Gurowake

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Gurowake last won the day on July 22 2018

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About Gurowake

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  1. Gurowake

    Kensho Aki 2020

    That chart is prone to possible misinterpretation given that Kyushu is represented with the Kanji in its first syllable, which is the kanji for 9, while the kanji chosen for the July basho this year was the kanji for 7, from which month it was in. I still maintain there is nothing wrong with calling the basho this July the postponed Natsu basho, and having the Nagoya one be the actually canceled one, given July is also during the season "Natsu". Obviously there's no good workaround for November unless you want to dredge up "Fuyu" which doesn't get used otherwise.
  2. Gurowake

    Not the Kyushu basho 2020 GTB invite - 130 entries

    Which is still a 4 point swing against whoever's wrong.
  3. Gurowake

    Not the Kyushu basho 2020 GTB invite - 130 entries

    I ended up with the same solution as you because I felt Tamawashi ahead of Takarafuji was just too awful when there was another reasonable option; it felt to me much more reasonable than how they ended up from the initial draft. I see Reonito went full bore the opposite way putting even Tochinoshin ahead of Takarafuji. It's going to be that area and the exact placement of the Juryo promotions that will likely matter assuming all three of us are right where we agree. Of course, there'll be heavy diversion from what makes sense just because they're required to not have anyone be able to guess correctly.
  4. Gurowake

    Not the Kyushu basho 2020 GTB invite - 130 entries

    This is what's in my spreadsheet now, so I assume it's what I submitted. Hakuho(0-0 Ye) Y Kakuryu(0-0 Yw) Takakeisho(12-3 Ow) O Asanoyama(10-5 Oe) Shodai(13-2 Se) O Mitakeumi(8-7 Sw) S Takanosho(10-5 M1w) Terunofuji(8-5 M1e) K Takayasu(10-5 M6e) Kiribayama(9-4 M5e) M1 Wakatakakage(11-4 M8w) Daieisho(5-10 Se) M2 Onosho(10-5 M9w) Hokutofuji(6-9 M2e) M3 Kagayaki(8-7 M6w) Okinoumi(4-11 Ke) M4 Myogiryu(6-9 M3e) Tobizaru(11-4 M14e) M5 Kotoshoho(10-5 M12e) Takarafuji(7-8 M5w) M6 Tamawashi(5-10 M2w) Tochinoshin(6-9 M4w) M7 Endo(3-9 Kw) Terutsuyoshi(5-10 M3w) M8 Aoiyama(7-8 M7w) Tokushoryu(7-8 M8e) M9 Kotoeko(8-7 M10w) Meisei(9-6 M13e) M10 Ryuden(6-9 M7e) Sadanoumi(7-8 M10e) M11 Enho(6-9 M9e) Yutakayama(2-6 M4e) M12 Kaisei(7-8 M12w) Hoshoryu(8-7 M16w) M13 Ichinojo(8-7 M17e) Chiyonokuni(14-1 J11w) M14 Chiyotairyu(5-8 M11e) Kotonowaka(9-6 J2w) M15 Kotoyuki(8-7 J2e) Chiyoshoma(9-6 J4e) M16 Akua(10-5 J6w) Shimanoumi(6-9 M15e) M17
  5. Gurowake

    Yusho or Rank?

    I should make an on topic post. I would take the rank right now, if only for the 3 years' grace on finding a kabu on retirement. After the mass retirement of all those "consultants" from 4 years ago, kabu will be slightly easier to pick up though. That is, I'd rather not be in Tokushoryu's position of possibly not having a kabu (although I have no idea about his chances since I don't really follow it besides knowing who owns them, I just mean in general of a mediocre rikishi with a random Yusho) despite having a Yusho, whereas Takayasu could retire now and have plenty of time for those "consultants" to retire.
  6. Gurowake

    Yusho or Rank?

    Well, Asanoyama and Takakeisho debuted at Sekiwake in between. More stuff on this topic (which is a total derailment and I blame the person who first brought it up): There are only 9 rikishi that have been Sekiwake since 2018 began: http://sumodb.sumogames.de/Query.aspx?show_form=0&group_by=rikishi&having=1&form1_rank=s&form1_year=2018-2020. That's over 16 basho. In the 2014-2017 range for which there were 24 basho, there were 21 different Sekiwake. http://sumodb.sumogames.de/Query.aspx?show_form=0&group_by=rikishi&having=1&form1_rank=s&form1_year=2014-2017 But if you go 4 years back before that, 2010-2013, there were only 11 (though only 23 basho), with the rank at the time being dominated mostly by those who would eventually move up to Ozeki: Kisenosato, Kakuryu, Kotoshogiku, Goeido, and sorta Baruto, though most of his appearances at Sekiwake in that time frame are after his demotion, with the "never quite made it" Tochiozan and Myogiryu also making frequent appearances. Goeido was Sekiwake more times than the remaining 4 combined in those four years. http://sumodb.sumogames.de/Query.aspx?show_form=0&group_by=rikishi&having=1&form1_rank=s&form1_year=2010-2013
  7. Gurowake

    Yusho or Rank?

    This is actually a fairly recent phenomenon and has a lot to do with the period around the time where there were 3 straight basho where there were 2 Sekiwake debuts. From Natsu 2016 to Nagoya 2016: Kotoyuki, Ikioi; Kaisei, Tochinoshin; Takayasu, Takarafuji. Only two of those became Ozeki. There also around that time period were the debuts of Tamawashi, Yoshikaze and Takekaze (despite them being much older) as well as many of the young guns now, like Mitakeumi and Shodai. There wasn't a Sekiwake debut that didn't go on to Ozeki already between Mitakeumi (3 years ago) and Daieisho. Why was the 2014-2017 period so prolific in creating Sekiwake? Because there were some very dominant Yokozuna and Ozeki that made sure it was very hard to get a winning record at the top of the banzuke, meaning there was more turnover at the rank, and in a few cases they had to go pretty far down the banzuke (see Takekaze and Okinoumi) to get someone to fill the spot. Currently it's comparatively easy for Sekiwake to maintain their rank, and when they don't, it's likely filled by someone who's already been there given the great concentration of them. Note that the only new Sekiwake debut not to go on to Ozeki since Mitakeumi had to force his way in as opposed to getting an open slot, and the two that went on to Ozeki also had 11 wins or more for their promotion as well. For those with rank debuts since 1960, if I did the math right, there are 90 who topped out at Sekiwake (not including Shodai). 11 of those Sekiwake had their debut in 2014-2017, 4 years out of the 61 being looked at, which is very roughly twice the density as expected.
  8. Gurowake

    Preparations of the Y/O- November 2020

    https://kol.coldfront.net/thekolwiki/index.php/Bottle_of_Pete's_Sake
  9. Gurowake

    Promotion/Demotion/Yusho Discussion Aki 2020

    At the time, I commented on the fact that ex-Dejima was one of the messengers to inform Goeido of his promotion, and given that people weren't so sure about Goeido being able to stay Ozeki (and very nearly did get demoted quickly), I thought it seemed a rather odd choice to send someone who had been Ozeki for such a short period of time before demotion.
  10. Gurowake

    Yersin Baltagulov

    If you search for the name you should be able to find Google's cache of the image, though its link to the real image on twitter doesn't work.
  11. Gurowake

    Sumo’s newest Ozeki — Shodai Naoya

    Well, it says "Kimarite of late", though it doesn't specify the interval.
  12. Gurowake

    Sumo’s newest Ozeki — Shodai Naoya

    Akebono and Musashimaru had roughly equal amounts of oshidashi and yorikiri wins.
  13. Gurowake

    Sumo’s newest Ozeki — Shodai Naoya

    I'm fairly sure Kintamayama called him the next Ozeki during his coverage when he was still (relatively) new to the joi, which would have been 2016. I don't know how often he repeated it, but he only needed to say it once for people to mock him for it over the last 4 years that produced 4 other Ozeki.
  14. Gurowake

    Not the Kyushu basho 2020 GTB invite - 130 entries

    It really depresses me that Akua is likely to be promoted. His career path just didn't look like he was destined to make it out of Juryo, especially with his first 2 awful performances. I didn't expect him back in Juryo at all after those two, and now he'll be in Makuuchi? Ugh.
  15. Gurowake

    September (Aki) Basho- offical thread (yay..)

    I was looking at the Kabu list in the database sorted by age, and starting next year, there are going to be the kabu from the first of the rehired "consultants" that will becoming available. I can imagine that the current oyakata using the kabu owned by Ikioi and Kotoshogiku have requested that they hold on until one of those become available. I imagine Toyohibiki (anyone remember him? Current leader in Makuuchi basho without sanyaku experience, both among active rikishi and tied all time) is still slugging it out in Makushita with little hope of returning to sekitori status because he's expecting to get one of those as well.