Amamaniac

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Everything posted by Amamaniac

  1. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    When I watched the Tochiozan vs Mitakeumi bout, I realized that Mitakeumi is quite a bit smaller than I had imagined. The two men were fairly close in both weight and height. For some reason, I had the impression that Mitakeumi was over 6', but in fact he is only 5'10". Don't know where Mitakeumi's sumo went, but he should have defeated Tochiozan. I also realized that Tochiozan, like his stablemate Aoiyama, is on a bit of a winning spree this tournament. In other words, both sekitori are now in a position to go on a Ozeki run. (Like that is going to happen!)
  2. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    It was appropriate that Kotoshogiku had a chance to stave off MK going up against Tochinoshin. With the win, however, Tochinoshin is more or less guaranteed to replace Kotoshogiku in the Komusubi slot. Will a loss on the senshuraku push Kotoshogiku into retirement? He will probably consider another tournament hoping to have a shot at the relatively-more-heavily-sponsored bouts. But if he continues to drop in the rankings, the writing on the wall will be even clearer (i.e., writ large)!
  3. Amamaniac

    San-sho Speculation:

    The senshuraku matchup between Aoiyama and Yoshikaze smacks of a "whoever wins gets the Kantosho" situation.
  4. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    Just checked, and noticed that Aoiyama has an 12-5 record against Takekaze. Despite the fact that Takekaze has won in their last two encounters and has fought relatively well in the current tournament, Aoiyama has a good chance of keeping his (jun) yusho run going. Do we already know who Aoiyama is facing on Day 15?
  5. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    If Hakuho loses the next two and Aoiyama wins the next two ... who am I kidding?!
  6. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    Keep in mind that when Chiyonofuji first entered sumo it was in the Kokonoe Stable under ex-Yokozuna Chiyonoyama. Later, ex-Yokozuna Kitanofuji took over. Eventually, Chiyonofuji acquired it from him for a song. Aside from having the reputation of being the most successful stable in terms of Top Division championships won by its wrestlers, and aside from being Chiyonofuji's nostalgic home away from home, this was a stable with three ex-Yokozuna oyakatas in a row, and the hope must have been to produce yet another Yokozuna.
  7. Amamaniac

    San-sho Speculation:

    In my mind, Yoshikaze is more deserving of a Kantosho than a Ginosho. Almost all of his wins this tournament are by yorikiri, plus one sukinage and a fuzen. That doesn't scream technique to me. What I love about Yoshikaze is that he is fearless and willing to get get beat up and slapped around, but never gives up.
  8. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    Just watched this bout. Forgive me, but that was some Mongol on Mongol crime! I wouldn't want to be on the receiving end of Hakuho's harite. Frankly, I was amazed that Tamawashi stayed on his feet. I hope he learned his lesson, though.
  9. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    As Asashosakari rightly pointed out, the Yokozunas and Ozekis are "busy", in that their matchups are more or less fixed in the final days of each tournament. I think the Day 14 match between Aoiyama and Takekaze is a pretty good test. Day 15 may require the big guns. But we are definitely getting ahead of ourselves. Let's see how he does today...
  10. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    The ozeki are busy, though. You're absolutely right about that. They have to find someone to deflate Aoiyama's tires or risk the very outside possibility of a Hakuho vs Aoiyama kitteisen playoff on Day 15... Any predictions there?
  11. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    If that were to happen, it would be quite exceptional. IMO Aoiyama will be "fed" to an Ozeki first, and chances are that that will stop his championship run... This Aoiyama run is boggling my mind. I am happy for him, but don't see him as Ozeki material ... ever.
  12. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    The photo isn't that clear, but if I were to venture a guess, I believe it says sakihodono (先程の) which means "the previous".
  13. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    I hear you. But keep in mind that Hakuho has not faced Takayasu and Harumafuji yet. If Hakuho loses to those two rivals (which is not completely beyond the realm of possibility), the championship might well go to someone other than Hakuho. If Hakuho had won today (Day 11) and the other key figures had all lost, few people would have held out hope for a surprise champion. Hakuho has his sights set on breaking Kaio's record. He will definitely be gunning for two more wins before this tournament closes. To get more than two wins will mean going up against stiffer competition than what he has faced so far. I don't know about you, but I hate tournaments where the championship is decided on Day 13 or Day 14. For me, the most exciting tournaments are those that require a ketteisen (決定戦) playoff on Day 15.
  14. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    In his (upset) victory over Aoiyama, Nishikigi had a nasty backwards fall. I could hear the sound of his head banging on the ground near the chief shimpan. Fortunately, he was OK. But for me, that was just another example of the dangers associated with the raised ring. The higher up they are, the harder they fall! Aoiyama's loss took the pressure off Hakuho. Hakuho retains his one win cushion over ... Aoiyama and Onosho!!! Both Mitakeumi and Harumafuji took advantage of Hakuho's loss. Now they along with Takayasu, Tochiozan and Takarafuji are just two back with four days to go. The Hakuho loss (Mitakeumi win) definitely increased the tension and interest in the final days of this tournament.
  15. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    In some of his bouts this tournament, Hakuho has been absorbing the charge of his opponents as if being extra cautious. Against Mitakeumi, however, he decided to charge himself. Mitakeumi quickly spun back and to the side bringing Hakuho to the edge. Sensing danger, Hakuho still tried valiantly to execute a sotogake, but unfortunately for him, his weight was too high and too far back. Mitakeumi showed solid sumo and made Hakuho pay. This kid is no joke! Hopefully, Hakuho won't be stuck in the twilight zone between Chiyonofuji's win record and that of Kaio...
  16. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    The down escalator that is Kotoshogiku's sumo career takes another step lower towards makekoshi. He has to win four straight bouts to avoid potentially dropping out of the sanyaku. While his bout against Takakeisho still attracted significant kensho (more than that of Harumafuji - 10 vs 8), that may change if and when Giku drops into the rank and file. As for retirement speculation, keep in mind that Giku has no Gold Star bonuses to give him incentive to keep competing. Meanwhile, Tochinoshin secured his 7th win, and now is poised to go KK. I would guess that 9 wins would more or less guarantee him a promotion to Komusubi...
  17. Amamaniac

    Quote of the Day-Nagoya 2017

    Just noticed what looks to be a nasty scar on Ura's left wrist. Given that it is always heavily taped during his bouts, I suppose Ura has had surgery on his wrist...? Bit of a hack job by the looks of the scar, though.
  18. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    Aoiyama is fighting 15W Nishikigi today. On paper, he should win. What is on my mind now is exactly when will the "bout fixer dude" (Japanese term??) match him against a joi opponent, and just how high up will that opponent be? It might happen on Day 12 if Aoiyama wins today. The only other options would be Days 13 or 14. In the 2012 Summer Basho, 7W-ranked Kyokutenho lost three of his first five bouts before going on a winning streak. Then, only on Day 14, did he have to fight Ozeki Kotooshu. After he won that bout, the was matched against Sekiwake Goeido. In the current basho, 8E-ranked Aoiyama has only lost once so far. Again, if he wins today, he may just be forced to fight stiffer competition before Day 14 (c.f. Kyokutenho). In my mind, the ideal match-up would be Aoiyama versus Ura on Day 13, allowing for joi match-ups on Days 14 and/or 15...
  19. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    What about Ura taking all three?
  20. Amamaniac

    Kensho Nagoya 2017

    I didn't see how many banners were paraded for the bout between Kotoshogiku and Goeido, but there must have been enough to catapult Giku into the list of the Top Ten kensho winners! That is impressive given that Giku has only won four bouts. The big money today was on Takayasu and Ura. There were more kensho on their bout than on both Yokozuna bouts combined! Something tells me that sponsors (Kansai ones at least) have lost interest in the two Mongolian Yokozunas.
  21. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    For Kotoshogiku to KK, he will need to win 4 of his next 5 bouts. Somehow I doubt he is up to the challenge. The question is whether someone like Tochinoshin can finish with a good enough record to move into the Komusubi slot... We could well see Kotoshogiku dropping down into the Maegashira ranks next tournament.
  22. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    Takayasu definitely has the weight advantage against Ura. But he is coming off a loss on Day 9 and may have lost his will to fight since he probably realizes at this point he is out of contention. Ura on the other hand has just had a taste of kinboshi victory (and despite a probable sake-rich celebration back at the heya), will come out for more. My gut feeling is that Ura will confound Takayasu just like he confounded Harumafuji yesterday. At the very least, I'd say the odds are 50-50. Let's see what happens.
  23. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    Does anyone have any doubts that Hakuho has this tournament sewn up now that Takayasu has two losses and Harumafuji has three?
  24. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    I watched the replay of the Hakuho vs Ura bout today and noticed that, in terms of the first wrestler to touch out, Ura lost, but only because his mage was loose and hanging down, thereby brushing the dohyo first. It looked to me like Hakuho's right fist touched down in the corner just before Ura's torso. However, that observation is mute since it was clear to all that Ura was already in a shinitai position. The difference between Hakuho's bout with Ura and Harumafuji's was that Hakuho had done his homework, whereas Harumafuji did not. Hakuho knew that Ura would come in extra low at the tachiai and he used counter maneuvers pushing Ura back by the shoulders at the initial charge. Harumafuji engaged Ura low out of the tachiai, and Ura swallowed Harumafuji's arm(s). Ura is extremely strong wrestling low to the ground. Harumafuji, who can also wrestle low to the ground, definitely met his match and was embarrassed in the process.
  25. Amamaniac

    Basho Talk - Nagoya 2017 (SPOILERS)

    Thanks for this forecast. Among Hakuho, Harumafuji, and Takayasu, I feel Hakuho has the best chance of winning against the scrappy, GrecoRoman sumotori. The other two sekitori may find Ura too much to handle.