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Kaio in 2011


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Poll: Kaio's annual poll (24 member(s) have cast votes)

What is in store for Kaio in 2011?

  1. He will retire! (10 votes [41.67%])

    Percentage of vote: 41.67%

  2. He will become a yokozuna (2 votes [8.33%])

    Percentage of vote: 8.33%

  3. He will be a good ozeki (mostly 10+ bashos) (1 votes [4.17%])

    Percentage of vote: 4.17%

  4. He will be a mediocre ozeki (mostly 8 or 9 wins) (9 votes [37.50%])

    Percentage of vote: 37.50%

  5. He will barely hang on to his ozeki status (more than one kadoban basho) (2 votes [8.33%])

    Percentage of vote: 8.33%

  6. He will be demoted to Sekiwake (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

When will Kaio retire?

  1. Jan / Feb 2011 (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  2. Mar / Apr 2011 (4 votes [16.67%])

    Percentage of vote: 16.67%

  3. May / Jun 2011 (3 votes [12.50%])

    Percentage of vote: 12.50%

  4. Jul / Aug 2011 (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  5. Sep / Oct 2011 (0 votes [0.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 0.00%

  6. Nov / Dec 2011 (5 votes [20.83%])

    Percentage of vote: 20.83%

  7. He won't retire in 2011 (12 votes [50.00%])

    Percentage of vote: 50.00%

How many kachikoshi bashos (8 or more wins) will Kaio have in 2010

  1. 6 (1 votes [4.17%])

    Percentage of vote: 4.17%

  2. 5 (10 votes [41.67%])

    Percentage of vote: 41.67%

  3. 4 (3 votes [12.50%])

    Percentage of vote: 12.50%

  4. 3 (2 votes [8.33%])

    Percentage of vote: 8.33%

  5. 2 (2 votes [8.33%])

    Percentage of vote: 8.33%

  6. 1 (3 votes [12.50%])

    Percentage of vote: 12.50%

  7. zilch (3 votes [12.50%])

    Percentage of vote: 12.50%

Vote

#1 Jejima

Jejima

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Posted 05 December 2010 - 00:13

Here is the annual 'Kaio Poll' - the Big Daddy of annual polls. This is now its 7th appearance! (Actually 8th, but I'm ignoring the mid-year one back in 2005.)

Previous editions of this poll can be found as below:-

2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
2005


Please put your predictions in the comments below, so we can see who was closest at the end of the 2011.

Edited by Jejima, 13 December 2010 - 09:40.

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#2 Jejima

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Posted 05 December 2010 - 00:15

Well, although I am sure his time is near, I dare not vote against him, so I say....

He won't retire in 2011. He'll be a mediocre ozeki, with two kadoban bashos - the other four being 8-7 or 9-6 KKs.

Edit: I note that although my meaning should be clear, the above that does not make full sense. It should be he will have two MK bashos that will lead to subsequent kadoban bashos - and the other four being 8-7 or 9-6.

Edited by Jejima, 05 December 2010 - 00:30.

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#3 Washuyama

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Posted 05 December 2010 - 00:24

He'll retire during/after Haru without a 2010 2011 KK. Farewell old warrior!. P.S. I plan on voting the same way in this poll next year!

Just for honesty's sake, I cut and pasted this from last year's Kaio poll. I'm not sure I believe it, but at least I'm being true to my word...

#4 Asashosakari

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Posted 05 December 2010 - 14:54

Gonna repeat my winning vote from last year, too...5 KK mired in mediocrity. I think he's got his sights set on competing at least to 40 now, so no retirement next year, not even post-Fukuoka.

(The dates in the middle poll need updating.)

#5 Jejima

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Posted 06 December 2010 - 15:34

(The dates in the middle poll need updating.)


Updated (Shaking head...)
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#6 sekihiryu

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Posted 07 December 2010 - 05:48

Retire, Nov, 5 basho
Private Pyle, if there is one thing in this world that I hate, it is a loose mawashi! You know that don't you?
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#7 Skotkotaikai

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Posted 08 December 2010 - 13:45

Won't retire + 5 kachikoshi + mediocre performance.

He'll compete till the end of the world ( 2012 (Shaking head...) )
\,,/ Perkele \,,/

#8 Oshirokita

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Posted 09 December 2010 - 07:01

Gonna repeat my winning vote from last year, too...5 KK mired in mediocrity. I think he's got his sights set on competing at least to 40 now, so no retirement next year, not even post-Fukuoka.


I second the above. 5kk, mostly 8 or 9 wins, no retirement yet.
Let's go Oshio Kaio!

#9 Kintamayama

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Posted 13 December 2010 - 14:13

Retire
March-April
zilch KK.

What do you get when you cross an insomniac, an agnostic and a dyslexic?

A guy who is up all night arguing with himself over whether or not there is a dog.

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#10 Asojima

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Posted 13 December 2010 - 16:27

Think I went with retire, May-June, 1 KK, but I forgert. Never been close on this one.

 I think I may be indecisive. 

Adoptee: Hitachigo (Sd1e), 29 yrs; 148.8kg/183cm, 11th year, High: Ms15w ---- Aki ( 6 - 1 ) Back to Makushita
Adoptee: Homarefuji (J2e), 29 yrs; 149.2kg/179cm, 7th year, High: M15w    ----- Aki ( 11 - 4 ) Back to Makuuchi


#11 Jejima

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Posted 05 January 2011 - 06:51

Bump! Poll will be in closing in a few days time....
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#12 Jejima

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Posted 23 January 2011 - 05:11

There seems to be a split in whether Kaio will finally retire this year (the percentage is down on previous years), or whether he will be a mediocre Ozeki.

If he were to retire (and half of us think he won't), Nov/Dec is the most popular pick - although early 2011 (March - June) has more picks in total.

Nearly half of us think that he will get 5 KKs!
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#13 Jejima

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Posted 31 December 2011 - 11:10

How was Kaio's year in 2011?

Jan - O1E 9-6
Mar - basho cancelled
May - O1W 9-6
Jul - O2E 3-8 intai (Sad goodbyes...)

So, he finally retired - as predicted by 42% of us.
Nobody predicted July as the month for his retirement (Kaio once again finding a way to dumbfound us).

He managed 2 kachikoshi bashos, which can be 'adjusted' to 2.67 (or 3) if we take into account the cancelled basho. 8% predicted 2 KKs, and 8% predicted 3 KKs - so we were mostly out.

He wasn't really close - but he was closer than the rest, so the final Kaio poll yusho goes to Asojima. B-)

Well, this poll after 7 years is also going to be retired. B-)

There are some other annual polls, that it would be great for you to vote on - as the stats are much more interesting when they are statistically significant.

For your ease, here they all are:-->

Hakuho
Baruto
Harumafuji
Takanoyama
Top of the Jan 2013 Banzuke
2012 Yusho winners
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