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Posts posted by Reonito

  1. 3 hours ago, Sumo Spiffy said:

    Yeah, that's fair. I guess I read "hope" as equivalent to expectation, but that's not what you said. My bad.

    I'm kind of glad they're not doing it yet. Nobody's really crushing in the rank-and-file; I think I'd rather see them all battle it out and let the sanyaku do their thing until the leaderboard sorts itself out a little more. It's the first time in almost two years that nobody has eight wins after nine days. Let it ride.

    The lower-ranked 7-2 and 6-3 guys are mostly fighting each other, which seems totally appropriate at this point. Shonannoumi got bumped up just a tad to face Midorifuji, and should get a bigger bump soon. And I for one can't blame them for not taking Churanoumi or Takarfuji seriously.

  2. 1 hour ago, Koorifuu said:

    Bittersweet situation around the sekitori border. Two young hopefuls have already got what would normally be the required amount of wins to gain juryo promotion for the first time, and there's many others still in with a chance. But only Oh Show Me and His Roundness are looking like they're headed for a demotion - save for implosions around them.

    Six days to go, Kazekeno still needs 4 wins, several others need 2 or 3, and some of them have looked pretty rough. Guessing there'll be a spot for anyone who earns one.

  3. 1 hour ago, Bunbukuchagama said:

    I agree that he would need his run to include a yusho, a simple 11-11-11 would not suffice in this situation. But if manages another 11 wins right after, he will get it. 

    Not sure even a yusho would do it, unless the scores are really off the charts. M5w would be a lower start than any of the 6 modern-era promotions that started at maegashira.

  4. 39 minutes ago, Sumo Spiffy said:

    Yeah, but I feel like this could be a unique situation. They already have to dip to Midorifuji minimum for most of the sanyaku, and given how badly guys like Oho and Nishikigi are doing, I wonder if they would give 6-0 Mitakeumi a sanyaku opponent on day eight to let things flesh out a bit more.

    Records don't usually come into it this early, but we'll see.

  5. I should note that there's nothing special about day 1. For most days, a yusho winner is ~10 times as likely to have won than lost on that day, though losses hurt a little less in the last 5 days, and especially on day 15.

    • Like 2

  6. 10 minutes ago, Bunbukuchagama said:

    So... Onosato is the only thing between us and another Maegashira yusho? :-D

    It's not a certainty, but the probabilities do point in that direction. I thought it might have happened more frequently in the recent chaotic era, but since 2020, only Terunofuji 2 years ago and Takakeisho with his 11-4 yusho last November have managed it after starting 0-1.

  7. 14 hours ago, Jakusotsu said:

    Sure, but there was no off-day for Tochinonada.

    As far as I can tell, it's the first time we've had only one active komusubi since then, though Kaisei was absent first two days back in 2018 and Takakeisho fought both days.

  8. 14 hours ago, Kintamayama said:

    "He hasn't healed yet so there is no point in entering. He can't even do any proper shiko," said Isegahama Oyakata. Will he be aiming to enter the next basho? "Yes, that is the plan," answered the Oyakata politely.

    I was surprised it was taking this long for a sprained ankle to heal, but looked it up and apparently it can take several months for a grade 3 aka high ankle sprain.