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  1. Reonito

    Top 10 Sumo Records November 2020 Edition

    Fingers crossed Ura can take the number 1 spot in 2021!
  2. That's not how I or most observers have read the YDC warning.
  3. As long as it's not a fluke 11-4, which has only happened 3 times since they went to 15 bouts.
  4. IMHO that would be the correct call. Yokozuna promotions should leave no doubt.
  5. At least since Futahaguro, the two "non-standard" promotions both came after a yusho. Before that yusho, Kakuryu had a 14-1 playoff loss, while Kisenosato had a 12-3 jun-yusho which followed a string of strong runner-up finishes. I'm guessing in Takakeisho's case, they mean it when they say it'll take a yusho, although I believe @Asashosakari wrote that he thinks any 13-2 finish will do.
  6. If we stick to the post-Futahaguro era (the last 30 years), 18 unique ozeki had a total of 38 rope runs starting with a yusho, 8 of which succeeded. None of the 10 ozeki who failed to gain promotion via this route subsequently got a softer promotion; the two who did never had such a run. I think I'm going to have to write a blog post.
  7. That's actually not quite right. There were 27 yokozuna promotions in this time span, so 13 of them came without back-to-back yusho. I haven't worked out the overlap between these 13 and the 24 who failed to get it after a yusho. Such "lenient" promotions used to be quite common, but were halted after the Futahaguro debacle, and only returned for the two most recent yokozuna, Kakuryu and Kisenosato.
  8. There were 38 unique ozeki. So 14 eventually made it, and 24 never did.
  9. Historically in the 6-basho era, nearly 80% of tsuna runs (starting with an Ozeki yusho) have failed; only 14 of 66 were converted into a rope.
  10. Reonito

    Will Takakeisho be the next yokozuna?!

    The percentage of responses for "next basho", 21.05%, almost exactly matches the rate at which Ozeki have converted a yusho in one basho into Yokozuna promotion after the very next basho in the six-basho era (14 of 66 times, 21.21%).
  11. Reonito

    Minimum Kachi-Koshi forever

    I guess at least as a sekitori, one nearly always goes up with KK, but quite often doesn't drop with MK.
  12. Reonito

    Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion November 2020

    True, though I find M5 (8-7) -> M1 more jarring than -> M3.
  13. Reonito

    Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion November 2020

    If they do that, it'll be a real challenge to fill the upper maegashira slots, not that that's necessarily a consideration.
  14. Reonito

    Predictions for 2021

    Well, we know at least one of these will come to pass.
  15. Reonito

    Top 10 Sumo Records November 2020 Edition

    Small sample size.