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Ryoshishokunin last won the day on October 21 2016

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About Ryoshishokunin

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    Tochinoshin, Ura, Ichiura

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  1. Games Talk Hatsu 2018

    Perhaps the most skillful way to modify Oracle, or to create an Oracle-like game, would be to have players input the entire distribution of likelihoods for each Rikishi's score--10% on 6, 40% on 7, etc. (This would be tedious, yes), and then use a Brier score or logarithmic scoring rule to evaluate the players. The goal would be to predict the distribution of possible scores accurately, not just the modal/mean outcome, as is the case in the current Oracle. Probably it would be worthwhile binning, say, 0-4 and 12-15 wins in two groups to reduce the amount of data entry in the outliers, but that's still generating 8 numbers per rikishi in the competition, which seems too much to ask in practice. Some of the algorithmic players would probably find that easy, though, and it's a way to get those algorithms to compete against each other. Hmm... Thoughts?
  2. Elections January 2018

    The voting system is terribly designed, and no corporation that elects directors would ever adopt it now. The top 10 vote getters get elected, and each guy has one vote. This means that the various ichimon need to carefully collude to elect their guys, etc. But, like voting systems in countries, good luck changing it.
  3. Top 10 Sumo Records Hatsu 2018 Edition

    How do you reckon the numbering on Asashio?
  4. Basho Talk Hatsu 2018 (SPOILERS)

    To be more precise: a heya cannot recruit a new foreigner if they have foreigners currently, but can get extras from heya shutdowns and so on: Isegahama recently had both Haruma- and Terunofuji the same way. I'm vaguely surprised we haven't seen more gaming of that, though there are a bunch of little stables that seem to exist as holes to put foreigners in at the moment...
  5. Guess Kisenosato's Aite (M1W Ichinojo) - January 2018

    15. Endo. Apologies to all for my absence. I will likely have to miss most or all of March as well--I'm travelling for work.
  6. Videos and promo-Hatsu 2018-Days 1-15

    Small correction: Mitakeumi has no heya-mates in Makuuchi. Otherwise, thanks as always for your efforts!
  7. Basho Talk Hatsu 2018 (SPOILERS)

    That Isegahama 'spirit' is the reason Teru can't/hasn't/won't sit out to heal. It makes me mad at Isegahama-oyakata to see Terunofuji on the dohyo these days.
  8. Videos and promo-Hatsu 2018-Days 1-15

    If Kintamayama didn't choose that thumbnail bless be to the AI that did. Marvellous.
  9. YDC Soken-Hatsu 2018

    Without surgery it wasn't an injury that can heal (properly). That strength will not return, because some muscles are no longer attached to what they are supposed to be attached to. There's a reason that surgical intervention is common in sportspeople in other sports...
  10. Banzuke for Hatsu 2018

    Sure it is... if you follow it up with 24 more wins in the next two basho.
  11. Another Sekitori Marriage

    No, the marriage is 'registered', i.e. they've completed the civil marriage. For various reasons people in Japan tend to get married legally fairly quickly after their engagement, and then get around to having the party/public ceremony much later.
  12. Harumafuji intai pics overview

    The lace things on the seats are entirely usual in Japan--every taxi has them. Don't ask me why, I don't get it either, but it's a Thing. (The look on Takanohana's face, on the other hand, is unusual)
  13. Ichinojo, 2018 edition!

    Mediocre. 3KK, lower makuuchi eventually, say M11.
  14. Hakuho in 2018

    4 yusho, 2 zensho I forget what numbers I picked for the other two questions--65ish and 20-ish.
  15. Ozekis and Yokozunas for January 2019

    Hakuho Y Goeido O1 Takayasu Mitakeumi O2 Takakeishou (Note that takakeishou's name is misspelled on the poll.) I'm actually torn between keishou and hokutofuji for the O prediction, but i think there will be four.