a second, and faces the Yokozuna tomorrow. With S1e Mitakeumi at 10-1 and S1w Takanosho at 6-5 with some tough bouts to come, the possibility of all four slots coming open is still very much alive. M6w Abi (9-2) is the leading promotion contender, and he faces Takanosho tomorrow.

    Juryo: J2e Kotoshoho (9-2) is the first to stake a real promotion claim. J1e Kagayaki (7-4) is one win away from joining him and would of course have top priority with a KK. Absent Hidenoumi's Makuuchi slot is the only one available at the moment, but Tsurugisho, Kaisei and Chiyonokuni all need more wins than losses from here on out to be safe.

    Makushita: Everyone who was in action today and needed a win got one, which means we still have 6 rikishi ranked in the top 10 with a shot at promotion. Ms5e Ryuden (6-0) continued his march through the third division by defeating Akiseyama; his opponent in the yusho-deciding bout will be collegian Ms35 Nishikawa. Ms2w Shimazuumi (4-2) has clinched a salaried slot by blowing away J13 Kotoyusho; he can finish no worse than 3rd in the promotion queue. Ms3e Takakento will have his fate decided tomorrow when he visits Juryo to take on Hiradoumi. Ms1w Atamifuji (3-3) will be first or second in line with a win, but eliminated with a loss. Ms4w Tochimaru (4-2) probably needs help from others, although a win would go a long way to help his chances, while Ms4e Kairyu (3-3) must win and hope for losses by others. J13 Chiyoarashi (2-9) lost today, ensuring that a 4th slot is available if needed.

  13. Posted

    Ryuden should be ahead of Karyu no matter what, and he'll be ahead of Tochimaru if the latter loses. With 4 likely promotion slots, I think the only way he misses out is if he somehow loses both of his remaining bouts, Atamifuji wins, Shimazuumi and Takakeknto get their KK, and Tochimaru wins out. Or if Chiyoarashi wins out, leaving one less slot, but I'm guessing the scheduling will not make all of this possible.

    Broadly agree on the rest; I'll chime in as the various exchange pictures get a little clearer in a day or two. I think Kotoshoho's done enough already, unless he completely collapses again and a lot of other results go against him.

  14. Posted

    2 hours ago, Sakura said:

    I remember explaining the schedule on Tachiai during Tochinoshin's Ozeki run in an effort to counter some misinformation about scheduling, but I'm not sure the person who posts the bout previews noticed.

    I've tried too, but I think my fellow blogger likes the idea of narrative-driven scheduling too much.

    • Haha 1

  17. Posted

    4 minutes ago, Eikokurai said:

    Tamanoumi’s zensho at M14 must have been the easiest ever. He faced only two sanyaku guys: a Komusubi and a Sekiwake.

    Looking at that banzuke, the scheduling must have worked very differently in 1957, as they had plenty of higher-ranked options to throw at him.

  20. Posted

    51 minutes ago, Oshirokita said:

    8. Mitakeumi

    I can see how Tamawashi is also likely, but I am puzzled by how the Day 13 & 14 sanyaku match(es) will go if so.

    I feel like there are a couple of scheduling options that lead to Mitakeumi, and only one that leads to Tamawashi, though I don't know if it's fair to treat them all as equally likely.

  22. Posted

    1 hour ago, Godango said:

    They may well want a third basho from him even though he hit 33, as they did with Takakeisho when they deemed his 9-13Y-11J to be not impressive enough.

    At that point, Takakeisho had only been in the top division for 2 years, and had a total of 4 san'yaku appearances, the first of which ended after a 5-10 performance at komusubi. I think that's why they asked for another double-digit performance. Mitakeumi is pretty much the polar opposite of this scenario.

    • Like 1