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Everything posted by ScreechingOwl

  1. A very exciting senshuraku, with only three points separating the top three gamers. As for day 14, has there ever been a day before where no one managed a correct guess, Achiyama?
  2. ScreechingOwl

    This IS the July 2020 Basho thread!! Spoilers!!

    If Mitakeumi defeats Terunofuji tomorrow we will have a three-way playoff for the yusho (those two joined by the winner of Shodai v. Asanoyama).
  3. ScreechingOwl

    Are Abi's days numbered?

    Hmmm. An oyakata repeatedly beats rikishi and is demoted. I take Covid-19 very seriously - I wear a mask, socially distance, don't eat out, and minimize outside contact - I don't visit anyone inside or have anyone inside my house other than immediate family. Still, expulsion seems too great. He's already been pulled out of more than half this basho. A one basho suspension will drop him to lower Juryo. A two basho suspension will drop him to what - high single digits makushita? A suspension seems more appropriate to me, especially as I view an oyakata who beats rikishi (which is a criminal assault) as more harmful to sumo (who is going to let their son join an organization that tolerates this behavior) as more damaging to sumo.
  4. ScreechingOwl

    This IS the July 2020 Basho thread!! Spoilers!!

    Baruto And Asashoryu were both extremely strong too. I'm not sure who the strongest rikishi in the 21st century has been - it would be interesting to find out what each of them could life. In any case, there is no doubt Terunofuji is very powerful. Still, he has to get ahold of the mawashi, and Takayasu did a great job of keeping him off of it.
  5. ScreechingOwl

    This IS the July 2020 Basho thread!! Spoilers!!

    Let's be cautious about saying "for sure" regarding yokozuna promotion, because he has to stay healthy, and that requires some luck. Terunofuji strung together four basho at sekiwake and ozeki which were at (or near) yokozuna strength and his promotion seemed imminent - and then he was injured. It's great that he's back and doing well, but he'll never be the same. Nothing is for sure in sports, and sumo puts more of a strain on the body that most other sports do. So fingers crossed for a continually healthy Asanoyama.
  6. ScreechingOwl

    Games Bugs

    Both Sekitori-Toto and Turn the Tide have been not able to have entries submitted for almost 2 hours.
  7. Unfortunately there is no way in this situation that everyone can be treated "fairly". I selected a winner on day 8, but I'm generally at a time zone disadvantage and know I always feel there is a certain "unfairness" when people win over me in SG or Toto based only on their ability to catch a late kyujo. I would be fine with nakabi not counting.
  8. ScreechingOwl

    This IS the July 2020 Basho thread!! Spoilers!!

    The day 5 video recap features videos with the live commentary by the legendary Murray Johnson with captioned comments by the incomparable Kintamayama. And the sumo is pretty good too.
  9. ScreechingOwl

    21 July 20, The Results

    1. A2. A3. B4. A5. B6. B7. B8. A9. A10. A11. B12. A13. A14. A15. A16. B17. B18. B19. B20. B21. A
  10. ScreechingOwl

    Hatsu 2020 Basho Discussion (SPOILERS)

    As long as Takayasu continues to be injured it's not going to matter where he is on the banzuke: he'll be lucky to get a kk, nevermind more. If he regains his health Takayasu should again be good enough to have more chances to win a yusho from anywhere on the banzuke. Time will tell.
  11. ScreechingOwl

    Goeido to Retire

    Great thanks to Nantonoyama for these two wonderful clips. The first makes me recall just how much I miss Ama. (Yes, yes, and Hamarufuji too). Watching Ama climb first to ozeki, which I doubted he'd ever be able to do, then to yokozuna. (Which I almost didn't want him to do, because I was worried they'd force him to retire too early. Well, they did - but not for the reason I feared.) And then that crazy laugh and those wonderful captions by Randomitsuki, making merry with Goeido's highly improbable zensho yusho (coming after two years as ozeki with just one prior double digit wins and four MKs). I'd rate Goeido's zensho yusho the third most unpredictable yusho I've seen in 15 years, following only Tokushoryu's and Kyokutenho's. It's super how Rando pokes fun at Goeido, SumoTalk, and sumo in general.
  12. ScreechingOwl

    Mukade Beya (Formerly STI) Sumo Gaming Banter Thread

    I'm sure Pandaazuma will retire after some Olympics, just not the Tokyo ones. Plus, he's not a rikishi but an oyakata, so he can stick around until he's 65, at least. I hadn't even remembered I was 4-4 at one point in SG - have to win those ties! On my selection sheet today I checked off Endo but in the game I put in Enho (who I also thought would win, but who I did not mean to choose in SG), so I was very lucky to overcome that mistake.I had a good senshuraku overall, but this was a tough basho to pick in, and I expect that is a trend that will increase until the new guard is firmly in place, which could take a few years.
  13. ScreechingOwl

    Hatsu 2020 Basho Discussion (SPOILERS)

    Regarding the two ozeki situation: 1. Goeido is almost certainly going to finish mk, and thus be demoted; 2. Asanoyama will quite likely be promoted to ozeki; any 12-3 will clinch it, and I believe even 11-4 will be enough; 3. Even if Goeido is demoted and Asanoyama isn't promoted it's all good - Kakuryu will be listed as yokozuna-ozeki.
  14. ScreechingOwl

    New! - Gurowake's Long-Term Prediction Game - Hatsu 2020

    Mitakeumi Meisei Takanosho Kiribayama Ichinojo Motobayashi Hokutenkai
  15. ScreechingOwl

    21 Hatsu 20, The Results

    1 A 2 A 3 X 4 B 5 A 6 A 7 B 8 B 9 B 10 B 11 X 12 A 13 B 14 A 15 A 16 B 17 B 18 B 19 B 20 B 21 B
  16. ScreechingOwl

    Metasumo 2020

    Oops - evidently I have some arithmetic issues. I'll try again: 1-5 - Pandaazuma 6-10 - Andoreasu 11-20 - Gurowake 21-40 - Unkonoyama 41-80 - Athenayama 81-120 - Pitinosato 121-200 - Kaiomitsuki 201+ - Domichi
  17. ScreechingOwl

    Metasumo 2020

    1-5 - Pandaazuma (our own Hakuho - he should really be in his own category) 6-10 - Andoreasu (always a top performer; for whatever it's worth, I will never select myself) 11-20 - Gurowake (all number based systems will be challenged during the changing of the guard, but few know more) 21-40 - Unkonoyama (our own international man of mystery) 41-80 - Athenayama (like Unko, clearly on his way up) 81-120 - Achiyama (one of the better angels of our sumo nature) 121-200 - Kaiomitsuki (could easily move up more than one hundred spots) 201+ - Domichi (still learning the ropes; I anticipate major upward movement next year)
  18. ScreechingOwl

    Promotion/Demotion and Yusho discussion Kyushu 2019

    One of the most noteworthy aspects of the the Juryo division for Hatsu 2020 will be the simultaneous return to wrestling there of Terunofuji, 27, a 14 time ozeki, for the first time since Natsu 2018, and Ichinojo, 26, an 8 time sekiwake, for the first time since Nagoya 2014. (Of course that's assuming Ichinojo will be healthy enough to wrestle.) I can't recall ever having two such formerly higher ranked rikishi in Juryo simultaneously while still in their 20s (never mind mid-twenties).
  19. ScreechingOwl

    Mukade Beya (Formerly STI) Sumo Gaming Banter Thread

    I overachieved this basho, but bad results on senshuraku and day 14 leave me with a sort of bitter aftertaste, although both days were quite difficult to gauge (as can be seen by the fact that more than half of all gamers got more than half of their predictions in Toto wrong both days). I feel especially bad about not winning in Toto, which has always been my favorite game. M day 13 total was just below the line, as I had the same number of wins as people who ended up in the top half. And winning the Sumo Game yusho doesn't compensate for that loss, as my performance there was merely adequate, with my win being due primarily to unusually weak competition (from mostly strong competitors having off days). Of course Sumo Game almost always has a strong quotient of luck involved: when Pandaazuma took the yusho in Natsu I had the same point total but finished with 7 fewer wins. In Kyushu we again had the identical point total, only this time he finished with an astonishing 9 fewer wins, as his opponents racked up 19 more points against him than mine did against me. A yusho is a yusho, of course, but this one resembled Kyokutenho's in my opinion. I also took the yusho in SCS, and that one was deserved, and finished with the jun yusho in Hoshitori and in Toto (much shared), as well as logging in top ten finished in Quad, Tip Spiel, and Oracle. Of course the upsets in the final two days of this basho aren't unprecedented, but I think we'll be entering a period where they become increasingly common. I don't think Pandaazuma's domination is likely to end because of them, although I do think he'll find it more difficult to approach his astronomical scores of the last two years. And I think there will be a greater variety of gamers winning (and often winning big) from basho to basho, as the luck factor increases. We've already seen an increasing number of winners on the real dohyo, so perhaps we'll start to see the same thing on the virtual one. That's not to disparage anyone - there was a large luck factor in Kyushu, and this was by far my best tournament of the year, so I was (overall) a beneficiary of it. I am merely acknowledging that with the injuries to so many of the top rikishi, and with Hakuho moving toward retirement, we are entering a whole new world in sumo gaming. Best holiday wishes to everyone.
  20. ScreechingOwl

    Basho videos- Makuuchi - Kyushu 2019

    Eight and one-third years of entertainment, education, and pleasure. Thank you so much for all the time you've put in so that the rest of us can enjoy sumo. I'll miss your commentary on the matches.
  21. Hello Angel,

    I hope you've been well and everything in Seattle is good for you. I don't want to throw a spanner in the works (in part because I'm not sure of the precise meaning of that English expression) but I think you gave me credit for the wrong pick on day 11. In your listing of picks you show I choose Takanosho as my first pick and Shodai as my back-up pick, but on the chart for day 11 you give me credit for Shodai. I believe I picked Takanosho as my first pick, but I'm not entirely certain as I'm pretty tired by the time I make my selections and really don't remember. I think you've got the evidence for the selections though, so if it matters when you have time you can double check. 

    My goal this basho is to get rid of my kadoban the honorable way, although truthfully I haven't been a particularly good ozeki and I couldn't complain if I got relegated. I'm not even sure which pick is worth more (and they both won) but I don't want to get credit for something I didn't do.


    Douglas (ScreechingOwl)

    1. Achiyama


      Hi Douglas, 

      Thank you for your note. Yes you are right with your point. I appreciate your honesty and alerting me for the error. Of course, your case is different from that of Chishafuwaku.

      I rightfully posted your pick of Takanosho in the Table before the start of Day 11. In the Table with the scores is the mess happened in your case, and Chisha's too. The good in your case is that both main and back up (Shodai) won. The difference is only 1 point. In the "After Day 11 Standings" Table are the right points 22 (for Takanosho (17 + 5). But I will fix the problem because I have to post that Takanosho is coming with Golden Bonus points.

      Once again thank you for comment. You are truly Mr. TUG - the Biggest TUG Supporter.

      Good night, my friend.


    2. Achiyama


      In fact Shodai has 12 points points for Day 11. I continue making errors in my previous note.

      But I published the right Score Table for Day 11.

      If you have noticed the After Day 11 Standings contain the right points for Day 11. 

  22. ScreechingOwl

    Mukade Beya (Formerly STI) Sumo Gaming Banter Thread

    The basho isn't over yet technically, although as a practical matter every rikishi except Hakuho should be concentrating on their banzuke ranking next basho, special prizes, and not getting injured before the holidays. After 10 days, I'm 9-1 and leading in two games : Toto and Quad. I think the last time that happened was, um, never. I'm also in second in Tip Spiel (which is exceptionally closely bunched). And I've positive records in several other games and chances for points in those too. Despite that, according to Randomitsuki, I'm currently only in 5th place for Kyushu, so there should be some very high scores when this basho is over. And it still isn't over, as we are only two-thirds way through and five days is often close to an eternity where sumo is concerned.
  23. ScreechingOwl

    2019 Kyushu Basho Discussion (spoiler alert)

    Harumafuji didn't retire for his health: he would almost certainly have been forced to retire and acted honorably in sparing the NSK that decision. Both Hakuho and Kakuryu who were merely present at the incident were strongly censured and fined by the NSK. Harumafuji's resignation was voluntary in the same way President Nixon's was.
  24. ScreechingOwl

    2019 Kyushu Basho Discussion (spoiler alert)

    They have indeed changed the Makuuchi torikumi matchups, with Tochiozan getting a return visit to Makuuchi earlier than expected.
  25. ScreechingOwl

    2019 Kyushu Basho Discussion (spoiler alert)

    Meisei is listed at 120 kilos. He's only 24, so he's sure to gain more weight - and he'll need to if he's going to stay at the top of the makuuchi division. Ama started in the top division weighing about 113 kilos, was up to 126 kilos when he changed his shikona to Harumafuji and was promoted to ozeki, and increased to 133 kilos when he was promoted to yokozuna. The extra weight was a big help (and necessary: he would never have made yokozuna at 113) but what made Harumafuji so special was his speed and mobility, his tactical intelligence, and his amazing will to win. There isn't any rikishi in the 15 years I've followed sumo that I miss more.