Asashosakari

Active Members
  • Content Count

    22,950
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    312

Everything posted by Asashosakari

  1. Asashosakari

    Trivia bits

    That prompted some curiosity in me, though - Azumaryu is the active leader in makuuchi appearances while holding a juryo rank. Nobody else is anywhere near his 24, next is Daiamami with just 16. It's become hard to put up big numbers in this era of little cross-divisional match-making, anyway; the all-time lead is 61 by the indefatigable Oshio.
  2. Asashosakari

    Trivia bits

    Small nitpick: Your query parameters exclude matches by juryo rikishi up in makuuchi, which for instance leaves Daimonji three short of his real total (32, not 29).
  3. Asashosakari

    Seki-Toto/Quad/Oracle banzuke for Natsu 2022

    The Oracle points that you scored were equivalent to an 8-7 in lower makuuchi, I'm generally not going to promote you ahead of maegashira players such as Hakase and Shatsume who have similar scores.
  4. Seki-Toto (play): Following three disappointing tournaments, a 9-6 target record had been set for yokozuna Pandaazuma to keep wearing the rope beyond March. He managed to hit that mark, if barely, and the hopeful soul that I am I will refrain from setting another explicit target for Natsu basho. However, we are still looking at four consecutive single-digit scores, and a fifth one this month would certainly lead back to a more aggressive view for Nagoya. Fellow yokozuna Norizo also posted a 9-6, but with back-to-back 11-4's before that he's in a much more established position, and for good measure our sole ozeki ScreechingOwl ended up with 9 wins as well. He won't be the sole ozeki anymore, however, after the following unspectacular but entirely sufficient run by our latest player to make the move to the second-highest rank: 2021.11 M1w 10-5 2022.01 K1e 12-3 J 2022.03 S1e 10-5 Congrats, Ganzohnesushi! Athenayama and Konosato, demoted from ozeki after the January tournament, both fell short in their repromotion campaigns, scoring 7 and 8 wins respectively. As in the last two basho the upper-ranked players won heavily (8.4 wins on average between Y and M5), but this time the worst banzuke-making excesses weren't forced upon me, mostly courtesy of three sanyaku players giving up their spots via makekoshi. Things were still plenty crowded in the joi, with an unfortunate victim of the crunch being Haru yusho winner Susanoo, whom I'd normally have rewarded with a place in sanyaku. I wasn't willing to go beyond the "normal" maximum of 12 sanyaku slots just for a courtesy promotion, though. Norizo (Ye 9-6) Y Pandaazuma (Yw 9-6) ScreechingOwl (Oe 9-6) O Ganzohnesushi (S1e 10-5) Konosato (S2w 8-7) S1 Joaoiyama (M1w 11-3-1) Kintamayama (K2e 9-5-1) S2 Bill (K2w 9-6) Oskahanada (K3w 9-6) S3 - Chijanofuji (K1w 8-7) K1 Toonoryu (M3w 11-4) - K2 Golynohana (M4w 11-4) Susanoo (M9w 12-3 Y) M1 Athenayama (S2e 7-8) DeRosa (M2e 8-6-1) M2 Kaito (M5w 10-5) Kotononami (S1w 6-7-2) M3 Unkonoyama (M5e 9-6) Kishikaisei (M1e 7-8) M4 Andoreasu (M7w 9-6) Chishafuwaku (K1e 5-10) M5 Flohru (M2w 7-8) Fujisan (M11e 9-6) M6 Oortael (M3e 6-9) Gaanaa (M11w 9-5-1) M7 Achiyama (M7e kosho) Gawasukotto (M6e 7-8) M8 Metzinowaka (M4e 6-9) Terarno (M6w 7-7-1) M9 Asapedroryu (M13w 9-6) Herritarooo (M12w 8-7) M10 Frinkanohana (M8e 6-9) Hidenotora (J2w 10-5) M11 Kuroimori (M10w 7-8) Chelseayama (J3w 10-5) M12 Kajiyanosho (J2e 9-6) Hana-ichi (M12e 7-8) M13 Chankoyama (M10e 6-9) Taka (M8w 5-10) M14 Jakusotsu (M14w 7-8) Asashosakari (M15e kosho) M15 Gernobono (M13e 6-9) Takanorappa (M9e 4-10-1) J1 Benihana (J7w 9-6) Andonishiki (M15w 6-9) J2 Anjoboshi (J6e 8-6-1) Kitakachiyama (M14e 5-10) J3 Onakaderu (J10w 10-5) Sakura (J8w 9-6) J4 Netsuzakura (J6w 8-7) Umigame (J9e 9-6) J5 Kobashi (J3e 7-8) Kaiowaka (J1e 6-9) J6 Mmikasazuma (J4w 7-7-1) Ahokaina (J11e 9-6) J7 Gansekiiwa (J5e 7-8) Atenzan (J7e kosho) J8 Tomisakae (J13e 8-6-1) Profomisakari (Ms2w 9-6) J9 Balon (J14w 8-7) Ketsukai (J1w 3-12) J10 Kyoju (J10e 7-8) Andrasoyamawaka (J8e 6-9) J11 Neko (Ms4w 9-6) Kashunowaka (J12e kosho) J12 Rowitoro (Ms2e 8-7) Oshirokita (J11w 7-8) J13 Getayukata (J12w 7-8) Saruyama (Ms6w 9-6) J14 Choshu-yuki (J9w 5-9-1) Mariohana (J5w 3-11-1) Ms1 Ulishimaru (Ms5w 8-7) Holleshoryu (Ms3w 7-8) Ms2 Akishiki (Ms1e 6-9) Dan Koloff (Ms1w 6-8-1) Ms3 GONZABUROW (J13w 5-10) WAKATAKE (Ms9e 8-5-2) Ms4 Jejima (J4e 0-0-15) Nantonoyama (J14e 4-11) Ms5 Chudorj (Ms5e 6-8-1) Effinojo (Ms4e 4-9-2) Ms6 Oyama (Ms8e 5-10) Sutarokku (Ms7e kosho) Ms7 Aderechelseamaru (Ms6e 4-6-5) Sherlockiama (Ms7w 4-5-6) Ms8 Damimonay (Ms3e 0-0-15) Chartorenji (NR 3-3-9) Ms9 Unagiyutaka2 (Ms9w 2-7-6) Sukubidubidu (Ms8w 0-0-15) Ms10 BariiHachiBenson (NR 1-6-8) Kuodorupuru (Ms11e kosho) Ms11 -
  5. Asashosakari

    Sumo Reference Updates

    Wakanoumi's given name is correctly given as Shunpei on the English side of the DB, but the Japanese data mistakenly has it as すんぺい (Sunpei) for both shikona that he has used.
  6. Asashosakari

    Seki-Toto/Quad/Oracle banzuke for Natsu 2022

    Seki-Oracle (play): The first basho with just two yokozuna saw Pandaazuma post a credible 10-5 record, while Norizo finished narrowly kachikoshi and hasn't done better than 8-7 in five straight tournaments now. Freshly rebooted Choshu-yuki achieved a converted 11-4 record down in juryo, although with a points score that would have been barely KK in her old high-ranker stomping grounds. Top-ranked Haru ozeki Gansekiiwa was the only one of the quartet to finish makekoshi, and he will be kadoban for Natsu. Fellow ozeki Oskanohana topped the joi bracket with a score that converted to the full 15 wins, but was beaten for the yusho by one point by a lower-ranking player anyway. This result was still easily strong enough to trigger a tsunatori for the new basho, of course. As that 15-0 indicates, the results were much less tightly clustered in Haru than they had been back in January when very few people had scores converting to better than 8-7. Furthermore there was very little difference in quality between the joi and the maegashira bracket, which required some "creative" banzuke-making to reconcile the significantly different scoring rules of the two brackets. (Most importantly, yusho winner Susanoo's points total only converted to 12 wins despite exceeding Oskanohana's zensho-worthy score. Other KK scores were similarly depressed.) As a result the joi MK players got dropped quite a bit harder than they usually would be here. Oracle, too, had an ex-ozeki attempting to regain his rank the easy way in March, but DeRosa's campaign ended in makekoshi. The other sekiwake Golynohana came close to earning a promotion of his own, but his 9-6, 11-4, 9-6 run was judged as borderline on the wrong side of the in/out divider. Overall this game's sanyaku went the opposite way of that in S4, shrinking in size from 11 to 10 for Natsu basho. Pandaazuma (Ye 10-5) Y Norizo (Yw 8-7) Oskahanada (O2e 15-0) O1 Kaito (O2w 10-5) chishafuwaku (O1w 9-6) O2 Gansekiiwa (O1e 6-9) Golynohana (Se 9-6) S Bill (M1e 13-2) Andoreasu (M2w 12-3) K Susanoo (M7w 12-3 Y) Ganzohnesushi (M6e 10-5) M1 Frinkanohana (M2e 8-7) Kishikaisei (M7e 10-5) M2 DeRosa (Sw 7-8) Kitakachiyama (M9w 10-5) M3 Oshirokita (M4w 8-7) Konosato (M8w 9-6) M4 Flohru (K1e 6-9) ScreechingOwl (K1w 6-9) M5 Oortael (K2e 6-9) Mariohana (M6w 8-7) M6 Asashosakari (M4e kosho) GONZABUROW (M3e 7-8) M7 Taka (M1w 6-9) Balon (M15w 10-5) M8 Unkonoyama (M5w 6-9) Wamahada (M3w 5-10) M9 Pitinosato (M10w 8-7) Torafujii (M8e 7-8) M10 Hakase (M12w 8-7) Andrasoyama (M5e 4-11) M11 Shatsume (M13w 8-7) Tsuchinoninjin (M11w kosho) M12 Athenayama (M9e 6-9) Kotononami (M13e kosho) M13 Profomisakari (J1e 11-4) Kobashi (J6e 13-2) M14 Sakura (M11e 6-9) Sukubidubidu (M15e kosho) M15 joaoiyama (M12e 6-9) Saruyama (M10e 5-10) M16 Netsuzakura (J1w 8-7) Mmikasazuma (M16e 7-8) J1 Ruziklao (M14e 6-9) Terarno (J7e 10-5) J2 Kaiowaka (J3w 8-7) Kasamatsuri (J2w kosho) J3 Takanorappa (M14w 4-11) Choshu-yuki (J11w 11-4) J4 Nantonoyama (J9w 8-7) Metzinowaka (J4e 6-9) J5 Holleshoryu (J2e 5-10) Hidenotora (J6w 7-8) J6 Kakushoyama (NR 8-7) Kajiyanosho (J4w 5-10) J7 Chartorenji (NR 7-8) Anjoboshi (J8e kosho) J8 shimodahito (J8w kosho) Seki Haruaki (J5e 3-12) J9 Doreikishi (J10w 4-11) Fujisan (J9e 3-12) J10 Jejima (J3e 0-0-15) bariihachibenson (J11e kosho) J11 Kurofuji (J5w 0-0-15) reeeen (J10e 1-14) J12 Andonishiki (J7w 0-0-15)
  7. Asashosakari

    Seki-Toto/Quad/Oracle banzuke for Natsu 2022

    Seki-Quadrumvirate (play): Haru basho in Quad saw two incumbent ozeki active as well as two new ones. One from each pair finished KK and the other MK, so it's Norizo and rookie Kaito who enter Natsu unblemished, while Kobashi and the other newcomer Jakusotsu are now soft kadoban. Former ozeki Bill has posted very decent scores of 9-6, 10-5, 8-7 and 10-5 since his drop last year, and while that hasn't quite hit the spot for a new promotion yet (particularly in light of the fact that the previous one was not especially strong and led directly to back-to-back-to-back MK and immediate demotion), it's getting to the point where an extended look beyond the default 29 wins in sanyaku standard may be given in two months' time if Natsu is similarly successful. In any case he enters the new tournament as the top-ranked sekiwake for the fourth straight time, a feat rarely seen in S4. Haru komusubi pair Pandaazuma and Golynohana finished as 11-4 doten runner-ups, and having moved up to sekiwake they're both also in prime promoting position for this tournament. All in all sanyaku was easy to arrange, albeit with an expansion from 10 to 11 slots due to a slight abundance of promotable records over makekoshi. The rest of the ranking was largely uneventful as well, except for a mini-crunch in the middle maegashira ranks that saw 9 players trying to squeeze into what should have been 4 spots based on their old rank/record combinations. That resulted in a less than pretty M6e-M10e zone. Kaito (O2e 9-6) O1 Norizo (O1w 8-6-1) Kobashi (O1e 7-8) O2 Jakusotsu (O2w 7-8) Bill (Se 10-5) S1 Pandaazuma (K1w 11-4 D) Golynohana (K2e 11-4 D) S2 Kishikaisei (Sw 8-7) Ganzohnesushi (K1e 8-7) K1 Oskahanada (M2e 9-6) ScreechingOwl (M1w 8-7) K2 - Andrasoyama (M6e 10-5) M1 chishafuwaku (M5e 9-6) Konosato (M3e 8-7) M2 joaoiyama (M9e 10-5) Fujisan (M7e 9-6) M3 Athenayama (K2w 6-9) Susanoo (M10e 10-5) M4 Unkonoyama (M13e 11-4 Y) Choshu-yuki (M2w 7-7-1) M5 Flohru (M1e 6-9) Asapedroryu (M4e 7-8) M6 Kitakachiyama (M4w 7-8) Jejima (M12w 10-4-1) M7 Getayukata (M10w 9-6) Ketsukai (M8w 8-7) M8 DeRosa (M11e 9-6) Kashunowaka (M6w kosho) M9 Oortael (M9w 8-7) Asashosakari (M7w kosho) M10 Andoreasu (J1e 10-4-1) Nantonoyama (M14e 8-7) M11 Gansekiiwa (M15w 8-7) GONZABUROW (M11w 7-8) M12 Sakura (M16w 8-7) Kotononami (M5w 4-10-1) M13 Hironoumi (M3w 3-8-4) Taka (M8e 5-10) M14 Netsuzakura (J3e 9-6) Chankoyama (M14w 7-8) M15 Andonishiki (J6e 10-5) Metzinowaka (M15e 7-8) M16 - Gernobono (M13w 6-9) J1 Terarno (J5e 9-5-1) Achiyama (J1w kosho) J2 Holleshoryu (J4w 8-7) Kuroimori (M12e 4-10-1) J3 Kaiowaka (J7w 9-6) Ruziklao (J5w 8-7) J4 Frinkanohana (J8e 9-6) Chocshoporyu (J2w 7-6-2) J5 Balon (M16e 5-10) Kyoju (J4e 7-8) J6 Kintamayama (J8w 8-7) Sukubidubidu (J6w kosho) J7 Anjoboshi (J3w 6-8-1) reeeen (J11e 8-6-1) J8 Kajiyanosho (J11w 8-7) Takanorappa (J14w 9-4-2) J9 Oyama (J9e 7-8) Saruyama (J10e 7-8) J10 Hidenotora (J2e 3-11-1) Rowitoro (J10w 7-8) J11 Mariohana (J9w 6-9) Chibiyama (Ms2w 8-7) J12 Profomisakari (J12w 7-8) Kasamatsuri (J13e 7-8) J13 Neko (Ms3w 8-5-2) Doreikishi (J13w 7-8) J14 Hakushin (J14e 7-8) Oshirokita (J7e 3-12) Ms1 Hogashi (Ms1w kosho) bariihachibenson (Ms1e 6-7-2) Ms2 Hakase (J12e 4-11) Unagiyutaka (Ms4e 5-4-6) Ms3 Kyodaitimu (Ms5e 4-10-1) Mmikasazuma (Ms3e 3-8-4) Ms4 Chartorenji (NR 4-3-8) Kazejihi (Ms2e 1-0-14) Ms5 aderechelseamaru (Ms5w kosho) kamogawa (Ms6w 0-2-13) Ms6 Tsuchinoninjin (Ms7w kosho)
  8. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Natsu 2022

    11 Mitakeumi - Abi- Kamito- Ryuo+ Kitanowaka+ Kiryuko+ Nobehara+ Miyagi9 Wakatakakage- Wakamotoharu+ Kotoshoho+ Nishikigi+ Shimazuumi TB 11
  9. Asashosakari

    Scheduling question

    I don't think that's relevant for this; all that has done is shift the 8 maegashira in question down by one banzuke spot, which is why I added the ordinal numbering for illustration of how it's otherwise the same. The matches involving the top 16 rikishi above them are identical in positional terms for Days 1 and 2 of both tournaments, so I see no compelling reason to deviate for numbers 17 to 24 (actually, all the way to 36), yet they flipped it around anyway.
  10. Asashosakari

    Scheduling question

    Even the method for making the early matches isn't completely set in stone. For instance, Days 1-3 in Haru basho for the first few maegashira who weren't required for matches with sanyaku opponents: Day 1 5e-5w (17-18) 6e-6w (19-20) 7e-7w (21-22) 8e-8w (23-24) Day 2 5e-6w (17-20) 5w-6e (18-19) 7e-8w (21-24) 7w-8e (22-23) Day 3 5e-6e (17-19) 5w-6w (18-20) 7e-8e (21-23) 7w-8w (22-24) The first two days this basho: Day 1 5w-6e (17-18) 6w-7e (19-20) 7w-8e (21-22) 8w-9e (23-24) Day 2 5w-6w (17-19) 6e-7e (18-20) 7w-8w (21-23) 8e-9e (22-24) That's last basho's Day 3 pattern on Day 2 this time (and probably vice versa).
  11. Asashosakari

    Rikishi Status - 2022 Natsu

    Yup, I forgot about the tsukedashi. Thanks.
  12. Asashosakari

    Rikishi Status - 2022 Natsu

    Are the three kyujo rikishi Ichinojo's tsukebito, perhaps? It seems odd given it was the last week before the basho, but possibly the rest of the Minato crew had no direct contact to Ichinojo in a while? Of course there was the report of an unnamed lower division rikishi testing positive there as well, so maybe that theory doesn't make much sense either way. On another note, I could be misreading things but it seems to me that there's no possible opponent left for Sd90e Hokutoyakumo, so he may have been accidentally omitted from the kyujo list by the Kyokai.
  13. Asashosakari

    Trivia bits

    I would say 'scheduling quirks' is overselling it a little. It's just a simple function of the sizes of the respective divisions. 6-1 yusho can happen when there's just one 6-0 score in a division, or when there are multiple but they all can't be matched up in the last round. (Plus very rare other circumstances.) Clearly jonokuchi is the only division where a single 6-0 will be a frequent occurrence, and the latter scenario of completely impossible pairings is a lot more likely with makushita's usual two unbeaten records than with the three or even four that the larger divisions tend to have. And of course, even if there are unmatchable rikishi who must all be given other opponents, having three of them (rather than two) makes it a lot more likely that at least one will be winning that match anyway and finish 7-0 after all.
  14. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Natsu 2022

    @Chartorenji Please remember to include a tie-breaker choice.
  15. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Haru 2022

    Scores for banzuke purposes: chishafuwaku 10 (9+Top) Athenayama 8 Sakura 8 Chartorenji 7 ryafuji 7 Tsuchinoninjin 7 Holleshoryu 6 Tameiki 6 Rocks 5 WAKATAKE 5 Yarimotsu 5 Hakuryuho 4 Jejima 4 Profomisakari 3 Total: 85 / 14 = 6.07 ---> +2 wins With two equally viable score adjustments (+2 for 8 KK / 6 MK, or +1 for 6 KK / 8 MK) I normally take my cue from the mean score, which would have narrowly suggested +1 here. However, after working through both alternatives it turned out that the new banzuke would look exactly the same either way, so I went for the prettier +2. The new banzuke for Natsu 2022: Asashosakari (Ye kosho) Y --- chishafuwaku (Oe 12-3 Y) O Tsuchinoninjin (Ow 9-6) Athenayama (Sw 10-5 J) S Sakura (M1w 10-5 J) ryafuji (M1e 9-6) K Rocks (Se 7-8) Chartorenji (NR 9-6) M1 Holleshoryu (M2w 8-7) Tameiki (M3e 8-7) M2 Hakuryuho (Ke 6-9) WAKATAKE (M2e 7-8) M3 Profomisakari (Kw 5-10) Yarimotsu (NR 7-8) M4 Jejima (M4e 6-9) Ryoshishokunin (M3w 0-0-15) M5 --- chishafuwaku goes from kadoban to tsunatori, Tsuchinoninjin had a successful ozeki debut, and recently demoted Athenayama re-asserted himself as an ozeki-caliber player and may well be back up after Natsu basho.
  16. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Haru 2022

    (I know the Hatsu results are still missing...) The lineup for Haru 2022: 1. Terunofuji 17 [score?] 2. Mitakeumi 7 [score?] 3. Atamifuji 7* 4. Abi 6 [score?] 5. Asanowaka 6 6. Kanno 6* 7. Tomokaze 6 8. Taiga 6 9. Kamito 5 10. Fujitoshi 5* 11. Tatsukaze 5 12. Moji 5* 13. Kototaiki 5** 14. Tatsuguchi 5* 15. Sadanoumi 4 16. Kitanowaka 4 TB: [pick?] (* marks rikishi with no makekoshi since debut, ** marks rikishi with no makekoshi since return to banzuke) The scoring and thus your game assignment: For sanyaku: Please predict an exact record for each rikishi. The target record will be calculated after the deadline and will be chosen so that it bisects the predictions as evenly as possible. The predictions will then be converted into + and - votes as usual; one point for each correct prediction. For lower-ranked rikishi: Please predict for each rikishi if he will finish KK or MK; one point for each correct prediction. (For clarification: If you're expecting an outright makekoshi for one of the sanyaku high-rankers, just predict MK, exact records are only needed on the kachikoshi side of things.) First tie-breaker: From among those 16 guys up there and the further 4 rikishi (1 'veteran' and 3 newcomers) who are currently just shy of a 5-KK streak, please guess how many KK you expect in total. Your tie-breaker guess may be anything from 0 to 20. Only exactly correct guesses qualify at this tie-breaker stage. Note: Sanyaku count as correct for the tie-breaker if they achieve KK, they do not need to meet their target records. Next 15 tie-breakers if needed: Correctly predicted rikishi, one-by-one in ballot order, i.e. starting at Terunofuji. Extra tie-breakers, should two or more players have entered identical ballots: Proximity of their tie-breaker guesses to the correct number, followed by proximity of their sanyaku rikishi guesses to the correct records (one-by-one in ballot order). Final tie-breaker: earliest entry. Note: Rikishi who show up on the before-shonichi kyujo list will be excluded from scoring (even if they end up joining the basho later), so it is not necessary to re-submit your entry if you picked such a rikishi as a KK; he will not count for points anyhow. You may, however, notify me if you'd like to reduce your tie-breaker guess by one point to compensate for the "missing" rikishi. Your position on the entry list (for final tie-breaker purposes) will be deemed unchanged in this special situation. Any other changes to a ballot will be considered a new entry, with correspondingly lower priority for the final tie-breaker. Deadline: Shonichi noon JST. ----- Simplified entry template: 1. Terunofuji W-L 2. Mitakeumi W-L 3. Atamifuji KKMK 4. Abi W-L 5. Asanowaka KKMK 6. Kanno KKMK 7. Tomokaze KKMK 8. Taiga KKMK 9. Kamito KKMK 10. Fujitoshi KKMK 11. Tatsukaze KKMK 12. Moji KKMK 13. Kototaiki KKMK 14. Tatsuguchi KKMK 15. Sadanoumi KKMK 16. Kitanowaka KKMK TB xx ----- Good luck!
  17. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Haru 2022

    Day 15 Victory for Mitakeumi, not only clinching the 11-4 target for himself, but also handing the LKS title to chishafuwaku. Congrats! It is his third championship following wins in Kyushu 2016 and Nagoya 2020. Sakura had to settle for the jun-yusho alongside Athenayama, the one pursuer who also voted positively on the ozeki. In further senshuraku news, Abi managed to earn his kachikoshi at last, so he will at least get to stay part of the game after falling short of his 10-5 target. The final standings: Day 15: 16/16 Decisions, TB 8 Pos Player Pts TB 1 chishafuwaku 9 10 2 Athenayama 8 12 2 Sakura 8 13 4 Chartorenji 7 4 ryafuji 7 12 4 Tsuchinoninjin 7 9 7 Holleshoryu 6 13 7 Tameiki 6 11 9 Rocks 5 13 9 WAKATAKE 5 11 9 Yarimotsu 5 13 12 Hakuryuho 4 12 12 Jejima 4 16 14 Profomisakari 3 14 Even the most pessimistic tie-breaker prediction by Tsuchinoninjin proved too high in this MK-heavy tournament. All in all not even 40% of the available points were scored (84 of 224), almost definitely one of the lowest-scoring LKS editions ever. The new ballot for Natsu 2022: Terunofuji 17 1. Mitakeumi 8 Atamifuji 7* 2. Abi 7 Asanowaka 6 Kanno 6* Tomokaze 6 Taiga 6 3. Kamito 6 Fujitoshi 5* 4. Tatsukaze 6 Moji 5* Kototaiki 5** Tatsuguchi 5* Sadanoumi 4 5. Kitanowaka 5 6. Kiryuko 5* 7. Nobehara 5* 8. Miyagi 5* --- 9. Wakatakakage 4 10. Wakamotoharu 4 11. Kotoshoho 4 12. Nishikigi 4 13. Shimazuumi 4 Thankfully lots of 4-KK sekitori to help fill out the decimated ballot, including Haru yusho winner Wakatakakage to keep us with three sanyaku-rankers in LKS after the end of Terunofuji's three-year streak.
  18. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Haru 2022

    Day 13 Makekoshi for Tomokaze to scupper his injury comeback after 6 straight KK for now. He joined Fujitoshi as a pick unanimously predicted wrong by us. No change to the standings, except that the reduction of the possible TB range to 7-9 meant that chishafuwaku was no longer in the running for the bonus point (like nearly the whole field already). Day 14 And Atamifuji fell to makekoshi in his juryo debut as well, resulting in a clean sweep - 6 ballot rikishi entered the tournament with a KK streak dating back to their entry to the banzuke in jonokuchi, none survived Haru basho. Day 14: 15/16 Decisions, TB 7-8 Pos Player Pts TB 1 chishafuwaku 8 10 1 Sakura 8 13 3 Athenayama 7 12 3 Chartorenji 7 3 Tsuchinoninjin 7 9 6 ryafuji 6 12 7 Holleshoryu 5 13 7 Rocks 5 13 7 Tameiki 5 11 7 WAKATAKE 5 11 11 Hakuryuho 4 12 11 Jejima 4 16 11 Yarimotsu 4 13 14 Profomisakari 2 14 Meanwhile, Mitakeumi had moved on to a 10-4 record, so it was a straight shoot-out for the LKS yusho depending on his senshuraku match against fellow ozeki Takakeisho.
  19. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Haru 2022

    Day 10 Perhaps the most busy day in LKS history with no less than seven new decisions on the ballot and two more off of it. Kachikoshi were achieved only by Kamito and Tatsukaze. Rookie trio Moji, Kototaiki and Tatsuguchi saw their debut KK streaks conclude, and veteran sekitori Sadanoumi and freshly renamed Taiga (previously Tanji) also dropped to MK. The final two off-ballot results also came in already, with Miyagi moving on up to the ballot while Kotohaguro failed to do so. Day 10: 10/16 Decisions, TB 7-12 Pos Player Pts TB 1 chishafuwaku 7 10 2 Sakura 7 13 3 Athenayama 6 12 4 Tsuchinoninjin 5 9 5 Chartorenji 5 6 Tameiki 4 11 6 WAKATAKE 4 11 8 Rocks 4 13 8 Yarimotsu 4 13 10 Hakuryuho 3 12 10 ryafuji 3 12 12 Holleshoryu 3 13 12 Jejima 3 16 14 Profomisakari 2 14 Day 11 With Kanno, another youngster saw his initial KK streak snapped. Day 11: 11/16 Decisions, TB 7-11 Pos Player Pts TB 1 chishafuwaku 7 10 2 Sakura 7 13 3 Athenayama 6 12 4 Tsuchinoninjin 5 9 5 Tameiki 5 11 6 Chartorenji 5 7 WAKATAKE 4 11 8 Holleshoryu 4 13 8 Rocks 4 13 8 ryafuji 4 12 8 Yarimotsu 4 13 12 Hakuryuho 3 12 12 Jejima 3 16 14 Profomisakari 2 14 Day 12 The MK parade continued with Asanowaka picking up his in juryo. In addition the day saw Abi take his 6th loss, dropping him out of contention for his 10-5 target record. Day 12: 13/16 Decisions, TB 7-10 Pos Player Pts TB 1 chishafuwaku 8 10 2 Sakura 8 13 3 Athenayama 7 12 3 Chartorenji 7 5 Tsuchinoninjin 6 9 6 ryafuji 6 12 7 Holleshoryu 5 13 7 Tameiki 5 11 9 Hakuryuho 4 12 9 Jejima 4 16 9 Rocks 4 13 9 WAKATAKE 4 11 9 Yarimotsu 4 13 14 Profomisakari 2 14 With three decisions to go - 3-3 Tomokaze in makushita, 6-6 Atamifuji in juryo, and 9-3 ozeki Mitakeumi aiming for his 11-4 target - the LKS yusho race was in fact down to just two contenders already. All participants predicted a kachikoshi for Tomokaze, so his final outcome wasn't going to affect the results in any case. All would-be contenders also had a KK pick for Atamifuji, so this slot proved irrelevant as well. That just left Mitakeumi as a decisive part of the ballot, and the 7-point pursuers Athenayama and Chartorenji had the misfortune that the leading pair had picked differently, meaning that either chishafuwaku or Sakura would definitely stay ahead for an outright victory. Sakura was in line to win the yusho should Mitakeumi finish 10-5 or worse, while chishafuwaku was going to prevail with 11-4 or better.
  20. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Haru 2022

    Day 6 An early third loss for yokozuna Terunofuji and it had to come by fusenpai, to boot, forcing an early decision on his Haru LKS result. Day 6: 1/16 Decisions, TB 0-19 Pos Player Pts TB 1 chishafuwaku 1 10 1 Tsuchinoninjin 1 9 3 WAKATAKE 1 11 4 Athenayama 1 12 5 Sakura 1 13 5 Yarimotsu 1 13 7 Tameiki 0 11 8 Hakuryuho 0 12 8 ryafuji 0 12 10 Holleshoryu 0 13 10 Rocks 0 13 12 Profomisakari 0 14 13 Jejima 0 16 14 Chartorenji 0 Day 7 And another very early exit with Fujitoshi's debut KK streak crashing out at 0-4. No change to the standings since nobody predicted that MK. Off-ballot Kiryuko went the other way with a 4-0 start to join the Natsu ballot. Day 8 - no news Day 9 A quick run to kachikoshi for both Mitakeumi and Kitanowaka, although only the latter scored a point at this stage. Nobehara also joined the next ballot with his 5th KK. Day 9: 3/16 Decisions, TB 4-18 Pos Player Pts TB 1 Athenayama 2 12 1 chishafuwaku 2 10 3 Sakura 2 13 3 Yarimotsu 2 13 5 Tameiki 1 11 5 WAKATAKE 1 11 7 Hakuryuho 1 12 7 ryafuji 1 12 9 Holleshoryu 1 13 9 Rocks 1 13 9 Tsuchinoninjin 1 9 12 Jejima 1 16 13 Chartorenji 1 14 Profomisakari 0 14
  21. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Haru 2022

    And the Haru results...belated welcome to newcomers Chartorenji and Yarimotsu! Player Teru Mita Atami Abi Asano Kanno Tomo Taiga Kamito Fuji T'kaze Moji Koto T'guchi Sada Kita TB Cons ryafuji + 14-1 + 11-4 + - 9-6 - - + + - + - + + - - + 12 1.79 Profomisakari + 13-2 + 12-3 + + 10-5 + + + + - + - - + + - - 14 1.75 Chartorenji + 14-1 - 8-7 + - 9-6 - + + - - + + + - + - + n/a 1.67 Holleshoryu + 14-1 + 13-2 + - 9-6 + - + - - + - + + - + + 13 1.67 chishafuwaku - 12-3 + 11-4 + - 9-6 + + + - - + - - - - - + 10 1.49 Yarimotsu - 9-6 + 11-4 + + 13-2 + + + - - + - + + + - + 13 1.39 WAKATAKE - 10-5 - 10-5 - + 11-4 + + + + - + - - - + - - 11 1.95 Sakura - 12-3 - 9-6 + - 9-6 + + + - + + - - - + - + 13 1.63 Rocks + 13-2 - 9-6 - + 11-4 + + + - - + + + + + - + 13 1.71 Athenayama - 12-3 + 11-4 + - 9-6 + + + - - + - + - - - + 12 1.34 Hakuryuho + 13-2 - 10-5 + - 8-7 + + + + - + - + - + - + 12 1.34 Jejima + 13-2 - 10-5 + - 8-7 + + + + + + + + + + + + 16 1.87 Tameiki + 14-1 + 12-3 + + 10-5 + - + - + - + + - + + 11 Tsuchinoninjin - 11-4 - 9-6 - - 9-6 + + + - - + - + - - - - 9 1.71 8:6 7:7 11:3 5:9 12:2 11:3 14:0 5:9 3:11 13:0 3:11 10:4 7:7 8:6 3:11 11:3 Results - + - - - - - - + - + - - - - + I don't think we ever had this much disagreement about the likely results of the sanyaku rikishi before... Unfortunately Tameiki's entry included an invalid pick again, while Chartorenji didn't submit a tie-breaker prediction.
  22. Asashosakari

    Sumo Reference Updates

    Indeed, it's the usual issue. @Doitsuyama 0-win and 0-loss rikishi require record-fixing for Kyushu, Hatsu and Haru basho.
  23. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Hatsu 2022

    Scores for banzuke purposes: Hakuryuho 12 (11+Top) Tsuchinoninjin 12 (11+Top) Athenayama 11 (10+TB) Rocks 11 (10+TB) Profomisakari 10 Asashosakari 10 (9+TB) chishafuwaku 9 Holleshoryu 9 ryafuji 9 WAKATAKE 9 (8+TB) Jejima 8 Tameiki 8 Mmikasazuma 8 (7+TB) Total: 126 / 13 = 9.69 ---> -2 wins The banzuke for Haru 2022: Asashosakari (Ye 8-7) Y --- chishafuwaku (Oe 7-8) O Tsuchinoninjin (Ke 10-5 D) Rocks (Se 9-6) S Athenayama (Sw 9-6) Hakuryuho (Kw 10-5 Y) K Profomisakari (M2e 8-7) ryafuji (M1e 7-8) M1 Sakura (M1w kosho) WAKATAKE (M2w 7-8) M2 Holleshoryu (M4e 7-8) Tameiki (M3e 6-9) M3 Ryoshishokunin (M3w kosho) Jejima (M4w 6-9) M4 --- Sadly, we're down to one yokozuna again. Mmikasazuma's three consecutive absences (first one kosho, next two 0-0-15) left her with only one shot at kachikoshi to avoid being forcibly retired, and she fell well short of that. I hope we'll see you come back up from unranked status soon! Next up on the agenda was Athenayama, who seems to have a knack for presenting tricky post-demotion cases. A year ago it went like this: It's 9-6 again, it's one point off the winner's score again, but this time it's not jun-yusho. Given the high frequency with which players are putting up promotion-worthy results in LKS, I feel I have to be harsh and disallow the repromotion this time around. Sorry about that. Speaking of promotion-worthy results, Tsuchinoninjin's back-to-back yusho-doten scores easily cleared the bar for that, even from komusubi. It's in fact the third LKS ozeki promotion directly from K, although the other two were back in 2011 and 2012. He joins incumbent ozeki chishafuwaku, kadoban after his Hatsu MK. Meanwhile, yusho winner Hakuryuho unfortunately got stuck at komusubi due to an utter lack of other candidates to put there, but rest assured that not being sekiwake will be no more of a hurdle with the right follow-up result than it was for Tsuchinoninjin just now.
  24. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Hatsu 2022

    Sorry this is so late again...I meant to wait to see if any more stables were going to be affected by Covid timeouts and then got sidetracked on my intended posting days. Without further ado, the lineup for Hatsu 2022, LKS's 75th edition: 1. Terunofuji 16 [score?] 2. Kotoyusho 7 3. Mitakeumi 6 [score?] 4. Atamifuji 6* 5. Abi 5 6. Asanowaka 5 7. Kanno 5* 8. Tomokaze 5 9. Kaishinmaru 5 10. Tanji 5 11. Nagata 5* 12. Shodai 4 [score?] 13. Bushozan 4 TB: [pick?] (* marks rikishi with no makekoshi since debut) The scoring and thus your game assignment: For sanyaku: Please predict an exact record for each rikishi. The target record will be calculated after the deadline and will be chosen so that it bisects the predictions as evenly as possible. The predictions will then be converted into + and - votes as usual; one point for each correct prediction. For lower-ranked rikishi: Please predict for each rikishi if he will finish KK or MK; one point for each correct prediction. (For clarification: If you're expecting an outright makekoshi for one of the sanyaku high-rankers, just predict MK, exact records are only needed on the kachikoshi side of things.) First tie-breaker: From among those 13 guys up there and the further 13 12 rikishi (6 'veterans', 6 5 newcomers (please disregard Nishihara), and returnee Kototaiki) who are currently just shy of a 5-KK streak, please guess how many KK you expect in total. Your tie-breaker guess may be anything from 0 to 26 25. Only exactly correct guesses qualify at this tie-breaker stage. Note: Sanyaku count as correct for the tie-breaker if they achieve KK, they do not need to meet their target records. Next 12 tie-breakers if needed: Correctly predicted rikishi, one-by-one in ballot order, i.e. starting at Terunofuji. Extra tie-breakers, should two or more players have entered identical ballots: Proximity of their tie-breaker guesses to the correct number, followed by proximity of their sanyaku rikishi guesses to the correct records (one-by-one in ballot order). Final tie-breaker: earliest entry. Note: Rikishi who show up on the before-shonichi kyujo list will be excluded from scoring (even if they end up joining the basho later), so it is not necessary to re-submit your entry if you picked such a rikishi as a KK; he will not count for points anyhow. You may, however, notify me if you'd like to reduce your tie-breaker guess by one point to compensate for the "missing" rikishi. Your position on the entry list (for final tie-breaker purposes) will be deemed unchanged in this special situation. Any other changes to a ballot will be considered a new entry, with correspondingly lower priority for the final tie-breaker. Deadline: Shonichi noon JST. ----- Simplified entry template: 1. Terunofuji W-L 2. Kotoyusho KKMK 3. Mitakeumi W-L 4. Atamifuji KKMK 5. Abi KKMK 6. Asanowaka KKMK 7. Kanno KKMK 8. Tomokaze KKMK 9. Kaishinmaru KKMK 10. Tanji KKMK 11. Nagata KKMK 12. Shodai W-L 13. Bushozan KKMK TB xx ----- Good luck!
  25. Asashosakari

    Long Kachikoshi Streaks - Hatsu 2022

    Day 14 Both off-ballot rikishi Hokutoiwa and Akisada fell to MK at the final hurdle, removing Tsuchinoninjin from contention. In their exchange bout Atamifuji defeated Kotoyusho to leave the former with KK and the latter with MK, so ryafuji was out as well. And lastly, Asanowaka secured his KK in the first of two opportunities to cause Rocks to drop out of the race, too, leaving Hakuryuho as the last man standing. Congrats! It's Hakuryuho's second yusho in the last four tournaments, following up on his previous victory in Nagoya 2021. Tsuchinoninjin finishes doten runner-up with the same points total, but a playoff loss to Hakuryuho on the 7th bracket, Kanno's KK. As it happens, he found himself in the same unfortunate situation just two months prior in Kyushu as well. With all decisions already in the books, the Hatsu LKS finished one day early. The final standings: Day 15: 13/13 Decisions, TB 14 Pos Player Pts TB 1 Hakuryuho 11 13 2 Tsuchinoninjin 11 16 3 Athenayama 10 14 3 Rocks 10 14 5 Profomisakari 10 13 6 Asashosakari 9 14 7 chishafuwaku 9 12 7 Holleshoryu 9 12 7 ryafuji 9 13 10 WAKATAKE 8 14 11 Jejima 8 16 11 Tameiki 8 12 13 Mmikasazuma 7 14 An unusually high number of five players picked up the bonus point for the correct tie-breaker guess. Hard luck for ryafuji, from yusho contender to makekoshi in one day. The "new" ballot for Haru 2022 was: 1. Terunofuji 17 Kotoyusho 7 2. Mitakeumi 7 3. Atamifuji 7* 4. Abi 6 5. Asanowaka 6 6. Kanno 6* 7. Tomokaze 6 Kaishinmaru 5 8. Tanji 6 Nagata 5* Shodai 4 Bushozan 4 9. Kamito 5 10. Fujitoshi 5* 11. Tatsukaze 5 12. Moji 5* 13. Kototaiki 5** 14. Tatsuguchi 5* --- 15. Sadanoumi 4 16. Kitanowaka 4