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Everything posted by Kashunowaka
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Promotion/Demotion and Yūshō Discussion Aki 2023
Kashunowaka replied to Seiyashi's topic in Honbasho Talk
I think that Kitanowaka should be 2 by the numbers, since 8-7 would nominally mean J1. -
I am in the "Kotonowaka will eventually make ozeki" camp, for sure. If he has a breakout basho with a yusho in September, he'll get the nod if it's 13-2 or better. Very unlikely but it's happened before, see e.g. Chiyotaikai.
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The right man won it. But we got yet another "weak" makuuchi yusho result, these are shaky times indeed. Decade # basho 12-3Y 11-4Y % "weak" yusho 1950s 42 5 12% 1960s 60 5 8% 1970s 60 7 1 13% 1980s 60 6 10% 1990s 60 7 1 13% 2000s 60 3 5% 2010s 59 5 1 10% 2020s 22 9 41%
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I hope that Nishikigi gets the shukun-sho.
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I am not a torikumi maker, but Hokutofuji gets Nishikigi? Since the yusho line is going to be 12-3 Nishikigi is now out of the running and he is on a losing streak. Surely Kotonowaka would have been a much worthier opponent for Hokutofuji.
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Two straight yorikiri wins in makuuchi by Tamawashi has only happened once before 13 years ago, also in Nagoya: http://sumodb.sumogames.de/Rikishi_basho.aspx?r=5944&b=201007 Also http://sumodb.sumogames.de/Rikishi_basho.aspx?r=5944&b=200701, but in makushita so not on consecutive days.
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Tipspiel started way before 2007 - I know it, because I have a yusho from 2003. 2001 seems to have been the first year. http://tipspiel.sumofan.net/viewtopic.php?t=410
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Seki-Quad: 2003 as a mailing list game. It was automated in 2004.
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Bench Sumo started in 1999.
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I don't think "deceptively" is quite the right word here.
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I have been waiting all basho for that sotogake.
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Under these circumstances, and even more so if Takakeisho doesn't get his eight, I think that 32 would be a slam dunk promotion. Unless someone else puts up the real numbers, and perhaps even then.
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If all four seats are taken, I could always travel in the boot of the car.
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To summarize, this was very much a 4-11 basho for me in the games. 4-11 is what I got in Bench Sumo and ISP. My performance is especially impressive in the latter, being player 165/167. (Two basho ago I won the yusho. ) In Tip-Spiel I was dead last for most of the basho but ended up... 4-11. Odd Sumo: 4-11. But I just had a look at SalaryCap. http://www.sumogames.de/Golynohana/SALARYCAP/OverallStandings.aspx That sure makes up for all the 4-11s!
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Yes, I can see that yokozuna Asashoryu was a popular pick back then.
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I asked ChatGPT to help me write a program to answer this question. This was the 10th time this has happened. http://chaingang.sumogames.de/Standing.aspx?B=84&D=15 (3 players) http://chaingang.sumogames.de/Standing.aspx?B=85&D=15 (22 players) http://chaingang.sumogames.de/Standing.aspx?B=97&D=15 (8 players) http://chaingang.sumogames.de/Standing.aspx?B=104&D=15 (2 players) http://chaingang.sumogames.de/Standing.aspx?B=116&D=15 (2 players) http://chaingang.sumogames.de/Standing.aspx?B=121&D=15 (2 players) http://chaingang.sumogames.de/Standing.aspx?B=132&D=15 (4 players) http://chaingang.sumogames.de/Standing.aspx?B=133&D=15 (3 players) http://chaingang.sumogames.de/Standing.aspx?B=154&D=15 (2 players) http://chaingang.sumogames.de/Standing.aspx?B=198&D=15 (2 players)
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And had he won just one more bout in this basho they would have had to award Hokuseiho the Fighting Spirit Prize. The word "oxymoron" comes to mind.
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Promotion/Demotion and Yūshō Discussion Haru 2023
Kashunowaka replied to Seiyashi's topic in Honbasho Talk
My GTB entry is done! Look how much time I saved by asking ChatGPT. > These are the results of the just finished basho. Please predict the next makuuchi banzuke! Rank Rikishi Result Y1eYO Terunofuji 0-0-15 O1w Takakeisho 3-4-8 S1e Wakatakakage 7-7-1 S1w Hoshoryu 10-5 S2e Kiribayama 12-3 K1e Wakamotoharu 11-4 K1w Kotonowaka 9-6 etc. ChatGPT's reply: Based on the results of the just-finished basho, I predict the next makuuchi banzuke will look like this: Y1e Terunofuji O1e Takakeisho O1w Daieisho S1e Kiribayama S1w Wakamotoharu K1e Wakatakakage K1w Hoshoryu M1e Kotonowaka M1w Shodai M2e Abi M2w Mitakeumi M3e Tamawashi M3w Ryuden M4e Endo M4w Midorifuji M5e Takayasu M5w Ura M6e Nishikigi M6w Kotoshoho M7e Hokutofuji M7w Takanosho M8e Sadanoumi M8w Ichiyamamoto M9e Hiradoumi M9w Aoiyama M10e Myogiryu M10w Nishikifuji M11e Takarafuji M11w Daishoho M12e Kotoeko M12w Kinbozan M13e Chiyoshoma M13w Hokuseiho M14e Tsurugisho M14w Mitoryu M15e Asanoyama M15w Ichinojo M16e Shonannoumi M16w Enho How about that! -
I agree with those who said boring first half, followed by exciting finish. The last couple of days have been great to watch. I rooted for Kiribayama on the final day, but didn't expect him to beat Daieisho twice in the same way! I thought Kiribayama would be one with the nerves. Natsu basho is going to be very exciting. We will have two sekiwake with very legitimate ozeki chances, needing 10 and 11 wins respectively. Even Wakamotoharu has an outside chance, although he would need an outstanding basho. Hoshoryu has a chance in theory, but is more likely on square 2 in Natsu, starting another ozeki run with this basho's 10-5. He is the youngest of the bunch and I think he gets there eventually. After 10 days and 8-2 I thought Kotonowaka would be a real ozeki contender after senshuraku. But instead he finished 1-4, losing a couple of bouts he should normally win and having some close calls. So he is stuck in his komusubi slot for now. Probably a future ozeki though. Poor S1e Wakatakakage...
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Promotion/Demotion and Yūshō Discussion Haru 2023
Kashunowaka replied to Seiyashi's topic in Honbasho Talk
For sumo, Ruby is clearly the better choice. -
Promotion/Demotion and Yūshō Discussion Haru 2023
Kashunowaka replied to Seiyashi's topic in Honbasho Talk
I read 20/33 as "currently at 20 wins out of the required 33 in three basho" and it makes perfect sense to me. -
I mean days. In the last 4 days, one rikishi could go 4-0 while another goes 0-4 and that completely changes their ozeki prospects. 8-7 Kiribayama is a long shot for ozeki promotion after next basho, 12-3 Kiribayama has a very good chance.
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Making this poll in the middle of a basho is perhaps not the best idea, as the chances for each rikishi change daily. I agree that Kiribayama looks best on paper, followed by Hoshoryu. But that could be completely different in just a few days.
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Well, at least he didn't drop out of the division as I was sure he would do after day 12...
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Promotion /Demotion and Yūshō Discussion Hatsu 2023
Kashunowaka replied to Tsuchinoninjin's topic in Honbasho Talk
If you start from the top I don't think you will have that problem.