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About Andreas21

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  • Birthday 21/04/70

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  • Favourite Rikishi
    Terunifuji, Kotoyuki, Tochinoshin, Kaisei, Tatsu
  1. Phew, I'm really astonished that such an incredible amount of Sumo wisdom can be condensed in those small sentences. I'm baffled, really. I'm not even able to grasp the category "like Ura" as I have never seen a Rikishi which is in any way similar. Now that the final truth is spoken, it is crystal clear that both Rikishi in mention are doomed for the rest of their careers.
  2. One of the Satos, Senshuyama, reached a career high of Juryo 1. Why didn't he reach Makuuchi? He was close ... In 2002.09 he scored 9-6 as J2e and was not promoted, because J3w with 10-5 and J4w with 11-4 were promoted over him, and additionally ... hold your breath, Aogiyama, kjuyo at M14w, received a protected ranking and was not demoted this time, only to be demoted with 6-9 at the next event, and going intai a few bashos later! This was really, really bad luck for him in Banzuke making! Should have a beer with Tochinoshin!
  3. Wakamisho (nowadays called Terunofuji) remembered his former self and employs the Baruto-Sumo which he was so good at. I don't know why it works - but it seems to do. It looks a decisively awkward - give the opponent Morozashi and then fight back with supernatural power. Even Baruto could not get rid of it. Is it psychological? Does the losing position release a secret source of energy? Why can't they in the first place? For me as a fan it is pure drama! He can't possibly win this - but can he? He tries the impossible - and we share the thrill. I loved it with Baruto, and I love it with Terunofuji.
  4. I just happened to see some bouts of Takagenji - and whao, I liked what I see. I'm just becoming a fan! First, he's got a great Sumo body, optimal height, heavy at the right places but not too heavy. Straightforward oshi, lots of power, good balance. Lacks a bit of cleverness and loses where he shouldn't. Still, 5 Kashi-koshi in a row in upper Makushita. BUT (as opposed to other "young" prospects) he is really young. Before his 20th birthday and probably he will be Sekitori after this basho. He can still learn a lot! His twin brother Takayoshitoshi is also good but somewhat smaller and less convincing to me.
  5. Bottom line, Konishiki has not been promoted because he was too fat? Honestly, I doubt this. It's much more simple - the requirements have been higher back then in terms of result numbers, that's all. In 1993, Takanohana was refused promotion with 14Y-13D! Probably, had Terunofuji posted these results in 2015, he would have been.
  6. Great achievement of Kisenosato, the promotion well-overdue. In a normal ranking list like for instance in Tennis etc. he would have been the No. 1 since about a year. In my view, the only real question mark with respect to different standards is the non-promotion of Kaio. Kaio had great results in 2001-2004 with 5 Yushos, during the emergence of a terribly dominant Dai-Yokozuna. The quality of the results could even be considered better than Kisenosato's now if it weren't for the injury bashos. But that is a distinctive argument in favor of Kisenosato, the remarkable absence of injuries. It's up to the YDC and the Kyokai. It's debatable but I like the concept. It takes into account circumstances which is good.
  7. I just notice, there are currently 15 career Sekiwake in Makuuchi, recently 2 added. Another one in Juryo. This is a lot! (Though I don't know if it much on the historical perspective.) Anyway - those were the days, when Kisenosato and Goeido were blocking a Sekiwake spot for a long time. We've been having a dazzling 8 new (first-time) Sekiwake in the last 5 basho! That qualifies for a record though.
  8. You're kidding, right? Judging on just a single bout each? Looking at the last year, 90 bouts, of both I see a quite similar performance and Sumo quality slightly in favor of Shodai. Mitakeumi is on steam this basho, but let's see how long it lasts.
  9. The current Yokozunae and Ozeki in their 30s are historically very remarkable that they are so little hampered by injuries. They are out for injury once in a while, but if I compare that to the past, the 80s the 90s, where the Yusho often was basically decided by multiple Kyujos of the top Rikishi. What is also remarkable is that, except Kotoshogiku, the injuries do not appear to be severe. A bit of fingers, hands, elbows, things that can possibly fully recovered. Not career-threatening issues like Endo, Terunofuji have, which were bugging great Rikishi of the past, like Tochiazuma, Takanohana, Akebono for instance. In my opinion we have the most competitive bunch of top Rikishi ever ( ... I may exaggerate a bit ... ). When in history we had a situation that 5 top Rikishi passed their 30s and compete at or near their top level nearly injury-free? Comparing stats, average wins per basho and so on, has a big drawback. You can only be as good as your opponent allows. So if the others keep up you have trouble unless you constantly improve. This is actually the way I look at the "decline" of Hakuho. In my opinion he is not getting worse at all. It's only that the others are constantly improving, which is obviously the case for Kakuryo, Goeido and Kisenosato. Arguably, even Hakuho is still improving, at least to get his wins easier than in the past (I recall the time of his impressive winning streak, where he had to work hard for his wins.) My prediction for the future is that the mentioned 5 will compete at top level for some years to come. (Kotoshogiko is on the brink of Intai once something's on with his knees again.) That will bug the next generation a lot! Probably Harumafuji will go first, he's the oldest and needs to work the most for his wins. I also think that both Kisenosato and Goeido will finally get Yokozuna near the end of their carreers, once Kakuryo and Hakuho retire or start to make breaks more often. Frankly, I do not see any of the young contenders to make such a big jump to dominate the 5. Shodai has shown some great Sumo but one must not forget that he is 25 already. Terunofuji had the potential but it is absolutely unclear if he can fully recover the injury. The same for many others - they are not really young anymore, lack the size (Ishiura, Ura, Onosho), the cleverness (Kagayaki), or are already severely damaged (Endo).
  10. I just happened to listen to the "2016 Kyushu Basho Sumo Chat with Jason and Moti" on Youtube and I enjoyed very very much. Thanks Moti to participate in the interview ... gives me new perspectives. And I will even more enjoy your video coverage now, since I have the tone of your voice, and the way you form your arguments, in my ear. Don't know if Jason and John are listening here - but thanks anyway to put it up. Great idea!
  11. The Tsuna issue aside, what I found really remarkable is the quality of Goeido's Sumo. Throughout his Makuuchi career I have rarely seen this type of Goeido: focused, aggressive, great balance, with a plan, and a plan B if it goes wrong. I would say, ranging from once in a basho to 50% (not often). Then we had this other Goeido: hapless, lackluster, planless. Easy prey for the top Rikishi, and even lesser Rikishi could beat him. Throughout the last two bashos every single bout was very good. This time he lost thrice - but still very good Sumo - it was close all three times, and more or less unlucky. Last basho he was lucky a number of times. I just hope that he can keep this level of Sumo, even when his hope for the Tsuna is gone. It is really a pleasure to watch his bouts, see his development.
  12. I've reviewed his bouts from the last Basho. I have to admit, I'm not impressed. Nothing like the first few bashos of Kotooshu, Baruto, Aoiyama, Osunaarashi among the non-asian entrants who stormed through the non-Sekitori divisions. He gives away Moro-zashi all the time and has to exert all his superior power to get through - in Jonidan. Gives the impression that he is strong and willing to fight but still has to learn Sumo. Will struggle mightily in Sandamne if he does not learn quickly.
  13. These pictures are soooo cute. Thanks for sharing them!
  14. That's an awful lot of expection pressure already before Mae Zumo, already.
  15. First of all, I highly appreaciate Randomitsuki for sharing the results of his ELO ranking system. Fixing the average at 1500 seems appropriate to me to counter inflation/deflation issues. I did an brief attempt to implement a system myself, and took the opposite path. I modified the update function, with some special cases, and had a complicated starting Elo value function. Finally, the ELO average was stable over time. I confess, it is no less artifical. In my opinion, historical ELO comparisons show the relative strength of the Yokozuna, not the absolute. Relative to the peers of the respective period, of course. It simply doesn't answer, who did the better Sumo, or even if Taiho would beat Hakuho if he arrived with a time machine at the same age. However, it precisely shows the level of dominance. It also shows the pattern of strength developent over time. It shows the structure of the Banzuke much better than the actual ranks themselves. Viewed from this perspective, deflation is not that a big issue at all. I still think, Elo's system is more appropriate for Sumo than for chess. The system in chess suffers from the highly divergent number and quality (strength of the opponent) of the matches. In Sumo, most Sekitori have 90 matches per year, with opponents very similar to the own strength. Lower division rikishi about 42. It should be much more reliable.