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Posts posted by Reonito

  1. 35 minutes ago, Asashosakari said:

    I'm feeling strangely confident on everything except M5e to M8e, but that whole section could well be zero first draft still looked totally different (Tobizaru and Kotoshoho last instead of first) and was arguably equally justifiable.

    Very similar to mine (now posted over at Tachiai) except for M5-M7 and some rearrangements at M14 and below.

  2. 6 minutes ago, Yamanashi said:

    The good news, 9 of the people above him have gone intai, so they're sitting targets. Somewhat bad news, the fellow just above him went kyujo in Aki at Jd108, so he'll be racking up the Jk basho again for awhile, unless he goes intai at age 27.

    Top 10 is within easy reach in another couple of years; to go higher, he'll really have to commit to the bit.

    • Like 1

  3. On 15/10/2020 at 08:23, orandashoho said:

    One wonders if Hattorizakura will stay on in some capacity after his body gets too battered to continue the losing streak.

    Somewhat to my surprise, he is nowhere near the record for most basho in Jonokuchi. While his 29 basho and counting have him in 18th place, the guy at the top has a whopping 110, and has been toiling in the lowest division since 1995, with occasional forays into the heights of Jonidan.

  4. 22 hours ago, Gurowake said:

    There wasn't a Sekiwake debut that didn't go on to Ozeki already between Mitakeumi (3 years ago) and Daieisho.

    That's a really interesting point; it hadn't occurred to me that Daieisho's shin-Sekiwake appearance was such a rare event. Even Komusubi debuts are less frequent than I would have guessed: since Mitakeumi 4 years ago, we've only had Onosho, Endo, Hokutofuji, Abi, and Ryuden, among those who haven't gone higher.

  5. 9 hours ago, Sakura said:

    I don't have a prediction, but I am interested in the exact placement of Shiraishi

    I'd guess he'll stay where he was, strictly based on the Fujiazuma's apparent non-demotion as inferred from the number of promotions.

    EDIT: Just saw the post above that everyone in the heya keeps their banzuke slot.

  6. 6 hours ago, Koorifuu said:

    The query function's "Highest Rank" trigger does not function as well as intended, but that 14-1 list is also impressive. 19 out of 26 made it to sanyaku, including plenty of O/Y.

    I really wish this would be fixed; it would be a much more useful feature if it actually gave the highest career rank.

  7. 11 minutes ago, Sakura said:

    So if Takakeisho wins the yusho in November, List One says we can't rule out a promotion to Yokozuna but List Two says we can't say it'll happen for definite either.

    Excellent analysis. Presumably his tenure in seven tournaments at the rank so far, including two kadobans and one demotion to sekiwake, plus the most recent 7-8 and 8-4-3 results, would argue against promotion, but let's see him pull off a strong yusho first.

    • Like 3

  8. 4 minutes ago, Eikokurai said:

    It’s been true only in the sense that it’s always happened that way.

    According to the source of all knowledge, Wikipedia, "A wrestler at the rank of sekiwake will be considered for promotion if he has achieved a total of at least 33 wins over the three most recent tournaments, including ten or more wins in the tournament just completed." That's also the way I've always heard the guidelines stated. Of course, the next sentence in that article beings with "Promotion is discretionary and there are no hard-and-fast rules..."

  9. 11 hours ago, Eikokurai said:

    Let's assume 9-6 is all he manages. The Kyokai couldn't easily ignore that he'd made the 33/45 target and deny him promotion, but 9-6 isn't a great finish to a run.

    I believe double-digits in the third basho of the run is an absolute requirement; that's certainly been true historically in the 6-basho era.

  10. 1 hour ago, Sakura said:
    1 hour ago, Sakura said:

    I wonder if they would demand three consecutive 10+ win basho from Mitakeumi to show some more consistency. In 20 basho in Sanyaku he's managed just 3 double-digit records.  Comparing his stint(s) with Goeido. Mitakeumi has the higher highs (yusho) but much lower lows. Goeido had a number of 8-7 records with a few double digits thrown in, until he finally strung together a 12-8-12 wins count over three basho. Goeido was in Sanyaku for long enough to be a mainstay and that I think must have helped his promotion. It's certainly conceivable that Mitakeumi could benefit from being a mainstay as well. I just don't much faith in him though.

    My only point is that no run of 33 wins over 3 basho, all at Sekiwake, all kachi-koshi, has ever failed to earn promotion, with the exception of Miyabiyama's, who (1) was a former Ozeki and (2) only got 9 wins in the final basho. Quite a few of the runs started with 8 or 9 wins, and one had 8 in the middle basho. Do I want Mitakeumi to pull it off? Yes. Do I have faith? Not so much.


    • Like 1