Welcome once again to the game that shamelessly objectifies successful rikishi! Everybody with a current streak of at least 5 kachikoshi (or even just 4 if they're sekitori) is who we're concerned with here at LKS headquarters - and as a player you're cordially invited to predict if they'll manage to have another successful performance this basho. Here's our 17-strong lineup for Haru 2012:
1. Hakuho 30 [13-2]
2. Baruto 15 [12-3]
3. Kotoshogiku 8 [11-4]
4. Myogiryu 8
5. Kisenosato 7 [11-4]
6. Chiyonokuni 7
7. Harumafuji 6 [11-4]
8. Kakuryu 6 [11-4]
9. Kotoyuki 6
10. Tenkaiho 5
11. Tokushinho 5
12. Tatsu 5
13. Haruhikari 5
14. Sadanofuji 4
15. Ikioi 4
16. Chiyotairyu 4
17. Kitaharima 4
The ballot continues to be dominated by sekitori, but at least we do have two toriteki wildcards with Tatsu and Haruhikari again. Compared to last basho Hakuho has reduced his target record, while Baruto/Kisenosato/Harumafuji/Kakuryu have all gone up one win. Only Kotoshogiku is going for the same record again, ironically despite posting the worst Hatsu result of them all.
The scoring and thus your game assignment:
- For yokozuna, ozeki and sekiwake: One point each for correctly predicting if he will achieve at least the listed record (based on his 5-basho average) or finish worse.
- For lower-ranked rikishi: One point each for correctly predicting if he will finish KK or MK.
(BTW, feel free to use Y/N style entries consistently if you want; I know you mean KK/MK for rikishi without a personalized target record. )
First tie-breaker: From among those 17 guys up there and the further 18 rikishi who are currently just shy of a 5-KK streak (10 'veterans' and 8 'rookies'), please guess how many KK you expect in total. Your tie-breaker guess may be anything from 0 to 35. Only exactly correct guesses qualify at this tie-breaker stage. Note: Yokozuna, ozeki and sekiwake count as correct for the tie-breaker if they achieve KK, they do not need to meet their target records.
Next 17 tie-breakers if needed: Correctly predicted rikishi, one-by-one in reverse order, i.e. starting at Kitaharima.
Penultimate tie-breaker, should two or more players have entered identical ballots: Proximity of their tie-breaker guesses to the correct number.
Final tie-breaker, should two or more players with identical ballots have entered identical tie-breaker guesses as well or be at the same distance from opposite sides: earliest entry.
Note: Rikishi who show up on the before-shonichi kyujo list will be excluded from scoring (even if they end up joining the basho later), so it is not necessary to re-submit your entry if you picked such a rikishi as a KK / Yes; he will not count for points anyhow. You may, however, notify me if you'd like to reduce your tie-breaker guess by one point to compensate for the "missing" rikishi. Your position on the entry list (for final tie-breaker purposes) will be deemed unchanged in this special situation. Any other changes to a ballot will be considered a new entry, with correspondingly lower priority for the final tie-breaker.
Deadline: Shonichi 12am JST.