Sakura

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Everything posted by Sakura

  1. The word is potential. It hasn't happened yet. Nothing is definite until it's definite. I don't think Atamifuji is winning out, and there is a good chance of having 3 rikishi with promotable record, but it hasn't happened yet.
  2. Maybe the smart play is to do something different from @Sumo Spiffy. I think it'll be Hoshoryu, but to keep the game interesting. 14. Abi
  3. This basho from 2017 had Tamawashi at 11-4 M1e leapfrogging Onosho (8-7 at Kw) for Sekiwake. Onosho was even passed over for Ke by Takakeisho who scored 11-4 at M1w. I don't think it's common enough to draw many conclusions, though I haven't searched through everything.
  4. I wouldn't say Atamifuji has an unsalvageable record yet. Look at Terutsuyoshi last basho. He certainly has a demotable record, but it's not yet terrible and we only have one rikishi currently with a promotable record from Juryo. I would be very surpised if Okinoumi was demoted. He is safe by the numbers. The difference to Sokokurai was that with no M16w, Sokokurai at M13W didn't have the same cushion and needed a 7-8 to be safe.
  5. Sakura

    Break the Curse Kyushu 2022

    Day 13 torikumi Sanyaku 3: Hoshoryu (vs Takakeisho) 2: Shoidai (vs Tamawashi) 1: Nishikifuji (vs Wakatakakage) 2: Hokutofuji (vs Mitakeumi) 2: Kiribayama (vs Meisei) 1: Tobizaru (vs Sadanoumi) M1-M8 1: Nishikifuji (vs Wakatakakage) 2: Hokutofuji (vs Mitakeumi) 2: Kiribayama (vs Meisei) 1: Tobizaru (vs Sadanoumi) 2: Midorifuji (vs Kotonowaka) 3: Takanosho (vs Ichinojo) 2: Takarafuji (vs Ura) 2: Nishikigi (vs Kotoshoho) 3: Azumaryu (vs Ryduen) 6: Kotoeko (vs Myogiryu) M9+ 3: Takanosho (vs Ichinojo) 2: Nishikigi (vs Kotoshoho) 3: Azumaryu (vs Ryduen) 6: Kotoeko (vs Myogiryu) 1: Kagayaki (vs Abi) 3: Terutsuyoshi (vs Chiyoshoma) 1: Okinoumi (vs Onosho)
  6. I think this is a good approach.
  7. Great work, but I'd put Takarafuji at (3) even though a 3-12 might well be fine. I'd always go for the number to guarantee safety in brackets. On that note Tsushimanada shouls be (3). 8-7s from J2 have been promoted many times, but a 9-6 is a normal promotable record so Churanoumi should require banzuke luck as well as winning his remaining 4 bouts.
  8. It seems that from Day 11 on they are now doing a) Discarding any intra-sanyaku match where against someone doing well and someone not, even when the poor performer has not yet got a make-koshi. b) Matching up by record, even for Sanyaku
  9. Sakura

    Break the Curse Kyushu 2022

    Day 12 torikumi Sanyaku 3: Kiribayama (vs Shodai) 1: Nishikifuji (vs Takakeisho) 1: Sadanoumi (vs Mitakeumi) 1: Abi (vs Wakatakakage) 1: Hoshoryu (vs Oho) 1: Daieisho (vs Midorifuji) 4: Endo (vs Tamawashi) 5: Wakamotoharu (vs Tobizaru) M1-M8 1: Nishikifuji (vs Takakeisho) 1: Sadanoumi (vs Mitakeumi) 1: Daieisho (vs Midorifuji) 4: Endo (vs Tamawashi) 5: Wakamotoharu (vs Tobizaru) 1: Kotonowaka (vs Kagayaki) 1: Takayasu (vs Ryuden) 14: Takarafuji (vs Ichinojo) 4: Meisei (vs Kotoeko) 4: Nishikigi (vs Azumaryu) 1: Myogiryu (vs Ichiyamamoto) 2: Okinoumi (vs Tochinoshin) M9+ 1: Abi (vs Wakatakakage) 1: Hoshoryu (vs Oho) 1: Kotonowaka (vs Kagayaki) 4: Meisei (vs Kotoeko) 4: Nishikigi (vs Azumaryu) 1: Myogiryu (vs Ichiyamamoto) 2: Okinoumi (vs Tochinoshin) 4: Aoiyama (vs Terutsuyoshi) 2: Kotoshoho (vs Onosho)
  10. Sakura

    Break the Curse Kyushu 2022

    Entries received Day 11 Gaijingai Meisei Okinoumi Sadanoumi RaeucherLax Wakatakakage Meisei Okinoumi Tenshinhan Meisei Okinoumi Takanosho Athenayama Hoshoryu Hokutofuji Takanosho Sumo Spiffy Wakatakakage Meisei Okinoumi Jakusotsu Hoshoryu Okinoumi Takanosho gernobono Meisei Okinoumi Takanosho WAKATAKE Wakatakakage Nishikigi Oho shimodahito Wakatakakage Ura Takanosho tsunamiko Meisei Nishikigi Okinoumi Fujisan Meisei Okinoumi Takanosho Standings after Day 11 Name Base Pts Bonus Pts Total Gaijingai 56 54 110 Athenayama 41 59 100 Tenshinhan 56 42 98 Jakusotsu 49 45 94 RaeucherLax 39 54 93 WAKATAKE 42 45 87 gernobono 48 39 87 Sumo Spiffy 39 47 86 shimodahito 37 42 79 tsunamiko 48 30 78 Fujisan 35 24 59
  11. Sakura

    Break the Curse Kyushu 2022

    Entries received Day 10 Gaijingai Tamawashi Tochinoshin Azumaryu RaeucherLax Kiribayama Meisei Oho Athenayama Kiribayama Ryuden Tochinoshin Tenshinhan Kiribayama Tochinoshin Azumaryu Sumo Spiffy Kiribayama Tochinoshin Oho gernobono Daieisho Tochinoshin Oho WAKATAKE Daieisho Tochinoshin Oho Jakusotsu Kiribayama Tochinoshin Azumaryu tsunamiko Kiribayama Sadanoumi Azumaryu shimodahito Kiribayama Ryuden Azumaryu Fujisan x x x Standings after Day 10 Name Base Pts Bonus Pts Total Gaijingai 54 51 105 RaeucherLax 39 54 93 Tenshinhan 52 39 91 Athenayama 35 53 88 Sumo Spiffy 39 47 86 Jakusotsu 43 39 82 gernobono 44 36 80 WAKATAKE 36 42 78 shimodahito 33 39 72 tsunamiko 42 27 69 Fujisan 31 21 52
  12. Sakura

    Break the Curse Kyushu 2022

    Entries received day 9 Gaijingai Shodai Hoshoryu Azumaryu RaeucherLax Hoshoryu Myogiryu Azumaryu Tenshinhan Shodai Ichinojo Kagayaki Athenayama Shodai Hoshoryu Hiradoumi Sumo Spiffy Hoshoryu Terutsuyoshi Azumaryu Jakusotsu Shodai Kotonowaka Terutsuyoshi WAKATAKE Hoshoryu Ichinojo Onosho gernobono Shodai Nishikigi Kagayaki tsunamiko Shodai Ichinojo Terutsuyoshi shimodahito Shodai Nishikigi Terutsuyoshi Fujisan x x x Standings after Day 9 Name Base Pts Bonus Pts Total Gaijingai 46 42 88 RaeucherLax 37 48 85 Athenayama 31 47 78 Tenshinhan 45 33 78 Sumo Spiffy 36 41 77 gernobono 41 30 71 WAKATAKE 33 36 69 Jakusotsu 36 33 69 tsunamiko 37 24 61 shimodahito 26 33 59 Fujisan 31 21 52
  13. Sakura

    Break the Curse Kyushu 2022

    Entries received Day 8 Gaijingai Mitakeumi Takarafuji Chiyoshoma RaeucherLax Mitakeumi Takanosho Kotoshoho Tenshinhan Mitakeumi Takarafuji Kotoshoho Athenayama Sadanoumi Kiribayama Kagayaki Sumo Spiffy Meisei Takarafuji Kagayaki gernobono Mitakeumi Takarafuji Yutakayama tsunamiko Mitakeumi Endo Takarafuji Jakusotsu Meisei Tochinoshin Kotoshoho WAKATAKE Meisei Midorifuji Kotoshoho shimodahito x x x Fujisan Mitakeumi Takarafuji Kotoshoho Standings after Day 8 Name Base Pts Bonus Pts Total Gaijingai 44 36 80 RaeucherLax 34 39 73 Tenshinhan 43 30 73 Athenayama 29 41 70 Sumo Spiffy 34 35 69 Jakusotsu 36 33 69 WAKATAKE 32 33 65 gernobono 37 24 61 tsunamiko 37 24 61 shimodahito 24 30 54 Fujisan 31 21 52
  14. Sakura

    Break the Curse Kyushu 2022

    Entries received Day 7 Gaijingai Shodai Abi Chiyoshoma RaeucherLax Shodai Abi Onosho Tenshinhan Wakamotoharu Ryuden Chiyoshoma gernobono Shodai Ichinojo Chiyotairyu Jakusotsu Shodai Ichinojo Chiyotairyu Sumo Spiffy Shodai Ryuden Abi tsunamiko Daieisho Ichinojo Chiyoshoma Athenayama Shodai Myogiryu Abi shimodahito Daieisho Myogiryu Onosho Fujisan x x x WAKATAKE Tobizaru Ryuden Chiyoshoma Standings after Day 7 Name Base Pts Bonus Pts Total Gaijingai 44 36 80 RaeucherLax 31 36 67 Tenshinhan 40 27 67 Athenayama 27 36 63 Sumo Spiffy 32 30 62 gernobono 37 24 61 tsunamiko 37 24 61 Jakusotsu 32 27 59 WAKATAKE 28 27 55 shimodahito 24 30 54 Fujisan 28 18 46
  15. Sakura

    Break the Curse Kyushu 2022

    Apologies again for the lack of updates. If no-one else has an emergency I might be able to catch up some of the days today. Day 11 torikumi Sanyaku 3: Hokutofuji (vs Takakeisho) 2: Wakatakakage (vs Shodai) 2: Hoshoryu (vs Mitakeumi) 1: Tobizaru (vs Midorifuji) 8: Meisei (vs Daieisho) 6: Nishikigi (vs Tamawashi) M1-M8 3: Hokutofuji (vs Takakeisho) 1: Tobizaru (vs Midorifuji) 8: Meisei (vs Daieisho) 6: Nishikigi (vs Tamawashi) 4: Ichinojo (vs Kotonowaka) 1: Ura (vs Endo) 2: Myogiryu (vs Wakamotoharu) 2: Sadanoumi (vs Aoiyama) 6: Okinoumi (vs Takarafuji) M9+ 2: Sadanoumi (vs Aoiyama) 6: Okinoumi (vs Takarafuji) 4: Takanosho (vs Terutsuyoshi) 2: Oho (vs Abi) 4: Chiyoshoma (vs Kagayaki) 2: Azumaryu (vs Kotoshoho) 1: Ichiyamamoto (vs Kotoeko)
  16. Sakura

    Games talk Kyushu 2022

    Are you suggesting he should blame the torikumi maker
  17. No. I didn't even notice that there were only two. I saw that I had the Hoshoryu and Shodai matches right.
  18. OK. I really am struggling to see the reasoning behind a lot of the match-ups. For instance, why did Takakeisho skip Sadanoumi for Hokutofuji? Was it because Hokutofuji had 6 wins to Sadanoumi's 4? Are they suddenly going more by record at this stage?
  19. Do I get bonus points for at least getting the intra-sanyaku bouts right?
  20. I had 5 minutes between trying to solve an emeregncy problem for my in-laws and hosting a dinner party that my spouse had arranged at short notice and that is what I came up with. If it's wrong, you'll know why.
  21. Sakura

    Break the Curse Kyushu 2022

    Sorry about the lack of standings updates. I'm going to endeavour to get them up to date later today if possible. Day 10 torikumi Sanyaku 2: Shodai (vs Hoshoryu) 3: Kiribayama (vs Takakeisho) 3: Sadanoumi (vs Wakatakakage) 1: Midorifuji (vs Mitakeumi) 1: Daieisho (vs Kotonowaka) 1: Tamawashi (vs Wakamotoharu) M1-M8 3: Sadanoumi (vs Wakatakakage) 1: Midorifuji (vs Mitakeumi) 1: Daieisho (vs Kotonowaka) 1: Tamawashi (vs Wakamotoharu) 1: Meisei (vs Hokutofuji) 2: Ryuden (vs Abi) 2: Tochinoshin (vs Terutsuyoshi) 1: Takarafuji (vs Chiyoshoma) M9+ 2: Ryuden (vs Abi) 2: Tochinoshin (vs Terutsuyoshi) 1: Takarafuji (vs Chiyoshoma) 1: Oho (vs Aoiyama) 1: Hiradoumi (vs Kotoshoho) 1: Ichiyamamoto (vs Onosho) 5: Azumaryu (vs Kotoeko)
  22. Sakura

    Break the Curse Kyushu 2022

    No copy/paste. I just typed it in a rush.