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Everything posted by serge_gva

  1. serge_gva

    Olympic jungyo 2020

    So we went from a demonstration sport integrated into the Olympics (at the very beginning), to a shabby two-day jungyo for tourists? It is rather disappointing
  2. serge_gva

    Hatsu 2020 Basho Discussion (SPOILERS)

    Thanks! Strictly speaking, all these results are better than 11J-10-10 (they have either a yusho or an ascending order), except Kyokuni's 10-9-12J who is somewhat similar, but was 50 years ago. But after all, maybe it's not unthinkable for Asanoyama.
  3. serge_gva

    Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion Hatsu 2020

    That's right, I forgot all 3 cases I was speaking about were M1w. By the way, is this not the only situation when the difference between West and East is so important? From M1e, so far, 8 wins were enough to get an extra-slot. From M1w, not enough even with 9 wins!
  4. serge_gva

    Hatsu 2020 Basho Discussion (SPOILERS)

    How long ago was the last more or less comparable case of loosened conditions?
  5. serge_gva

    Hatsu 2020 Basho Discussion (SPOILERS)

    It's really going to have to be 10 very great wins, then. I don't see him promoted with 31 wins (2 less than the guideline), because he won't have an ascending series (11-10-10) and a he won't have a Yusho-or-similar result in the last-3 to to counterbalance these two shortcomings (11-4 J but 3 wins behind Hakuho does not count imho). But I agree 11 convincing wins may be OK.
  6. serge_gva

    Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion Hatsu 2020

    I'm not sure to understand. If Goeido does not retire, he will be Sanyaku. Then there will be 4 wrestlers with better numbers than Endo: Asanoyama (S1e), Goeido (S1w), Shodai (K1e) and Hokutofuji (K1w). Why would they automatically create an extra Komusubi spot for Endo? In the last three comparable cases, the 9-6 M1 wrestler was stucked at M1. In this situation, even if Goeido does not retire, we will have 7 sanyaku, thus an M18e rank. Where am I wrong?
  7. serge_gva

    Hatsu 2020 Basho Discussion (SPOILERS)

    Even if we are not going down that road, I think it's still a little too early to rule out a "legitimate" ozeki promotion for Asanoyama. A 12-3 Yusho, I think, would more or less put everyone in agreement. Still, Shodai would have to lose twice, but he's capable of it, so to speak... Since everyone sees a yusho for Takakeisho (at least until yesterday), I'm going to take a risk and bet on a yusho from Asanoyama In the case of a Kadoban Goido, plus Asanoyama clearly outside of the usual Ozeki promotion criteria, plus Hakuho and Kakuryu both Kyujo for the next basho (first two conditions are fairly likely to happen, third one is much less), what are your predictions? > An exception to the "at least 2 Ozeki" rule > Asanoyama promoted to Ozeki with a KK (regardless of his score) > Goeido reteined at the rank of Ozeki with a MK > Best Sekiwake (Asanoyama?) becoming an "Ozekiwake" (temporary Ozeki)
  8. serge_gva

    Fukurou memorial kyujo rikishi list - Hatsu 2020

    Kyujo means back to Juryo, exactly 5 years after his last visit there, unfortunately (already because of an injury)
  9. serge_gva

    Kimarite Map!

    Highly interesting statistic, thank you! It made me want to try to find a ranking of the use of a given kimarite by rikishi (in terms of percentage, not number of uses). With the database, I was able to find this percentage for each rikishi individually, but not to make a query that gives a ranking. Can someone help me?
  10. serge_gva

    2019 Kyushu Basho Discussion (spoiler alert)

    ...What is exactly cricket?
  11. serge_gva

    Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion Kyushu 2019

    If they promote Abi, who will get the second Komusubi spot? Are they going to save Mitakeumi's record?
  12. serge_gva

    Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion Kyushu 2019

    It looks like there will be some disappointments in Juryo, because despite 5 relegated to makuuchi (or 6 with Tomokaze), there may not be room for everyone! If I'm not mistaken, there are already 5 good candidates for promotion (Azumaryu, Tochiozan, Ikioi, Kaisei, Kiribayama). And 4 other rikishi will have a claim if they win tomorrow: Chiyoshoma, Kotonowaka, and Tokushoryu (Hidenoumi barely). One of them can take poor Tomokaze's spot, but what if 2 or 3 of them win tomorrow? >> Between Tokushoryu J1w 8-7, Chiyoshoma J3w 9-6 and Kotonowaka J7w 11-4, who do you think will get Tomokaze's spot and who will stay in Juryo? In the Juryo-Makushita exchange, it's the opposite. We have a lot of good candidates for demotion (5), and 2 more tomorrow if they lose (Hoshoryu, Irodori). In the upper part of Makushita, we finally won't have enough candidates left if there are 7 demotees. >> Could Sakigake claim spot #5 even if he lose tomorrow against Hoshoryu? >> If Hoshoryu or Irodori lost, who will be promoted? A 6-1 Shiba at ms7w, a 4-3 Chiyonoumi at ms6e, or nobody? Enho get promoted from ms6e with 4 wins in January 2018 (it is the only regular occurence). Promotion from Ms7 with 6 wins was common in the 70'-80'-90' (11x), but last time was Tamanokuni in 1999... Anyway I have the feeling that Hoshoryu and Irodori will both win, Sakigake will be promoted with 4-3 and Shiba will stay in Makushita with 6-1 or 5-2. Not very fair as Sakigake's schedule was not tougher than Shiba's... The most logical thing would have been an Irodori-Shiba bout, no?
  13. serge_gva

    2019 Kyushu Basho Discussion (spoiler alert)

    When you say other injuries may become more frequent with a padding, at what kind of fall are you thinking about?
  14. serge_gva

    2019 Kyushu Basho Discussion (spoiler alert)

    And why not an absorbent coating around the dojo, as seen for example on the floor of children's playgrounds?
  15. serge_gva

    Rikishi Status Kyushu 2019

    I also find it hard to believe that a city of 1.6 million people in a country at the forefront of medicine like Japan cannot handle a case like this...
  16. serge_gva

    Satoyama Intai

    Satoyama has announced his intai after his last bout of Kyūshū basho 2018. As he remained in the paid ranks for 47 tournaments (and especially because he was one of my favorite wrestlers ), I think he deserves a dedicated topic! Looking back at his career, I was surprised to find that it was not as regular as I thought. He reached the top division fairly quiclky (for his 19th tournament), then stayed in the upper Jūryō/lower Makuuchi zone for around 2 years. He then suddenly droped directly from Makuuchi to Makushita (with 7 consecutive makekoshi, without injury it seems?) and was unable to come back to the salary ranks for nearly four years, going as low as Ms30. One could then expect, at best, that he would become an elevator rikishi between Makushita and Jūryō. However, it was at this time that he began his "2nd career" as a Jūryō mainstay, because he didn't drop back to Makushita for almost six consecutive years, with 4 more apparitions in Makuuchi. In the only tournament I've ever attended (Kyūshū 2015 Day 2), I gathered courage to shout in an ostensible way the names of my two favorite wrestlers from my 4th rank Tamari seat - Satoyama and Harumafuji - shortly before the start of their bout. I feel a little lonely right now (below) During Kyūshū 2015 Day 2
  17. serge_gva

    Nagoya 2019 Discussion (here be spoilers)

    Who will be Terutsuyoshi's opponent on day 15? Tomokaze? Mitakeumi? Abi? One of the "maybe 7-7" high maegashira?
  18. serge_gva

    Promotion Discussion thread - Natsu 2019

    What happened to Asashosakari's topic? And what surprises me even more, given the popularity of his signature topic: why doesn't anyone ask the question?! Did I miss something?
  19. serge_gva

    Natsu basho 2019 discussions [SPOILERS]

    He's still going to be able to claim a Kabu, because he reached sanyaku once in 2014, if that's what you're worried about. Concerning his current state of form, isn't he dragging an old wound that doesn't heal?
  20. serge_gva

    Retirees after Haru 2019

    He has only 29 sekitori basho, right? Did he benefit from the Hochiyama rule? (Guarantor: an active oyakata + the shisho + former holder) Looks like he fought hard to try to get this 30th tournament, for 3 years, but couldn't get back higher than ms8.
  21. serge_gva

    Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion Haru 2019

    I may be wrong, but I think they create an extra Sekiwake or Komusubi spot only if a rikishi really deserves it (by the numbers), or if there is absolutly nobody to take his sanyaku spot . Here, it seems to me that neither of the two conditions is met for Mitakeumi to stay.
  22. serge_gva

    Juryo Digest Haru 2019 days 1 - 15

    Day 5 (uncut) is here
  23. serge_gva

    Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion Hatsu 2019

    What are the chances of Irodori geting promoted to Jūryō with a 6-1? Exactly 4 years ago, Ishiura became sekitori from the same position (ms6) with this result, in a basho where Tochinowaka intai'ed. (only 1 intai, not 2 though). Up to what rank a 4-3 is better than a 6-1 from ms6? Because this time, we could have Takanofuji at 4-3 (ms3) versus Irodori at 6-1 (ms6). One step further: what if they fight together for their last bout? Will the winner take the lead over the loser?
  24. serge_gva

    Hatsu Basho 2019 Discussion [SPOILERS]

    His knee is not looking good in this bout